Severe Thunderstorm Warning 161, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
158 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2007

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ONCE AGAIN IN THE
MOUNTAINS...SW VA...AND THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU. A FEW COULD ALSO
AFFECT LOCATIONS IN THE SOUTHERN VALLEY. THE STORMS WILL BE MAINLY
ISOLATED EXCEPT FOR SCATTERED COVERAGE IN THE SOUTHER PLATEAU AREA.
THE STORMS WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE AROUND SUNSET AS THERE IS LITTLE
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT. THERE COULD BE SOME DENSE FOG IN VALLEY
LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVE RAIN THIS EVENING...AND WILL INCLUDE A
MENTION OF PATCHY MORNING FOG. WITH A PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
TO OUR NORTH WHICH IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST...A PERSISTENCE FORECAST IS
LIKELY THE BEST. WILL MENTION ISOLATED TSTMS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND
PLATEAU TOMORROW. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE CLOSE TO OR A BIT ABOVE
TODAYS HIGHS AS 1000-850 THICKNESS INCREASES SLIGHTLY...WILL HAVE
HIGHS REACHING THE MID 90S IN THE SOUTH WITH UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S
IN MOST OTHER SPOTS.

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED. THE RESULT WILL BE CONTINUED WARM AND
MUGGY CONDITIONS WITH LATE AFTERNOON INSTABILITY PROVIDING OUR
NORMAL SUMMERTIME DIURNAL CONVECTION IN FAVORED AREAS. PERSISTENCE
THE WAY TO GO FOR TEMPS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  72  94  71  94  70 /  20  10  10  10  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  70  93  70  93  68 /  10  10  10  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN  70  92  70  93  68 /  10  10  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN  65  91  66  90  65 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

DGS/MJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
510 AM EDT WED AUG 1 2007

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-020915-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
510 AM EDT WED AUG 1 2007 /410 AM CDT WED AUG 1 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
325 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2007

TNZ071-072-012015-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NW BLOUNT-
325 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BLOUNT COUNTY...

AT 323 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF FONTANA VILLAGE. THIS STORM
WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. THE STORM WILL AFFECT LOCATIONS NEAR
TOWNSEND...CADES COVE...AND HAPPY VALLEY.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH
TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

DGS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
421 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2007

TNZ085-100-012100-
BRADLEY-MCMINN-
421 PM EDT WED AUG 1 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS AFFECTING BRADLEY AND MCMINN COUNTIES...

AT 415 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CHARLESTON...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION TO SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS. REMEMBER...
IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

LCM

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