Severe Thunderstorm Warning 100, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
210 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)...DIURNAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON...AND LIKE THE
PAST FEW DAYS...AN ISOLATED DOWNBURST WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS
WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT...AND SOME PATCHY FOG WILL LIKELY
FORM LATE TONIGHT IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE RAIN THIS EVENING. THURSDAY
LOOKS MUCH THE SAME...THOUGH MOISTURE CONTENT IS A LITTLE HIGHER AS
THE ATLANTIC RIDGE WEAKENS AND A TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST. MODELS SHOW A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE AREA
TOMORROW WHICH MAY ALSO AID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. WILL HAVE A
MENTION OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
AGAIN...SOME ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUED INTO THURSDAY EVENING...WITH BEST
CHANCES REMAIN NORTH WHERE STRONGER INSTABILITY WILL BE.  CONVECTION
WILL BRIEFLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
SPREADING INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES IN.  WILL
CONTINUE WITH LIKELY POP WORDING FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  SCATTERED
CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT.  REMAIN UNSURE AS TO HOW FAR
SOUTH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REACH AND WILL THEREFORE KEEP A FEW
LINGER SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.  DRIER AIR
MOVES INTO BEHIND THE FRONT WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM PROGGED INTO THE
REGION ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  70  91  71  89  70 /  30  20  20  60  50
KNOXVILLE AIRPORT, TN    69  89  69  87  68 /  30  30  20  70  50
OAK RIDGE, TN            69  89  69  87  67 /  30  40  20  70  50
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN   66  88  66  84  65 /  30  40  30  70  60

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

DGS/MJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
515 AM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-280915-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
515 AM EDT WED JUN 27 2007 /415 AM CDT WED JUN 27 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...
EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH...LARGE HAIL UP TO THE
SIZE OF QUARTERS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO TWO INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE
WEEK...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATER IN THE WEEK...INCREASING THE COVERAGE
OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AT DIFFERENT PLACES THROUGHOUT THE
WEEK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
324 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

TNZ100-101-272015-
BRADLEY-WEST POLK-
324 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BRADLEY AND POLK COUNTIES...

AT 317 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF BENTON....MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10
MPH.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT LOCATIONS IN EASTERN BRADLEY COUNTY AND
NORTHWEST POLK COUNTY

VERY HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND WINDS TO AROUND 40 MPH
ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

DGS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
327 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

TNZ086-087-272015-
NORTHWEST MONROE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-
327 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MONROE COUNTY...

AT 325 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MADISONVILLE....MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN MONROE COUNTY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION TO SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS. REMEMBER...
IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

DGS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
400 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

TNZ085>087-099>102-272100-
BRADLEY-EAST POLK-HAMILTON-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-SOUTHEAST
MONROE-WEST POLK-
400 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS AFFECTING
BRADLEY...HAMILTON...MCMINN...MONROE AND POLK COUNTIES...

AT 400 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR HARRISON...CLEVELAND...ATHENS...AND
SWEETWATER....MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
454 PM EDT WED JUN 27 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VONORE                  35.60N 84.23W
06/27/2007                   MONROE             TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN IN BALL PLAY AND VONORE. REPORTED BY SHERIFFS
            OFFICE.

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NE MADISONVILLE       35.58N 84.28W
06/27/2007                   MONROE             TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG NILES FERRY ROAD. REPORTED BY
            SHERIFFS OFFICE.

0445 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHATTANOOGA             35.07N 85.26W
06/27/2007                   HAMILTON           TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN IN EAST RIDGE. REPORTED BY DISPATCH.

&&

MEP

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