Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 20, NWS Marquette, MI

May 14, 2007Menominee County, Michigan

NWS Marquette, MI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 14, 2007, 11:23 PM CDT for Menominee County, Michigan. It was in force for 37 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2007, 11:23 PM CDT (04:23 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2007, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
37 min
Issued by
NWS Marquette, MI
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Menominee County, MI

The radar

The Marquette radar (KMQT), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 125 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2007-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 340 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2007-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 184 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
340 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-244 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2348 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
386 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Marquette, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 14, 10:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 10:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 3:36 PM CDT, 7 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
436 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-152045-
KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-NORTHERN HOUGHTON-BARAGA-MARQUETTE-ALGER-LUCE-
GOGEBIC-IRON-DICKINSON-MENOMINEE-DELTA-SOUTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
SOUTHERN HOUGHTON-NORTHERN SCHOOLCRAFT-
436 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2007 /336 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN UPPER
MICHIGAN AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING OVER WESTERN
UPPER MICHIGAN ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM
EASTERN MINNESOTA. THE STORMS WILL SPREAD INTO CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN BY LATE EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS THIS EVENING MAY
PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL UP TO TWO INCHES IN DIAMETER AND
POSSIBLY EVEN ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A WIDESPREAD FROST IS LIKELY OVER INTERIOR WEST AND CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY EVENING AND A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AND AGAIN ON
MONDAY. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

LSZ221-241>248-263-264-152045-
KEWEENAW BAY AND HURON BAY FROM LOWER ENTRANCE LIGHT TO PORTAGE
LAKE TO HURON ISLANDS MI-SAXON HARBOR WI TO ONTONAGON MI-
ONTONAGON TO UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
UPPER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL TO MANITOU ISLAND MI-
MANITOU ISLAND TO LOWER ENTRANCE OF PORTAGE CANAL MI-
HURON ISLANDS TO MARQUETTE MI-MARQUETTE TO MUNISING MI-
MUNISING TO GRAND MARAIS MI-GRAND MARAIS TO WHITEFISH POINT MI-
LAKE SUPERIOR, EAST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI TO GRAND
PORTAGE, MN, TO A LINE NORTHWARD FROM MANITOU IS. MI, BEYOND 5 NM
AND SOUTH OF THE US/CANADIAN BORDER-
LAKE SUPERIOR, EAST OF A LINE FROM MANITOU IS. MI NORTHWARD
BEYOND 5 NM AND SOUTH OF THE US/CANADIAN BORDER, EXCLUDING
WHITEFISH BAY-
436 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2007 /336 PM CDT MON MAY 14 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN LAKE
SUPERIOR...CENTRAL LAKE SUPERIOR AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO SPREAD OVER ALL OF LAKE SUPERIOR TONIGHT.
THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT
OVER FAR SOUTHEAST LAKE SUPERIOR BEFORE ENDING LATE. A FEW OF THE
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL...STRONG WINDS AND POSSIBLY EVEN A FEW WATERSPOUTS...ESPECIALLY
OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE LAKE.

AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT. THE FOG COULD BE DENSE... REDUCING
VISIBILITY TO ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY EVENING AND A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AND AGAIN ON
MONDAY. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LMZ221-248-262-152045-
BAY OF GREEN BAY NORTH OF LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO POINT DETOUR MI-
LAKE MICHIGAN...FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO ROCK ISLAND
PASSAGE...SOUTHEASTWARD BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE TO THE MID-
LINE OF THE LAKE-
436 PM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS DURING THE EVENING. A FEW OF THE
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AND AGAIN ON MONDAY. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

DLG/JV

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 14, 8:45 PM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 14, 9:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 14, 9:08 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 14, 9:49 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
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Local storm report, May 14, 9:52 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
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Special weather statement, May 14, 10:06 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Marquette, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 14, 7:12 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMQT78 min
May 14, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTMarquette28 min
May 14, 7:35 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMQT40 min
May 14, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTIron75 min
May 14, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTGogebic14 min
May 14, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTMarquette22 min
May 14, 8:31 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMQT29 min
May 14, 8:43 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMQT47 min
May 14, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTDickinson57 min
May 14, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTAlger38 min
May 14, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMQTMarquette28 min
May 14, 9:48 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningMQT27 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.