Marine Weather Statement 38, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
440 PM CDT SAT AUG 11 2007

.SHORT TERM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
CONTINUES TO TAKE UP A LARGE EXPANSE FROM THE CENTRAL U.S. TO EAST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE. OVER THE
SOUTHEAST...UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE LOWER AS A BROAD UPPER TROF
MOVES EAST THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC. WITH THE RIDGE MORE OF AN
INFLUENCE FOR OUR AREA...HOT WEATHER WILL BE WITH US FOR SEVERAL
MORE DAYS...ALONG WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ALONG
AND SOUTHWEST OF I-65.

LAST NIGHTS LOWS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN
COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ESCAMBIA COUNTY
FLORIDA...AND ALL OF SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN FLORIDA
WERE 80+ DEGREES LAST NIGHT...FORECAST FOR TONIGHT CALLS FOR 80+
DEGREES FOR THESE SAME AREAS TONIGHT. HEAT INDICES WILL BE 110+
DEGREES AGAIN ON SUNDAY...SO UPGRADED THE HEAT ADVISORY TO AN
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING THROUGH 7 PM SUNDAY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S
ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE INLAND SECTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...MEETING THE CRITERIA FOR AN EXTENDED HEAT ADVISORY
THROUGH 7 PM SUNDAY. THE HEAT ADVISORY FOR AREAS FURTHER INLAND WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 7 PM THIS EVENING AS OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
BELOW 78 DEGREES. THUNDERSTORMS VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL DRIFT
SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH...AND DISSIPATE DURING THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
/22

&&

.LONG TERM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE AT
THIS TIME...AND STILL EXPECT DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EXTENDED
/22

&&

.MARINE...A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE CAROLINAS TO SOUTHERN ALABAMA
WILL DRIFT TO THE COAST OVER THE WEEKEND. SOUTH OF THE TROUGH...WINDS
REMAIN GENERALLY SOUTH TO WEST. NORTH OF THE TROUGH...VARIABLE OR
LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL. BY THE FIRST OF THE WEEK...THE REGION
WILL BE BETWEEN A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE INLAND AREAS...AND A RIDGE
ACROSS THE GULF. THROUGH MIDWEEK...LIGHT WESTERLY WIND WILL DOMINATE
BECOMING NORTHWEST OVER BAYS AND THE NEAR SHORE WATERS LATE EACH
NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY AN ONSHORE FLOW DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS...AND LIGHT WESTERLY ELSEWHERE. /77

&&

.FIRE...A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE CAROLINAS TO SOUTHERN ALABAMA
WILL DRIFT TO THE COAST OVER THE WEEKEND. SOUTH OF THE TROUGH...WINDS
ARE SOUTH TO WEST AND NORTH OF THE TROUGH...VARIABLE OR LIGHT NORTH
WINDS WILL PREVAIL. BY THE FIRST OF THE WEEK...THE REGION WILL BE
BETWEEN A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE INLAND AREAS...AND A RIDGE ACROSS THE
GULF. THROUGH MIDWEEK...LIGHT WESTERLY WIND WILL DOMINATE BECOMING
NORTHWEST NEAR THE COAST LATE EACH NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A SOUTH WIND
DURING THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS...AND LIGHT WESTERLY ELSEWHERE.
LITTLE CHANGE. NO CONCERNS ABOUT CRITERIA...EVEN WITH THE TROUGH
PUSHING OFFSHORE. /77

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      76 100  77  98 /  05  10  10  10
PENSACOLA   82  97  79  95 /  10  10  20  20
DESTIN      85  94  81  93 /  20  20  20  20
EVERGREEN   74 100  74  98 /  10  10  05  05
WAYNESBORO  69 101  71  99 /  05  05  05  05
CAMDEN      73 101  74 100 /  05  05  05  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...AND LOWER MOBILE.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER
     MOBILE...WASHINGTON...AND WILCOX.

FL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: AND
     INLAND ESCAMBIA.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...AND COASTAL
     SANTA ROSA.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     HEAT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND WAYNE.

GM...NONE.
&&