Marine Weather Statement 2, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
FZUS74 KMOB 261453
MWSMOB

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
953 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

GMZ670-261600-
/X.CAN.KMOB.MA.S.0002.000000T0000Z-070426T1700Z/
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
953 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN WITHIN 20 NM OF THE COAST.
THEREFORE MARINE ZONE 670...FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM
20 TO 60 NM...HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THE MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT.

$$

GMZ630-650-261700-
/X.CON.KMOB.MA.S.0002.000000T0000Z-070426T1700Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
953 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL AFFECT THE
COASTAL WATERS OFF THE ALABAMA COAST AND MOBILE BAY EARLY THIS
MORNING...

AT 950 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 30 KNOTS FROM 30 MILES
NORTHEAST OF MOBILE BAY TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND. THIS
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ADVANCING TO THE EAST AT 15 KNOTS. THIS
MOTION WILL BRING THE LINE OF STORMS NEAR FORT MORGAN AND THE MOUTH
OF WEEKS BAY BY 1020 AM...AND PALMETTO BEACH BY 1115 AM.

MARINERS OPERATING ON THE ALABAMA COASTAL WATERS OUT 20 NM...AND THE
MOBILE BAY AREA...SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THESE STORMS
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN
WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE
LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY.

WHEN STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THREATEN...THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION IS
TO MOVE ASHORE AND SEEK SAFE HARBOR. WHEN CAUGHT OUT ON THE WATER
IN A THUNDERSTORM...GO BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE. AVOID TOUCHING
UNGROUNDED METAL OBJECTS. PERSONS ON VESSELS WITHOUT ENCLOSED
CABIN SPACES SHOULD STAY AS LOW AS POSSIBLE ON OPEN DECKS. STAY
AWAY FROM RADIO ANTENNAS AND VERTICAL METAL TOWERS ON YOUR VESSEL
WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
607 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

.SHORT TERM...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A PREFRONTAL
SURFACE TROUGH HAVE MOVED EAST OF MOST AREAS IN SOUTHEAST MS AND
CHOCTAW COUNTY IN AL. AS A RESULT THE TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN
CANCELLED FOR STONE...GREENE...PERRY...AND WAYNE COUNTIES IN MS AND
CHOCTAW COUNTY IN AL. A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE MAIN COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES. /32

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 408 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007/

SHORT TERM....SHORT TERM...LATEST RADAR AND SATELLITE LOOPS CONTINUE
TO SHOW A WELL DEFINED PREFRONTAL TROUGH MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHERN MS STRETCHING NEWARD INTO EXTREME WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE
SW AL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE FORMING ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY TRACKING NE AROUND 35 MPH. DURING THE LAST 4 HRS
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REMAINED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS WITH MOSTLY WINDS
GUSTING TO NEAR 40 KTS WITH SOME BOWING SEGMENTS ALONG THE LINE.
FURTHER TO THE EAST SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO
FORMING...GENERALLY OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS AND OVER THE SOME
COASTAL AREAS OF NWFL OR WERE THE CURRENT AIRMASS IN MOST UNSTABLE.
FOR THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON EXPECT THE PREFRONTAL BOUNDARY TO
CONTINUE TO TRACKING EASTWARD MOVING INTO A MORE UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
AFTERNOONS...MAINLY FROM DAYTIME HEATING. VERTICAL SHEAR IN THE
LOWER LEVELS CONTINUES TO BE MOSTLY UNIDIRECTIONAL LATER TODAY
GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY A SQUALL LINE EVENT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
CURRENTLY...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT GENERALLY OVER THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE CWFA UNTIL 800 AM. ANOTHER WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED
LATER THIS MORNING MOSTLY FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWFA OR AREAS
EAST OF THE I 65 CORRIDOR. ALOFT UPPER TROF/DEEP LOW STILL OVER
CENTRAL MO WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY 06 FRI.
BETTER DYNAMICS OR FORCING ALOFT WILL ALSO SHIFT NORTHWARD LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AS MAIN SYSTEM MOVES OFF TO THE NE. WILL USE THE
CURRENT MAVMOS FOR TEMPS THROUGH TONIGHT.
/32

&&

LONG TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY). MAIN UPPER TROF OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHWARD OR FLATTEN SOMEWHAT LATER
TONIGHT CONTINUING THROUGH FRI EVENING WITH SFC RIDGE BUILDING OVER
THE CENTRAL GULF STATES FROM THE WNW. LATEST PROGGS PREFERABLY THE
GFS DEPICTS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE TROF MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF MS AND AL GENERALLY AROUND THE BASE OF EXISTING TROF
DEEPENING AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD OVER EASTERN AL INTO GA.
THIS PATTERN EVENTUALLY REINFORCES SFC RIDGE TO THE WEST LATER IN
THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK FOLLOWED BY HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER
RIDGE SHIFTING EAST OVER THE CENTRAL GULF STATES AND NORTHERN GULF
LATE MON THROUGH TUES. UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN BY MIDWEEK WITH SFC
RIDGE HOLDING TO THE EAST...GIVING WAY TO INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION BY WED FROM ONSHORE FLOW.
NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIP IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND WITH NEXT
SHORTWAVE...MOSTLY BETTER CLOUDS LATE SAT THROUGH MIDDAY SUN. WILL
CONTINUE TO USE THE CURRENT MEXMOS FOR TEMPS IN THE EXTENDED PDS.
/32

&&

MARINE...A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS LATE TODAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRECEDE
THE FRONT...AFFECTING THE MARINE AREA THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SOME OF THOSE STORMS COULD BE STRONG. OTHERWISE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. /05

&&

FIRE WEATHER...AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS TODAY...BUT NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED ON FRI
AS HIGH PRES BUILDS FROM THE WEST. DUE TO MARGINAL CONDITIONS
EXPECTED FOR FRI AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE WITH ONLY A FIRE WX WATCH
FOR FRI FOR NOW. /32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      82  58  82  55 /  60  05  05  05
PENSACOLA   79  63  81  59 /  50  10  05  05
DESTIN      77  64  79  61 /  50  20  05  05
EVERGREEN   81  57  81  51 /  80  10  05  05
WAYNESBORO  82  54  80  49 /  30  05  05  10
CAMDEN      82  57  80  51 /  80  05  05  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 6 PM FRIDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND
     INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
655 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-
271200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
MOBILE BAY-BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-
CONECUH-COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
GEORGE-GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
655 PM CDT WED APR 25 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION THIS MORNING COULD GIVE WAY TO DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL
AND SHORT LIVED ISOLATED TORNADOES. THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON THEN EXIT TO THE EAST...THEREAFTER. STAY TUNED THROUGHOUT
THE DAY FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON POSSIBLE WATCHES AND WARNINGS FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A MODERATE RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG
AREAS BEACHES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS OR SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR
SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS WILL BE REQUIRED FOR THE REMAINDER OF
TODAY...MAINLY WHERE WATCHES FROM THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER ARE
ISSUED. I

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATES THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
327 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

MSZ078-260915-
STONE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WIGGINS...
327 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS MOVING TOWARD WESTERN STONE COUNTY...

AT 325 AM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES WEST OF ROGERS LAKE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
ROGERS LAKE...TEN MILE...PERRY...PERKINSTON...WIGGINS AND WHITES
CROSSING THROUGH 415 AM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE SMALL HAIL...DANGEROUS CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING... AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WHICH COULD
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
438 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

ALZ051>053-061-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-261030-
UPPER
MOBILE-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-CHOCTAW-GEORGE-STONE-PERRY-GREENE-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAKESVILLE...LUCEDALE AND CHATOM...
438 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

...TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL 8 AM CDT...

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH
DAYBREAK...

AT 438 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM CHOCTAW COUNTY ALABAMA SOUTHWEST TO STONE
COUNTY MISSISSIPPI.  THE LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING TO THE EAST AT 18
MPH.  THE STRONGEST STORMS ALONG THIS LINE WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH ACROSS GREENE COUNTY MISSISSIPPI.

THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
YELLOW PINE...LOPER...MERRILL...BENNDALE...WEST BEND...ARARAT...
COFFEEVILLE AND LEAKESVILLE THROUGH 545 AM CDT.

MOST OF THE STORMS ALONG THIS LINE WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO
45 MPH...WHICH COULD TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS.  THESE STORMS ARE ALSO PRODUCING DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH 8 AM.  DOPPLER WEATHER
RADAR IS DETECTING WEAK ROTATION IN SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS
MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS GREENE COUNTY MISSISSIPPI.  FORECASTERS WILL
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THESE STORMS FOR SIGNS OF SEVERE STORM
OR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT AS THEY CONTINUE MOVING EAST INTO SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA THROUGH 530 AM.

STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
438 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

ALZ051>053-061-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-261030-
UPPER
MOBILE-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-CHOCTAW-GEORGE-STONE-PERRY-GREENE-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAKESVILLE...LUCEDALE AND CHATOM...
438 AM CDT THU APR 26 2007

...TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL 8 AM CDT...

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH
DAYBREAK...

AT 438 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM CHOCTAW COUNTY ALABAMA SOUTHWEST TO STONE
COUNTY MISSISSIPPI.  THE LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING TO THE EAST AT 18
MPH.  THE STRONGEST STORMS ALONG THIS LINE WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH ACROSS GREENE COUNTY MISSISSIPPI.

THE LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND...
YELLOW PINE...LOPER...MERRILL...BENNDALE...WEST BEND...ARARAT...
COFFEEVILLE AND LEAKESVILLE THROUGH 545 AM CDT.

MOST OF THE STORMS ALONG THIS LINE WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO
45 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS.  THESE STORMS ARE ALSO PRODUCING DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH 8 AM.  DOPPLER WEATHER
RADAR IS DETECTING WEAK ROTATION IN SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS
MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS GREENE COUNTY MISSISSIPPI.  FORECASTERS WILL
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THESE STORMS FOR SIGNS OF SEVERE STORM
OR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT AS THEY CONTINUE MOVING EAST INTO SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA THROUGH 530 AM.

STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.