Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS52 KMLB 101947
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
344 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

FLC009-102015-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-070610T2015Z/
BREVARD FL-
344 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY...

AT 342 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE 
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND CLOUD TO GROUND 
LIGHTNING STRIKES.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR VIERA AND MOVING 
SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SPACE 
COAST STADIUM...COCOA...ROCKLEDGE...PINEDA...SUNTREE...AND PALM 
SHORES.

REPORT STORM RELATED DAMAGE TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY

LAT...LON 2871 8077 2865 8096 2809 8081 2817 8052

$$

67

000 
WWUS52 KMLB 101957
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
354 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

FLC009-102015-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-070610T2015Z/
BREVARD FL-
354 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY...

AT 351 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED NEAR VIERA MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH WITH ADDITIONAL CELLS OVER 
NORTH MERRITT ISLAND AND THE SPACE CENTER.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN TITUSVILLE.

LAT...LON 2871 8077 2865 8096 2809 8081 2817 8052

$$

000 
WWUS52 KMLB 102017
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
415 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

FLC009-102025-
/O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0035.000000T0000Z-070610T2015Z/
BREVARD FL-
415 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IN CENTRAL BREVARD COUNTY HAS WEAKENED BELOW 
SEVERE LEVELS HOWEVER...THE STORM IS STILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND 
GUSTS TO 45 MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AS IT TRACKS TOWARD COCOA AND 
ROCKLEDGE.

LAT...LON 2871 8077 2865 8096 2809 8081 2817 8052

$$

67

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
215 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

.DISCUSSION...

...SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING INTO MID WEEK...

CURRENT/TONIGHT...INTENSE SURFACE HEATING HAS HELPED INITIATE EARLY
AFTERNOON CONVECTION ACROSS VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES. ALSO APPEARS
THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE IS JUSTING MOVING ONSHORE ACROSS VOLUSIA
COUNTY AS OF 1PM. HAVE MADE CHANGE IN GRIDS TO REFLECT AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING CONVECTION ACROSS VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN BREVARD
COUNTIES.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA OVERNIGHT AS
WELL AS LOW LEVEL RIDGING SUPPRESSED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA.
WINDS WILL FALL TO LIGHT TO CALM OVERNIGHT WITH A VERY WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT OVER THE REGION. THE WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTH
FLORIDA WILL CONTINUE TO LIE ACROSS THE AREA WITH LITTLE FLUCTUATION
TO THE NORTH OR SOUTH. WEAK FLOW ALOFT COUPLED WITH A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN A LATE DAY/EVENING COLLISION OF WEST/EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES OVER THE INTERIOR. WILL CONTINUE TO
RETAIN A SMALL THREAT FOR SHRA/TSRA INLAND FOR THIS EVENING TO
ACCOUNT FOR THIS COLLISION. MOVEMENT OF ANY CONVECTION ABLE TO
DEVELOP WILL SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTH/SOUTHWEST THOUGH FLOW ALOFT REMAINS
VERY WEAK AND THUS COLLISION OF ANY BOUNDARIES COULD THUS DICTATE
MOVEMENT EARLY IN CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION. THE MAIN THREAT REMAINS
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. TEMPERATURES
ALOFT REMAIN VERY WARM AND THUS DO NOT ANTICIPATE MUCH SVR HAIL
WITH ANY CONVECTION FORTUNATE ENOUGH TO DEVELOP.  LOWS TONIGHT AGAIN
MILD AND MAINLY IN THE 70S AREAWIDE.

MONDAY...H5 RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND ACROSS NRN GULF INTO
CENTRAL FL TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WEAK SFC LOW WILL RETROGRADE TWD SRN
AL WITH WITH LGT S/SE FLOW IN THE LOW LVLS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW EAST
COAST SEA BRZ TO PUSH INTO INTERIOR ZONES IN THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON WITH ISOLD/SCT TSTMS DEVELOPING. MOISTURE DEPTH STILL
REMAINS LIMITED TO AROUND H7 WITH WARMISH MID LVL TEMPS AT H5 TO
-6/-7 DEGS C PROGD. STILL EXPECT LATE AFTN STORMS TO FOCUS ACROSS
THE INTERIOR WITH THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED SVR WIND GUSTS WITH DRY
MID LVL AIR AND ANOTHER DAY OF HIGH CAPE AS HIGHS CLIMB INTO THE
LWR/MID 90S INTERIOR...TO UPR 80S/AROUND 90 COASTAL.

TUE-WED...A STRONG MID LVL S/W TROUGH/ IS FORECAST TO DROP SWD
THROUGH THE CAROLINAS/GA THROUGH MID WEEK AND BRING INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES TO E CENTRAL FL. HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES TUESDAY AFTERNOON
EXPECTED ACROSS NRN SECTIONS WITH ISOLD/SCT TSTMS DEVELOPING FURTHER
SOUTH ALONG THE SEA BRZ BOUNDARY BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
AND MOVING BACK TWD THE EAST COAST ACROSS NRN/CENTRAL SECTIONS
THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. BY WED...GFS PROGS H5 LOW ACROSS SE
GA WITH MID LVL WESTERLY FLOW AT 30 KTS WITH H5 TEMPS DROPPING TO
-9/-10 CLOSER TO THE MID LVL COLD POOL. WITH THE STRONGER MID LYR
FLOW WOULD EXPECTED ORGANIZED STORMS WITH A FEW POSSIBLY SEVERE.
INCREASING MOISTURE SHOULD ALLOW A BAND OF SHOWER/TSTMS TO MOVE EAST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA INTO THE AFTERNOON. 12Z NAM MODEL
RETROGRADES MID LVL SYSTEM FURTHER WEST OFF THE FL PANHANDLE WITH
RESULTANT FLOW REGIME STILL SUPPORTING HIGH RAIN CHANCES. WILL RAISE
MOST OF THE AREA TO 50 PCT . WILL LIMIT HIGHS A BIT FROM MON/TUE
WITH A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER EXPECTED.

THU-SUN...MID LVL TROUGH FCST TO PERSIST FROM THE MID ATLC OVER FL
INTO THE START OF WEEKEND WITH THE AXIS OF THE TROUGH SHIFTING
SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS SHOULD ALLOW DEEPEST MOISTURE
OVER SRN SECTIONS THU AND EAST ACROSS THE ATLC INTO THE WEEKEND. GFS
SHOWS DEVELOPING ONSHORE LOW LVL FLOW FRI-SAT WITH LOWERING RAIN
CHANCES. TROUGH EXPECTED TO LIFT NE BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND LEADING
TO A MORE TYPICAL SEA BREEZE REGIME WITH LOWER THAN CLIMO MOISTURE
LEVELS. WILL CONTINUE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST BEYOND DY5.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR ALL SITES OUTSIDE OF ISOLD MVFR SHRAS/IFR TSRA BTWN
10/19Z-11/03Z.

&&

.MARINE....UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE AREA WITH LOW LEVEL RIDGING
OVER THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA. A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN
FIXATED OVER NORTH FLORIDA WITH LITTLE TO NO MOVEMENT. SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS VEERING BACK TO SOUTH/SOUTHWEST THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KTS OR LESS WITH SEAS LESS THAN 3 FT.

GENERALLY SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BECOMING SW BY MID WEEK AND THEN
ONSHORE BY THE WEEKEND. NO HIGHLIGHTS EXPECTED BUT WINDS MAY
INCREASE TO NEAR 15 KNOTS INTO WED. THE THREAT FROM LIGHTNING
STORMS WILL INCREASE NORTH OF THE CAPE LATE TUE AFTERNOON/EVENING
AND ACROSS THE WATERS ON WED AFTN/EVE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  74  89  72  90 /  10  30  20  40
MCO  73  93  73  92 /  20  30  20  40
MLB  73  89  73  89 /  10  20  10  30
VRB  71  89  72  90 /  10  20  10  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SEDLOCK
LONG TERM....VOLKMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
545 AM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
102145-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
545 AM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY BELOW 20%. THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE DANGEROUS CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING.
DESPITE THE LOW CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS...RESIDENTS
SHOULD REMEMBER THAT LIGHTNING MAKES ANY THUNDERSTORM A POTENTIAL
KILLER. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY IF THUNDER IS HEARD AND REMAIN
INDOORS FOR 30 MINUTES PAST THE LAST RUMBLE OF THUNDER.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO NEAR 40% OVER THE
INTERIOR COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE THESE VALUES ARE NOT
CRITICALLY DRY...THEY ARE LOW AND WILL COMBINE WITH CONTINUING DRY
CONDITIONS TO CREATE A FIRE THREAT FROM MIDDAY THOUGH LATE
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS
WELL...ADDING TO THE FIRE THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY AS A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMS OVER NORTH FLORIDA
AND PUSHES HIGHER MOISTURE INTO THE STATE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

BRAGAW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
154 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

FLZ141-101845-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-
154 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING EASTERN VOLUSIA COUNTY...

AT 152 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG STORM 6 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF NEW SMYRNA BEACH...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH...WHICH MAY CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO
BLOW AROUND. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF SMALL HAIL...AROUND PEA SIZE...WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
239 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 W EDGEWATER           28.97N 80.95W
06/10/2007                   VOLUSIA            FL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TREES BLOWN ONTO AND ACROSS INTERSTATE 95 WEST OF
            EDGEWATER

&&

FXD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
257 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

FLZ045-046-102000-
ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
257 PM EDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY...SEMINOLE
COUNTY...

AT 256 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG STORM OVER WINTER SPRINGS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STRONG STORM INCLUDE FERN PARK AND
UNION PARK.

THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 45 MPH...WHICH MAY CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO
BLOW AROUND. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

THIS STORM WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
STRIKES...DEFINED AS 12 OR MORE CLOUD TO GROUND STRIKES PER MINUTE.
SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING OR HARD TOPPED AUTOMOBILE. OPEN
SHELTERS FOUND IN PARKS...ON BEACHES OR GOLF COURSES OFFER NO
PROTECTION FROM THE DANGERS OF LIGHTNING.