Alert archive / Florida / High Surf Advisories in 2007

High Surf Advisory 4, NWS Melbourne, FL

September 29, 2007Volusia County, Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this high surf advisory at Sep 29, 2007, 4:41 AM EDT for Volusia County, Florida. It took effect at Sep 30, 2007, 4:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 29, 2007, 4:41 AM EDT (08:41 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 30, 2007, 4:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 3, 2007, 4:00 AM EDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL

County Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 00:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 00:00Z on 2007-09-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 802 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 00:00Z on 2007-09-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 7 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
802 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1048 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WHUS42 KMLB 290841
CFWMLB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
441 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007

...LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL CAUSE HIGH
SURF AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING...

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-291645-
/O.NEW.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.070930T0800Z-071002T2000Z/
/O.EXT.KMLB.CF.A.0001.070930T1400Z-071002T2000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
441 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM EDT
TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM EDT
TUESDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COAST
NORTH OF FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND WHILE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN A LONG FETCH OF
STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS DEVELOPING OFF THE EASTERN
SEABOARD THAT WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO TUESDAY. THE LONG FETCH OF WINDS
WILL BUILD SEAS RAPIDLY BY SUNDAY OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS TO OVER
12 FEET.

LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES FROM COCOA BEACH
TO JUPITER INLET BEGINNING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND BUILD FURTHER
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. THE REPEATED POUNDING
OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUN UPS INTO DUNES AND SEA WALLS
THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY WILL BE OF
CONCERN. HIGH TIDES WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 11AM AND 11 PM ALONG
THE EAST COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE POUNDING LARGE WAVES MAY
DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS...VULNERABLE COASTAL STRUCTURES AND
PROPERTY VERY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE.

THE HIGH SURF WILL ALSO BE A HAZARD TO BEACH GOERS AND WILL CAUSE
MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS. 

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT SEA WATER SPILLAGE
OVER DUNE LINES AND SEA WALLS WILL OCCUR IF THE WEATHER DEVELOPS
AS EXPECTED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE
PROTECTIVE ACTION IN CASE COASTAL FLOODING OCCURS OR WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$
8 follow-up statements
000 
WHUS42 KMLB 291045
CFWMLB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
645 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007

...LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL CAUSE HIGH
SURF AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING...

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-301000-
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.070930T0800Z-071002T2000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.CF.A.0001.070930T1400Z-071002T2000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
645 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM
EDT TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM
EDT TUESDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
COAST NORTH OF FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND WHILE A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN A LONG
FETCH OF STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS DEVELOPING OFF THE
EASTERN SEABOARD THAT WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO TUESDAY. THE LONG
FETCH OF WINDS WILL BUILD SEAS RAPIDLY BY SUNDAY OVER THE
ATLANTIC WATERS TO OVER 12 FEET.

LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL IMPACT THE BEACHES FROM COCOA BEACH
TO JUPITER INLET BEGINNING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AND BUILD FURTHER
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. THE REPEATED POUNDING
OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUN UPS INTO DUNES AND SEA WALLS
THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES SUNDAY INTO TUESDAY WILL BE OF
CONCERN. HIGH TIDES WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 11AM AND 11 PM ALONG
THE EAST COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE POUNDING LARGE WAVES MAY
DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS...VULNERABLE COASTAL STRUCTURES AND
PROPERTY VERY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE.

THE HIGH SURF WILL ALSO BE A HAZARD TO BEACH GOERS AND WILL CAUSE
MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS.

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT SEA WATER SPILLAGE
OVER DUNE LINES AND SEA WALLS WILL OCCUR IF THE WEATHER DEVELOPS
AS EXPECTED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE
PROTECTIVE ACTION IN CASE COASTAL FLOODING OCCURS OR WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$
000 
WHUS42 KMLB 300916
CFWMLB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
516 AM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007

...LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL CAUSE HIGH
SURF...BEACH EROSION AND THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING...

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-301730-
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-071002T2000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.CF.A.0001.070930T1400Z-071002T2000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
516 AM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST NORTH OF FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY WHILE A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT
IN A LONG DURATION OF STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS
CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS. THE LONG FETCH OF WINDS HAVE ALREADY BUILT SEAS TO
12 FEET OFFSHORE CAPE CANAVERAL THIS MORNING WITH WIND GUSTS OVER
30 MPH.

LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE BEACHES FROM
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET THROUGH TUESDAY. THE REPEATED POUNDING
OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUN UPS INTO DUNES AND SEA WALLS
THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES TODAY INTO TUESDAY HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND PERHAPS SOME
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IF THE DUNES ARE BREACHED. THE POUNDING 
LARGE WAVES MAY DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS...VULNERABLE COASTAL
STRUCTURES AND PROPERTY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE. HIGH TIDES WILL
GENERALLY OCCUR BETWEEN 11AM AND NOON AND 11 PM AND MIDNIGHT ALONG
THE EAST COAST TODAY AND MONDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR BEACH
EROSION SHOULD OCCUR NEAR MIDNIGHT TONIGHT..MIDDAY MONDAY AND
AGAIN NEAR MIDNIGHT MONDAY WHEN SWELLS AND COASTAL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE THE STRONGEST. SLOW IMPROVEMENT WILL BEGIN TUESDAY.

THE HIGH SURF WILL MAKE THE BEACHES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WITH
STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES WITH RUNUPS TO THE
DUNE LINES...ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDES. CURIOSITY OFTEN BRINGS
PEOPLE TO THE COAST TO OBSERVE THE LARGE WAVES. EXPERIENCED
BEACH GOERS KNOW AND RESPECT THE POWER OF WAVES.  PLEASE USE
EXTREME CAUTION AS WAVE RUN UPS MAY BREAK OVER BOARDWALKS AND JETTIES
WHERE SIGHTSEERS TEND TO CONGREGATE.

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT SEA WATER SPILLAGE
OVER DUNE LINES AND SEA WALLS WILL OCCUR IF THE WEATHER DEVELOPS
AS EXPECTED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE
PROTECTIVE ACTION IN CASE COASTAL FLOODING OCCURS OR WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$
000 
WHUS42 KMLB 301703
CFWMLB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
103 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007

...LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY WILL CAUSE HIGH
SURF...BEACH EROSION AND THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING...

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-011000-
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-071002T2000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.CF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-071002T2000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
103 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST NORTH OF FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY WHILE A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. THIS COMBINATION WILL
RESULT IN A LONG DURATION OF STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS
ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE NORTHEAST
SWELLS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. THE LONG FETCH OF WINDS HAVE
ALREADY BUILT SEAS TO 12 FEET OFFSHORE CAPE CANAVERAL EARLIER THIS
MORNING WITH WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH.

LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE BEACHES FROM
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET THROUGH TUESDAY. THE REPEATED
POUNDING OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUN UPS INTO DUNES AND
SEA WALLS THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES TODAY INTO TUESDAY HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND PERHAPS
SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IF THE DUNES ARE BREACHED. THE
POUNDING LARGE WAVES MAY DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS...VULNERABLE
COASTAL STRUCTURES AND PROPERTY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE. HIGH
TIDES WILL GENERALLY OCCUR BETWEEN 11AM AND NOON AND 11 PM AND
MIDNIGHT ALONG THE EAST COAST TODAY AND MONDAY. THE GREATEST
THREAT FOR BEACH EROSION SHOULD OCCUR NEAR MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...MIDDAY MONDAY AND AGAIN NEAR MIDNIGHT MONDAY WHEN SWELLS
AND COASTAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE STRONGEST. SLOW
IMPROVEMENT WILL BEGIN TUESDAY.

THE HIGH SURF WILL MAKE THE BEACHES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WITH
STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES WITH RUNUPS TO THE
DUNE LINES...ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDES. CURIOSITY OFTEN BRINGS
PEOPLE TO THE COAST TO OBSERVE THE LARGE WAVES. EXPERIENCED BEACH
GOERS KNOW AND RESPECT THE POWER OF WAVES.  PLEASE USE EXTREME
CAUTION AS WAVE RUN UPS MAY BREAK OVER BOARDWALKS AND JETTIES
WHERE SIGHTSEERS TEND TO CONGREGATE.

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT SEA WATER SPILLAGE
OVER DUNE LINES AND SEA WALLS WILL OCCUR IF THE WEATHER DEVELOPS
AS EXPECTED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE
PROTECTIVE ACTION IN CASE COASTAL FLOODING OCCURS OR WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$
000 
WHUS42 KMLB 010909
CFWMLB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
509 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2007

...STRONG WINDS AND LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CAUSE HIGH
SURF...BEACH EROSION AND THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING...

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-012100-
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-071002T2000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.CF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-071002T2000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
509 AM EDT MON OCT 1 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST NORTH OF FLORIDA TODAY WHILE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. THIS COMBINATION WILL RESULT IN STRONG
AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ONCE AGAIN ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA AND
THE CONTINUATION OF LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS. THE LONG FETCH OF WINDS HAVE BUILT SEAS TO 12 FEET
OFFSHORE CAPE CANAVERAL WITH 7 TO 9 FOOT BREAKERS IN THE SURF
ZONE. 

THE REPEATED POUNDING OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUN UPS
INTO DUNES AND SEA WALLS THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND PERHAPS SOME
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IF THE DUNES ARE BREACHED. THE POUNDING
LARGE WAVES MAY DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS...VULNERABLE COASTAL
STRUCTURES AND PROPERTY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE. HIGH TIDES WILL
OCCUR AROUND NOON TODAY AND AGAIN AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SLOW
IMPROVEMENT WILL BEGIN TUESDAY.

THE HIGH SURF WILL MAKE THE BEACHES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WITH
STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES WITH RUNUPS TO THE
DUNE LINES...ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDES. CURIOSITY OFTEN BRINGS
PEOPLE TO THE COAST TO OBSERVE THE LARGE WAVES. EXPERIENCED BEACH
GOERS KNOW AND RESPECT THE POWER OF WAVES.  PLEASE USE EXTREME
CAUTION AS WAVE RUN UPS MAY BREAK OVER BOARDWALKS AND JETTIES
WHERE SIGHTSEERS TEND TO CONGREGATE.

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT SEA WATER SPILLAGE
OVER DUNE LINES AND SEA WALLS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE WEATHER DEVELOPS
AS EXPECTED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE
PROTECTIVE ACTION IN CASE COASTAL FLOODING OCCURS OR WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

KELLY
000 
WHUS42 KMLB 012023
CFWMLB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
423 PM EDT MON OCT 1 2007

...STRONG WINDS AND LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CAUSE HIGH SURF...
BEACH EROSION AND THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING...

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-022000-
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-071002T2000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.CF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-071002T2000Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
423 PM EDT MON OCT 1 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

BOTH A HIGH SURF ADVISORY AND COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 PM TUESDAY.

A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST NORTH OF
FLORIDA WILL COMBINE WITH A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE WESTERN BAHAMAS TO CONTINUE PRODUCING STRONG AND GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC.

A PERSISTENT LONG FETCH OF 20 TO 25 KNOT NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING
UP TO AROUND GALE FORCE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH LARGE NORTHEAST
SWELLS...WITH SEAS UP TO 13 FEET...ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND
TOWARD SHORE. 7 TO 9 FOOT BREAKERS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SURF ZONE.

THE REPEATED POUNDING OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUN UPS
INTO DUNES AND SEA WALLS THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND PERHAPS SOME
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IF THE DUNES ARE BREACHED. THE POUNDING
LARGE WAVES MAY DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS...VULNERABLE COASTAL
STRUCTURES AND PROPERTY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE. HIGH TIDES WILL
OCCUR AROUND NOON TODAY AND AGAIN AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SLOW
IMPROVEMENT WILL BEGIN LATE TUESDAY.

THE HIGH SURF WILL MAKE THE BEACHES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WITH
STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES WITH RUN UPS TO THE
DUNE LINES...ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDES. CURIOSITY OFTEN BRINGS
PEOPLE TO THE COAST TO OBSERVE THE LARGE WAVES. EXPERIENCED BEACH
GOERS KNOW AND RESPECT THE POWER OF WAVES.  PLEASE USE EXTREME
CAUTION AS WAVE RUN UPS MAY BREAK OVER BOARDWALKS AND JETTIES
WHERE SIGHTSEERS TEND TO CONGREGATE.

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT SEA WATER SPILLAGE
OVER DUNE LINES AND SEA WALLS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE WEATHER
DEVELOPS AS EXPECTED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE READY TO
TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION IN CASE COASTAL FLOODING OCCURS OR
WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$


CRISTALDI
000 
WHUS42 KMLB 020817
CFWMLB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
417 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

...LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE HIGH SURF AND BEACH
EROSION ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDE...

FLZ047-054-059-064-021600-
/O.CAN.KMLB.CF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-071002T2000Z/
/O.EXT.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-071003T0800Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
417 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS CANCELLED THE
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

THE REPEATED POUNDING OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUN UPS
INTO DUNES AND SEA WALLS THROUGH THE LAST SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES
HAS PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IN SOME AREAS. ALTHOUGH
WINDS ARE DECREASING...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HIGH
SURF AND ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION. THE POUNDING LARGE WAVES MAY
DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS...VULNERABLE COASTAL STRUCTURES AND
PROPERTY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS STILL
POSSIBLE. HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND NOON TODAY AND AGAIN AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

THE HIGH SURF WILL MAKE THE BEACHES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WITH
STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES WITH RUN UPS TO THE
DUNE LINES...ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDES. CURIOSITY OFTEN BRINGS
PEOPLE TO THE COAST TO OBSERVE THE LARGE WAVES. EXPERIENCED BEACH
GOERS KNOW AND RESPECT THE POWER OF WAVES.  PLEASE USE EXTREME
CAUTION AS WAVE RUN UPS MAY BREAK OVER BOARDWALKS AND JETTIES
WHERE SIGHTSEERS TEND TO CONGREGATE.

$$

FLZ141-147-021600-
/O.EXT.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-071003T0800Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.CF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-071002T2000Z/
COASTAL VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
417 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY.
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. 

A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST NORTH OF
FLORIDA AND A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE FLORIDA
KEYS WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH IMPROVEMENT IS
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...A PERSISTENT LONG FETCH OF 20 TO 25 KNOT
NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING UP TO AROUND GALE FORCE WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS...WITH SEAS UP TO 13 FEET...ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS AND TOWARD SHORE THIS MORNING. 7 TO 9 FOOT BREAKERS
ARE EXPECTED IN THE SURF ZONE.

THE REPEATED POUNDING OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUN UPS
INTO DUNES AND SEA WALLS THROUGH THE LAST SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES
HAS PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IN SOME AREAS. ALTHOUGH
WINDS ARE DECREASING...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HIGH
SURF AND ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION. THE POUNDING LARGE WAVES MAY
DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS...VULNERABLE COASTAL STRUCTURES AND
PROPERTY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS STILL
POSSIBLE. HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND NOON TODAY AND AGAIN AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

THE HIGH SURF WILL MAKE THE BEACHES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WITH
STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES WITH RUN UPS TO THE
DUNE LINES...ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDE. CURIOSITY OFTEN BRINGS
PEOPLE TO THE COAST TO OBSERVE THE LARGE WAVES. EXPERIENCED BEACH
GOERS KNOW AND RESPECT THE POWER OF WAVES. PLEASE USE EXTREME
CAUTION AS WAVE RUN UPS MAY BREAK OVER BOARDWALKS AND JETTIES
WHERE SIGHTSEERS TEND TO CONGREGATE.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT SEA WATER SPILLAGE OVER DUNE
LINES AND SEA WALLS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE WEATHER DEVELOPS AS
EXPECTED. PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE
PROTECTIVE ACTION IN CASE COASTAL FLOODING OCCURS OR WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED.

$$

KELLY
000 
WHUS42 KMLB 021609
CFWMLB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1209 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

...LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE HIGH SURF AND
BEACH EROSION ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDE...

FLZ141-147-022200-
/O.CAN.KMLB.CF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-071002T2000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-071003T0800Z/
COASTAL VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1209 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS CANCELLED THE
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

THE REPEATED POUNDING OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUN UPS
INTO DUNES AND SEA WALLS THROUGH THE LAST SEVERAL HIGH TIDE
CYCLES HAS PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IN SOME AREAS.
ALTHOUGH WINDS HAVE DECREASED...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE HIGH SURF AND ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION. THE POUNDING LARGE
WAVES MAY DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS...VULNERABLE COASTAL STRUCTURES
AND PROPERTY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
STILL POSSIBLE. HIGH TIDES TONIGHT WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDNIGHT.

THE HIGH SURF WILL MAKE THE BEACHES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WITH
STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES WITH RUN UPS TO THE
DUNE LINES...ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDES. CURIOSITY OFTEN BRINGS
PEOPLE TO THE COAST TO OBSERVE THE LARGE WAVES. EXPERIENCED BEACH
GOERS KNOW AND RESPECT THE POWER OF WAVES.  PLEASE USE EXTREME
CAUTION AS WAVE RUN UPS MAY BREAK OVER BOARDWALKS AND JETTIES
WHERE SIGHTSEERS TEND TO CONGREGATE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-022200-
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-071003T0800Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
1209 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY. 

THE REPEATED POUNDING OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES AND WAVE RUN UPS
INTO DUNES AND SEA WALLS THROUGH THE LAST SEVERAL HIGH TIDE
CYCLES HAS PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IN SOME AREAS.
ALTHOUGH WINDS HAVE DECREASED...LARGE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE HIGH SURF AND ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION. THE POUNDING LARGE
WAVES MAY DAMAGE BEACH CROSSOVERS...VULNERABLE COASTAL STRUCTURES
AND PROPERTY CLOSE TO THE DUNE LINE. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
STILL POSSIBLE. HIGH TIDES TONIGHT WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDNIGHT.

THE HIGH SURF WILL MAKE THE BEACHES EXTREMELY DANGEROUS WITH
STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND LARGE BREAKING WAVES WITH RUN UPS TO THE
DUNE LINES...ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDES. CURIOSITY OFTEN BRINGS
PEOPLE TO THE COAST TO OBSERVE THE LARGE WAVES. EXPERIENCED BEACH
GOERS KNOW AND RESPECT THE POWER OF WAVES.  PLEASE USE EXTREME
CAUTION AS WAVE RUN UPS MAY BREAK OVER BOARDWALKS AND JETTIES
WHERE SIGHTSEERS TEND TO CONGREGATE.

$$


52
000 
WHUS42 KMLB 022227
CFWMLB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
627 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

...LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE HIGH SURF AND
BEACH EROSION ESPECIALLY AROUND HIGH TIDE...

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-030800-
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-071003T0800Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
627 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

WHILE LATEST BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT BREAKERS IN THE SURF
ZONE HAVE DECREASED TO BETWEEN 4 AND 5 FEET...THESE IS STILL THE
CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL MODERATE BEACH EROSION DURING THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE CYCLE...WHICH WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 AND 2 AM THIS MORNING.

IN ADDITION...LARGE BREAKING WAVES AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS IN THE SURF ZONE THROUGHOUT
THIS EVENING.

$$

CRISTALDI

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high surf advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high surf advisory went out at Sep 29, 3:15 AM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 29, 3:15 AM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
315 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007

.DISCUSSION...

...STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS DEVELOPING THIS WEEKEND...
...HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

TODAY...NORTHEAST WIND SURGE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS BACKDOOR
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL FL TODAY. STRONGEST
WINDS SHOULD AFFECT COASTAL SECTIONS FROM MLB NORTHWARD THOUGH WITH
AFTERNOON MIXING EXPECT NRN INTERIOR AREAS AROUND METRO ORLANDO TO
ALSO BECOME GUSTY TO AROUND 25 MPH. WILL RAISE LAKE WIND ADVISORY
FROM SRN BREVARD AND OSCEOLA NORTHWARD EXCLUDING LAKE COUNTY. KMLB
88D BEGINNING TO SHOW AN INCREASE IN ATLC SHOWER ACTIVITY AND EXPECT
THIS TO CONTINUE AS NORTHEAST LOW LVL FLOW INCREASES INTO MID DAY.
WILL GENERALLY GO WITH 40-50 PCT POPS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING
ONSHORE. LIGHTNING THREAT APPEARS LOW WITH MARINE INFLUENCE BUT WILL
INCLUDE ISOLD TSTMS FOR THE AFTN HRS. WITH THE STRONGER ONSHORE FLOW
HIGHS WILL BE HELD DOWN TO MID 80S CSTL AND UPR 80S FOR WELL
INTERIOR SECTIONS.

TONIGHT...FULL BRUNT OF THE NORTHEAST WIND SURGE WILL IMPACT COASTAL
SECTIONS AND THE BEACHSIDE COMMUNITIES WITH 7-8 MB PRESSURE GRADIENT
FROM KJAX-KEYW OVERNIGHT. EXPECT WINDY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ALONG
THE COAST WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE FOR THE BEACHSIDE
COMMUNITIES. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM
ONSHORE OVERNIGHT. LOWS WILL BE HELD UP BY THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW
NR THE EAST COAST BUT INTERIOR SECTIONS WILL DROP INTO THE LWR 70S.

SUN-TUE...
ON SUNDAY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CENTERED OVER NEW ENGLAND
SPREADS DOWN THE EAST COAST AND MOVES IN BEHIND COLD FRONT THAT WILL
LIKELY STALL SOUTH OF FLORIDA. MODELS GENERALLY AGREE WITH
DEVELOPMENT OF SURFACE LOW ON THE STALLED FRONT OVER THE BAHAMAS ON
SUNDAY. ALTHOUGH MODEL POPS ARE QUITE LOW SUNDAY EXPECT
ISOLD/SCATTERED SHOWERS TO MOVE ONSHORE IN THE DEVELOPING STRONG
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW DUE TO STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND DVLPNG LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH. THE
GFS SEEMS MOST REASONABLE WITH STRENGTH OF SYSTEM VS NAM ALTHOUGH
EVOLUTION GETS QUITE COMPLEX BEYOND MONDAY. GFS BRINGS ONE LOW IN FL
STRAIGHTS TUESDAY WITH ANOTHER SFC LOW CENTER PULLING NORTHEASTWARD
FROM THE BAHAMAS. HOW THIS PLAYS OUT EXACTLY REMAINS TO BE SEEN BUT
IN ANY CASE THE GENERAL SCENARIO FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IS A LONG
DURATION FETCH OF STRONG ONSHORE FLOW BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
NORTHEAST AND LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST WITH HIGH SURF AND
BEACH EROSION CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY AND THE POSSIBILITY OF
COASTAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDES FROM SUNDAY INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH LAKE WIND ADVISORIES LIKELY AGAIN SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
THIS SETUP SHOULD ALSO KEEP THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS MOVING ONSHORE
THROUGH TUESDAY.

WED-SUN...
BROAD LOW PROGGED TO MOVE/DVLP IN EASTERN GULF MEX WILL RESULT IN
PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXING WED BUT MOIST EAST/SERLY FLOW CONTINUES
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TRW MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOONS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. EASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES NEXT
WEEKEND WITH  DRIER AIR INDICATED TO MOVE OVER THE FORECAST AREA
REDUCING THE POPS BACK TO NEAR CLIMO NORMALS.

&&

.AVIATION...MAIN CONCERNS ARE INCREASING NE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. EXPECT GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KTS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS AND STRONGER GUSTS OVERNIGHT TO 25-30 KNOTS POSSIBLE ALONG
E COAST TERMINALS FROM KDAB-KVRB. SCT SHRA WILL ALSO CAUSE BRIEF
MVFR CIGS AND MVFR/BRIEF IFR VSBY WITH SHOWERS AS THEY STREAM
ONSHORE FROM THE ATLC TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE ACROSS THE NRN
LEG THIS AFTERNOON AND ACROSS ALL EAST CENTRAL FL WATERS BY EVENING.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY.
SEAS WILL REMAIN AROUND 12 FEET FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AND THEN
BEGIN TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE
SIGNIFICANTLY BY WEDNESDAY BUT SEAS WILL LIKELY NOT DROP BACK BELOW
6FT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...GUSTY NE WINDS WILL BE A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN
THROUGH TUESDAY THOUGH MIN RHS WILL BE WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.
DUE TO THE CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK MINIMUM
RHS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH AND NOT OF CONCERN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  84  73  84  73 /  50  20  20  20
MCO  87  71  85  71 /  40  20  20  20
MLB  84  78  83  76 /  50  30  20  20
VRB  86  77  84  77 /  50  30  20  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR
     COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     SOUTHERN BREVARD-ST. LUCIE.

     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN
     BREVARD-SOUTHERN BREVARD-ST. LUCIE.

     LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EDT
     TUESDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER
     INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA
     BEACH OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH
     20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...VOLKMER
LONG TERM....HAGEMEYER
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 28, 5:03 AM EDT, 23 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
503 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
282000-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
503 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE OVER NORTH FLORIDA...DAYTIME HEATING
AND THE INLAND MOVING EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL ALLOW FOR
A LOW LIGHTNING THREAT ACROSS NORTHERN AND INTERIOR PORTIONS
OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A SPRAWLING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
U.S. AND MID ATLANTIC THIS WEEKEND AND ALLOW FOR A LONG FETCH OF
STRONG AND GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS TO DEVELOP OFF THE EASTERN
SEABOARD. THE LONG FETCH OF WINDS WILL BUILD SEAS RAPIDLY BY
SUNDAY OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS TO OVER 10 FEET CREATING HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.

LARGE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL IMPACT THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES
AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT AND BUILD FURTHER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
THE REPEATED POUNDING OF LARGE CRASHING WAVES INTO DUNES AND SEA
WALLS THROUGH SEVERAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WILL BE
A CONCERN. THE POUNDING LARGE WAVES MAY AFFECT BEACH CROSSOVERS...
VULNERABLE COASTAL STRUCTURES AND PROPERTY VERY CLOSE TO THE DUNE
LINE. THE HIGH SURF WILL ALSO BE A HAZARD TO BEACH GOERS AND WILL
CAUSE MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH EROSION.

THE NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH INTO MID WEEK BUT WILL
KEEP THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ELEVATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

VOLKMER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 29, 3:43 AM EDTLake Wind AdvisoryMLBOrange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia15 hr
Sep 29, 9:13 AM EDTTornado WarningMLBBrevard25 min
Sep 29, 9:17 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB14 min
Sep 29, 11:44 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB31 min

Nearby

High Surf Advisories in Florida, 2007Every high surf advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.