River Flood Warning 42, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WGUS83 KMKX 240224
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...
 
  ROOT RIVER AT FRANKLIN AFFECTING MILWAUKEE COUNTY
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...
 
  BARABOO RIVER AT ROCK SPRINGS AFFECTING SAUK COUNTY 
  BARABOO RIVER NEAR BARABOO AFFECTING SAUK COUNTY 
  EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE AFFECTING LAFAYETTE COUNTY 
  FOX RIVER AT BURLINGTON AFFECTING RACINE COUNTY 
  ROCK RIVER AT AFTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
  ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND AFFECTING RACINE COUNTY 
  FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING KENOSHA COUNTY 
  PECATONICA RIVER AT MARTINTOWN AFFECTING GREEN COUNTY 
  SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD AFFECTING GREEN AND ROCK COUNTIES 
 
WIC111-240824-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-070824T0827Z/
/RSPW3.3.ER.070819T1522Z.070821T1500Z.070824T0227Z.NR/
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BARABOO RIVER AT ROCK SPRINGS.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 0800 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.70 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.5 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT.


AT A STAGE OF 18.5 FEET...THE RIVER IS WELL OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOODWATERS 
AFFECT A LOW SPOT ON HIGHWAY DD IN ROCK SPRINGS.

$$

WIC111-240823-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070825T1800Z/
/BABW3.1.ER.070820T0615Z.070821T2345Z.070825T1200Z.NO/
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BARABOO RIVER NEAR BARABOO.
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 0800 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.61 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY MORNING.


AT A STAGE OF 18.0 FEET...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND.

$$

WIC065-240823-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070826T0428Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.070823T1410Z.070824T0600Z.070825T2228Z.NO/
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 0800 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.94 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 


AT A STAGE OF 11.0 FEET...WATER COVERS HIGHWAY H AND FLOODWATERS ARE IN MCKELLAR
PARK.

$$

WIC101-240823-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRGW3.2.ER.070820T0515Z.070825T1200Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER AT BURLINGTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 0900 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.28 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.1 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.


AT A STAGE OF 13.1 FEET...FLOODWATERS AFFECT STREETS IN BURLINGTON.

$$

WIC059-240823-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NMSW3.3.ER.070819T1720Z.070825T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 0830 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.86 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.2 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.


AT A STAGE OF 14.7 FEET...THERE ARE 1 TO 5 INCHES OF WATER OVER HIGHWAY 50 NEAR 
THE FOX RIVER.

$$

WIC045-240823-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-070829T0430Z/
/MTNW3.1.ER.070823T1115Z.070826T0600Z.070828T2230Z.NO/
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PECATONICA RIVER AT MARTINTOWN.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 0800 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.99 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.5 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.4 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.


AT A STAGE OF 16.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS GET INTO THE BACK YARD OF AT LEAST ONE 
HOME IN MARTINTOWN..

$$

WIC105-240823-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0037.070824T1422Z-000000T0000Z/
/AFTW3.3.ER.070824T1422Z.070831T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW EXPECTED TO END FURTHER NOTICE...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCK RIVER AT AFTON.
* FROM TOMORROW LATE MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 0830 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS  8.57 FEET.
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 12.2 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING.


AT A STAGE OF 12.2 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 25 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC079-240254-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-070825T0052Z/
/FRKW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ROOT RIVER AT FRANKLIN.
* AT 0830 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS  7.78 FEET.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 


AT A STAGE OF 8.3 FEET...A STAGE OF 8.3 FEET CAN BE CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 2 
YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC101-240823-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAYW3.3.ER.070819T0952Z.070821T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 0800 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.95 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.


AT A STAGE OF 10.7 FEET...A STAGE OF 10.7 FEET CAN BE CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 
100 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC045-105-240823-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-070828T2100Z/
/BROW3.2.ER.070820T0805Z.070823T1645Z.070828T1500Z.NO/
924 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 0815 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS  8.78 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING.


AT A STAGE OF 8.8 FEET...A STAGE OF 8.8 FEET CAN BE CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 5 
YEAR FLOOD.

$$
BORGHOFF

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS.  
A RIVER FORECAST IS A 7 DAY FORECAST AND TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PREDICTED
PRECIPITATION FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS. 


(STAGES IN FT.)     BANK-    LATEST                
-            FLOOD  FULL    OBSERVED           
LOCATION     STAGE  STAGE  STAGE/TIME     
 
BARABOO        16.0 14.0  17.61 0800 PM        
BLANCHARDVILLE 11.0  9.0  11.94 0800 PM        
NEW MUNSTER    10.0  9.0  14.86 0830 PM        
MARTINTOWN     13.5  9.5  13.99 0800 PM        
AFTON           9.0  8.0   8.57 0830 PM        
RAYMOND         9.0  7.0  10.95 0800 PM        
BRODHEAD        5.0  4.5   8.78 0815 PM        
BURLINGTON     11.0  9.0  12.28 0900 PM        
FRANKLIN        8.0  7.0   7.78 0830 PM        
ROCK SPRINGS   18.5 13.5  18.70 0800 PM        

-                      HIGHEST        24 HOUR CHANGE
-                      OBSERVED       IN RIVER STAGE  
-                      STAGE IN        (FT.) UP TO    MAXIMUM STAGE
-                      THE LAST      LATEST OBSERVED   FORECAST IN
-                       2 DAYS            STAGE         NEXT 7 DAYS
 
BARABOO        18.97 0930 PM TUE AUG 21    0.17       17.4 FRI 1 AM 
BLANCHARDVILLE 11.94 0800 PM THU AUG 23    1.39       12.2 FRI 1 AM 
MARTINTOWN     14.00 0745 PM THU AUG 23    1.13       15.4 SUN 1 AM 
RAYMOND        11.36 0945 PM TUE AUG 21       M       11.4 SAT 7 AM 
BRODHEAD        9.04 1145 AM THU AUG 23    0.05        8.7 FRI 1 AM 
BURLINGTON     12.37 0845 PM THU AUG 23    0.27       13.1 SAT 7 AM 
FRANKLIN        7.93 0300 PM THU AUG 23    1.46        7.7 SAT 7 AM 
NEW MUNSTER    14.86 0830 PM THU AUG 23    0.24       15.3 SAT 7 AM 
AFTON           8.57 0830 PM THU AUG 23    0.43       12.2 THU 7 PM 
ROCK SPRINGS   20.94 0930 PM TUE AUG 21   -1.27     ..NOT AVAILABLE..    

...BELOW IS PREDICTED PRECIPITATION INFORMATION FOR THE LISTED SITE...

(BABW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BARABOO: 7 PM-1 AM   0.06
BARABOO: 1 AM-7 AM   0.16
BARABOO: 7 AM-1 PM   0.08
BARABOO: 1 PM-7 PM   0.08

(BCHW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 PM-1 AM   0.10
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 AM-7 AM   0.24
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 AM-1 PM   0.17
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 PM-7 PM   0.11

(NMSW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM   0.27
NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM   0.22
NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM   0.37
NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM   0.55

(MTNW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
MARTINTOWN: 7 PM-1 AM   0.13
MARTINTOWN: 1 AM-7 AM   0.32
MARTINTOWN: 7 AM-1 PM   0.23
MARTINTOWN: 1 PM-7 PM   0.16

(AFTW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
AFTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.18
AFTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.31
AFTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.30
AFTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.27

(RAYW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
RAYMOND: 7 PM-1 AM   0.28
RAYMOND: 1 AM-7 AM   0.21
RAYMOND: 7 AM-1 PM   0.34
RAYMOND: 1 PM-7 PM   0.55

(BROW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BRODHEAD: 7 PM-1 AM   0.16
BRODHEAD: 1 AM-7 AM   0.33
BRODHEAD: 7 AM-1 PM   0.27
BRODHEAD: 1 PM-7 PM   0.22

(RSPW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
ROCK SPRINGS: 7 PM-1 AM   0.04
ROCK SPRINGS: 1 AM-7 AM   0.12
ROCK SPRINGS: 7 AM-1 PM   0.05
ROCK SPRINGS: 1 PM-7 PM   0.06

(BRGW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BURLINGTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.22
BURLINGTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.23
BURLINGTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.31
BURLINGTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.42

(FRKW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
FRANKLIN: 7 PM-1 AM   0.23
FRANKLIN: 1 AM-7 AM   0.21
FRANKLIN: 7 AM-1 PM   0.29
FRANKLIN: 1 PM-7 PM   0.44

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
224 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

.DISCUSSION...FCST FOCUS ON ROUND OF CONVECTION LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...ANOTHER ROUND TOMORROW.

RATHER COMPLICATED PATTERN EVOLUTION TODAY. STORM COMPLEX MOVING
OUT OF IOWA MORE ASSOCIATED WITH THE H5 SHORT WAVE...RATHER THAN
WITH THE SFC LOW OVR WRN IOWA. WE WERE CONCERNED THAT THE LEADING
CONVECTION WITH SHORT WAVE WOULD MOVE OUT AHEAD OF THE SFC LOW
THEN WEAKEN WITH REDEVELOPMENT AGAIN BACK WEST TOWARD THE
CONVERGENCE WITH THE SFC LOW. DOESN/T APPEAR THAT IS THE CASE.
ALSO...SEVERE THREAT IS BEING HAMPERED IN WI BY LACK OF HEATING
AND LLV CONVERGENCE. NRN IL HAS WARMED INTO THE MID 80S WITH
BETTER SRLY INFLOW AND SUNSHINE. BIGGEST STORMS EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON HEADED FOR CHICAGO AREA. COULD SEE IT MOVE UP INTO FAR
SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN. RACINE AND KENOSHA DID SEE SOME SUNSHINE
EARLIER TODAY ALLOWING FOR THAT AREA TO WARM INTO THE LOWER 80S.

ONCE THIS ROUND BLOWS THROUGH BY EVENING...COULD SEE A BREAK IN
THE ACTION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. BUT THERE IS A LOT
SFC/MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ACROSS IA THIS AFTERNOON. IF THINGS FIRE
AGAIN OUT WEST...THAT CONVECTION COULD ROLL UP THE FRONT AND INTO
THE SRN PORTION OF THE CWA LATE TONIGHT.

NEXT SFC WAVE MOVES UP THE FRONT FOR FRIDAY AND PERSISTS INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT. SAME SONG DIFFERENT DAY. MOISTURE AVAILABILITY IS
STILL HIGH WITH PW/S STILL AROUND 2 INCHES. THE NAM IS QUICKER
WITH THE EASTERLY MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT COMPARED TO THE GFS. A
SYMPTOM POSSIBLY OF THE NAM SHOWING A WEAKER A SLIGHTLY MORE
SOUTHERLY SECONDARY LOW UPSTREAM. HAVE HAD BETTER RESULTS
FOLLOWING CLOSER TO THE GFS THE LAST FEW WEEKS. AND KEEPING
HIGHEST QPF ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE PROGD GFS QPF.  HPC
LOOKS TO HAVE TAKEN A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE NAM AND GFS AND THAT
WORKS FOR ME. WILL BUMP POPS FOR FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. MORE
HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.

WILL CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 12Z SAT. HYDROLOGIES OF
THE ATMOSPHERE AND SUFACE REMAIN VERY FRAGILE.

THEN FINALLY A PATTERN CHANGE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AND
BRINGS SOME COOLER DRIER WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR APPRECIABLE RAINFALL NEXT WEEK LOOKS
LIKE TUESDAY AFTERNOON OR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...MAIN CONCERN WITH 18Z TAFS WILL BE TIMING OF CONVECTION
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. HAVE TIMED LEADING EDGE OF
PRECIPITATION INTO KMSN AROUND 19Z...AND KMKE AROUND 21Z. EXPECT
PREVAILING VFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WITH SOME MVFR POSSIBLE IN
STRONGEST STORMS. PRECIPITATION SHOULD END AT KMSN AROUND 22Z...AND
KMKE AROUND 01Z FRIDAY. DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE MUCH IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION BEHIND STORMS IN IOWA...SO WILL LEAVE OVERNIGHT DRY
FOR NOW. WILL LEAVE OUT PRECIPITATION MENTION INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS
WELL...WITH UNCERTAINTY INVOLVED IN TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF
CONVECTION. WILL BRING IN SOME MVFR FOG TO TAF SITES AROUND 06Z TO
07Z INTO EARLY MORNING FRIDAY...WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR WIZ056>060-
062>072.

&&

DAVIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1154 AM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-241000-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
1154 AM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FOR MUCH
OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN...MAINLY SOUTH OF A WISCONSIN DELLS TO
OOSTBURG LINE.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE
TONIGHT. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A PORT
WASHINGTON...TO SAUK CITY...TO DARLINGTON LINE. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.

THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE.
HEAVY RAIN WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WILL AGGRAVATE ANY EXISTING
FLOODING PROBLEMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT FOR
MUCH OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN...MAINLY SOUTH OF A WISCONSIN DELLS TO
OOSTBURG LINE.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A PORT
WASHINGTON...TO DOUSMAN...TO MONROE LINE. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAIN WITH THE STORMS WILL AGGRAVATE ANY
EXISTING FLOODING PROBLEMS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
RAINFALL REPORTS WOULD BE APPRECIATED.

LMZ643>646-665-241000-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE-
NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE TO WIND POINT-
WIND POINT TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
WISCONSIN ADJACENT OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN TO MID LAKE-
1154 AM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUE
TONIGHT. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...MAINLY SOUTH OF PORT WASHINGTON. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL
BE DAMAGING WINDS. LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY...MAINLY SOUTH OF PORT
WASHINGTON. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WOOD
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1249 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-232000-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...DODGEVILLE...MADISON...JEFFERSON...
LAKE MILLS...WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...DARLINGTON...
MONROE...JANESVILLE...BELOIT...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...
KENOSHA
1249 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MILWAUKEE...WAUKESHA...
JEFFERSON...RACINE....KENOSHA...WALWORTH...ROCK...AND GREEN
COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM...

A DEVELOPING SQUALL LINE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY EAST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 45 MPH...MOVING ACROSS FAR
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON. IF THE
SQUALL LINE INTENSIFIES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF
IOWA AND LAFAYETTE COUNTY BY 1:30 PM AND REACH A LINE FROM MADISON
TO JANESVILLE AROUND 2:00 PM. CURRENTLY...THE BEST CHANCES FOR THE STORMS
TO BECOME SEVERE WILL BE IN FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN INTO NORTHERN
ILLINOIS. THE LINE OF STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY REACH MILWAUKEE...RACINE...AND
KENOSHA COUNTIES AROUND 3:00 PM. SINCE THE SQUALL LINE IS MOVING
FAST...RAINFALL SHOULD REMAIN AROUND AN INCH OR LESS IN MOST LOCATIONS.
THIS MAY BE ENOUGH HOWEVER TO AGGRAVATE THE CURRENT FLOODING. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.

GEHRING

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
147 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-232100-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...DODGEVILLE...MADISON...JEFFERSON...
LAKE MILLS...WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...DARLINGTON...
MONROE...JANESVILLE...BELOIT...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...
KENOSHA
147 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR GREEN COUNTY BUT
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MILWAUKEE...WAUKESHA...JEFFERSON...RACINE...
KENOSHA...RACINE...WALWORTH...AND ROCK COUNTIES UNTIL 8 PM...

THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN WEAK OVER SOUTHWEST
WISCONSIN WITH SEVERE STORMS OCCURRING WELL SOUTH IN ILLINOIS. THE
AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN WISCONSIN IS BECOMING
MORE UNSTABLE AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE 80S...THUS THERE STILL
IS POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS ALL OF
DANE AND ROCK COUNTIES BY 2:30 PM AND REACH THE CITY OF WAUKESHA
SOUTHWARD INTO WESTERN RACINE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES AROUND 3:00 PM.
RAINFALL WILL REMAIN BELOW ONE HALF INCH BUT IF THE STORMS
INTENSIFY...HEAVY RAIN UP TO ONE INCH AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS WOULD
BE POSSIBLE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
234 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-232145-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...DODGEVILLE...MADISON...JEFFERSON...
LAKE MILLS...WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...DARLINGTON...
MONROE...JANESVILLE...BELOIT...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...
KENOSHA
234 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS CANCELED FOR GREEN AND ROCK
COUNTIES BUT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MILWAUKEE...WAUKESHA...JEFFERSON...
RACINE...KENOSHA...AND WALWORTH COUNTIES.

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS DANE...ROCK...AND
GREEN COUNTIES REMAINS WEAK WITH NO INTENSIFICATION SO FAR. THE
AIRMASS CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE OVER SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...
THUS THE WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR FAR SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.
COUNTIES WILL BE REMOVED FROM THE WATCH ONCE THE RAIN ARRIVES AND
IF THE STORMS DO NOT INTENSIFY.

THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REACH THE CITY OF
WAUKESHA SOUTHWARD TO WESTERN RACINE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES BETWEEN
315 PM AND 330 PM. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE AROUND 1/4 INCH BUT
COULD BE GREATER IF THE STORMS INTENSIFY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
237 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-232145-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...DODGEVILLE...MADISON...JEFFERSON...
LAKE MILLS...WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...DARLINGTON...
MONROE...JANESVILLE...BELOIT...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...
KENOSHA
237 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS CANCELED FOR GREEN AND ROCK
COUNTIES BUT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MILWAUKEE...WAUKESHA...JEFFERSON...
RACINE...KENOSHA...AND WALWORTH COUNTIES...

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS DANE...ROCK...AND
GREEN COUNTIES REMAINS WEAK WITH NO INTENSIFICATION SO FAR. THE
AIRMASS CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE OVER SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...
THUS THE WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR FAR SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.
COUNTIES WILL BE REMOVED FROM THE WATCH ONCE THE RAIN ARRIVES AND
IF THE STORMS DO NOT INTENSIFY.

THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REACH THE CITY OF
WAUKESHA SOUTHWARD TO WESTERN RACINE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES BETWEEN
315 PM AND 330 PM. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE AROUND 1/4 INCH BUT
COULD BE GREATER IF THE STORMS INTENSIFY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
307 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-232215-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...DODGEVILLE...MADISON...JEFFERSON...
LAKE MILLS...WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...DARLINGTON...
MONROE...JANESVILLE...BELOIT...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...
KENOSHA
307 PM CDT THU AUG 23 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS CANCELED FOR MILWAUKEE...WAUKESHA...
JEFFERSON...RACINE...KENOSHA...WALWORTH...ROCK...AND GREEN COUNTIES...

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER DANE...JEFFERSON...ROCK
AND WESTERN WALWORTH COUNTY WILL CONTINUE EAST AND REACH LAKE MICHIGAN
AROUND 4 PM. THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY...THUS THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED.
RAINFALL FROM THIS AREA OF SHOWERS WILL BE AROUND 1/4 INCH OR
LESS. ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
WISCONSIN FROM THE WEST. HOURLY RAINFALL RATES WITH THESE SHOWERS
COULD REACH FROM 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH.

GEHRING