River Flood Warning 35, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WGUS83 KMKX 201549
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...
 
  BARABOO RIVER AT ROCK SPRINGS AFFECTING SAUK COUNTY 
  BARABOO RIVER NEAR BARABOO AFFECTING SAUK COUNTY 
  EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE AFFECTING LAFAYETTE COUNTY 
  FOX RIVER AT BURLINGTON AFFECTING RACINE COUNTY 
  FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING KENOSHA COUNTY 
  ROCK RIVER AT AFTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
  ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND AFFECTING RACINE COUNTY 
  SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD AFFECTING GREEN AND ROCK COUNTIES 
  SPRING CREEK AT LODI AFFECTING COLUMBIA COUNTY 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
WIC111-202149-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-070822T0920Z/
/RSPW3.3.ER.070819T1522Z.070821T1200Z.070822T0320Z.UU/
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BARABOO RIVER AT ROCK SPRINGS.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 1015 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.35 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.5 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* AT 18.5 FEET...THE RIVER IS WELL OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOOD WATERS AFFECT A LOW
  SPOT ON HIGHWAY DD IN ROCK SPRINGS.

$$

WIC111-202149-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070824T0336Z/
/BABW3.1.ER.070820T0615Z.070821T1800Z.070823T2136Z.NO/
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BARABOO RIVER NEAR BARABOO.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 1000 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.95 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 5 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC065-202149-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-070821T1640Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.070820T0237Z.070820T1500Z.070821T1040Z.NO/
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 1000 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.40 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW.  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE & 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* AT 12.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 2 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC101-202149-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-070823T1500Z/
/BRGW3.2.ER.070820T0515Z.070821T1200Z.070823T0900Z.UU/
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER AT BURLINGTON.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 1030 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.79 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.3 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 13.1 FEET...FLOOD WATERS AFFECT STREETS IN BURLINGTON.

$$

WIC059-202149-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-070826T0600Z/
/NMSW3.3.ER.070819T1720Z.070821T1200Z.070826T0000Z.NR/
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 0930 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.26 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.2 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 13.5 FEET...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING TO HOMES ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IN 
  THE TOWNS OF WHEATLAND...SILVER LAKE AND SALEM.  SOME FAMILIES EVACUATE THEIR 
  HOMES.  SOME COUNTY ROADS ARE CLOSED.

$$

WIC105-202149-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0037.070824T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AFTW3.1.ER.070824T0000Z.070827T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING NOW EXPECTED TO END UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROCK RIVER AT AFTON.
* FROM THURSDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1015 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS  7.86 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 10.2 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE 
  THEREAFTER.
* AT 10.4 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 5 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC101-202149-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-070823T0705Z/
/RAYW3.3.ER.070819T0952Z.070821T0000Z.070823T0105Z.NR/
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 1000 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.25 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.3 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10.7 FEET...A STAGE OF 10.7 FEET CAN BE CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 100 YEAR 
  FLOOD.

$$

WIC021-202149-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LODW3.3.ER.070819T0739Z.070819T1443Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING CREEK AT LODI
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET


$$

WIC045-105-202149-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-070824T0112Z/
/BROW3.1.ER.070820T0805Z.070821T1200Z.070823T1912Z.NO/
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 1015 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS  6.16 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.4 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* A STAGE OF 7.4 FEET CAN BE CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 2 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC105-202148-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.070820T0645Z.070820T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1049 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* AT 8.3 FEET...THERE IS FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOWLAND. THIS LEVEL 
  IS CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 2 YEAR FLOOD.

$$
BORGHOFF

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS. A 
RIVER FORECAST IS A 7 DAY FORECAST AND TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PREDICTED
PRECIPITATION FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS.
 
(STAGES IN FT.)     BANK-    LATEST                FORECAST STAGES
-            FLOOD  FULL    OBSERVED           .......FOR 7 AM........
LOCATION     STAGE  STAGE  STAGE/TIME     TUE  WED  THU  FRI  SAT  SUN  MON
 
BARABOO        16.0 14.0  16.95 1000 AM  20.9 20.4 17.4 13.5 11.1 10.4  8.1
BLANCHARDVILLE 11.0  9.0  12.40 1000 AM  10.8  6.8  5.9  5.7  5.7  5.6  5.5
NEW MUNSTER    10.0  9.0  13.26 0930 AM  14.2 13.8 13.1 12.0 10.9  9.1  8.1
AFTON           9.0  8.0   7.86 1015 AM   8.6  8.7  8.9  9.2  9.7 10.0 10.2
RAYMOND         9.0  7.0  11.25 1000 AM  11.1 10.0  7.1  5.5  4.7  4.1  3.7
BRODHEAD        5.0  4.5   6.16 1015 AM   7.4  7.1  5.6  3.9  3.0  2.7  2.5
BURLINGTON     11.0  9.0  11.79 1030 AM  12.3 11.7 10.9 10.0  9.4  8.3  7.7
ROCK SPRINGS   18.5 13.5  20.35 1015 AM  21.1 17.4 15.4 13.8 13.1 10.1  8.6
CLINTON         8.0  6.0   9.02 1000 AM  NOT A FORECAST POINT-FORECAST NOT AVBL.
LODI            6.5  5.5   7.60 0730 AM  NOT A FORECAST POINT-FORECAST NOT AVBL.

-                      HIGHEST        24 HOUR CHANGE
-                      OBSERVED       IN RIVER STAGE
-                      STAGE IN        (FT.) UP TO      MAXIMUM STAGE
-                      THE LAST      LATEST OBSERVED     FORECAST IN
-                      2 DAYS            STAGE           NEXT 7 DAYS
 
BARABOO        16.95 1000 AM MON AUG 20    3.84    21.10 0100 PM TUE AUG 21
BLANCHARDVILLE 12.40 1000 AM MON AUG 20    4.87    12.40 0100 PM MON AUG 20
AFTON           7.86 0930 AM MON AUG 20    2.14    10.20 0100 AM MON AUG 27
RAYMOND        11.25 1000 AM MON AUG 20    1.64    11.30 0700 PM MON AUG 20
BRODHEAD        6.16 1015 AM MON AUG 20    2.78     7.40 0700 AM TUE AUG 21
BURLINGTON     11.82 1100 AM MON AUG 20    2.20    12.30 0700 AM TUE AUG 21
ROCK SPRINGS   20.47 0900 PM SUN AUG 19    1.97    21.10 0700 AM TUE AUG 21
NEW MUNSTER    13.26 0930 AM MON AUG 20    3.84    14.17 0700 AM TUE AUG 21
CLINTON         9.02 1000 AM MON AUG 20    3.54     ..NOT AVAILABLE..    
LODI            7.70 0943 AM SUN AUG 19       M     ..NOT AVAILABLE..    

...BELOW IS PREDICTED PRECIPITATION INFORMATION...

(RSPW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ROCK SPRINGS: 7 AM-1 PM   0.05
ROCK SPRINGS: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00
ROCK SPRINGS: 7 PM-1 AM   0.04
ROCK SPRINGS: 1 AM-7 AM   0.39

(AFTW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
AFTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.08
AFTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.03
AFTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
AFTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.09

(BABW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BARABOO: 7 AM-1 PM   0.06
BARABOO: 1 PM-7 PM   0.00
BARABOO: 7 PM-1 AM   0.02
BARABOO: 1 AM-7 AM   0.32

(BCHW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 AM-1 PM   0.07
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 PM-7 PM   0.03
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 AM-7 AM   0.31

(BRGW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BURLINGTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.09
BURLINGTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.02
BURLINGTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BURLINGTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(BROW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BRODHEAD: 7 AM-1 PM   0.08
BRODHEAD: 1 PM-7 PM   0.03
BRODHEAD: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
BRODHEAD: 1 AM-7 AM   0.17

(CLIW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
CLINTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.09
CLINTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.04
CLINTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
CLINTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.03

(NMSW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM   0.09
NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM   0.04
NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

(RAYW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
RAYMOND: 7 AM-1 PM   0.10
RAYMOND: 1 PM-7 PM   0.03
RAYMOND: 7 PM-1 AM   0.00
RAYMOND: 1 AM-7 AM   0.00

000 
WGUS83 KMKX 202014
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
314 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...
 
  FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER AFFECTING KENOSHA COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...
  BARABOO RIVER AT ROCK SPRINGS AFFECTING SAUK COUNTY 
  BARABOO RIVER NEAR BARABOO AFFECTING SAUK COUNTY 
  EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE AFFECTING LAFAYETTE COUNTY 
  ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND AFFECTING RACINE COUNTY 
  SPRING CREEK AT LODI AFFECTING COLUMBIA COUNTY 
  SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD AFFECTING GREEN AND ROCK COUNTIES 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
WIC111-210214-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-070822T0920Z/
/RSPW3.3.ER.070819T1522Z.070821T1200Z.070822T0320Z.UU/
314 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BARABOO RIVER AT ROCK SPRINGS.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 0215 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.59 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.5 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.1 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
* AT 18.5 FEET...THE RIVER IS WELL OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOODWATERS AFFECT A LOW
  SPOT ON HIGHWAY DD IN ROCK SPRINGS

$$

WIC111-210214-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070824T0336Z/
/BABW3.1.ER.070820T0615Z.070821T1800Z.070823T2136Z.NO/
314 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BARABOO RIVER NEAR BARABOO.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 0200 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.40 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 20.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 5 YEAR FLOOD

$$

WIC065-210214-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-070821T1640Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.070820T0237Z.070820T1900Z.070821T1040Z.NO/
314 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 0200 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.67 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* AT 12.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 2 YEAR FLOOD

$$

WIC059-210213-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-070826T1000Z/
/NMSW3.3.ER.070819T1720Z.070821T0600Z.070826T0400Z.NR/
314 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FOX RIVER NEAR NEW MUNSTER.
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 0230 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.73 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 13.5 FEET...THERE IS WIDESPREAD FLOODING TO HOMES ADJACENT TO THE RIVER IN 
  THE TOWNS OF WHEATLAND...SILVER LAKE AND SALEM.  SOME FAMILIES EVACUATE THEIR 
  HOMES.  SOME COUNTY ROADS ARE CLOSED

$$

WIC101-210213-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-070823T0705Z/
/RAYW3.3.ER.070819T0952Z.070820T1900Z.070823T0105Z.NR/
314 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 0200 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.38 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10.7 FEET...A STAGE OF 10.7 FEET CAN BE CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 100 YEAR 
  FLOOD

$$

WIC021-210213-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LODW3.3.ER.070819T0739Z.070819T1443Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
314 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING CREEK AT LODI
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET


$$

WIC045-105-210213-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-070824T0112Z/
/BROW3.1.ER.070820T0805Z.070821T1200Z.070823T1912Z.NO/
314 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD.
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT 0215 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS  7.08 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 7.4 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7.4 FEET...A STAGE OF 7.4 FEET CAN BE CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 2 YEAR FLOOD

$$

WIC105-210213-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.070820T0645Z.070820T1900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
314 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 02PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* AT 10.0 FEET...THERE IS FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOWLAND. THIS LEVEL 
  IS CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 5 YEAR FLOOD

$$

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS. A 
RIVER FORECAST IS A 7 DAY FORECAST AND TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PREDICTED
PRECIPITATION FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS.
 
(STAGES IN FT.)     BANK-    LATEST                FORECAST STAGES
-            FLOOD  FULL    OBSERVED           .......FOR 7 AM........
LOCATION     STAGE  STAGE  STAGE/TIME     TUE  WED  THU  FRI  SAT  SUN  MON
 
BARABOO        16.0 14.0  17.40 0200 PM  20.9 20.4 17.4 13.5 11.1 10.4  8.1
BLANCHARDVILLE 11.0  9.0  12.67 0200 PM  10.8  6.8  5.9  5.7  5.7  5.6  5.5
NEW MUNSTER    10.0  9.0  13.73 0230 PM  14.1 13.7 13.3 12.3 11.2  9.4  8.3
RAYMOND         9.0  7.0  11.38 0200 PM  11.1 10.0  7.1  5.5  4.7  4.1  3.7
BRODHEAD        5.0  4.5   7.08 0215 PM   7.4  7.1  5.6  3.9  3.0  2.7  2.5
ROCK SPRINGS   18.5 13.5  20.59 0215 PM  21.1 17.4 15.4 13.8 13.1 10.1  8.6
CLINTON         8.0  6.0   9.52 0200 PM  NOT A FORECAST POINT-FORECAST NOT AVBL.
LODI            6.5  5.5   7.60 0730 AM  NOT A FORECAST POINT-FORECAST NOT AVBL.

-                      HIGHEST        24 HOUR CHANGE
-                      OBSERVED       IN RIVER STAGE
-                      STAGE IN        (FT.) UP TO      MAXIMUM STAGE
-                      THE LAST      LATEST OBSERVED     FORECAST IN
-                      2 DAYS            STAGE           NEXT 7 DAYS
 
BARABOO        17.40 0200 PM MON AUG 20    3.14    21.10 0100 PM TUE AUG 21
BLANCHARDVILLE 12.67 0200 PM MON AUG 20    3.19    12.20 0700 PM MON AUG 20
RAYMOND        11.38 0200 PM MON AUG 20    1.43    11.30 0700 PM MON AUG 20
BRODHEAD        7.08 0215 PM MON AUG 20    3.38     7.40 0700 AM TUE AUG 21
ROCK SPRINGS   20.59 0215 PM MON AUG 20    0.36    21.10 0700 AM TUE AUG 21
NEW MUNSTER    13.73 0230 PM MON AUG 20    3.37    14.10 0100 AM TUE AUG 21
CLINTON         9.52 0200 PM MON AUG 20    3.45     ..NOT AVAILABLE..    
LODI            7.70 0943 AM SUN AUG 19       M     ..NOT AVAILABLE..    

...BELOW IS PREDICTED PRECIPITATION INFORMATION...

(RSPW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ROCK SPRINGS: 7 AM-1 PM   0.05
ROCK SPRINGS: 1 PM-7 PM   0.11
ROCK SPRINGS: 7 PM-1 AM   0.04
ROCK SPRINGS: 1 AM-7 AM   0.15

(BABW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BARABOO: 7 AM-1 PM   0.06
BARABOO: 1 PM-7 PM   0.11
BARABOO: 7 PM-1 AM   0.03
BARABOO: 1 AM-7 AM   0.10

(BCHW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 AM-1 PM   0.07
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 PM-7 PM   0.15
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 PM-1 AM   0.04
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 AM-7 AM   0.19

(BROW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
BRODHEAD: 7 AM-1 PM   0.08
BRODHEAD: 1 PM-7 PM   0.15
BRODHEAD: 7 PM-1 AM   0.04
BRODHEAD: 1 AM-7 AM   0.09

(CLIW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
CLINTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.09
CLINTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.12
CLINTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.03
CLINTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.07

(NMSW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
NEW MUNSTER: 7 AM-1 PM   0.09
NEW MUNSTER: 1 PM-7 PM   0.09
NEW MUNSTER: 7 PM-1 AM   0.03
NEW MUNSTER: 1 AM-7 AM   0.06

(RAYW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
RAYMOND: 7 AM-1 PM   0.10
RAYMOND: 1 PM-7 PM   0.08
RAYMOND: 7 PM-1 AM   0.02
RAYMOND: 1 AM-7 AM   0.05

GD

000 
WGUS83 KMKX 210133
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
833 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...
 
  BARABOO RIVER NEAR BARABOO AFFECTING SAUK COUNTY 
  EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE AFFECTING LAFAYETTE COUNTY 
  ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND AFFECTING RACINE COUNTY 
  SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD AFFECTING GREEN AND ROCK COUNTIES 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...
  SPRING CREEK AT LODI AFFECTING COLUMBIA COUNTY 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
WIC111-210733-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-070824T0530Z/
/BABW3.1.ER.070820T0615Z.070822T0000Z.070823T2330Z.NO/
833 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BARABOO RIVER NEAR BARABOO.
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 0800 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.04 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING.


AT A STAGE OF 20.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 5 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC065-210732-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-070822T0138Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.070820T0237Z.070821T0600Z.070821T1938Z.NO/
833 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EAST BRANCH PECATONICA RIVER NEAR BLANCHARDVILLE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 0800 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.91 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.


AT A STAGE OF 12.8 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS ABOUT A 2 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC101-210732-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-070823T1536Z/
/RAYW3.3.ER.070819T0952Z.070821T0600Z.070823T0936Z.NR/
833 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ROOT RIVER CANAL AT RAYMOND.
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT 0800 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.55 FEET.
* RECORD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.6 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.


AT A STAGE OF 10.7 FEET...A STAGE OF 10.7 FEET CAN BE CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 
100 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC021-210732-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LODW3.3.ER.070819T0739Z.070819T1443Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
833 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING CREEK AT LODI
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 07AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.5 FEET


$$

WIC045-105-210732-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-070824T1200Z/
/BROW3.2.ER.070820T0805Z.070821T1200Z.070824T0600Z.NO/
833 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...
 
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SUGAR RIVER AT BRODHEAD.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 0815 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS  7.73 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 5.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.


AT A STAGE OF 8.0 FEET...FLOODWATERS ARE OVER HIGHWAY T IN ROCK COUNTY.  A FLOOD
OF THIS LEVEL CAN BE CONSIDERED TO BE BETWEEN A 2 YEAR FLOOD AND A 5 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

WIC105-210732-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.070820T0645Z.070820T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
833 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET


AT A STAGE OF 10.0 FEET...THERE IS FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOWLAND. 
THIS LEVEL IS CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 5 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS.  
A RIVER FORECAST IS A 7 DAY FORECAST AND TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PREDICTED
PRECIPITATION FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS. 


(STAGES IN FT.)     BANK-    LATEST                
-            FLOOD  FULL    OBSERVED           
LOCATION     STAGE  STAGE  STAGE/TIME     
 
BARABOO        16.0 14.0  18.04 0800 PM        
BLANCHARDVILLE 11.0  9.0  12.91 0800 PM        
RAYMOND         9.0  7.0  11.55 0800 PM        
BRODHEAD        5.0  4.5   7.73 0815 PM        
CLINTON         8.0  6.0   9.37 0800 PM  NOT A FORECAST POINT-FORECAST NOT AVBL.
LODI            6.5  5.5   7.60 0730 AM  NOT A FORECAST POINT-FORECAST NOT AVBL.

-                      HIGHEST        24 HOUR CHANGE
-                      OBSERVED       IN RIVER STAGE  
-                      STAGE IN        (FT.) UP TO    MAXIMUM STAGE
-                      THE LAST      LATEST OBSERVED   FORECAST IN
-                       2 DAYS            STAGE         NEXT 7 DAYS
 
BARABOO        18.04 0800 PM MON AUG 20    2.77       21.0 TUE 7 PM 
BLANCHARDVILLE 12.94 0745 PM MON AUG 20    2.07       13.0 TUE 1 AM 
RAYMOND        11.55 0800 PM MON AUG 20       M       11.6 TUE 1 AM 
BRODHEAD        7.73 0815 PM MON AUG 20    3.50        8.0 TUE 7 AM 
CLINTON         9.63 0530 PM MON AUG 20    2.98     ..NOT AVAILABLE..    
LODI            7.70 0943 AM SUN AUG 19       M     ..NOT AVAILABLE..    

...BELOW IS PREDICTED PRECIPITATION INFORMATION FOR THE LISTED SITE...

(BABW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BARABOO: 7 PM-1 AM   0.03
BARABOO: 1 AM-7 AM   0.10
BARABOO: 7 AM-1 PM   0.08
BARABOO: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(BCHW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 PM-1 AM   0.04
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 AM-7 AM   0.19
BLANCHARDVILLE: 7 AM-1 PM   0.04
BLANCHARDVILLE: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(RAYW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
RAYMOND: 7 PM-1 AM   0.02
RAYMOND: 1 AM-7 AM   0.05
RAYMOND: 7 AM-1 PM   0.09
RAYMOND: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(BROW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
BRODHEAD: 7 PM-1 AM   0.03
BRODHEAD: 1 AM-7 AM   0.09
BRODHEAD: 7 AM-1 PM   0.05
BRODHEAD: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

(CLIW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CLINTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.03
CLINTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.07
CLINTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.07
CLINTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.01

GD

000 
WGUS83 KMKX 211048
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
548 AM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WISCONSIN...
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY 
 
WIC105-211648-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.070820T0645Z.070820T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
548 AM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 05AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET


AT A STAGE OF 8.3 FEET...THERE IS FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOWLAND. 
THIS LEVEL IS CONSIDERED TO BE ABOUT A 2 YEAR FLOOD.

$$

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS.  
A RIVER FORECAST IS A 7 DAY FORECAST AND TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PREDICTED
PRECIPITATION FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS. 


(STAGES IN FT.)     BANK-    LATEST                
-            FLOOD  FULL    OBSERVED           
LOCATION     STAGE  STAGE  STAGE/TIME     
 
CLINTON         8.0  6.0   8.47 0500 AM  NOT A FORECAST POINT-FORECAST NOT AVBL.

-                      HIGHEST        24 HOUR CHANGE
-                      OBSERVED       IN RIVER STAGE  
-                      STAGE IN        (FT.) UP TO    MAXIMUM STAGE
-                      THE LAST      LATEST OBSERVED   FORECAST IN
-                       2 DAYS            STAGE         NEXT 7 DAYS
 
CLINTON         9.63 0530 PM MON AUG 20   -0.05     ..NOT AVAILABLE..    

...BELOW IS PREDICTED PRECIPITATION INFORMATION FOR THE LISTED SITE...

(CLIW3)  6-HOUR PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (IN.)
CLINTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.03
CLINTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.36
CLINTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.18
CLINTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.04

000 
WGUS83 KMKX 211805
FLSMKX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
105 PM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN WISCONSIN...
 
  TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON AFFECTING ROCK COUNTY
 
WIC105-211835-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-070821T1805Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.070820T0645Z.070820T2230Z.070821T1355Z.NO/
105 PM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TURTLE CREEK NEAR CLINTON
* AT 12PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* THE RIVER IS NOW BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE.
* AT 8.0 FEET...THERE IS FLOODING TO AGRICULTURAL LAND AND LOWLAND

$$

&&

RIVER FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE FOR SOME BUT NOT ALL RIVER GAGING LOCATIONS. A 
RIVER FORECAST IS A 7 DAY FORECAST AND TAKES INTO ACCOUNT PREDICTED
PRECIPITATION FOR THE FIRST 24 HOURS.
 
(STAGES IN FT.)     BANK-    LATEST                FORECAST STAGES
-            FLOOD  FULL    OBSERVED           .......FOR 7 AM........
LOCATION     STAGE  STAGE  STAGE/TIME     WED  THU  FRI  SAT  SUN  MON  TUE
 
CLINTON         8.0  6.0   7.56 1200 PM  NOT A FORECAST POINT-FORECAST NOT AVBL.

-                      HIGHEST        24 HOUR CHANGE
-                      OBSERVED       IN RIVER STAGE
-                      STAGE IN        (FT.) UP TO      MAXIMUM STAGE
-                      THE LAST      LATEST OBSERVED     FORECAST IN
-                      2 DAYS            STAGE           NEXT 7 DAYS
 
CLINTON         9.63 0530 PM MON AUG 20   -1.68     ..NOT AVAILABLE..    

...BELOW IS PREDICTED PRECIPITATION INFORMATION...

(CLIW3) PREDICTED 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS
CLINTON: 7 AM-1 PM   0.17
CLINTON: 1 PM-7 PM   0.07
CLINTON: 7 PM-1 AM   0.12
CLINTON: 1 AM-7 AM   0.49

WOOD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
824 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007

.UPDATE...WILL CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT ALTHOUGH
CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN YIELDING MIXED SIGNALS.

CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER IOWA WITH VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS MOVING
SOUTHEAST INTO VERY RICH MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. HOWEVER 500
MILLIBAR RUC ANALYSIS SHOWING 17 UNIT VORTICITY CENTER OVER WEST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN MOVING EAST. ASSOCIATED 500 MILLIBAR DIVERGENCE
WITH THIS VORTICITY MAX SHOULD PROVIDE CONTINUED UPPER AIR SUPPORT
TO BROAD RAIN AREA AND EMBEDDED CONVECTION APPROACHING WESTERN CWA
FROM MISSISSIPPI RIVER. IN ADDITION 850 MILLIBAR FLOW FROM BOTH
RUC PROG AND NEARBY PROFILERS FEEDING A 25 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET INTO
CWA FROM EASTERN IOWA AND WESTERN ILLINOIS OVER BAROCLINIC ZONE
ACROSS CWA. FINALLY VERY LOW FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES OVER
WATCH AREA DICTATE THAT EVEN A PERIOD OF MODERATE RAIN WOULD BE A
CONCERN FOR EITHER RIVER OF FLASH FLOODING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 328 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007/

DISCUSSION...FCST FOCUS ON NEXT ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT AND
ACTIVE WX PATTERN FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK.

CWA RELATIVELY RAIN-FREE WITH RGNL PROFILERS AND 88-D VAD WINDS
SHOWING 850 MB WINDS HAVE VEERED TO THE WEST...WITH BEST LIFT
FOCUSED ON NRN IL CLOSER TO SFC WRM FRONT. RESPITE WILL BE
SHORT-LIVED AS 2 FEATURES APPROACH CWA. CONVECTION IN SW/ SCNRTL MN
AHEAD OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY PLACES IN FAR SE
S DAKOTA...SECOND FEATURE IS APPARENT MCV EJECTING NEWD FROM REMAINS
OF ERIN WITH ASSOCIATED MOISTURE SURGING NWD THRU NRN MO/SE IA AND
INTERACTING WITH SFC FNT DRAPED ACROSS NRN IL. TSTMS ARE FORMING IN
NERN IA AHEAD OF THIS MCV. SPC MESOANALYSIS HAS 2 GROWING AREAS OF 2
INCH PWS WITH THESE FEATURES THAT MODEL FCSTS MOVE INTO CWA AFTER
00Z.

SFC-850 AND 850-700MB 2D FRONTOGENTIC FCSTS SHOW INCREASING FORCING
AS 850 MB WINDS BACK TO THE SW AHEAD OF THE SHRT WV TROUGH OVER
LINGERING BAROCLINIC ZONE...THO WINDS WILL BE LOWER THAN LAST
NIGHT...IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE.  SFC FRONT LIFTS CLOSER TO SRN WI AS
WELL. MIXED LAYER THETA-E ADVECTION INCREASES OVER CWA BETWEEN 06Z
AND 12Z...WITH GFS BUFKIT SNDGS INDICATING ELEVATED CAPE FOR MSN
INCREASING FROM AROUND 650 J/KG AT 03Z...TO AROUND 1000 J/KG BY 09Z.

CRAS INFRARED FCSTS ALSO INDICATE INCREASING CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL
OVER SRN WI AS THE TWO AREAS PHASE OVER NE IA/SW WI WITH CRAS
SHOWING COLDEST CLOUD TOPS MOVING FROM SE MN/NE IA AT 00Z SPREADING
OVER THE CWA BETWEEN 03Z AND 06Z.

WITH SATURATED GROUND AND ONGOING FLOOD PROBLEMS IN WRN CWA...AND
LOW COUNTY FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES...WILL ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FROM 23Z TODAY THRU 12Z MONDAY FOR COUNTIES CURRENTLY IN THE
FLOOD WARNING. WILL KEEP THE CURRENT FLOOD WARNING GOING UNTIL 7 PM
FOR S CNTRL WI COUNTIES WHERE THERE IS ONGOING FLOODING
PROBLEMS...BUT CANCEL FOR SE WI COUNTIES.

BEST FORCING FINALLY MOVES SOUTH OF CWA DURING THE LATE DAY
MONDAY...BUT SFC BNDRY...850MB BAROCLINIC ZONE AND SERIES OF SHRT
WAVES EJECTING FROM NW U.S. TROF AND TRACKING ACROSS NRN U.S IN
ZONAL FLOW WILL KEEP CHC PCPN IN FCST UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEK.

EXTENDED...A BLEND OF GFS ENSEMBLES AND ECMWF PREFERRED FOR
EXTENDED. THIS SOLUTION...FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE
WEDNESDAY...DROPS THE SFC BNDRY TO THE WI/IL BRDER AND STALLS THERE
FOR THURSDAY. 850 MB FLOW BACKS TO THE SW AHEAD OF APPROACHING WAVE
FROM THE PLAINS AND PROVIDES LIFT ACROSS BNDRY TO KEEP CHC FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS IN FCST...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS LAST WAVE IN A SERIES TRACKS ACROSS WRN GREAT LAKES
FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A NEEDED BREAK IN THE ACTIVE WEATHER AS DRY
COOL CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN SATURDAY BEHIND DEPARTING SFC
LOW AND HOLDS OVER REGION THRU THE WEEKEND.

AVIATION...XPCT WDSPRD MVFR CONDS IN -RA/-TSRA/BR THRU 00Z MON.
AREAS OF IFR CIGS/VSBYS EXPCTD IN PDS OF HVY RA/TSRA INTO 18Z MON.
STNRY FNT ACRS IA AND NRN IL THRU PD WITH MSTR LIFTING OVR FNT INTO
SRN WI.

MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 7 PM FOR WIZ056>058-062>064-067>069.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY
FOR WIZ056>058-062>072.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY FOR WIZ056>058-062>072.

&&

ZAJDEL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
748 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-201000-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
748 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PERIODS OF RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN
TONIGHT. THE MOST FLOOD PRONE AREAS WILL BE WHERE THE TERRAIN IS
HILLY OR BUILT-UP URBAN LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY MONDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED...BUT RAINFALL REPORTS WOULD
BE APPRECIATED.

LMZ643>646-665-201000-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE-
NORTH POINT LIGHTHOUSE TO WIND POINT-
WIND POINT TO WINTHROP HARBOR ILLINOIS-
WISCONSIN ADJACENT OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN TO MID LAKE-
748 PM CDT SUN AUG 19 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY MONDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

TZ
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX