Wind Advisory 16, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

000 
WWUS72 KMHX 152306
NPWMHX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
606 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007


NCZ103-104-160015-
/O.EXP.KMHX.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-071115T2300Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...
NAGS HEAD...SOUTHERN SHORES
606 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA AND WILL REMAIN SO OVERNIGHT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
232 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS
MORNING AND WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY WILL MOVE
EAST...MOVING OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST ON SATURDAY. A DRY COLD FRONT
WILL PASS THROUGH FROM THE NORTH ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
BOTH 00Z GFS/NAM IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON TIMING OF FRONTAL PASSAGE
AND ACCEPTED. THE FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST AROUND 18Z. MADE NO
CHANGE TO THE TIMING AND AMOUNT OF PRECIP. IT LOOKS LIKE A HIGH
POP/LOW QPF EVENT. PRECIP AMOUNTS LOOK UNIMPRESSIVE...GENERALLY
AROUND 3/4 INCH. INSTABILITY VERY LIMITED BUT STRONG FORCING ALONG
THE FRONT MAY TRIGGER ISOLATED THUNDER SO LEFT IN THE MENTION. BACK
EDGE OF PRECIP SHIELD WILL MOVE OFF THE OUTER BANKS THIS EVENING.
WIND FIELD WITH THE FRONT WILL BE ENOUGH FOR A WIND ADVISORY BUT
ONLY FOR THE OUTER BANKS PORTIONS OF DARE AND HYDE THROUGH THIS
EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
COLD DRY AIR BUILDS IN FOR LATE IN THE WEEK. HIGHS ON FRIDAY ONLY
REACHING THE LOWER TO MID 50S DESPITE FULL SUNSHINE. DECOUPLING A
GOOD BET FRI NITE WITH POTENTIAL FOR SUBFREEZING TEMPS INLAND BY
EARLY SAT MORN. TEMPERATURE MODERATION WILL HIGHLIGHT THE WEEKEND AS
RETURN FLOW SETS UP WITH HIGH PRES MOVING OFFSHORE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE HIGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST OF GA/FL BY
SUNDAY MORNING. A WEAK BNDRY DROPS THRU THE AREA ON SUNDAY BUT
MOISTURE AND FORCING APPEAR TOO LIMITED FOR SIGNIFICANT PCPN. HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY WILL BUILD INTO THE
CAROLINAS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT WONT LINGER LONG AS IT WILL MOVE
OFF THE COAST BY MIDWEEK. MODELS ARE HINTING AT ANOTHER STRONG FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MAINLY VFR EXPECTED UNTIL MID TO LATE MORNING THEN EXPECT A PERIOD
OF MVFR/ISOLD IFR IN BAND OF SHRA/POSS TSRA WITH FRONT. EXPECT GUSTY
SW WINDS TO DEVELOP AFTER SUNRISE THEN A BURST OF WNW WINDS WITH
FROPA EARLY AFTN. VFR SHLD DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTN AS MOISTURE AND
FRONT SHIFT OFFSHR. NW WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

MAINLY VFR THROUGH EXTENDED PERIOD WITH HIGH PRES DOMINANT FEATURE
WITH ONLY HIGH BASED CLOUD COVER WITH WEAK FRONT ON SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
WL MAINTAIN GALE WARNING ALL WTRS...MAINLY FOR GUSTS JUST AHEAD AND
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. SW WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AS
GRDNT TIGHTENS AHEAD OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT. POSS GUSTS TO GALE
FORCE AHEAD OF FRONT ESPCLY WARMER WTRS OFF OBX. EXPECT GOOD SURGE
OF NW WINDS WITH FROPA THIS AFTN WITH STRONG CAA AND GOOD PRES
RISES...POSS GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ALL AREAS AFTER FROPA INTO THE
EVENING. WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISH QUICKLY FRI AS HIGH PRES BUILDS IN.
NO FLAGS FRI NIGHT THROUGH MOST OF SUN AS HIGH MOVES OFFSHR SAT AND
ANOTHER FRONT CROSSES SUN. INCREASE IN N WINDS MAY LEAD TO SCA
CONDITIONS CNTRL/NRN WTRS LATE SUN INTO MON.

.RIP CURRENTS...
STRONG PARALLEL TO ONSHORE WINDS EARLY IN THE DAY WILL BRING A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG BEACHES FROM CAPE HATTERAS S. LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF SWELLS OR TIDE INFLUENCE ALONG WITH OFFSHORE WINDS
WILL KEEP A LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS N OF CAPE HATTERAS.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR NCZ103-104.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
     AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
251 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>094-160800-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
251 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ103-104-160800-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
251 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

THERE WILL ALSO BE A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA
BEACHES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ095-098-160800-
CARTERET-ONSLOW-
251 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE WILL BE A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES
TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.