Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Warnings in 2007
Tornado Warning 15, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this tornado warning at Oct 25, 2007, 6:15 PM EDT for Duplin County, North Carolina. It was in force for 30 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 25, 2007, 6:15 PM EDT (22:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 25, 2007, 6:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 30 min
- Issued by
- NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
County Duplin County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 6:25 PM EDT | FUNNEL CLOUD | Rose Hill, NC | HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD ON I-40 NEAR THE ROSE HILL EXIT. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1137 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -17 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 679 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 0 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 0 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 0 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WFUS52 KMHX 252215 TORMHX NCC061-252245- /O.NEW.KMHX.TO.W.0015.071025T2215Z-071025T2245Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 615 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... DUPLIN COUNTY IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WALLACE... * UNTIL 645 PM EDT * AT 610 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR ROSE HILL...OR ABOUT 7 MILES NORTH OF WALLACE...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... KENANSVILLE BY 645 PM EDT... THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-800-889-6889...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. LAT...LON 3506 7792 3488 7771 3472 7801 3486 7814 TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 202DEG 8KT 3485 7801 $$ 8
1 follow-up statement
000 WWUS52 KMHX 252226 SVSMHX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 625 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2007 NCC061-252245- /O.CON.KMHX.TO.W.0015.000000T0000Z-071025T2245Z/ DUPLIN NC- 625 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2007 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR DUPLIN COUNTY... AT 619 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR ROSE HILL. DOPPLER RADAR ALSO INDICATED A POSSIBLE TORNADO LOCATED NEAR ROSE HILL...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTH OF WALLACE...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... MAGNOLIA BY 630 PM EDT... KENANSVILLE BY 645 PM EDT... THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-800-889-6889...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY. LAT...LON 3506 7792 3488 7771 3472 7801 3486 7814 TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 202DEG 8KT 3487 7800 $$ 8
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Oct 25, 2:57 PM EDT, 3 hours 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 25, 2:57 PM EDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
257 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT LYING ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA WILL LINGER
OVERNIGHT...AND THEN MOVE OUT AS AN AREA OF LOW PRES MOVES N FRI.
RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SAT NIGHT WHEN A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH AND HIGH PRES BUILDS IN BEHIND IT.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE FRONT IS CURRENTLY DIVIDING THE REGION WITH SE FLOW OVER THE
OBX AND NE WINDS INLAND. THE UNSTABLE AIR OVER THE COASTAL REGIONS
IS ALLOWING CONVECTION WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. INLAND THE
OVERRUNNING WILL PICK UP AND BRING MORE RAIN TO THE COASTAL PLAINS
OVERNIGHT. CANT RULE OUT A STRAY ELEVATED TSRA INLAND...BUT TO
INITIALIZE FCST WILL START WITH STRATIFORM. ELSEWHERE WILL
CONTINUE TO CATEGORICAL POPS WITH TSRA. CONVECTION OFFSHORE IS
STARTING TO GET MORE ENHANCED BASED ON IR SAT...SO EXPECT PERIODS
OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT...BEST CHANCES ALONG THE
COASTAL SECTIONS. PW>2 SO IF TRAINING OCCURS COULD SEE SOME
NUISANCE FLOODING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
HPC IS SHOWING AROUND 3 OF MUCH NEEDED RAIN AREA WIDE THROUGH
SAT NT. A LOW TO THE SW WILL MOVE N TONIGHT AND INTO FRI...PUSHING
THE FRONT ACROSS THE AREA BACK N. THIS WILL ALLOW CONVECTION BACK
INTO INLAND LOCATIONS WITH BEST CHANCES OF RAIN SHIFTING BACK TO
THE COASTAL PLAINS FRI. THE RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN WITH
THE BEST SUPPORT TO THE N THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON...WITH ALL RAIN CLEARING
OUT SAT NT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
COOL HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT...RETURNING TEMPS TO
NORMAL WITH HIGHS AROUND 70 AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. THE FRONT
COULD POTENTIALLY REMAIN CAUGHT NEAR THE COAST THROUGH MID NEXT
WEEK WITH A SCHC RAIN POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...WITH DROPPING TD AND NE
FLOW DONT SEE ANYTHING SIGNIFICANT.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VERY MOIST LOW LVLS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO FRI WITH DECENT CVRG OF
SHRA FROM TIME TO TIME. WENT WITH MAINLY MVFR INTO THE EVENING
THEN LOWERED TO IFR OR WORSE AS CLOUDS LOWER AND VSBYS DECREASE IN
FOG OR PRECIP.
OUTLOOK...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN MVFR OR OCNL IFR RANGE
INTO SAT WITH CONT THREAT OF RAIN IN VERY MOIST ATMS. FRONT WILL
CROSS LATER SAT WITH VFR BECOMING PREDOMINATE SUN INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS HIGH PRES BUILD S INTO THE AREA.
&&
.MARINE...
WITH FRONT NEAR CST WINDS HAVE DECREASED OVER THE CSTL WTRS THIS
AFTN. SE SWELLS CONT AND WILL LIKELY SEE SOME 6 FT SEAS ESPCLY 20
MILES OUT OVERNIGHT. S/SE WINDS INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 20 KT
RANGE FRI AND FRI NIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH HIGH
OFFSHORE...THIS WILL TEND TO KEEP SEAS CLOSE TO SCA LVLS INTO
SAT...HOWEVER WILL BE MARGINAL ESPCLY NRN AND SRN WTRS. STRNG HIGH
BUILDS IN SUN THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH GUSTY N/NE WINDS AND SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FT. IF ANY WAVES DEVELOP ON OFFSHORE FRONT
EARLY NEXT WEEK COULD BE CLOSE TO GALES WITH 10 FT OR GREATER
SEAS...BUT HAVE PLENTY OF TIME TO ADJUST IF NEEDED.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY FOR AMZ150-152-154-
156-158.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SJ
NEAR TERM...SJ
SHORT TERM...SJ
LONG TERM...SJ
AVIATION...RF
MARINE...RFHazardous weather outlook, Oct 25, 5:27 AM EDT, 12 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 527 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2007 NCZ095-098-103-104-260930- CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE- 527 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A MODERATE THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>094-260930- MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT- MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO- 527 AM EDT THU OCT 25 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 25, 4:11 PM EDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 411 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2007 NCZ090-252045- DUPLIN- 411 PM EDT THU OCT 25 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT DUPLIN COUNTY UNTIL 445 PM EDT... AT 410 PM EDT...THERE WERE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEASTERN SAMPSON COUNTY...OR ABOUT 16 MILES WEST OF WALLACE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR ROSE HILL AND MAGNOLIA AROUND 430 PM. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN ON AREA ROADWAYS TO AVOID HYDROPLANING. THIS STORM IS PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF DEADLY LIGHTNING. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS LOCATED ACROSS THE COUNTY WILL IMPACT AREAS FROM KENANSVILLE TO PINK HILL. THESE SHOWERS WILL PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH 445 PM. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THE WEATHER SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA. 21
The office that day
Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 12:40 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MHX | 50 min | |
| Oct 25, 4:23 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MHX | 52 min | |
| Oct 25, 6:06 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MHX | Duplin | 114 min |
| Oct 25, 6:59 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | MHX | 61 min | |
| Oct 25, 7:03 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | MHX | Duplin | 3 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in North Carolina, 2007Every tornado warning in 2007Tornadoes in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.