Special Marine Warning 21, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
227 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD OVER THE AREA BOTH ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL FLATTEN THE RIDGE OUT DURING THE
WEEKEND WITH POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
C-BRZ FRNT FORMG ALNG SRN BCHS THIS AFTN. CUD SEE SUM AFTN ACTVTY AS
SW FLO BRINGS SUM MSTR INTO THAT AREA. LTST MDLS SHOWG SRN STREAM
ENERGY MVG NE ALNG CSTL SXNS THIS EVE. THIS CUD HELP ACTVTY THAT MAY
HV STRTD DURING THE AFTN TO CONT AND SHUD PROMPT MR TSTM
ACTVTY...MAINLY ALNG THE CSTL SXNS. NAM SHOWG NRN STREAM ENERGY NOT
DROPPG FAR ENUF S TO PROVIDE ENUF LIFT FOR PCPN ACTVTY. HWVR A SHIFT
TO THE S OF THE FTR WL HELP SO WONT COMPLETELY RULE IT OUT. FROPA
XPCTD BTWN MIDNIGHT AND SR WI LOWS IN THE UPR 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AFT THIS SYS MVS OFFSHR...RDG BOTH ALOFT AND AT THE SFC WL BLD OVR
AREA AND WL RMN IN PLACE THRU THE END OF THE WORKWK. INCRSD HGHTS
AND LWR CLD CVR WL LEAD TO HI TEMPS ARND 90 BY THU.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THROUGH FRI. THE
RIDGING WILL GIVE WAY SAT AND SUN AS A S/W TROUGH MOVES NE
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND INTO EASTERN CANADA FRI NIGHT. THE
S/W WILL SWING A WEAK FRONT SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA ON SAT THEN
DISSIPATE SOUTH OF THE AREA ON SUN. DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THU
AND FRI THEN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SAT AND SUN WITH FRONT OVER THE
AREA. DRY CONDITIONS THEN EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FCST
PERIOD. TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS FRI IN THE MID 90S
INLAND TO THE MID/UPPER 80S COASTAL AREAS. A FEW DEGREES COOLER SAT
AND SUN. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER 70S AREAWIDE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AFTN CU FIELDS FORMG NICELY THIS AFTN. EVIDENCE OF C-BRZ FRONT ALONG
SRN BCHS. AS UPR LVL ENERGY APPCHS FRM THE SW WL SEE SUM MAINLY MVFR
ACTVTY IN SE PART OF NC. REST OF AREA CUD SEE SUM RS/TSTM TNGT BUT
XPCT ONLY ISOLD PCPN.

OUTLOOK...SUM MVFR CONDS PSBL SAT AS NXT SYS APPCHS AREA. OTHRWS VFR
WED THRU SUN.

&&

.MARINE... A WEAK BACK DOOR FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT AND EARLY WED THEN DISSIPATE...SHIFTING THE WINDS BRIEFLY
NE-E. SEAS ARE STILL RUNNING UP TO 6 FT AT DIAMOND BUOY...WITH A SE
SWELL COMPONENT. WILL CONTINUE SCA FOR SEAS SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT
UNTIL 06Z TONIGHT AND FOR WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET
UNTIL 12Z WED. PREDOMINATE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL RETURN BY WED NIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRI. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON
SAT. WINDS/SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS THU THROUGH
SUN.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR
AMZ152-154-     156.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR AMZ158.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CGG
NEAR TERM...CGG
SHORT TERM...CGG
LONG TERM...RAP
AVIATION...CGG
MARINE...RAP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
422 AM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

NCZ095-098-060830-
CARTERET-ONSLOW-
422 AM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>094-103-104-060830-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-OUTER BANKS DARE-
OUTER BANKS HYDE-
422 AM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
744 PM EDT TUE JUN 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0714 PM     HAIL             JACKSONVILLE            34.76N 77.40W
06/05/2007  E1.00 INCH       ONSLOW             NC   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTS HAIL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR HWY 17 AND
            OLD BRIDGE ST

0716 PM     HAIL             JACKSONVILLE            34.76N 77.40W
06/05/2007  E0.75 INCH       ONSLOW             NC   PUBLIC

            BRANCHES AND DEBRIS ALONG GUM BRANCH RD

0716 PM     HAIL             JACKSONVILLE            34.76N 77.40W
06/05/2007  E0.88 INCH       ONSLOW             NC   PUBLIC

            HENDERSON RD NEAR HWY 17

&&

SKENNEDY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
751 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

NCZ045>047-080-081-103-060100-
WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-
OUTER BANKS DARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...
RIVER ROAD...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...NAGS HEAD...
SOUTHERN SHORES
751 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS...

A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS FROM BEAUFORT
COUNTY...EAST ACROSS MAINLAND HYDE...TYRRELL AND MAINLAND DARE
COUNTIES AND EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS THROUGH 9 PM.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO ONE
HALF INCH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND
POSSIBLY SOME SMALL HAIL.

11

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
856 PM EDT TUE JUN 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 PM     HAIL             NAGS HEAD               35.94N 75.63W
06/05/2007  E0.75 INCH       DARE               NC   PUBLIC

            MILE POST 18 ON BEACH RD

&&

SKENNEDY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
902 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

NCZ045>047-080-081-103-060300-
WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-
OUTER BANKS DARE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...
RIVER ROAD...KILL DEVIL HILLS...KITTY HAWK...NAGS HEAD...
SOUTHERN SHORES
902 PM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER THE SOUND COUNTIES AND
NORTHERN OUTER BANKS REGION...

A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST FROM BEAUFORT
COUNTY EAST ACROSS MAINLAND HYDE...MAINLAND DARE AND TYRRELL
COUNTIES THEN EAST TO THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS...NORTH OF OREGON
INLET. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 40
MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...HEAVY RAINFALL AND SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 11 PM.

11

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