Coastal Flood Statement 8, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
814 PM EST SAT FEB 24 2007

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS INCREASING A BIT FASTER THAN
ORIGINALLY FORECAST OVER THE NRN PORTIONS OF THE CWA TONIGHT.
WHILE DO NOT EXPECT THE THICKEST CLOUDS TO ARRIVE UNTIL MRNG THE
ONGOING INCREASE SHOULD ACT TO LIMIT DOWNWARD TREND IN TEMPS
ACROSS THE NORTH. MEANWHILE TEMPS OVER SRN SECTIONS OF THE CWA
HAVE RATHER QUICKLY. STILL THINK TEMPS WILL STEADY BY MIDNIGHT
MOST AREAS WITH NORTHERN SECTIONS NOT FALLING AS FAR AS ORIGINALLY
FORECAST. THUS HAVE RAISED OVERNIGHT LOWS A COUPLE OF DEGREES
NORTH WHILE ALSO INCREASING CLOUDS.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z-24Z/...HIGH CLOUDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS RTES OVERNIGHT
WITH CIGS LOWERING TO AROUND 12K FT LATE. CIGS WILL CONTINUE TO
LOWER THROUGH THE MORNING WITH MVFR CIGS AND A FEW SHOWERS
DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS WILL DESTABILIZE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND CANNOT RULE OUT A TSTM AS WELL BUT CURRENT MODELS
SUGGESTING BEST INSTABILITY TOMORROW EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO SUBSIDE AROUND DIAMOND BUOY AND HAS
BEEN REPORTING 7-8 FT MUCH OF THE EVENING. EXTENDED SCA ALONG THE
COAST NORTH OF HATTERAS UNTIL 11 PM TO ACCOUNT FOR HIGHER SEAS. SEAS
WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT BUT WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE
INCREASING DURING THE MORNING WITH SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE
REACHED AGAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GALES WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS
THE CENTRAL WATERS TOMORROW EVENING. UPDATED COASTAL HAVE BEEN SENT.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY FOR
     AMZ135.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ150-
     152-154.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR
     AMZ156.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY FOR
     AMZ158.

&&

MLF/SEK