Alert archive / Oregon / High Surf Warnings in 2007

High Surf Warning 2, NWS Medford, OR

December 1, 2007Coos County, Curry County, Douglas County, Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this high surf warning at Dec 1, 2007, 1:59 AM PST for Coos County, Curry County, Douglas County, Oregon. It took effect at Dec 2, 2007, 10:00 AM PST. It was in force for 58 hr. 26 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 1, 2007, 1:59 AM PST (09:59 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 2, 2007, 10:00 AM PST
Expired
Dec 4, 2007, 8:10 PM PST
In force
58 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

Counties Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 2, 2:59 PM PSTNON-TSTM WND GST 67N Langlois, ORBETWEEN 1-2PM
Dec 2, 2:59 PM PSTHEAVY RAIN 1.16N Langlois, OR12 HR 2AM-2PM
Dec 2, 4:00 PM PSTHEAVY RAIN 0.91 N Coos Bay, OR0.90 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 PM.
Dec 2, 5:10 PM PSTNON-TSTM WND GST 761 W Bandon, OR
Dec 2, 5:10 PM PSTHEAVY RAIN 2.11 Nne Scottsburg, OR24HR 3PM-3PM
Dec 2, 5:20 PM PSTHEAVY RAIN 0.475 Ssw Roseburg, OR0.47 INCHES IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. RAINING LIGHTLY AND THE WIND IS BLOWING.
Dec 2, 9:00 PM PSTHEAVY RAIN 1.366 Ese Coos Bay, OR24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 9 PM PST.
Dec 3, 12:12 AM PSTHEAVY RAIN 1.84N Langlois, ORS WIND GUST OF 70 MPH IN THE PAST HOUR. MOST HOURS DURING THE DAY HAD GUSTS IN THE 60S.
Dec 3, 5:12 AM PSTHEAVY RAIN 3.44 Ne Gold Beach, ORWINDS HAVE BEEN THE STRONGEST HE HAS SEEN HERE. HAS LIVED IN THIS LOCATION SINCE 1963.
Dec 3, 5:56 AM PSTNON-TSTM WND GST 741 W Bandon, ORAT 530 AM. LOTS OF GUSTS IN THE 60S.
Dec 3, 6:26 AM PSTNON-TSTM WND GST 77N Gold Beach, ORAT 530 PM YESTERDAY. STILL BLOWING HARD.
Dec 3, 6:31 AM PSTHEAVY RAIN 1.59N Myrtle Point, OR630 AM TO 630 AM.
Dec 3, 8:09 AM PSTHEAVY RAIN 1.874 Wsw Reedsport, OR24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING AT 8 AM.
Dec 3, 8:09 AM PSTHEAVY RAIN 2N Lakeside, OR24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING AT 8 AM
Dec 3, 8:09 AM PSTHEAVY RAIN 2.23N Elkton, OR24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING AT 8 AM
Dec 3, 8:09 AM PSTHEAVY RAIN 3.72 Ne Reedsport, OR48 HOUR TOTAL ENDING AT 8 AM.
Dec 3, 9:00 AM PSTHEAVY RAIN 1.066 Ese Coos Bay, OR12-HOUR TOTAL ENDING 9AM.
Dec 3, 1:20 PM PSTNON-TSTM WND DMGCharleston, ORSTRONG WINDS HAVE RETURNED AND APPEAR TO BE THE HIGHEST YET. SAIL RIPPED TO SHREDS ON A SAILBOAT IN THE HARBOR...DUMPSTERS HAVE BEEN BLOWN OVER...AND SHINGLES ARE PEELING OFF OF ROOFS.
Dec 3, 1:45 PM PSTNON-TSTM WND DMG15 S North Bend, ORREPORTED WINDS ESTIMATED NEAR 65 MPH. TREE DEBRIS FLYING THROUGH THE AIR AND THE ROOF OF A NEARBY MOBILE HOME WAS PARTIALLY TORN OFF AND FLAPPING IN THE WIND. LOCATION WAS IN THE HILLS BETWEEN NORTH BEND AND PORT ORFORD WITH A MILD TEMPERATURE OF 54F.
Dec 3, 1:47 PM PSTNON-TSTM WND GST 641 Se Brookings, ORREPORTED SOME BRANCHES DOWN ON ROADS.
Dec 3, 1:47 PM PSTNON-TSTM WND DMGN Langlois, ORREPORTED TREE BRANCHES ALONG AND ON POWER LINES AS WELL AS UPROOTED TREES ALONG ROADS. ALSO REPORTED POWER OUTAGES BETWEEN DENMARK AND BANDON.
Dec 3, 4:31 PM PSTNON-TSTM WND GST 0Reedsport, ORUMPQUA DISCOVERY CENTER REPORTED A GUST TO 80 MPH AT 425 PM.
Dec 3, 4:31 PM PSTHEAVY RAIN 2.36N Elkton, OR2.36 IN PAST 12 HOURS. 1.5 INCHES BEFORE NOON.
Dec 3, 4:31 PM PSTHEAVY RAIN 4.351 Nne Scottsburg, OR4.35 INCHES OF RAIN IN 24 HOURS.
Dec 4, 6:16 AM PSTHEAVY RAIN 1.68N Myrtle Point, OR24 HOUR ACCUMULATION ENDING AT 630 AM
Dec 4, 4:26 PM PSTHEAVY RAIN 4.251 Se Port Orford, OR7 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM MONDAY.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 00:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 00:00Z on 2007-12-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 00:00Z on 2007-12-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1137 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WHUS46 KMFR 010959
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
159 AM PST SAT DEC 1 2007

...VERY LARGE SEAS TO BUILD SUNDAY...

.A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL
GENERATE A BROAD AREA OF STRONG WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL IN 
TURN GENERATE VERY LARGE WAVES STARTING SUNDAY.

ORZ021-022-011800-
/O.NEW.KMFR.SU.W.0002.071202T1800Z-071205T0000Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
159 AM PST SAT DEC 1 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST
TUESDAY. 

WINDS INCREASING TO STORM FORCE SUNDAY WILL GENERATE WAVES OF
25 TO 30 FEET. THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING
WAVES ON THE COAST. SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVE
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

$$

11
14 follow-up statements
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 011745
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
945 AM PST SAT DEC 1 2007

...VERY LARGE SEAS TO BUILD SUNDAY...

.A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL
GENERATE A BROAD AREA OF VERY STRONG WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL IN
TURN GENERATE EXTREMELY LARGE WAVES STARTING SUNDAY AND BUILDING
INTO MONDAY.  

ORZ021-022-020645-
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.071202T1800Z-071205T0000Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
945 AM PST SAT DEC 1 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM
PST TUESDAY...

A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM
PST TUESDAY. 

WINDS INCREASING TO STORM FORCE SUNDAY WILL GENERATE WAVES BUILDING
25 TO 30 FEET SOUTH OF PORT ORFORD AND 35 TO 40 NORTH OF PORT
ORFORD. THE ENTIRE AREA CAN EXPECT WAVES 35 TO 45 FEET SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY. THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME
BREAKING WAVES ON THE COAST...BEACH EROSION AND LOCAL FLOODING. SOUTHWEST
FACING SHORES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

$$


DDG
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 020049
CFWMFR

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
449 PM PST SAT DEC 1 2007

...VERY HEAVY SEAS WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING SUNDAY
   THROUGH TUESDAY...

.SEVERAL POWERFUL STORMS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL GENERATE A
BROAD AREA OF VERY STRONG WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL IN TURN GENERATE
EXTREMELY LARGE WAVES AND SWELL STARTING SUNDAY...BUILDING INTO
MONDAY...AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUESDAY.

ORZ021-022-020900-
/O.NEW.KMFR.CF.W.0001.071203T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.071202T1800Z-071205T0000Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
449 PM PST SAT DEC 1 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM
PST TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST
TUESDAY. A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY
TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY. 

STORM FORCE WINDS SUNDAY AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY WILL GENERATE VERY HIGH WAVES OF 30 TO 40 FEET...
PEAKING AROUND NOON MONDAY. THE HIGH WAVES WILL PERSIST AFTER THE
WINDS DIMINISH...THROUGH TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY BEYOND.

THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ON THE
COAST...BEACH EROSION AND FLOODING. HARBORS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES
IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE THREATENED. INITIALLY SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE...SHIFTING
TO WEST FACING SHORES TUESDAY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

$$

STOCKTON
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 020629
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1029 PM PST SAT DEC 1 2007

...VERY HEAVY SEAS WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.SEVERAL POWERFUL STORMS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL GENERATE A
BROAD AREA OF VERY STRONG WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL IN TURN
GENERATE EXTREMELY LARGE WAVES AND SWELL STARTING SUNDAY...
BUILDING INTO MONDAY...AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUESDAY.

ORZ021-022-021430-
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.071202T1800Z-071205T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.CF.W.0001.071203T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
1029 PM PST SAT DEC 1 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM
PST TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO
4 PM PST TUESDAY...

A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 4 PM
PST TUESDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM
SUNDAY TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY. 

STORM FORCE WINDS SUNDAY AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY WILL GENERATE VERY HIGH WAVES OF 30 TO 40 FEET...
PEAKING AROUND NOON MONDAY. THE HIGH WAVES WILL PERSIST AFTER THE
WINDS DIMINISH...THROUGH TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY BEYOND.

THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ON THE
COAST...BEACH EROSION AND FLOODING. HARBORS AND COASTAL
STRUCTURES IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE THREATENED. INITIALLY
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE...
SHIFTING TO WEST FACING SHORES TUESDAY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

$$

STOCKTON
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 021033
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
233 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2007

...VERY HEAVY SEAS WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.SEVERAL POWERFUL STORMS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL GENERATE A
BROAD AREA OF VERY STRONG WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL IN TURN
GENERATE EXTREMELY LARGE WAVES AND SWELL STARTING TODAY...
BUILDING INTO MONDAY...AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUESDAY.

ORZ021-022-021845-
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.071202T1800Z-071205T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.CF.W.0001.071203T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
233 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
4 PM PST TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY...

A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
4 PM PST TUESDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY. 

STORM FORCE WINDS TODAY AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY WILL GENERATE VERY HIGH WAVES OF 30 TO 40 FEET...
PEAKING AROUND NOON MONDAY. THE HIGH WAVES WILL PERSIST AFTER THE
WINDS DIMINISH...THROUGH TUESDAY AND DIMINISH WEDNESDAY.

THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ON THE
COAST...BEACH EROSION AND FLOODING. HARBORS AND COASTAL
STRUCTURES IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE THREATENED. INITIALLY
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE...
 SHIFTING TO WEST FACING SHORES TUESDAY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

$$

11
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 021832
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1032 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2007

...VERY HEAVY SEAS WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.SEVERAL POWERFUL STORMS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL GENERATE 
A BROAD AREA OF VERY STRONG WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL IN TURN
GENERATE EXTREMELY LARGE WAVES AND SWELL STARTING TODAY...
BUILDING INTO MONDAY...AND PERSISTING THROUGH TUESDAY.

ORZ021-022-030500-
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.CF.W.0001.071203T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
1032 AM PST SUN DEC 2 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY...

A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY. 

STORM FORCE WINDS TODAY AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY WILL GENERATE VERY HIGH WAVES OF 30 TO 40 FEET... PEAKING
AROUND NOON MONDAY. THE HIGH WAVES WILL PERSIST AFTER THE WINDS
DIMINISH...THROUGH TUESDAY AND DIMINISH WEDNESDAY.

THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ON THE
COAST...BEACH EROSION AND FLOODING. HARBORS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES
IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE THREATENED. INITIALLY SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE... SHIFTING
TO WEST FACING SHORES TUESDAY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS FOR ANYONE STANDING NEAR THE SHORELINE.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

$$

MWJ
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 030452
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
852 PM PST SUN DEC 2 2007

...VERY HEAVY SEAS WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.SEVERAL POWERFUL STORMS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC ARE GENERATING A
BROAD AREA OF VERY STRONG WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL IN TURN GENERATE
EXTREMELY LARGE WAVES AND SWELL BUILDING INTO MONDAY...AND
PERSISTING THROUGH TUESDAY.

ORZ021-022-031300-
/O.CON.KMFR.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
852 PM PST SUN DEC 2 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST
TUESDAY...
...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY.
A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY. 

STORM FORCE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS LATER
TONIGHT AND WILL GENERATE VERY HIGH WAVES OF 30 TO 40 FEET. THE
WINDS WILL PEAK AROUND NOON MONDAY...BUT THE HIGH WAVES WILL
PERSIST AFTER THE WINDS DIMINISH. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY.

THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ON THE
COAST...BEACH EROSION AND FLOODING. HARBORS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES
IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE THREATENED. INITIALLY SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE...SHIFTING
TO WEST FACING SHORES TUESDAY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS FOR ANYONE STANDING NEAR THE SHORELINE.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

$$

STOCKTON
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 031714
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...RETRANSMITTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
346 AM PST MON DEC 3 2007

RETRANSMITTED

...VERY HEAVY SEAS WILL BRING HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.SEVERAL POWERFUL STORMS IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC ARE GENERATING
A BROAD AREA OF VERY STRONG WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL IN TURN
GENERATE EXTREMELY LARGE WAVES AND SWELL BUILDING THIS MORNING
AND THEN SLOWLY DECREASING THROUGH TUESDAY.

ORZ021-022-032000-
/O.CON.KMFR.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
346 AM PST MON DEC 3 2007

RETRANSMITTED

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY...
...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY.
A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY. 

STORM FORCE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EARLY THIS
MORNING AND GENERATE VERY HIGH WAVES OF 30 TO 40 FEET. THE WINDS
WILL PEAK AROUND NOON TODAY...BUT THE HIGH WAVES WILL PERSIST
AFTER THE WINDS DIMINISH. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ON THE
COAST...BEACH EROSION AND FLOODING. HARBORS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES 
IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE THREATENED. INITIALLY SOUTH AND 
SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE...SHIFTING TO 
WEST FACING SHORES TUESDAY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES WILL 
POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS CONDITIONS 
FOR ANYONE NEAR THE SHORE.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

$$

MTS
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 032000
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1200 PM PST MON DEC 3 2007

...VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING VERY HIGH SURF AND
COASTAL FLOODING TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.A VERY STRONG STORM THAT HAS BEEN STRENGTHENING ALONG THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST COAST HAS GENERATED AND WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE VERY
LARGE SEAS THAT WILL IMPACT THE COAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

ORZ021-022-040400-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
1200 PM PST MON DEC 3 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST
TUESDAY...

THE HIGH SURF WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST TUESDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY. 

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE HAVE GENERATES VERY WAVES OF 30 TO
40 FEET. THIS HAS BEEN VERIFIED BY A SHIP REPORT AND NEAR SHORE
BUOYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL IMPACT THE COAST THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL RUN FAR UP BEACHES AND INCREASE
THE RUN UP HEIGHT OF NORMAL TIDES. COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN
SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY AT AND NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDES.

THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ON THE
COAST...BEACH EROSION AND FLOODING. HARBORS AND COASTAL
STRUCTURES IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE THREATENED. INITIALLY
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE...
SHIFTING TO WEST FACING SHORES TUESDAY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS FOR ANYONE NEAR THE SHORE.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

$$

BTL
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 032152
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
152 PM PST MON DEC 3 2007

...VERY LARGE OCEAN WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING VERY HIGH SURF
TO THE COAST TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

ORZ021-022-040600-
/O.CAN.KMFR.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-071205T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
152 PM PST MON DEC 3 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING. A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM
PST TUESDAY. 

STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE HAVE GENERATED VERY LARGE
WAVES OF 30 TO 40 FEET ON THE OPEN OCEAN. THIS HAS BEEN VERIFIED
BY SHIP REPORTS AND NEAR SHORE BUOYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL
IMPACT THE COAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. COASTAL
FLOODING...HOWEVER...IS NO LONGER EXPECTED.

THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ON THE
COAST AND AREAS OF BEACH EROSION. HARBORS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES
IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL SEE INCREASED TIDE HEIGHTS...STRONGER
THAN NORMAL CURRENTS...AND ABOVE NORMAL WAVE ACTION. INITIALLY
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE MOST EFFECTED TODAY INTO 
TONIGHT...SHIFTING TO WEST FACING SHORES TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS IN AND NEAR THE SURF ZONE. LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF THIS
MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY TRANSPORT DEBRIS AND LIFT AND MOVE LARGE
OBJECTS...POSSIBLY SWEEPING THEM AWAY. IT IS ADVISED THAT PEOPLE
REMAIN OUT OF THE SURF ZONE AND OFF OF BEACHES AND JETTIES UNTIL
THESE LARGE WAVES SUBSIDE.

$$

LUTZ
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 040450
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
850 PM PST MON DEC 3 2007

...VERY LARGE OCEAN WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING VERY HIGH SURF
   TO THE COAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

ORZ021-022-041300-
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
850 PM PST MON DEC 3 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST TUESDAY...

A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST TUESDAY. 

STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE HAVE DIMINISHED...BUT
THEY GENERATED VERY LARGE WAVES OF 30 TO 40 FEET ON THE OPEN
OCEAN WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ON THE
COAST AND AREAS OF BEACH EROSION. HARBORS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES
IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL SEE INCREASED TIDE HEIGHTS...STRONGER
THAN NORMAL CURRENTS...AND ABOVE NORMAL WAVE ACTION. INITIALLY
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE MOST EFFECTED 
TONIGHT...SHIFTING TO WEST FACING SHORES TUESDAY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS IN AND NEAR THE SURF ZONE. LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY TRANSPORT DEBRIS AND LIFT AND MOVE
LARGE OBJECTS...POSSIBLY SWEEPING THEM AWAY. IT IS ADVISED THAT
PEOPLE REMAIN OUT OF THE SURF ZONE AND OFF OF BEACHES AND JETTIES
UNTIL THESE LARGE WAVES SUBSIDE.

$$

STOCKTON
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 041027
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
227 AM PST TUE DEC 4 2007

...VERY LARGE OCEAN WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING VERY HIGH SURF  
 TO THE COAST THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

ORZ021-022-041830-
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
227 AM PST TUE DEC 4 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING. 

STORM FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE HAVE DIMINISHED...BUT THEY GENERATED
VERY LARGE WAVES OF 25 TO 30 FEET ON THE OPEN OCEAN WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ONSHORE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.

THESE VERY LARGE WAVES WILL CAUSE EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ON THE
COAST AND AREAS OF BEACH EROSION. HARBORS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES
IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL SEE INCREASED TIDE HEIGHTS...STRONGER
THAN NORMAL CURRENTS...AND ABOVE NORMAL WAVE ACTION. INITIALLY
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING SHORES WILL BE MOST EFFECTED TONIGHT...
SHIFTING TO WEST FACING SHORES TUESDAY.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS IN AND NEAR THE SURF ZONE. LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY TRANSPORT DEBRIS AND LIFT AND MOVE
LARGE OBJECTS...POSSIBLY SWEEPING THEM AWAY. IT IS ADVISED THAT
PEOPLE REMAIN OUT OF THE SURF ZONE AND OFF OF BEACHES AND JETTIES
UNTIL THESE LARGE WAVES SUBSIDE.

$$

CC
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 041746
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
946 AM PST TUE DEC 4 2007

ORZ021-022-042300-
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
946 AM PST TUE DEC 4 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING. 

VERY LARGE WAVES OF 23 TO 28 FEET CONTINUE TO MOVE ASHORE IN THE
WAKE OF THE STORM THAT POUNDED THE COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

EXTREME BREAKING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ON THE COAST WHICH WILL ALSO
CAUSE SOME EROSION OF THE BEACHES. HARBORS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES
IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL SEE INCREASED TIDE HEIGHTS...STRONGER
THAN NORMAL CURRENTS...AND ABOVE NORMAL WAVE ACTION. WEST FACING
SHORES WILL BE MOST AFFECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS IN AND NEAR THE SURF ZONE. LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY TRANSPORT DEBRIS AND LIFT AND MOVE
LARGE OBJECTS...POSSIBLY SWEEPING THEM AWAY. IT IS ADVISED THAT
PEOPLE REMAIN OUT OF THE SURF ZONE AND OFF OF BEACHES AND JETTIES
UNTIL THESE LARGE WAVES SUBSIDE.

$$

SPILDE
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 042228
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
228 PM PST TUE DEC 4 2007

ORZ021-022-050500-
/O.CON.KMFR.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
228 PM PST TUE DEC 4 2007

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS
EVENING. 

VERY LARGE WAVES OF 23 TO 28 FEET CONTINUE TO MOVE ASHORE IN THE
WAKE OF THE STORM THAT POUNDED THE COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

LARGE BREAKING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ON THE COAST WHICH WILL ALSO CAUSE
SOME EROSION OF THE BEACHES. HARBORS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES IN
LOW-LYING AREAS WILL SEE INCREASED TIDE HEIGHTS...STRONGER THAN
NORMAL CURRENTS...AND ABOVE NORMAL WAVE ACTION. WEST FACING SHORES
WILL BE MOST AFFECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVES
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
CONDITIONS IN AND NEAR THE SURF ZONE. LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF
THIS MAGNITUDE WILL EASILY TRANSPORT DEBRIS AND LIFT AND MOVE
LARGE OBJECTS...POSSIBLY SWEEPING THEM AWAY. IT IS ADVISED THAT
PEOPLE REMAIN OUT OF THE SURF ZONE AND OFF OF BEACHES AND JETTIES
UNTIL THESE LARGE WAVES SUBSIDE.

$$

SPILDE
000 
WHUS46 KMFR 050410
CFWMFR

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
810 PM PST TUE DEC 4 2007


ORZ021-022-051100-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SU.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071205T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SU.Y.0008.071205T0410Z-071205T1100Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
810 PM PST TUE DEC 4 2007

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH SURF WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH
SURF WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LARGE SWELL OF 19 TO 21 FEET CONTINUE TO MOVE ASHORE IN THE WAKE OF
THE STORM THAT POUNDED THE COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

BECAUSE OF THE LARGE SWELL LARGE BREAKING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ON
THE COAST WHICH WILL ALSO CAUSE SOME EROSION OF THE BEACHES.
HARBORS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES IN LOW-LYING AREAS WILL SEE
INCREASED TIDE HEIGHTS...STRONGER THAN NORMAL CURRENTS...AND ABOVE
NORMAL WAVE ACTION. WEST FACING SHORES WILL BE MOST AFFECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT.

IT IS ADVISED THAT PEOPLE REMAIN OUT OF THE SURF ZONE AND OFF OF
BEACHES AND JETTIES UNTIL THESE LARGE WAVES SUBSIDE.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high surf warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high surf warning went out at Nov 30, 8:00 PM PST, 5 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 30, 8:00 PM PST, 5 hours 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
800 PM PST FRI NOV 30 2007

.DISCUSSION...00Z NGM/NAM IN. 00Z GFS IN THROUGH 48HR.

THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM TONIGHT. NOT MUCH GOING ON AT THE MOMENT
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND AREAS OF CLOUDS...BUT NO REPORTED PRECIPITATION.

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT. NOT EXPECTING
MUCH FROM IT OTHER THAN SOME CLOUD COVER. A FROST ADVISORY IS
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST AND WILL LET THAT ONE RUN FOR
NOW...ALTHOUGH CLOUDS MAY FOIL THE FROST FORMATION. SOME LATE
NIGHT VALLEY FOG MAY GET GOING...BUT THAT DEPENDS ON THE CLOUD
COVER AS WELL.

SATURDAY LOOKS SEDATE ENOUGH WITH SOME CLOUDS AROUND BUT LITTLE IN
THE WAY OF WINDS OR PRECIPITATION...MAYBE SOME SPRINKLES ALONG THE
COAST. NO WELL-DEFINED SYSTEMS AROUND THEN.

ALL THIS WILL CHANGE SATURDAY NIGHT AS A WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH
THE AREA. IT WILL BRING IN SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION BUT IT WILL
ALSO BRING IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS AHEAD OF A STRONG
STORM WINDING UP OFFSHORE.

THE REST OF THE DISCUSSION IS TAKEN FROM THE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AFD...

SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...CONFIDENCE IS GROWING ON A SERIES OF
MAJOR STORMS IMPACTING MOSTLY OREGON COASTAL AREAS DURING THIS
PERIOD. UNUSUALLY STRONG WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACT OF THIS
SYSTEM. TIMING AND DECISION ON MAXIMUM WIND MAGNITUDE PREVENTED US
FROM UPGRADING PRESENT HIGH WIND WATCHES TO WARNINGS. ALSO...HIGH
SURF WARNINGS WILL PROBABLY ISSUED FOR COASTLINES EITHER OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY. NOT AS CERTAIN ON WIND MAGNITUDE FOR
INLAND AREAS.

OVERVIEW OF STORM SYSTEM...AN UNUSUALLY STRONG SURFACE LOW SHOULD
DEVELOP ABOUT 700 MILES WEST OF THE NORTHWEST OREGON COAST BY
MONDAY MORNING...THEN MOVE TOWARDS BRITISH COLUMBIA MONDAY NIGHT.
THE LEADING WARM FRONT WILL BECOME FULLY DEVELOPED LATE IN THE DAY
SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PUSH MONDAY. MWJ

LONG TERM...TUESDAY DECEMBER 4TH THROUGH FRIDAY DECEMBER 7TH...
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON OF
WEDNESDAY...DECEMBER 5TH. THUS...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. GENERALLY FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE GFS AND CANADIAN MODEL
12Z RUNS FOR THIS PERIOD AS THEY HAD BOTH GOOD CONTINUITY COMPARED
TO YESTERDAY...SOLUTIONS THAT ARE VERY PLAUSIBLE...AND CONSISTENT
WITH ONE ANOTHER.

EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO CONTINUE OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...BOTH LONGER IN DURATION AND INTENSITY OVER NW SECTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE OREGON CASCADES NORTH AND WESTWARD
THAN FOR AREAS FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST. SNOW LEVELS INITIALLY WILL BE
7500 FEET IN THE CRATER LAKE AREA TO 9500 FEET ON AND NEAR MOUNT
SHASTA LOWERING TO 5500 AND 6500 FEET...RESPECTIVELY. PRECIPITATION
WILL BE DRIVEN BY THE REMNANT COLD FRONT FROM THE WIND STORM
FOLLOWED BY A COOLER SHORT WAVE TROUGH RIDING IN ON WSW FLOW.

FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MODEL SOLUTIONS AGREE ON AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE OFF OF THE WEST COAST OF CANADA. THE GFS BRINGS THIS
SYSTEM INTO THE AREA ON NW FLOW ON THURSDAY...WHEREAS THE ECMWF
AMPLIFIES THIS FEATURE...WARMING TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF IT AND
BRINGING IT IN STRONGER AND FURTHER SOUTH. PREFER A BLEND OF THE GFS
AND ECMWF UNDER WNW FLOW AS THIS WOULD ALSO AGREE WITH THE GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN PATTERN.

THIS LEADS TO THE POTENTIAL OF SNOW AT MANY LOCATIONS...MAINLY FOR
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
THEREAFTER...AS ONE WOULD EXPECT...DETAILS ARE UNCLEAR. NCEP
CONTINUES TO HAVE FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND NORMAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THROUGH MID-MONTH...BUT THE
ENSEMBLE MEANS FROM THE GFS AND INDICATIONS FROM A LEADING
CLIMATOLOGIST INDICATE THAT NW FLOW WOULD BE MORE DOMINANT WHICH
WOULD LEAD TO TEMPS CLOSER TO NORMAL. LUTZ

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS
EVENING. OVERNIGHT AREAS OF MVFR CEILINGS WILL DEVELOP IN THE
UMPQUA BASIN AND ALONG THE COAST. IN ADDITION...EARLY MORNING IFR
FOG AND LOW STRATUS MAY FORM IN THE ROGUE VALLEY...PERSISTING
THROUGH MID-MORNING.

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM PST SATURDAY FOR ORZ021-ORZ022.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
          ORZ021-ORZ022-ORZ031.

CA...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
          CAZ081.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...
     STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
          PZZ350-PZZ356-PZZ370-PZZ376.
     GALE WARNING FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO 7 AM PST SUNDAY FOR
          PZZ350-PZZ356-PZZ370-PZZ376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 4 PM PST MONDAY FOR
          PZZ350-PZZ356-PZZ370-PZZ376.

15/15/15
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 30, 7:45 AM PST, 18 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
745 AM PST FRI NOV 30 2007

ORZ021-022-011500-
CURRY COUNTY COAST-SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-
745 AM PST FRI NOV 30 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN OREGON AND NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY. A FROST ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT BEGINNING AT 100 AM PST TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE FROST ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM PST SATURDAY.
SEE PRODUCT FOR MORE DETAILS.

THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CHANGE DRAMATICALLY THIS WEEKEND AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. A STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL BRING VERY STRONG WINDS
TO THE AREA. AS A RESULT...A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. SEE PRODUCT FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CAZ081-ORZ031-011500-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
745 AM PST FRI NOV 30 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN OREGON AND NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FOR THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT...A HIGH
WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
SEE PRODUCT FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SPILDE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 1, 4:00 AM PSTHigh Wind WarningMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas, Jackson, Josephine, Lake63 hr
Dec 1, 1:41 PM PSTWind AdvisoryMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas, Jackson, Josephine, Klamath and 1 more49 hr

Nearby

High Surf Warnings in Oregon, 2007Every high surf warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.