Red Flag Warning 37, NWS Miami, FL

000 
WWUS82 KMFL 061710
RFWMFL

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
110 PM EDT FRI APR 6 2007

FLZ070-062300-
/O.EXA.KMFL.FW.W.0037.000000T0000Z-070406T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.FW.A.0020.070407T1600Z-070407T2300Z/
EASTERN COLLIER-
110 PM EDT FRI APR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. 

A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING A DRY AIRMASS
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DEWPOINTS ARE
FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE 40S THIS AFTERNOON. THESE LOW
DEWPOINTS...COMBINED WITH HIGHS NEAR 80... WILL RESULT IN RHS
BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. THUS...A RED
FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
THIS NORTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL ENHANCE THE WEST COAST SEA
BREEZE...AND ALTHOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAY FALL
MOMENTARILY BELOW 35 PERCENT...THIS WILL LIKELY BE OF LIMITED
DURATION AS THE MORE MOIST GULF AIR PUSHES FARTHER INLAND. 

CRITICAL RHS COULD AGAIN BE REACHED FOR LONG DURATION ON
SATURDAY. THUS...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
AREA FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. THIS
WATCH LIKELY WILL BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING LATER TODAY.


A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ063-066-062300-
/O.CON.KMFL.FW.W.0037.000000T0000Z-070406T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.FW.A.0020.070407T1600Z-070407T2300Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-
110 PM EDT FRI APR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING A DRY AIRMASS
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DEWPOINTS ARE
FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE 40S THIS AFTERNOON. THESE LOW
DEWPOINTS...COMBINED WITH HIGHS NEAR 80... WILL RESULT IN RHS
BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. THUS...A RED
FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
CRITICAL RHS COULD AGAIN BE REACHED FOR LONG DURATION ON
SATURDAY. THUS...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
AREA FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. THIS
WATCH LIKELY WILL BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING LATER TODAY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR.  LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ067>069-071>075-062300-
/O.CON.KMFL.FW.A.0020.070407T1600Z-070407T2300Z/
PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-WESTERN COLLIER-
WESTERN BROWARD-BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-
DADE METROPOLITAN-MAINLAND MONROE-
110 PM EDT FRI APR 6 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KMFL 061856
RFWMFL

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
256 PM EDT FRI APR 6 2007

FLZ063-066-070-062330-
/O.UPG.KMFL.FW.A.0020.070407T1600Z-070407T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMFL.FW.W.0038.070407T1600Z-070407T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMFL.FW.A.0021.070408T1600Z-070408T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMFL.FW.W.0037.000000T0000Z-070406T2300Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-EASTERN COLLIER-
256 PM EDT FRI APR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA WILL BRING A DRY AIRMASS
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DEWPOINTS
ARE FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE 40S THIS AFTERNOON. THESE LOW
DEWPOINTS...COMBINED WITH HIGHS NEAR 80... WILL RESULT IN RHS
BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THUS...A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS. 


CRITICAL RHS WILL AGAIN BE REACHED FOR LONG DURATION ON SATURDAY.
THUS...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. 

A SECOND SHOT OF DRY AIR MAY SPREAD SOUTH ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
SUNDAY. SLIGHTLY HIGHER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS STILL
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S WILL RESULT IN RH HOVERING AROUND 35
PERCENT FOR FEW HOURS IN ALL AREAS BUT THE IMMEDIATE COASTS WHERE
SEA BREEZES MAY DEVELOP AND INJECT MOISTURE. FOR THIS REASON A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA FOR
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR.

LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ067>069-071>075-062330-
/O.UPG.KMFL.FW.A.0020.070407T1600Z-070407T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMFL.FW.W.0038.070407T1600Z-070407T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KMFL.FW.A.0021.070408T1600Z-070408T2300Z/
PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-WESTERN COLLIER-
WESTERN BROWARD-BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-
DADE METROPOLITAN-MAINLAND MONROE-
256 PM EDT FRI APR 6 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 7 PM EDT SATURDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH
SUNDAY. WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE ON SATURDAY...MAXIMUM AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S MOST AREAS WHILE
DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO PLUNGE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S. THIS
AGAIN WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT IN
PRACTICALLY ALL OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA FOR 4 HOURS OR MORE. FOR
THIS REASON...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A SECOND SHOT OF DRY AIR MAY SPREAD SOUTH ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
SUNDAY. SLIGHTLY HIGHER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS STILL
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S WILL RESULT IN RH HOVERING AROUND 35
PERCENT FOR FEW HOURS IN ALL AREAS BUT THE IMMEDIATE COASTS WHERE
SEA BREEZES MAY DEVELOP AND INJECT MOISTURE. FOR THIS REASON A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA FOR
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER  OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS... LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. 
 
LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
404 AM EDT FRI APR 6 2007

.DISCUSSION...LARGE SCALE EASTERN U.S. TROUGH SETTING UP WITH
ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT NOW MOVING THROUGH S FLA. LINE OF
CONVECTION HAS FIRED UP ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH JUST OFF THE SE
CST AND THIS MOVING EVER SO SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD. A SHORTWAVE AT
THE BASE OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH TRAVERSING ACROSS THE SE GOFMEX
AND LARGE AREA OF EMBEDDED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE. SOME LIGHTNING BEGINNING TO SHOW UP WITH THE AREA SOUTH
OF THE KEYS AND THINK THIS SHOULD BE THE TREND WITH ANY LIGHTNING
STAYING OUT OVER THE WATER BUT STILL EXPECT SCATTERED SHRA OVER
THE MAINLAND. AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING,
THE STAGE WILL BE SET TO USHER IN A QUITE COOL AIRMASS FOR EARLY
APRIL WITH TEMPERATURES TONIGHT GETTING INTO THE 50S ALONG THE
EAST AND WEST COAST METRO REGIONS AND 40S OVER THE INTERIOR ZONES.
ANOTHER REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON
MONDAY AND ANOTHER SHOT OF RAIN BUT NOT LOOKING AS PROMISING AS
CURRENT SYSTEM. TEMPS WILL THEN MODIFY TOWARD MID WEEK AS UPPER
FLOW BECOMES ZONAL AND SFC HIGH MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC.

&&

.AVIATION...SHORTWAVE OVER THE GULF WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY...SETTING UP RETURN FLOW OVER TOP A W-NW DRYING SURFACE WIND
FLOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS
ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH SOME SHOWERS. DIFFICULT TO DEPICT
TIMING OF ANY SHOWERS AND/OR BRIEF LOWERING OF CIGS...SO WENT WITH
A PREVAILING CIG AT ALL TERMINALS OF 5K FT...WHICH IS THE
PREDOMINANT CIG UPSTREAM OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA EARLY THIS MORNING.
BEST ESTIMATE OF CLEARING SKIES IS BETWEEN 18-19Z AT APF AND
PBI...AND BY 22 OR 23Z FURTHER SOUTH AT THE BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE
SITES.

&&

.MARINE...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING
WITH NW WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT BUT AT SPEEDS OF LESS THAN 15 KT.
THIS WILL KEEP SEAS BELOW ANY ADVISORY CRITERIA. PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL BEGIN TO TIGHTEN TONIGHT AS A STRONG SFC RIDGE BUILDS BEHIND
THE FRONT AND SEAS WILL BUILD TO OVER 7 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AND
THEN SUBSIDE AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...VERY DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO S FLA THIS MORNING
WITH RH VALUES EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT ACROSS GLADES AND
HENDRY FOR ABOUT 5 HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. THUS, A RFW WILL BE
ISSUED FOR THESE ZONES. RH VALUES WILL ALSO GET CLOSE TO 35
PERCENT OR MAYBE SLIGHTLY BELOW FOR AN HOUR OR TWO ACROSS NORTHERN
COLLIER COUNTY. THIS DRY AIR WILL FINALLY COVER ALL OF S FLA BY
EARLY SATURDAY AND RH VALUES WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
VEER LIGHT EASTERLY ON SUNDAY AND THIS WILL BRING IN SLIGHTLY
HIGHER DEW POINTS AND THUSLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  81  56  75  55 / 30 -  10 10
FORT LAUDERDALE  80  58  77  57 / 30 -  10 10
MIAMI            81  57  77  57 / 40 -  10 10
NAPLES           77  55  74  50 / 20 -  10 10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR FLZ063-FLZ066-FLZ067-FLZ068-FLZ069-FLZ070-
     FLZ071-FLZ072-FLZ073-FLZ074-FLZ075.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR FLZ063-FLZ066.

AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

LONG TERM...30/KOB
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...57/DG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1033 PM EDT THU APR 5 2007

FLZ063-066>075-061445-
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
1033 PM EDT THU APR 5 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD
TO WATER LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY...WITH
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE 20 TO 25
KNOT RANGE OVER THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS ON SATURDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL CREATE SEAS IN THE 6 TO 8 FOOT RANGE IN THE GULF STREAM
BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. FURTHERMORE...THE COMBINATION OF NORTH
WINDS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN APPARENT TEMPERATURES
IN THE 35 TO 45 DEGREE RANGE IN THE REGION AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE
ON BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNINGS.

THERE IS ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY...AS A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL PASS ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY.
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

70/DD