Severe Thunderstorm Warning 123, NWS Memphis, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1023 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

.UPDATE...

ANOTHER WARM DAY ON TAP FOR THE MIDSOUTH TODAY. TEMPERATURES ARE
CURRENTLY RUNNING AT LEAST 2 TO 3 DEGREES WARMER IF NOT MORE THAN
THIS TIME YESTERDAY. THE TEMPERATURE HAS ALREADY HIT THE 90 DEGREE
MARK IN MEMPHIS AND TUPELO WITH OTHER LOCATIONS SITTING IN THE MID
TO UPPER 80S. CU DEVELOPMENT HAS BEGUN AND WITH A COLD FRONT
SINKING INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON...EXPECT
IT WILL ONLY BE A MATTER OF TIME BEFORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO POP. SINCE TEMPERATURES ARE WARMER THAN
PREVIOUS DAYS WILL BUMP UP HIGHS SLIGHTLY AS CLOUDS FROM SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BEGIN TO HINDER CONTINUE WARM-UP AS
THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. EXPECT HIGHS TO REACH WELL INTO THE MID
90S MAYBE A FEW PLACES MAY REACH THE UPPER 90S. REST OF FORECAST
LOOKS GOOD. UPDATE WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 342 AM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007/

DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY...SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE MID SOUTH THIS
MORNING WITH TEMPS IN THE LOWER AND MID 70S. HUMID CONDITIONS
CONTINUE WITH DEWPOINTS AROUND 70. MOST OF THE SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY
THIS MORNING IS OCCURRING INVOF A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT LOCATED
ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.

TODAY...LOWERED POPS SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AS UPPER
RIDGE CONTINUES TO HOLD ON ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THE MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE ACROSS THE REGION WILL CONTINUE
WITH SCATTERED TSTMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS CLIMB INTO
THE 90S. LIKE PREVIOUS AFTERNOONS SOME STORMS COULD HAVE GUSTY
WINDS AND SMALL HAIL ALONG WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN. THE COLD FRONT
WILL SLOWLY SAG SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY TO AROUND THE KY/TN
STATE LINE SO WENT WITH HIGHER POPS ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA.

TONIGHT...ANOTHER WARM AND MUGGY NIGHT ON TAP. WILL CONTINUE POPS
OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE WEAK SURFACE FRONT ACROSS
THE VERY NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA...THOUGH MOST OF THE
ACTIVITY WILL PROBABLY OCCUR DURING THE EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING.

SATURDAY...THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS A MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE SAGS SOUTHWARD INTO THE MID SOUTH ALONG WITH THE WEAK
COLD FRONT. SATURDAY PROBABLY REPRESENTS THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN
ACROSS THE MID SOUTH. MOISTURE POOLING ACROSS THE AREA INVOF THE
FRONT WILL PUSH PRECIP H20 VALUES TO OVER 2 INCHES. THIS DEEP
MOISTURE COMBINED WITH A LITTLE MORE INSTABILITY SHOULD RESULT IN
A GOOD DEAL OF TSTM DEVELOPMENT. EXPECT 40-50 MPH WINDS...SMALL
HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH ANY STORMS.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THE WEAK COLD FRONT AND MID
LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL SLOWLY PUSH THROUGH REGION DURING THIS TIME
FRAME WITH SLOWLY DECREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIP. CLEARING IS
EXPECTED ACROSS MOST AREAS BY MONDAY MORNING.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A DRIER AIRMASS WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES WILL
PUSH INTO THE MID SOUTH FOR THE START OF THE WORK WEEK. BY
WEDNESDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIP OFF TO THE EAST RESULTING IN A
RETURN TO MORE HUMID CONDITIONS. BY THURSDAY ANOTHER FRONT
APPROACHES THE AREA WITH A CHANCE FOR RAIN.

&&

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

KRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1220 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

ARZ035-048-291800-
CROSS AR-ST. FRANCIS AR-
1220 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...SOUTHWESTERN CROSS AND
WESTERN ST. FRANCIS COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50
MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 11 MILES WEST OF CALDWELL AT 1220 PM CDT...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CROSS AND ST. FRANCIS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
WYNNE...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ALERT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1234 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

ARZ008-291815-
RANDOLPH AR-
1234 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...RANDOLPH COUNTY.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 45 TO 55
MPH WINDS WERE LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ATTICA AT 1234 PM CDT...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

PEOPLE IN RANDOLPH COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF POCAHONTAS...SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY..

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1245 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

ARZ017-291845-
LAWRENCE AR-
1245 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...LAWRENCE COUNTY.

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
45 TO 55 MPH WINDS WERE ENTERING WESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY AT 1245 PM.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PEOPLE IN LAWRENCE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF BLACK ROCK...SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CDT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1258 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

ARZ035-048-291845-
CROSS AR-ST. FRANCIS AR-
1258 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...CROSS AND ST. FRANCIS
COUNTIES.

THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS
WERE LOCATED OVER COLT AT 1258 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CROSS AND ST. FRANCIS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
FORREST CITY...MADISON AND WYNNE...SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS
CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM
CDT.