Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS44 KMAF 191029
WSWMAF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
429 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
BEGINNING THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER 
NORTHERN BAJA HAS TAPPED INTO DEEP PACIFIC MOISTURE. MEANWHILE A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY BRINGING COLDER
TEMPERATURES. THIS PACIFIC MOISTURE IS UNUSUALLY RICH FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR AND THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN HIGH
ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE AREA. THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE IN THE
LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE IS COMPLICATED RESULTING IN THE
POSSIBILITY OF A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER. GENERALLY FREEZING
RAIN THROUGH MID MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON WILL TRANSITION TO
SNOW AND SLEET OVERNIGHT. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW AND ICE ARE EXPECTED IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO...AND THE NORTHWEST PERMIAN BASIN.

FORECASTING THE TYPE OF PRECIPITATION IN THESE SITUATIONS IS
DIFFICULT AND THE PRECIPITATION TYPE EXPERIENCED MAY VARY IN SHORT
DISTANCES AND IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. BE PREPARED FOR A
VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PERSONNEL WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE OR
SATELLITE TELEVISION PROVIDER REGARDING THIS SIGNIFICANT WINTER
WEATHER. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION ALSO CAN BE OBTAINED ON
OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND.

FOR ROAD CONDITIONS ACROSS TEXAS...PLEASE CALL THE TEXAS
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AT 1 8 0 0 4 5 2 9 2 9 2. FOR NEW
MEXICO ROAD CONDITIONS...PLEASE CALL THE NEW MEXICO DEPARTMENT OF
TRANSPORTATION AT 1 8 0 0 4 3 2 4 2 6 9.

TXZ068>070-075-080-192200-
/O.CAN.KMAF.WS.W.0002.070119T1200Z-070121T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.WW.Y.0004.070119T1200Z-070120T1800Z/
CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...
FORT STOCKTON...MARFA
429 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH A
GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL MAKE THE POSSIBILITY OF A VARIETY
OF WINTER WEATHER. THIS MORNING RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN MAY MIX WITH
SLEET. AS TEMPERATURES FALL TONIGHT A TRANSITION TO SNOW AND
SLEET IS EXPECTED. ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS
THAN ONE QUARTER INCH WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE BY NOON
SATURDAY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

TXZ079-081-191130-
/O.CAN.KMAF.WS.W.0002.070119T1200Z-070121T0000Z/
PRESIDIO VALLEY-BIG BEND AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRESIDIO...BIG BEND NP...MARATHON
429 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING. 

A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN WILL EXISTS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH EARLY 
SATURDAY...HOWEVER TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE TOO WARM FOR
WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION. THE GLASS MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN
BREWSTER MAY GET AN INCH OF SNOW.

$$

TXZ082-191130-
/O.CAN.KMAF.WS.A.0003.070119T1200Z-070121T0000Z/
TERRELL-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SANDERSON
429 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WATCH. 

A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN WILL EXISTS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH EARLY 
SATURDAY...HOWEVER TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE TOO WARM FOR
WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

$$

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067-074-258-192200-
/O.EXT.KMAF.WS.W.0002.070119T1029Z-070120T1800Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...
SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...
BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...PECOS...MENTONE...
RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY...
MONAHANS...ALPINE...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
429 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007 /329 AM MST FRI JAN 19 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST /11 AM MST/
SATURDAY...

CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FAR WEST INCLUDING THE MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS
OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FREEZING RAIN THIS
MORNING WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS NEAR ONE QUARTER INCH POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. FARTHER EAST INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN
A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN BELOW ONE QUARTER INCH THROUGH NOON. HOWEVER AS THE
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION INCREASES LATER IN THE DAY MORE COOLING
WILL OCCUR AND THE PRECIPITATION TYPE IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO
SNOW AND SLEET ACROSS ALL AREAS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
9 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS. SNOW TOTALS ACROSS THE PERMIAN
BASIN OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

000 
WWUS44 KMAF 192250
WSWMAF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
450 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
BEGINNING TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.AN INTENSE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LOCATED OVER NORTHERN BAJA
THIS AFTERNOON WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO BY SATURDAY MORNING. ABUNDANT PACIFIC
MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. COLD AIR IN PLACE
WILL INTERACT WITH THIS MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A VARIETY OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

FORECASTING THE TYPE OF PRECIPITATION IN THESE SITUATIONS IS
DIFFICULT AND THE PRECIPITATION TYPE EXPERIENCED MAY VARY IN
SHORT DISTANCES AND IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. BE PREPARED FOR A
VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PERSONNEL WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE OR
SATELLITE TELEVISION PROVIDER REGARDING THIS SIGNIFICANT WINTER
WEATHER. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION ALSO CAN BE OBTAINED ON
OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND.

FOR ROAD CONDITIONS ACROSS TEXAS...PLEASE CALL THE TEXAS
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AT 1 8 0 0 4 5 2 9 2 9 2. FOR NEW
MEXICO ROAD CONDITIONS...PLEASE CALL THE NEW MEXICO DEPARTMENT OF
TRANSPORTATION AT 1 8 0 0 4 3 2 4 2 6 9.

TXZ058>060-067-074-201100-
/O.CAN.KMAF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070120T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KMAF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070120T1800Z/
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-WARD-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PECOS...MENTONE...RED BLUFF LAKE...
KERMIT...MONAHANS...ALPINE
450 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE FREEZING RAIN MAY
BEGIN TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND SNOW SATURDAY MORNING.
MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
MOTORISTS TRAVELLING ON AREA ROADWAYS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME
CAUTION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057-061>063-258-201100-
/O.CON.KMAF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070120T1800Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...
SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...
BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...ODESSA...MIDLAND...
GARDEN CITY...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
450 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007 /350 PM MST FRI JAN 19 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST /11 AM
MST/ SATURDAY...

PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...THE VAN HORN CORRIDOR...AND THE NORTHEASTERN
PERMIAN BASIN TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN...OCCASIONALLY MIXING WITH SLEET IS ANTICIPATED
TONIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN...AND THE WESTERN LOW
ROLLING PLAINS...INCLUDING MIDLAND AND ODESSA...BIG SPRING...AND
SNYDER. PERIODS OF SLEET AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE
LOCATIONS SATURDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE QUARTER
INCH ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE SATURDAY. 

MOTORISTS TRAVELLING ON AREA ROADS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

TXZ068>070-075-080-201100-
/O.CON.KMAF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070120T1800Z/
CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...
FORT STOCKTON...MARFA
450 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
SATURDAY...

PERIODS OF RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PERMIAN BASIN TONIGHT...WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SLEET
OR SNOW EXPECTED SATURDAY. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. MOTORISTS TRAVELLING ON AREA ROADWAYS SHOULD
EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

000 
WWUS44 KMAF 192308 CCA
WSWMAF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
504 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.AN INTENSE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LOCATED OVER NORTHERN BAJA
THIS AFTERNOON WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO BY SATURDAY MORNING. ABUNDANT PACIFIC
MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. COLD AIR IN PLACE
WILL INTERACT WITH THIS MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A VARIETY OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

FORECASTING THE TYPE OF PRECIPITATION IN THESE SITUATIONS IS
DIFFICULT AND THE PRECIPITATION TYPE EXPERIENCED MAY VARY IN
SHORT DISTANCES AND IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. BE PREPARED FOR A
VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PERSONNEL WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE OR
SATELLITE TELEVISION PROVIDER REGARDING THIS SIGNIFICANT WINTER
WEATHER. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION ALSO CAN BE OBTAINED ON
OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND.

FOR ROAD CONDITIONS ACROSS TEXAS...PLEASE CALL THE TEXAS
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AT 1 8 0 0 4 5 2 9 2 9 2. FOR NEW
MEXICO ROAD CONDITIONS...PLEASE CALL THE NEW MEXICO DEPARTMENT OF
TRANSPORTATION AT 1 8 0 0 4 3 2 4 2 6 9.

TXZ058>060-067-074-201130-
/O.CAN.KMAF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070120T1800Z/
/O.COR.KMAF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070120T1800Z/
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-WARD-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PECOS...MENTONE...RED BLUFF LAKE...
KERMIT...MONAHANS...ALPINE
504 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST SATURDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE FREEZING RAIN MAY
BEGIN TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND SNOW SATURDAY MORNING.
MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON AREA ROADWAYS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME
CAUTION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057-061>063-258-201130-
/O.COR.KMAF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070120T1800Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...
SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...
BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...ODESSA...MIDLAND...
GARDEN CITY...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
504 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007 /404 PM MST FRI JAN 19 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST /11 AM
MST/ SATURDAY...

PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...THE VAN HORN CORRIDOR...AND THE NORTHWESTERN
PERMIAN BASIN TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN...OCCASIONALLY MIXING WITH SLEET IS ANTICIPATED
TONIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN...AND THE WESTERN LOW
ROLLING PLAINS...INCLUDING MIDLAND AND ODESSA...BIG SPRING...AND
SNYDER. PERIODS OF SLEET AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS
SATURDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH ARE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
POSSIBLE SATURDAY.

MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON AREA ROADS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

TXZ068>070-075-080-201130-
/O.COR.KMAF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070120T1800Z/
CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...
FORT STOCKTON...MARFA
504 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
SATURDAY...

PERIODS OF RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PERMIAN BASIN...STOCKTON PLATEAU...AND MARFA PLATEAU 
TONIGHT...WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...SLEET OR SNOW EXPECTED
SATURDAY. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON AREA ROADWAYS SHOULD EXERCISE
EXTREME CAUTION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CORRECTED LOCATION OF SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN.

000 
WWUS44 KMAF 200314
WSWMAF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
914 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.AN INTENSE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LOCATED OVER NORTHERN BAJA
THIS AFTERNOON WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO BY SATURDAY MORNING. ABUNDANT PACIFIC
MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. COLD AIR
IN PLACE WILL INTERACT WITH THIS MOISTURE TO PRODUCE A VARIETY OF
WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN
NEW MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

FORECASTING THE TYPE OF PRECIPITATION IN THESE SITUATIONS IS
DIFFICULT AND THE PRECIPITATION TYPE EXPERIENCED MAY VARY IN
SHORT DISTANCES AND IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME. BE PREPARED FOR A
VARIETY OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PERSONNEL WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE OR
SATELLITE TELEVISION PROVIDER REGARDING THIS SIGNIFICANT WINTER
WEATHER. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION ALSO CAN BE OBTAINED ON
OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND.

FOR ROAD CONDITIONS ACROSS TEXAS...PLEASE CALL THE TEXAS
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AT 1 8 0 0 4 5 2 9 2 9 2. FOR NEW
MEXICO ROAD CONDITIONS...PLEASE CALL THE NEW MEXICO DEPARTMENT OF
TRANSPORTATION AT 1 8 0 0 4 3 2 4 2 6 9.

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057-061>063-258-201100-
/O.CON.KMAF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070120T1800Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...
SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...
BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...ODESSA...MIDLAND...
GARDEN CITY...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
914 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007 /814 PM MST FRI JAN 19 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST /11 AM
MST/ SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST /11 AM
MST/ SATURDAY. 

PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AND SNOW...WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...THE VAN HORN CORRIDOR...
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN THROUGH
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SLEET
AND SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PERMIAN BASIN...AND THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS...INCLUDING
MIDLAND AND ODESSA...BIG SPRING...AND SNYDER. SLEET AND SNOW COULD
MIX WITH THE FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND
ONE QUARTER INCH ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. MORE SLEET AND SNOW MAY MIX
WITH THE FREEZING RAIN SATURDAY MORNING...HOWEVER SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AN INCH OR LESS.

MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON AREA ROADS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

TXZ058>060-067>070-074-075-080-201100-
/O.CON.KMAF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070120T1800Z/
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-WARD-CRANE-
UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PECOS...MENTONE...RED BLUFF LAKE...
KERMIT...MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...
ALPINE...FORT STOCKTON...MARFA
914 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
SATURDAY. 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
SATURDAY. 

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE FREEZING RAIN MAY
BEGIN TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND SNOW SATURDAY MORNING.
MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON AREA ROADWAYS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME
CAUTION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

000 
WWUS44 KMAF 201122
WSWMAF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
522 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER STORM CONTINUES TO HOLD A GRIP ON WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

.A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LOCATED OVER NORTHERN MEXICO
IS MOVING EAST TOWARD WEST TEXAS. DEEP MOISTURE IS IN PLACE EAST
OF THE LOW AND IS RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. A WARM
LAYER A FEW THOUSAND FEET ABOVE THE GROUND IS FAVORING FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET. SOME SNOW IS FAVORED ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
AND THE MOUNTAINS WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE COLDEST. THIS WINTRY MIX
OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE MORNING AND THEN
DECREASE LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

REPORTS ACROSS THE AREA INDICATE THAT ICE AND SLEET HAS ACCUMULATED
ON EXPOSED SURFACES AND ON SOME ROADWAYS. MANY ROADS ACROSS
CULBERSON COUNTY HAVE BEEN CLOSED AND EDDY COUNTY SPOTTERS REPORT
EXTENSIVE ICE AND SLEET. FARTHER EAST INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN ICE
HAS FORMED ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES IN MIDLAND. TRAVEL IS
DISCOURAGED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PERSONNEL WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE OR
SATELLITE TELEVISION PROVIDER REGARDING THIS SIGNIFICANT WINTER
WEATHER. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION ALSO CAN BE OBTAINED ON
OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND.

FOR ROAD CONDITIONS ACROSS TEXAS...PLEASE CALL THE TEXAS
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AT 1 8 0 0 4 5 2 9 2 9 2. FOR NEW
MEXICO ROAD CONDITIONS...PLEASE CALL THE NEW MEXICO DEPARTMENT OF
TRANSPORTATION AT 1 8 0 0 4 3 2 4 2 6 9.

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057-061>063-258-202100-
/O.EXT.KMAF.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070120T2100Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL...
SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON...
BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...ODESSA...MIDLAND...
GARDEN CITY...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
522 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007 /422 AM MST SAT JAN 20 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/
THIS AFTERNOON...

PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN...MIXED WITH SLEET AND SNOW...WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...THE VAN HORN CORRIDOR...SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO THROUGH MOST OF THE MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE TO AROUND
ONE QUARTER INCH WITH SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED.

PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SOME SLEET WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS
MOST OF PERMIAN BASIN...AND THE WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS...INCLUDING
MIDLAND AND ODESSA...BIG SPRING...AND SNYDER. ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO 
AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH ARE POSSIBLE WITH SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH.

MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON AREA ROADS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

TXZ058>060-067>070-074-075-080-202100-
/O.EXT.KMAF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-070120T2100Z/
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-WARD-CRANE-
UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PECOS...MENTONE...RED BLUFF LAKE...
KERMIT...MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...
ALPINE...FORT STOCKTON...MARFA
522 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST
SATURDAY.

FREEZING RAIN MAY RESULT IN AREAS OF ICE WITH LESS THAN ONE
QUARTER INCH ACCUMULATION. SLEET ACCUMULATIONS TO AROUND 1 INCH
ARE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS TRAVELING ON AREA ROADWAYS SHOULD EXERCISE
EXTREME CAUTION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
446 AM CST THU JAN 18 2007

.SHORT TERM...
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ROTATING OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
PER CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.  THAT IS ABOUT WHERE THE CERTAINTY
ENDS FOR THIS FORECAST PERIOD.  THERE ARE SOME SIMILARITIES BETWEEN
THE MODELS...BUT THERE ARE ALSO SOME PRETTY WILD DIFFERENCES GIVEN
THE CLOSE TIME FRAME.  SOME OF THE DIFFERENCES...THE NAM HAS THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINING OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM WHILE THE GFS HAS IT THERE FOR THE FIRST
PORTION OF THE PERIOD BUT THEN MOVING ONSHORE OVER NORTHERN BAJA.
THE GFS HAS A STRONGER COLD FRONT DEPICTED THAN THE NAM AND MOVES IT
THROUGH THE FA A FEW HOURS AHEAD OF THE NAM.  THE AIRMASS BEHIND THE
FRONT IS COLDER ON THE GFS THAN ON THE NAM.  HAVE TAKEN ALL OF THESE
DIFFERENCES...TRENDS OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS...AND CURRENT CONDITIONS
AND HAVE ASSEMBLED A FORECAST OF SORTS.

FIRST...TEMPERATURES...GIVEN THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES...AND YESTERDAY/S SNOWFALL SOME OF WHICH IS STILL ON
THE GROUND...AM NOT INCLINED TO GO WITH THE VERY BULLISH HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON THE METMOS.  HAVE INSTEAD GONE WITH THE MAVMOS OR A
FEW DEGREES BELOW.  METMOS HAD MOST LOCATIONS WARMING A FULL 30
DEGREES ABOVE HIGHS THE LAST FEW DAYS.  STILL WARMED TEMPS BUT ONLY
10 TO 15 DEGREES.  CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT WILL KEEP US INSULATED TO
AN EXTENT...BUT WITH THE FRONT BLOWING THROUGH EXPECT LOW TEMPS TO
COOL TO NEAR WHAT THEY HAVE BEEN THE LAST FEW DAYS.

CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND
OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA AND THEN MOVES THROUGH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING.  ANY ONE PRECIPITATION TYPE
REMAINS ELUSIVE WITH MODEL SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE AREA INDICATING JUST
ABOUT EVERY POSSIBLE PRECIP TYPE AT SOME POINT AT SOME LOCATION
DURING THE DAY.  ATTP...IT LOOKS LIKE RAIN MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN
THIS MORNING...THEN AS TEMPERATURES WARM WE/LL MOVE TO ALL RAIN THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.  OVERNIGHT...WE/LL HAVE
EVERYTHING FROM SNOW IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO TO RAIN DOWN BY THE
RIO GRANDE AND SOME COMBINATION OF FREEZING RAIN/SLEET/SNOW/RAIN IN
THE MIDDLE.  PREDOMINANT TYPE ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE SLEET
BUT AGAIN...JUST ABOUT ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE TIMING
OF THE FRONT AND ONSET OF PRECIPITATION.

DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING OF THE FRONT AND THE STRENGTH
AND PATH OF THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM...HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE THE
WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 06Z TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.  WILL LEAVE TO THE DAY SHIFT WHETHER TO ISSUE A WARNING OF
SOME SORT.

.LONG TERM...
ANOTHER WINTER WEATHER EVENT...VERY POSSIBLY A SIGNIFICANT ONE...
APPEARS LIKELY BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.  THE FORECAST WILL BE VERY COMPLICATED INTO SUNDAY AS THE
EVENTUAL SPEED/TRACK OF A CUTOFF LOW CURRENTLY OFF THE SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST...AND THE PROGRESS OF A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY
SPREADING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL DETERMINE PRECIPITATION TYPES
AND AMOUNTS DURING THAT TIME.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED THE CUTOFF LOW WAS STILL MOVING SOUTH
EARLY THIS MORNING...WHICH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS SEEM TO HAVE A GOOD
HANDLE ON.  COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUE TO
STREAM EAST/NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC INTO THE
CENTRAL U.S. AND IS PROGGED TO PERSIST INTO SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE
CUTOFF LOW.  AS LIFT INCREASES OVER THE AREA FRIDAY FROM THE WEST...
IT LOOKS LIKE RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN MODE OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE
SOUTHERN QUARTER OF THE CWA...WHILE POINTS TO THE NORTH WILL BE A
VARIETY OF WINTER PRECIPITATION.  MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATING ALL
SNOW DURING THE DAY FRIDAY ALONG AND NORTH OF A GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...AND NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN LINE.  A MIX OF
SLEET AND SNOW APPEARS LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF A VAN HORN TO
CRANE TO GARDEN CITY LINE.  THEN A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
LOOKS POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF A CANDELARIA TO ALPINE TO IRAAN
LINE.  THESE PRECIPITATION CONFIGURATIONS...AT LEAST ACCORDING TO
THE 18/00Z MODEL CYCLE...APPEAR TO CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.  THE PRECIPITATION WILL THEN CHANGE TO MAINLY SNOW BEFORE
ENDING ON SATURDAY.  UNFORTUNATELY...THE 06Z/18 MODEL RUNS COMING
IN SEEM TO BE DIVERGING ON A SOLUTION INSTEAD OF CONVERGING ON
ONE...WHICH IS LEADING TO LESS CONFIDENCE ON PRECIPITATION TYPES
AND AMOUNTS DURING THE EVENT.  WE STILL STAND TO SEE A SIGNIFICANT
WINTER WEATHER EVENT...BUT THE UNCERTAINTY OF TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THE ATMOSPHERIC PROFILE WILL SABOTAGE UPGRADING THE WINTER STORM
WATCH TO A WARNING AT THIS TIME.  IT APPEARS SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE
NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN COULD BE AS HIGH AS 8 TO 12 INCHES...WHILE
SNOWFALL TOTALS ALONG AND NORTH OF A VAN HORN TO CRANE TO GARDEN
CITY LINE COULD BE LIMITED TO THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE DUE TO SLEET
MIXING WITH THE SNOW.  ICE ACCUMULATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF A
CANDELARIA TO ALPINE TO IRAAN LINE COULD ALSO BE A PROBLEM...
DEPENDING ON WHETHER COLD ENOUGH AIR INFILTRATES THAT FAR SOUTH.
WILL INCLUDE THIS INFORMATION IN THE WINTER STORM WATCH.

MODELS ALSO STRUGGLING WITH HOW FAST CUTOFF LOW EJECTS NORTHEASTWARD.
SINCE MOST APPEAR TO LIFT TROUGH AXIS BY THE AREA BY SATURDAY
EVENING LOWERED POPS A LITTLE SATURDAY NIGHT.  DID NOT SPEND MUCH
TIME ON THE REST OF THE EXTENDED AS THE NEAR TERM WAS SO TIME
CONSUMING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              42  21  30  29  /  20  70  80  80
CARLSBAD NM                45  28  30  24  /  20  80  90  80
DRYDEN TX                  48  34  38  31  /  20  60  60  70
FORT STOCKTON TX           43  29  33  30  /  30  70  70  70
GUADALUPE PASS TX          41  23  31  22  /  20  80  90  80
HOBBS NM                   45  25  29  24  /  20  70  90  80
MARFA TX                   42  31  34  27  /  30  70  70  70
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    44  24  31  26  /  20  70  80  80
ODESSA TX                  43  26  31  26  /  20  70  80  80
WINK TX                    43  30  31  27  /  20  80  80  80

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST SATURDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY
     PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA
     COUNTY...SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

TX...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ TONIGHT TO 6 PM
     CST /5 PM MST/ SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ANDREWS...
     BIG BEND AREA...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE
     MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...
     MIDLAND...MITCHELL...PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...REAGAN...
     REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...TERRELL...
     UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.

&&

74/67

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
310 PM CST THU JAN 18 2007

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-192100-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
310 PM CST THU JAN 18 2007 /210 PM MST THU JAN 18 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF RAIN MAY MIX WITH SLEET AND SNOW ACROSS THE VAN HORN
CORRIDOR...THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO PLAINS THIS EVENING.

PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE LATE TONIGHT. A MIX OF
SNOW AND SLEET IS LIKELY ACROSS THE VAN HORN CORRIDOR...THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...THE SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. A MIX OF
RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...AND SLEET IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS...THE SOUTHERN PERMIAN BASIN...AND THE STOCKTON PLATEAU
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 1 AND 2
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS
AND THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND VAN HORN CORRIDOR BY EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT ALL OF THE REGION FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND SLEET IS
LIKELY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20...WHERE SOME AREAS MAY RECEIVE SNOWFALL TOTALS IN
EXCESS OF 8 INCHES BY SATURDAY EVENING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND
ONE QUARTER INCH OR GREATER ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND PORTIONS OF THE STOCKTON
AND MARFA PLATEAUS AND THE NORTHERN BIG BEND BY SATURDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND