Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 398, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 17, 2007, 6:29 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 17, 2007, 6:29 PM MDT (00:29 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 17, 2007, 7:30 PM MDT
- In force
- 61 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Eddy County, NM
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 175 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 431 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -141 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1955 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 249 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.5
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS54 KMAF 180032
SVRMAF
NMC015-180130-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0398.070618T0029Z-070618T0130Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
629 PM MDT SUN JUN 17 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...
* UNTIL 730 PM MDT
* AT 626 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED
TO MONITOR A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES EAST
OF CARLSBAD...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF
PRODUCING PENNY SIZED HAIL AS IT MOVED SOUTH OF CARLSBAD.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
US HIGHWAY 62/180...
NM STATE HIGHWAY 31...
EASTERN EDDY COUNTY...
IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK
SAFE SHELTER NOW.
DURING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM... THE BEST PROTECTION CAN BE FOUND IN
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.
LAT...LON 3272 10383 3229 10384 3220 10390 3232 10421
3267 10401
$$
13What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 17, 12:57 PM MDT, 5 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 12:57 PM MDT, 5 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 157 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007 .SHORT TERM... CUTOFF LOW CONTINUED TO SPIN OVER NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...BUT WAS SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD ACCORDING TO WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. MEANWHILE...A PLUME OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WAS ENTRAPPED UNDER A BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER NEW MEXICO. A LOW LEVEL THETA E AXIS EXTENDED NORTH/SOUTH ALONG...AND WEST OF...THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...MORE OR LESS COLOCATED WITH A DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH. THE REMNANTS OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPEAR TO BE SITUATED FROM THE SURFACE TROUGH NEAR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE STOCKTON PLATEAU. THINK WE WILL SEE A CONTINUATION OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH/THETA E AXIS...AND OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY...THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...A STORM OR TWO COULD BRIEFLY PULSE UP AND PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL OR WIND...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TOO. THE THREAT OF THESE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL...LOOKS MOST LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...AND OVER THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS WHERE CAPE VALUES WILL BE THE HIGHEST. LACK OF APPRECIABLE SHEAR WILL LIMIT THE SEVERE THREAT THOUGH. A FEW STORMS COULD DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN CWA...A LAST PARTING SHOT FROM THE EXITING UPPER LOW...ESPECIALLY SINCE THE LLJ WILL DEVELOP. OTHERWISE...WIND SPEEDS WILL PROBABLY BE HIGHER THAN THE LAST NIGHT OR TWO...SO HAVE KEPT THE HIGHER MIN TEMPERATURES ALREADY IN THE FORECAST. .LONG TERM... UPPER LOW OVER NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS WILL MOVE EAST INTO ARKANSAS AND LOUISIANA AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN CWA MONDAY AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...WARM DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH WELL INTO THE 90S OVER MOST AREAS MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS A THERMAL RIDGE DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN CWA IN RESPONSE TO THE RIDGE. OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS AND THE BIG BEND REGION...HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS CAN BE EXPECTED. BY WEDNESDAY...THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE TROUGH WILL SERVE TO PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA WEDNESDAY COOLING TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING AROUND THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE HIGH WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN AREAS WEDNESDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THURSDAY AND WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE OVER THE AREA BY EARLY FRIDAY AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH AWAY FROM THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AGAIN FRIDAY AS THE THERMAL RIDGE REDEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN CWA. WARM DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND AS THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES OVER THE REGION. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BIG SPRING TX 72 97 74 95 / 20 10 10 10 CARLSBAD NM 69 105 67 102 / 30 10 10 10 DRYDEN TX 71 98 72 98 / 20 10 10 10 FORT STOCKTON TX 71 101 73 100 / 10 10 10 10 GUADALUPE PASS TX 67 98 70 94 / 20 10 10 10 HOBBS NM 69 104 67 100 / 20 10 10 10 MARFA TX 57 93 60 94 / 10 10 10 10 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 70 98 71 97 / 10 10 10 10 ODESSA TX 73 99 74 98 / 10 10 10 10 WINK TX 72 107 71 105 / 20 10 10 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 67/54
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 17, 12:56 PM MDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 156 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-181900- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 156 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007 /1256 PM MDT SUN JUN 17 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREATS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF THESE STRONGER STORMS. SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...AND THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS STAND THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING ANY OF THESE ISOLATED STRONG STORMS. THUNDERSTORMS STRENGTH WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET...OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 17, 1:37 PM MDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 237 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007 TXZ075-172030- PECOS- 237 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF LONGFELLOW AT 237 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. ANOTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 27 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BAKERSFIELD...AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH. HEAVY RAINFALL AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.
Special weather statement, Jun 17, 2:28 PM MDT, 4 hours 1 minute before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 328 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007 TXZ074-081-172130- BIG BEND AREA-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- 328 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR NORTHERN BREWSTER COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 27 MILES EAST OF MARATHON AT 328 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT MOTORISTS ON U.S. HIGHWAY 90 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 264 AND 274. ANOTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF ALPINE AT 328 PM CDT. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY IN MOVEMENT AND WILL AFFECT THE CITY OF ALPINE AS WELL AS MOTORISTS ON STATE HIGHWAY 118 NORTH OF ALPINE AND MOTORISTS ON U.S. HIGHWAY 90 FROM ALPINE EAST TO THE INTERSECTION OF U.S. HIGHWAY 67. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN...PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL...STRONG WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH...AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION.
Special weather statement, Jun 17, 3:48 PM MDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 448 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007 TXZ074-081-172245- BIG BEND AREA-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- 448 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MARATHON AT 448 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT THE CITY OF MARATHON AS WELL AS MOTORISTS ON U.S. HIGHWAY 90 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 236 AND 250. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN...PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL...STRONG WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH...AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION.
Special weather statement, Jun 17, 4:45 PM MDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 545 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007 NMZ028-172345- EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- 445 PM MDT SUN JUN 17 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF COTTONWOOD ALONG US 285 AT 445 PM MDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. THIS STORM IS VERY STRONG AND COULD BECOME SEVERE AT ANY TIME. THOSE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD TAKE COVER AS IT APPROACHES. GUSTY WINDS... SMALL HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE. 13
Local storm report, Jun 17, 6:15 PM MDT, 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
715 PM CDT SUN JUN 17 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0650 PM HAIL 5 S CARLSBAD 32.33N 104.24W
06/17/2007 E0.75 INCH EDDY NM TRAINED SPOTTER
TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED PENNY SIZED HAIL ON COLEMAN ROAD
NEAR US HIGHWAY 62/180 SOUTH OF CARLSBAD.
&&
MUELLERThe office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 6:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy, Lea | 67 min |
| Jun 17, 8:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 66 min |
| Jun 17, 8:50 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Lea | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.