Red Flag Warning 5, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 281153
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
553 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS
AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR GREATER
ALONG WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM RH/S OF 10 PERCENT
OR LESS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF WEST TEXAS AND
ALL OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THURSDAY FOR FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF
20 MPH OR GREATER ALONG WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM
RH/S OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TEXAS
AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...INCREASING WINDS ARE EXPECTED
AREAWIDE. THIS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
ALL AREAS TODAY...WITH CONDITIONS VERY FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE
GROWTH OF WILDFIRES. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL DECREASE BELOW 20 MPH BY
LATE THIS EVENING...HOWEVER RH/S WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN POOR
OVERNIGHT. 

DRY AIR REMAINS IN PLACE ON THURSDAY AND INCREASING 20 FOOT WINDS
ARE EXPECTED DURING THE LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON HOURS.
THEREFORE...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF WEST
TEXAS AND ALL OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. 

TXZ082-282000-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0006.070301T1800Z-070302T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KMAF.FW.W.0005.070228T1800Z-070301T0300Z/
TERRELL-
553 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CST
THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
OF 10 PERCENT OR LESS COMBINED WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL CREATE CONDITIONS VERY FAVORABLE
FOR EXPLOSIVE GROWTH AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

AVOID ALL TYPES OF BURNING AND ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE
OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPLOSIVELY GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ079-282000-
/O.EXA.KMAF.FW.W.0005.070228T1800Z-070301T0300Z/
PRESIDIO VALLEY-
553 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CST
THIS EVENING. 

DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
OF 10 PERCENT OR LESS COMBINED WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL CREATE CONDITIONS VERY FAVORABLE
FOR EXPLOSIVE GROWTH AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

AVOID ALL TYPES OF BURNING AND ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE
OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPLOSIVELY GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

$$

NMZ114-TXZ258-282000-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FW.W.0005.070228T1200Z-070301T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
453 AM MST WED FEB 28 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS
EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST TO WEST 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL INCREASE INTO
THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE BY THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM 
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 10 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED. THESE FACTORS
WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL BE POOR OVERNIGHT AS WESTERLY
WINDS CONTINUE. 

AVOID ALL TYPES OF BURNING AND ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE
OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPLOSIVELY GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

$$

NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-282000-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0006.070301T1800Z-070302T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0005.070228T1800Z-070301T0300Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-
553 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007 /453 AM MST WED FEB 28 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST /11 AM MST/
TODAY TO 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST /11 AM MST/ TODAY TO 9 PM
CST /8 PM MST/ THIS EVENING. 

DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 PERCENT OR LESS
COMBINED WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH WILL CREATE CONDITIONS VERY FAVORABLE FOR
EXPLOSIVE GROWTH AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

AVOID ALL TYPES OF BURNING AND ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE
OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPLOSIVELY GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ080-081-282000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0005.070228T1800Z-070301T0300Z/
MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-
553 AM CST WED FEB 28 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CST
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CST
THIS EVENING. 

DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 PERCENT OR LESS
COMBINED WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH WILL CREATE CONDITIONS VERY FAVORABLE FOR
EXPLOSIVE GROWTH AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

AVOID ALL TYPES OF BURNING AND ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE
OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPLOSIVELY GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 282023
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
223 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH
OR GREATER ALONG WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM RH/S OF
10 PERCENT OR LESS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF WEST TEXAS AND 
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20
MPH OR GREATER ALONG WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM
RH/S OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS 
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO COOL OVERNIGHT BEHIND A PASSING COLD
FRONT. DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES...A VERY DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE
WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL 
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST
ON THURSDAY.

NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-082-010900-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0006.070301T1800Z-070302T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0006.070301T1800Z-070302T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070301T0300Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-TERRELL-
223 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 /123 PM MST WED FEB 28 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM CST /11 AM MST/ TO 6 PM
CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM CST /11 AM MST/ TO
6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY.  A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/ THIS EVENING.

DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING
AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 15 PERCENT WILL
COMBINED WITH STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
NEAR 45 MPH TO CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE GROWTH
AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

AVOID ALL TYPES OF BURNING AND ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE
OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPLOSIVELY GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

$$

NMZ114-TXZ079>081-258-010300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070301T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-PRESIDIO VALLEY-
MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
223 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 /123 PM MST WED FEB 28 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST /8 PM MST/
THIS EVENING. 

DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS WILL
COMBINE WITH STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS EVENING TO CREATE
CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE GROWTH AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.

AVOID ALL TYPES OF BURNING AND ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE
OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPLOSIVELY GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 010258
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
858 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MORNING FOR
THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...AND THE
UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH...RH/S OF 10
TO 15 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF
20 MPH OR GREATER ALONG WITH GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER...MINIMUM
RH/S OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.DRY WEST WINDS WILL REMAIN UP OVERNIGHT WITH VERY POOR HUMIDITY
RECOVERY EXPECTED...AS SUCH THE RED FLAG WARNING BEEN EXTENDED
THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS THE WEST. ALSO THE VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THURSDAY WITH WINDS STILL EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 20
MPH IN MOST PLACES. EVEN THOUGH IT WILL BE COOLER HIGH FIRE DANGER 
IS EXPECTED AND A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE
PLAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-011200-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070301T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0006.070301T1800Z-070302T0000Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-
858 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CST
THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR TONIGHT...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM CST
THURSDAY. 

DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT WILL RESULT IN POOR RECOVERY
TONIGHT BUT HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 15 PERCENT.

THURSDAY RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 15 PERCENT WILL COMBINE WITH
WESTERLY WINDS NEAR 20 MPH TO RESULT IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

AVOID ALL TYPES OF BURNING AND ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE
OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPLOSIVELY GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ079>081-010400-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070301T0300Z/
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-
858 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS CANCELLED THE
RED FLAG WARNING. 

WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH RH RECOVERY TO NEAR 25 PERCENT IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT.

$$

NMZ115-TXZ057-058-074-011200-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070301T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0006.070301T1800Z-070302T0000Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
858 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007 /758 PM MST WED FEB 28 2007/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST /3 AM MST/
THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM CST /11 AM MST/
TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST /3 AM MST/
THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM CST
/11 AM MST/ TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY. 

DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST INTO THE OVERNIGHT
AND AGAIN DEVELOP ON THURSDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 15
PERCENT WILL COMBINED WITH WESTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH TO
RESULT IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

AVOID ALL TYPES OF BURNING AND ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE
OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPLOSIVELY GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

$$

NMZ114-TXZ258-011000-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-070301T1000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
758 PM MST WED FEB 28 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MST THURSDAY...

DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS TONIGHT RESULTING IN POOR RECOVERY AND THE RED FLAG
WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED.

AVOID ALL TYPES OF BURNING AND ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE
OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO EXPLOSIVELY GROW INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN
WILDFIRES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
217 PM CST TUE FEB 27 2007

.SHORT TERM...
A LARGE/BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY INLAND
ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES.  AHEAD OF THIS UPPER TROUGH...WIND SPEEDS
ARE ON A STEADY INCREASE THROUGH THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS WITH G50KT
AT KGDP AND G55KT AT THE BOWL BY 19Z AS MOUNTAIN WAVE MATERIALIZES.
HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
UNTIL 28/06Z.

DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVERNIGHT WITH POOR RH RECOVERY.
AS THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES...SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL
NOT RELAX AS MUCH AS LAST NIGHT...MAINTAINING WIND SPEEDS IN THE 10
TO 15KT RANGE TONIGHT.  OVERNIGHT RADIATIONAL COOLING DUE TO LOW
SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL BE SOMEWHAT OFFSET BY GRADUALLY INCREASING
HIGH CLOUDS...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE MID 40S
BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...
IT MAY STILL BE FEBRUARY BUT LOOKING AT A SPRINGTIME WX PATTERN.
STRONG UPPER TROUGH SWINGING ACROSS THE ROCKIES ON WEDNESDAY WILL
CREATE A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AT THE SURFACE.  THE COMBINATION
OF A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AT THE SURFACE AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT
WILL RESULT IN WINDY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE
AREA TOMORROW.  ETA CARRYING 700 MB WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA IN
THE 50 TO 60 KT RANGE... MUCH OF THIS SHOULD MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE.

LATEST EDITION OF ETA/NAM/WRF NOT AS GOOD AT FORECASTING HIGH WINDS
AT GDP AS EARLIER VERSIONS... BUT IT DOES DEVELOP A STRONG MOUNTAIN
ROTOR DURING THE DAY... DECREASING TOWARD SUNDOWN... AND THEN
REDEVELOPING DURING THE EVENING.  GUADALUPES ALREADY IN A HIGH WIND
WARNING FOR THE SHORT TERM... WILL UPGRADE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR WEDNESDAY
TO A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR GUADALUPE TO DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND
SURROUNDING PLAINS... WILL ALSO INCLUDE A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE REST
OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO DOWN THROUGH THE TRANS PECOS REGION AND
MARFA PLATEAU.  THE PATTERN LOOKS VERY WINDY... AND THE MODELS
TYPICALLY UNDERESTIMATE HOW WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS THE
PLAINS... WIND ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED ACROSS PARTS OF
PERMIAN BASIN.  HIGH WIND WARNING FOR GUADALUPES RUNS TILL 06Z
THURSDAY... WITH REST OF WIND WARNING/ADVISORY EXPIRING AT 03Z
THURSDAY.  HIGH WIND MAY CONTINUE LATER THAN 03Z PLAINS AND 06Z
MOUNTAINS... LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO EXTEND TIME SLIGHTLY.

LOOKING FOR A WARM DAY TOMORROW WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S... BUT
THE LOW WILL DRAG A PACIFIC FRONT ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW BRINGING
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION LATE IN THE DAY/
OVERNIGHT.  PAC FRONT WILL DROP HIGHS TO THE 60S THURSDAY AND INTO
THE 50S FRIDAY.  LOOKS LIKE A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AIR WILL
SWING AROUND THE SURFACE LOW AND INTO THE REGION LATE FRIDAY...
RESULTING IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES SATURDAY.

THE EXTENDED LOOKS UNEVENTFUL AT THIS TIME.  NO PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED.  MODELS SHOW ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH SWINGING ACROSS THE AREA
SATURDAY.  CURRENT GUIDANCE NOT INDICATING STRONG WINDS... BUT
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE LATER RUNS DEVELOP THEM FOR SATURDAY.
HIGHS NEXT WEEK RETURN TO THE 70S AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK IN.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
XTREMELY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.
STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY AS MID-LEVEL WINDS OF
60-80KT SPREAD STEADILY EASTWARD ACROSS NEW MEXICO INTO WEST
TEXAS.  STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE HAINES INDICIES
WILL ENHANCE DOWNWARD MIXING/TRANSPORT OF STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO
THE SURFACE.  THESE STRONG DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH A
VERY DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE WEST OF THE DRYLINE /POOR OVERNIGHT RH
RECOVERY AROUND 20 PERCENT/ AND WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO
PLUMMET RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON...INGREDIENTS SUGGESTING A HIGH-END CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
DAY ON WEDNESDAY.  A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED FOR MUCH OF
WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

COOLER TEMPERATURES BEHIND A PASSING COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY AND
WINDS RELAXING SOMEWHAT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WILL PARTIALLY
OFFSET A CONTINUED DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE...AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES EXPECTED IN THE TEENS WILL RESULT IN MARGINALLY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              48  77  38  64  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                44  77  37  64  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  48  81  46  71  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           51  82  43  65  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          43  64  32  56  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   46  78  35  62  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   35  72  30  61  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    45  77  37  63  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  47  79  37  63  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    44  83  38  69  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...
     SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 12 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST
     WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF
     EDDY COUNTY.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
     NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM MST WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES...SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 5 AM TO 8 PM MST WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS...
     NORTHERN LEA COUNTY.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM CST /11 AM MST/ TO 9 PM CST /8 PM
     MST/ WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ANDREWS...BIG BEND
     AREA...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...
     DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
     HOWARD...LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...
     MITCHELL...PECOS...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS
     PECOS...SCURRY...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...
     WARD...WINKLER.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 12 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM MST
     WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM CST /12 PM MST/ THIS AFTERNOON TO
     MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...REEVES
     COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54
     CORRIDOR.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES...ANDREWS...GAINES...LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...PECOS...
     WARD...WINKLER.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...REEVES
     COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54
     CORRIDOR.

&&

01/72

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
133 PM CST TUE FEB 27 2007

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-281200-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
133 PM CST TUE FEB 27 2007 /1233 PM MST TUE FEB 27 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

WINDY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WESTERLY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 65 ARE POSSIBLE. MOTORISTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR STRONG WINDS IN THIS
AREA. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHEN DRIVING THROUGH STRONG WINDS.

VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ACCOMPANY THE WINDY CONDITIONS
FROM THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...TO THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...
THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...THE VAN HORN/ROUTE 54 CORRIDOR AND THE
DAVIS MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 15 PERCENT AND 20 FOOT WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 20 MPH WILL PROMOTE FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD. IGNITION OF FIRES
IN THESE AREAS IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

EXTREMELY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.
STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
TO PRODUCE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE GROWTH AND SPREAD
OF WILDFIRES. IGNITION OF FIRES IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED ON
WEDNESDAY.

STRONG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...THE
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...THE VAN
HORN/ROUTE 54 CORRIDOR AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AGAIN WEDNESDAY.
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 35 TO 55 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH
THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS PASSES...ARE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY.

STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN
AND SOUTHWARD INTO THE MARFA PLATEAU BY EARLY AFTERNOON ON
WEDNESDAY. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST MAY RESULT IN REDUCED
VISIBILITIES AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND