High Wind Watch 19, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 141025
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
425 AM CST WED NOV 14 2007

...LOCALLY STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MID THURSDAY MORNING...

.A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO GENERATE LOCALLY STRONG NORTHEAST GAP WINDS THROUGH
GUADALUPE PASS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MID MORNING.

TXZ258-141830-
/O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0019.071115T0000Z-071115T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.HW.W.0032.071114T1800Z-071115T1500Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
325 AM MST WED NOV 14 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
MST THURSDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
MST THURSDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS NEAR 65 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 62 180 THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH MID THURSDAY MORNING. MOTORISTS TRAVELING
THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME
CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE OR LIGHT WEIGHT
VEHICLES.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

HENNIG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
211 PM CST TUE NOV 13 2007

.DISCUSSION...
NEARLY ZONAL FLOW OVER THE CONUS TODAY...WITH A CUTOFF LOW STILL OFF
THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA...WILL BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS WILL OCCUR AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH
OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND ACCOMPANIED BY A 170+ KT H25 JET THIS
AFTERNOON DIGS EAST/SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE MIDWEST BY WEEK/S
END.  ALTHOUGH THE FLAT UPPER RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER THE AREA WILL
EXPAND A LITTLE FURTHER OVER THE AREA...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH SOUTH INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH.  A 1035 MB HIGH WILL BUILD SOUTH
INTO THE AREA BY THURSDAY MORNING...AND LIKELY RESULT IN HIGH WINDS
THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING.  SINCE
NORTHEAST WIND SPEEDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN GUADALUPE PASS...WILL ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH
FROM 15/00Z TO 15/15Z.

COLDER AIR WILL DROP INTO THE AREA WITH NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES
POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF A LAMESA...HOBBS AND MALJAMAR LINE WHERE
SURFACE WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.  A HARD
FREEZE LOOKS POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN LEA COUNTY...BUT SINCE THEY HAVE
ALREADY HAD A HARD FREEZE...WILL MENTION THE NEAR FREEZING
TEMPERATURES OVER THE REST OF THESE AREAS IN THE HWO.  HIGH
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE AREA AND SOME CLOUD COVER WILL AID IN
KEEPING TEMPERATURES DOWN.  AFTER A CHILLY START FRIDAY...
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS AS THE CUTOFF LOW
BECOMES ENTRAINED IN INCREASING FLOW ALOFT OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
AND TREKS EASTWARD OVER THE AREA FRIDAY.  A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK ABOVE NORMAL SATURDAY AND PROBABLY STAY
THAT WAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE EXTENDED...DESPITE A BRIEF COOL
DOWN SUNDAY BEHIND THE NEXT COLD FRONT.  TEMPERATURES MAY NEED TO BE
ADJUSTED SOMEWHAT SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT THIS WILL DEPEND ON
HOW MUCH AND HOW FAST THE FLOW ALOFT AMPLIFIES THROUGH MID NEXT
WEEK.  MORE COLD AIR MAY BE IN THE OFFING BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK
AS CURRENT MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE INDICATING AN AMPLIFIED PATTERN.
HOWEVER...THEIR SOLUTIONS ARE FAIRLY DISPARATE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              54  75  35  59  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                47  77  36  59  /   0   0   0  10
DRYDEN TX                  58  84  49  62  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           59  84  43  61  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          52  74  35  54  /   0   0  10  10
HOBBS NM                   46  74  33  60  /   0   0   0  10
MARFA TX                   40  78  40  57  /   0   0  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    53  77  36  60  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  54  76  37  60  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    53  82  35  62  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 5 PM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM MST THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

12/67

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
126 PM CST TUE NOV 13 2007

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-141200-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
126 PM CST TUE NOV 13 2007 /1226 PM MST TUE NOV 13 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MID THURSDAY MORNING.

NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR ALONG AND NORTH OF A
LAMESA...HOBBS TO MALJAMAR LINE THURSDAY MORNING. A HARD FREEZE
IS NOT ANTICIPATED EXCEPT POSSIBLY ACROSS NORTHERN LEA COUNTY
WHERE A HARD FREEZE HAS ALREADY OCCURRED. THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL
INTERESTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN AND THE SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS HOWEVER SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND