High Wind Watch 16, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 060853
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
353 AM CDT WED JUN 6 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...

.AS AN UPPER TROUGH PASSES TO THE NORTH TODAY...STRONG SOUTHWEST 
WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  WIND SPEEDS OF
40 MPH OR GREATER...WITH GUSTS AROUND 65 MPH POSSIBLE...ARE
EXPECTED THERE. 

IN ADDITION...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 MPH...AND GUSTS AROUND 40
MPH... WILL AFFECT LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A
CARLSBAD AND HOBBS LINE DURING THE SAME TIME FRAME.  THESE
STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS EARLY AS NOON MDT...
THEN LAST THROUGH EARLY EVENING BEFORE SUBSIDING.

NMZ027-TXZ258-062100-
/O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0016.070606T1800Z-070607T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.HW.W.0026.070606T1800Z-070607T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
253 AM MDT WED JUN 6 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 65 MPH...
CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS BEGINNING EARLY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING.  SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NMZ028-029-033-062100-
/O.NEW.KMAF.WI.Y.0012.070606T1800Z-070607T0300Z/
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON
253 AM MDT WED JUN 6 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 30 MPH...WITH
GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH POSSIBLE...OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF A CARLSBAD TO HOBBS LINE WILL BE AFFECTED.  

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
212 PM CDT TUE JUN 5 2007

.DISCUSSION...
5H RIDGE AXIS MOVING E TODAY WITH NW FLOW WANING. INSTABILITY AXIS
ORIENTED FROM TRANS PECOS NWD INTO SE NM. SCT TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
INTO THE EVENING INVOF DAVIS MTNS PER UPSLOPE FLOW...SUFFICIENT
MSTR/LR/S. MEANWHILE AS RIDGE MOVES E 7H TEMPS WILL BE INCREASING
THERBY REDUCING CONVECTIVE CONCERNS FARTHER NW THIS P.M. AND OVERNIGHT.
WED 5H RIDGE WILL BE EAST WITH WSW 7H-5H WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30KTS.
GOOD 12HR PRESSURE FALLS/TIGHT MSL PRESSURE GRADIENT
(4MB/100NM)/DEEP MIXING SHOULD BE ENUF FOR WINDY TO VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS GDP MTNS/SE NM/W-NW PB. ATTP WILL OPT TO KEEP PLAINS
BLO ADVISORY BUT WILL MENTION G45-50 MPH WRN AREAS AND WILL PROBABLY
GO AHEAD WITH HIGH WIND WATCH FOR GDP MTNS. LOW END WIND ADVISORY
CRITRIA MAY BE REACHED. 85H TEMPS AND DOWNSLOPE WINDS SUPPORT
TEMPS IN THE L90S E CWFA...N100 CENTRAL PM...N105 WRN PB. PRIMARY
SHRTWV TROF WILL MOVE E THUR AND SFC PATTERN WILL BREAKDOWN AND WE
DO NOT AS MUCH WIND. STILL ENUF MIXING AND WITH 7H WIND 25-30KT
SFC WINDS WILL BE UP IN THE GDP MTNS. 7H THERMAL RIDGE WILL HAVE
BEEN PUSHED E AND SOME COOLING IS NOW BEING REFLECTED THRU 85H-7H
THURS. DRY AIR WILL STILL PUSH E AND FCST WILL REMAIN DRY. AS
AFOREMENTIONED SHRTWV TROF EXITS THURSDAY AN ASSOCD COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE S EARLY FRI AND NOW LOOKS TO BE MUCH FARTHER S THAN
MODEL RUNS 24HRS AGO. THUS WILL PROBABLY INCORPORATE ISOLD POPS
INTO FCST ACRS PB. MID LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BACK TO THE SW
INTO SAT WITH SHRTWV TROF/S NOTED IN THE FLOW. GFS INDICATES
FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY LIFT SAT WITH DWPNTS BACK INTO THE 50S WITH
LI/S MINUS 3 TO 6 AND WILL OPT FOR ISOLD/SLGHT CHC POPS. FCST BULK
SHEAR NOT THAT IMPRESSIVE 20-25KTS. DRYLINE PROGGED TO SHARPEN SUN
AS 5H VEERS TO THE W WITH BETTER SHEAR AND ISOLD DRYLINE STORMS
POSSIBLE...HOT ON W SIDE OF DRYLINE WITH TRIPLE DIGIT HIGHS WRN
PB/SE NM PLAINS. MID LEVEL FLOW AMPLIFIES MON AS PRIMARY LOW MOVES
INTO NRN MEXICO AND FLOW BACKS TO THE SW. DRYLINE WILL SHARPEN
FURTHER AND WITH SHRTWV TROF/S IN THE SW FLOW MORE DRYLINE TSTMS
POSSIBLE. 7H TEMPS WILL BE 13-14C E OF DRYLINE SO CAP WILL HAVE TO
BE OVERCOME. MID LEVELS COOL A FEW DEGREES C TUE AS TROF MOVES
CLOSER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              70  97  72  96  /  10   0  10   0
CARLSBAD NM                68 100  68  98  /  10   0  10   0
DRYDEN TX                  71  98  72  98  /  20   0  10   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           71 102  71  95  /  20   0  10   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          66  93  61  85  /  10   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   70  99  66  94  /  20   0  10   0
MARFA TX                   58  95  56  90  /  20  10   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    70  98  71  96  /  20  10  10   0
ODESSA TX                  72  98  71  96  /  20  10  10   0
WINK TX                    74 106  68 101  /  20   0  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

TX...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 12 PM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1244 PM CDT TUE JUN 5 2007

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-061100-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1244 PM CDT TUE JUN 5 2007 /1144 AM MDT TUE JUN 5 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE REGION
THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE
ACROSS THE LOWER TRANS PECOS REGION...THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND THE
MARFA PLATEAU. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER
A COUPLE OF STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL
AND OR DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH
THE STRONGER STORMS ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND