Alert archive / New Mexico / High Wind Warnings in 2007

High Wind Warning 41, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

December 26, 2007Eddy County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this high wind warning at Dec 26, 2007, 3:15 AM MST for Eddy County, New Mexico. It took effect at Dec 26, 2007, 11:00 PM MST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 26, 2007, 3:15 AM MST (10:15 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 26, 2007, 11:00 PM MST
Expired
Dec 27, 2007, 11:00 PM MST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Eddy County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-12-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2007-12-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 52 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4535 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 261015
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
415 AM CST WED DEC 26 2007

...WIDESPREAD HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...UPPER TRANS
PECOS...AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...

.AN UPPER LOW WILL PASS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO AND THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE THURSDAY PLACING THE BAND OF STRONGEST MID LEVEL WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
HIGH WINDS DEVELOPING IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING AND SPREADING EAST INTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS BY
LATE THURSDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS TO THE POTENTIAL TO BE
SIGNIFICANT WITH GUSTS OF 70 TO 80 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS...AND WITH
GUSTS OF 45 TO 60 MPH IN THE PLAINS. HIGH WINDS MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED BLOWING DUST REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO 1 MILE.

NMZ027-TXZ258-262200-
/O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0026.071227T0600Z-071228T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.HW.W.0041.071227T0600Z-071228T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
315 AM MST WED DEC 26 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 PM
MST THURSDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 PM MST THURSDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

HIGH WEST WINDS DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WILL GUST TO 60
MPH IN MOST LOCATIONS...HOWEVER GUST OF 70 TO 80 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN FAVORED LOCATIONS...LIKE GUADALUPE PASS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

TXZ074-262200-
/O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0026.071227T0600Z-071228T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.HW.W.0041.071227T0600Z-071228T0600Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPINE
415 AM CST WED DEC 26 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT
CST THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

HIGH WEST WINDS DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WILL GUST TO 70
MPH ABOVE 6000 FT IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS. BELOW 6000 FT WINDS
GUSTING TO 40 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NMZ028-TXZ057-058-262200-
/O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0026.071227T1500Z-071228T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.HW.W.0041.071227T1500Z-071228T0000Z/
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...VAN HORN...PECOS
415 AM CST WED DEC 26 2007 /315 AM MST WED DEC 26 2007/

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO 6 PM
CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TO
6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

HIGH WINDS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH POSSIBLE.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS74 KMAF 262036
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
236 PM CST WED DEC 26 2007

...WIDESPREAD HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS...THEWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND
THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...

.AN UPPER LOW WILL PASS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO AND THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE THURSDAY PLACING A BAND OF VERY STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
HIGH WINDS DEVELOPING IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS THURSDAY
MORNING AND SPREADING EAST INTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS BY LATE
THURSDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS TO THE POTENTIAL TO BE SIGNIFICANT
WITH GUSTS OF 70 TO 80 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS...AND WITH GUSTS OF 45
TO 60 MPH IN THE PLAINS. HIGH WINDS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED
BLOWING DUST REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO 1 MILE.

NMZ027-TXZ258-271215-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.071227T0600Z-071228T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
136 PM MST WED DEC 26 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 PM MST THURSDAY...

HIGH WEST WINDS DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WILL GUST TO 60
MPH IN MOST LOCATIONS...HOWEVER GUST OF 70 TO 80 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN FAVORED LOCATIONS...LIKE GUADALUPE PASS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

AVIATION INTERESTS MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALIZED BUT EXTREME
TURBULENCE...OR STRONG DOWNWARD AIRFLOWS...IF FLYING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  PILOTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
STANDING WAVE CLOUDS OR OTHER EVIDENCE OF MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY.

$$

TXZ074-271215-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.071227T0600Z-071228T0600Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPINE
236 PM CST WED DEC 26 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT...

HIGH WEST WINDS DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WILL GUST TO 70
MPH ABOVE 6000 FT IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS. BELOW 6000 FT WINDS
GUSTING TO 40 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$

NMZ028-TXZ057-058-271215-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.071227T1500Z-071228T0000Z/
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...VAN HORN...PECOS
236 PM CST WED DEC 26 2007 /136 PM MST WED DEC 26 2007/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/
TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THURSDAY...

HIGH WINDS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH POSSIBLE.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$

NMZ029-033-034-271215-
/O.NEW.KMAF.WI.Y.0018.071227T1500Z-071228T0000Z/
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...
JAL
136 PM MST WED DEC 26 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 5 PM MST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 5 PM MST THURSDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUST TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

AKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$
000 
WWUS74 KMAF 271106
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
506 AM CST THU DEC 27 2007

...WIDESPREAD HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...
THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS...

.AN UPPER LOW WILL PASS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO AND THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE TODAY...PLACING A BAND OF VERY STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  THIS WILL RESULT IN
HIGH WINDS DEVELOPING IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS
THIS MORNING AND SPREADING EAST INTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS BY
LATE THURSDAY MORNING.  THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT WIND GUSTS OF 75 TO 85 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS...AND 
GUSTS OF 45 TO 60 MPH IN THE PLAINS.  HIGH WINDS MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED BLOWING DUST REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO 1 MILE.

NMZ027-TXZ258-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-071228T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
406 AM MST THU DEC 27 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE EVENING.  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 85 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING.  SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

AVIATION INTERESTS MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALIZED BUT EXTREME 
TURBULENCE...OR STRONG DOWNWARD AIRFLOWS...IF FLYING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  PILOTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
STANDING WAVE CLOUDS OR OTHER EVIDENCE OF MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY.

$$

TXZ074-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-071228T0600Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPINE
506 AM CST THU DEC 27 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE
DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL
THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 75 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING.  SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.  THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$

NMZ028-TXZ057-058-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.071227T1500Z-071228T0000Z/
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...VAN HORN...PECOS
506 AM CST THU DEC 27 2007 /406 AM MST THU DEC 27 2007/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/
THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS AFTERNOON...

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE
BY THIS AFTERNOON.  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. 
WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE AROUND
SUNSET.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$

NMZ029-033-034-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0018.071227T1500Z-071228T0000Z/
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...
JAL
406 AM MST THU DEC 27 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM
MST THIS AFTERNOON...

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE AROUND
SUNSET.  

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.  THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$
000 
WWUS74 KMAF 271605 AAA
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1005 AM CST THU DEC 27 2007

...WIDESPREAD HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THE GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... THE WESTERN
PERMIAN BASIN...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS
INCLUDING THE MARFA PLATEAU...

.AN UPPER LOW WILL PASS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO AND THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE TODAY...PLACING A BAND OF VERY STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  THIS WILL RESULT IN
HIGH WINDS DEVELOPING IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS THIS
MORNING AND SPREADING EAST INTO THE ADJACENT PLAINS BY LATE
THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT
WIND GUSTS OF 75 TO 85 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS...AND GUSTS OF 45 TO
60 MPH IN THE PLAINS. HIGH WINDS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED BLOWING
DUST REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO 1 MILE.

NMZ027-TXZ258-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-071228T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
905 AM MST THU DEC 27 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE EVENING.  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 85 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING.  SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

AVIATION INTERESTS MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALIZED BUT EXTREME
TURBULENCE...OR STRONG DOWNWARD AIRFLOWS...IF FLYING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  PILOTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
STANDING WAVE CLOUDS OR OTHER EVIDENCE OF MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY.

$$

TXZ074-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-071228T0600Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPINE
1005 AM CST THU DEC 27 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 45 TO 55 MPH IN THE
DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL
THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING. GUSTS AS HIGH AS 75 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING.  SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

AVIATION INTERESTS MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALIZED BUT EXTREME
TURBULENCE...OR STRONG DOWNWARD AIRFLOWS...IF FLYING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  PILOTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
STANDING WAVE CLOUDS OR OTHER EVIDENCE OF MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY.

$$

NMZ028-TXZ057-058-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-071228T0000Z/
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...VAN HORN...PECOS
1005 AM CST THU DEC 27 2007 /905 AM MST THU DEC 27 2007/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/
THIS AFTERNOON...

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO THE 35 TO 45 MPH RANGE
BY THIS AFTERNOON.  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. 
WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE AROUND
SUNSET.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$

TXZ080-280000-
/O.EXA.KMAF.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-071228T0000Z/
MARFA PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MARFA
1005 AM CST THU DEC 27 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE AROUND
SUNSET.  

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.  THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$

NMZ029-033-034-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-071228T0000Z/
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...
JAL
905 AM MST THU DEC 27 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE AROUND
SUNSET.  

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.  THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$
000 
WWUS74 KMAF 272100
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
300 PM CST THU DEC 27 2007

...HIGH WINDS ARE WORKING EAST ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
MOUNTAINS...INTO THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE WESTERN
PERMIAN BASIN...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND THE MARFA PLATEAU...

.AN UPPER LOW PASSING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO AND THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE HAS RESULTED IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG WINDS ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND WEST TEXAS. THESE HIGH WINDS
WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
MOUNTAINS. IN LOWLANDS THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET.
ALSO THESE HIGH WINDS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED AREAS OF BLOWING
DUST REDUCING VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS 1 MILE.

NMZ027-TXZ258-280600-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-071228T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
200 PM MST THU DEC 27 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
WITH GUSTS OF 70 TO 80 MPH...ESPECIALLY IN FAVORED LOCATIONS...CAN
BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING. 

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING.  SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

AVIATION INTERESTS MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALIZED BUT EXTREME
TURBULENCE...OR STRONG DOWNWARD AIRFLOWS...IF FLYING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  PILOTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
STANDING WAVE CLOUDS OR OTHER EVIDENCE OF MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY.

$$

TXZ074-280600-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-071228T0600Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPINE
300 PM CST THU DEC 27 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET THROUGH THE EVENING. GUSTS NEAR 65 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BELOW 6000 FT WIND GUSTS
TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

AVIATION INTERESTS MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALIZED BUT EXTREME
TURBULENCE...OR STRONG DOWNWARD AIRFLOWS...IF FLYING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.  PILOTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
STANDING WAVE CLOUDS OR OTHER EVIDENCE OF MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY.

$$

NMZ028-TXZ057-058-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-071228T0000Z/
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD...
CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...VAN HORN...PECOS
300 PM CST THU DEC 27 2007 /200 PM MST THU DEC 27 2007/

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/
THIS AFTERNOON...

SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH
WILL DIMINISH NEAR SUNSET. THEREAFTER WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH
TO THE 20 TO 30 MPH RANGE AROUND SUNSET.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS. THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$

NMZ029-033-034-TXZ080-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-071228T0000Z/
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
MARFA PLATEAU-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...
JAL...MARFA
300 PM CST THU DEC 27 2007 /200 PM MST THU DEC 27 2007/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO THE 20 TO 30 MPH
RANGE AROUND SUNSET.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED.  WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

TAKE ACTION TO SECURE TRASH CANS...LAWN FURNITURE...AND OTHER
LOOSE OR LIGHTWEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.  THE HIGH WINDS CAN TOPPLE
TREES...DOWN POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE SOME STRUCTURES.

$$
000 
WWUS74 KMAF 280549
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1149 PM CST THU DEC 27 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT
CST/11 PM MST...

.WINDS ACROSS THE WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO MOUNTAINS
AND PLAINS HAVE BEGUN TO DECREASE IN THE PAST FEW HOURS. A FEW
LINGERING GUSTS COULD OCCUR IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS ADDITIONAL
SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCES ROTATE AROUND THE BASE OF THE MAIN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA NOW. WILL ALLOW THE HIGH WIND
WARNING TO EXPIRE AND CONTINUE TO COVER ANY ADDITIONAL CONDITIONS
WITH SHORT TERM FORECASTS AS HIGH WIND CRITERIA IS NOT EXPECTED
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

NMZ027-TXZ258-280700-
/O.EXP.KMAF.HW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-071228T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
1049 PM MST THU DEC 27 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM MST THIS EVENING...

SUSTAINED WINDS ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS HAVE DROPPED FROM
NEAR 60 MPH TO NEAR 40 MPH OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. WHILE A FEW
ADDITIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS LOCATIONS
IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...HIGH WIND CRITERIA WILL LIKELY NOT
BE MET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

$$

TXZ074-280700-
/O.EXP.KMAF.HW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-071228T0600Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALPINE
1149 PM CST THU DEC 27 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...

SUSTAINED WINDS ACROSS THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS HAVE DROPPED FROM NEAR
50MPH TO 20 MPH. GUSTS FROM NEAR 70 ARE NOW ONLY NEAR 35 MPH AND
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THIS WAY INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. AN
OCCASIONAL GUST TO NEAR 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS... HOWEVER
HIGH WIND CRITERIA IS NOT LIKELY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

$$

13

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Dec 25, 11:28 PM MST, 3 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 25, 11:28 PM MST, 3 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1228 AM CST WED DEC 26 2007

.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN PROBLEM FOR THE TAF SITES AS A STRONG COLD
FRONT CAUSES WINDS TO SHIFT FROM THE WEST TO THE NORTH AND GUST IN
EXCESS OF 20KTS. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS MAY AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO BUT ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY SHORT LIVED AND SHOULD NOT HAVE
TOO MUCH OF AN IMPACT. THE CURRENT ACTIVITY AT CNM SHOULD END
SHORTLY WITH THE MVFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY SEEN INCREASING BACK TO
VFR. FLURRY ACTIVITY MAY CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
THROUGH SUNRISE BUT WIDESPREAD MVFR CONDITIONS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED. WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON WITH PLEASANT
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE LAST HALF OF THE TAF PERIOD.

HENNIG

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1050 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2007/

AVIATION...
A STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE TEXAS/NEW MEXICO
BORDER SOUTH OF CARLSBAD EAST TO ABOUT 25 NM NORTH OF KMAF TO
JUST NORTH OF KSNK. THIS FRONT IS TRANSLATING SOUTH AT AROUND 20
KNOTS AND SHOULD PASS ACROSS THE KMAF AND KINK TERMINALS SHORTLY...
WITH PASSAGE AT KPEQ AND KFST EXPECTED BY 07Z AND 08Z...
RESPECTIVELY. A SMALL BUT FAIRLY POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
ROTATING OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE EAST QUICKLY
OVERNIGHT. LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND SOME MID LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF MVFR CIGS BEHIND THE FRONT. THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH LIFT AND MOISTURE FOR SOME WIDELY SCATTERED SNOW/RAIN
SHOWERS AT KCNM BETWEEN 06Z AND 10Z...BUT BECAUSE THE LOWER
ATMOSPHERE IS DRY...NOT EXPECTING MUCH WITH THIS. NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL STAY UP FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER FRONTAL
PASSAGE...WITH GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS
THROUGH DAYBREAK. DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE EAST QUICKLY...AND LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL WEAKEN AND BACK
TO A SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION BY SUNSET.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1028 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2007/

UPDATE...
UPDATED ZONES FOR EXPIRATION OF HIGH WIND WARNING FOR GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS.  COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
AND NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN AT THIS TIME.  FRONT SOUTH OF A
CARLSBAD TO SEMINOLE LINE.  WILL HAVE TEMPERATURE DROP AND SHARP
WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH WITH GUSTS IN THE 2O TO 30KT RANGE AFTER
FROPA.  REST OF ZONES LOOK GOOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 520 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2007/

AVIATION...
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SUSTAIN THROUGH THE
EVENING WITH GUSTS AS HIGH 20 KNOTS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS
OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL VEER THE WIND AROUND TO THE NORTH
WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT...GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS MAY OCCUR
AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. IN THE MORNING THE WIND SHOULD DIE DOWN TO
AROUND 15 KNOTS AND BECOME MORE WESTERLY...DECREASING MORE DURING
THE AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY LOWER TO MVFR CONDITIONS
DUE TO POST FRONTAL LOW CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE BRIEF PERIODS OF
LIGHT SNOW/SNOW FLURRIES IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 216 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2007/

DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR INDICATES WELL ORGANIZED SHRTWV TROF MOVING THRU THE 4
CORNERS ATTM WITH SFC LOW DEVELOPING ACRS TRANS PECOS. ALSO ASSOCD
COLD FRONT S OF KRTN...KDHT...TO NEAR KGUY. AS SHRTWV TROF NEARS
AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW MOVE E ACRS CENTRAL PB AROUND 06Z. THIS
WILL SERVE TO BACK WINDS WITH COLD AIR MOVING INTO SE NM/NRN PB
LATER TONIGHT. 12Z GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT THAT 4 CORNERS SHRTWV
TROF WILL PASS ACRS NRN LEA COUNTY AND JUST TO THE N OF THE CWFA
IN TX. CONCEPTUAL MODEL IS SUPPORTED BY MODEL GUIDANCE WITH BETTER
POPS TO THE N. MOST OF THE CWFA WILL GET DRY SLOTTED...HOWEVER FAR
NW AND N WILL BE IN THE WRAP AROUND MSTR/INSTABILITY. SLGHT CHC
POPS ALREADY IN THE FCST THERE. 12Z GFS HAS TRENDED JUST A LITTLE
FARTHER N THAN 06Z RUN AND WILL OPT TO INCREASE POPS JUST BARELY
INTO CHC CATEGORY. 1000-500MB THCK SUPPORT SNOW...BUT WILL KEEP
MENTION LESS THAN AN INCH. 85H TEMPS WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE
WED P.M. WITH TEMPS FROM 40S NE TO M50S SW LOWLANDS. ANOTHER
STRONGER...BUT FARTHER N UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO NRN NM THUR
P.M. PLACING BASE OF TROF AND ASSOCD MID LEVEL SPEED MAX (40-50KT
AT 7H AND 60-100KTS AT 5H) ACRS MUCH OF THE CWFA. NEEDLESS TO SAY
HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE MTNS AND WILL OPT TO ISSUE WATCH
FOR THE GDP MTNS THRU VAN HORN TO DAVIS MTNS BEGINNING EARLY
THURSDAY. ALSO WILL INCLUDE UPPER TRANS PECOS...INCLUDING EDDY
COUNTY PLAINS WHERE HIGH WIND DECISION TREE REVEALS WINDS OF 30-45
MPH G50-55 MPH FOR THURSDAY. ELSEWHERE EXPECT THAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA WILL EASILY BE REACHED AND WILL INCLUDE GUST TO 40-50 MPH
ACRS PB. DRY AIR WILL ALREADY BE IN PLACE ACRS WRN/SRN NM WED AND
WITH STRONG DOWNSLOPE VERY DRY AIR (SINGLE DIGIT DWPNTS) WILL
SPREAD E ACRS CWFA THURSDAY P.M.. VERY DRY AIR FRIDAY A.M. WILL
ALLOW FOR A COLD MORNING...L20S ACRS PB. ANOTHER SHRTWV TROF TO
PASS ACRS SRN NM LATE FRI P.M. HOWEVER THERE WILL NO HINT OF LOW
LEVEL MSTR TO WORK WITH AND IT WILL STILL BE COOL AND GUSTY IN
THE MTNS. STILL WARMER SAT/SUN WITH 85H THERMAL RIDGE. GFS/ECMWF
INDICATE VERY COLD AIR WILL BE WORKING ITS WAY INTO W TX/SE NM BY
TUE.

FIRE WEATHER...
WILL OPT TO ISSUE RFW FOR THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...MRF PLATEAU...BIG
BEND REGION THURSDAY. AS SAID ABOVE WINDS WILL BE CRANKING AND WITH
SUCH LOW DWPNTS EXPECT THAT MIN RH/S WILL BE ABLE TO FALL BLO 15 PCT.
FARTHER N IT LOOKS LIKE TEMPS MAY BE A LITTLE TOO COOL. HAINES
INDICES OF 4-5 FROM DAVIS/GLASS MTNS S INTO THE BIG BEND. THIS WILL
NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY AS JUST FEW HRS DELAY COULD KEEP TEMPS
WARM ENUF FOR LOWER RH/S FARTHER N.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 11 PM WEDNESDAY TO 11 PM MST THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 8 AM TO 5 PM MST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES...EDDY COUNTY PLAINS.

TX...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ TONIGHT TO
     MIDNIGHT CST /11 PM MST/ THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...BIG BEND AREA...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA...MARFA PLATEAU...PECOS...PRESIDIO VALLEY...REEVES
     COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54
     CORRIDOR.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...VAN HORN AND
     HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

&&

10
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 25, 1:40 PM MST, 13 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
240 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2007

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-261945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
136 PM CST TUE DEC 25 2007 /1236 PM MST TUE DEC 25 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

VERY STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH
GUSTS TO 60 MPH...WILL SUBSIDE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
LATE THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL PASS JUST NORTH OF THE AREA ON
THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

VERY STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND ON THURSDAY ACROSS THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS.
THESE STRONG WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS AND UPPER TRANS PECOS AREAS WHERE WESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 40
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.  THESE STRONG WINDS
ACROSS THE PLAINS MAY GENERATE AREAS OF BLOWING DUST LOCALLY
REDUCING VISIBILITIES ON THURSDAY.

VERY DRY AIR WILL COMBINE WITH THESE STRONG WINDS TO PRODUCE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...WITH WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 20 MPH
AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 15 PERCENT...ACROSS THE TRANS PECOS
AND BIG BEND AREAS ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 1:36 PM MSTWind AdvisoryMAF27 hr

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in New Mexico, 2007High Wind Warnings in Texas, 2007Every high wind warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.