Severe Thunderstorm Warning 244, NWS Baltimore/Washington

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
245 PM EDT THU AUG 9 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE TODAY AND TRACK EAST OF
THE REGION BY LATE FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL TRACK ACROSS THE AREA LATE
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN FOR MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...CAVEAT - WE ARE WORKING W/ A MINIMAL
SUMMER STAFF TDA...AND HV BEEN SPENDING THE BULK OF OUR DAY DEALING
W/ PTNL SVR WX ISSUES. NOT A LOT OF TIME HAS BEEN SPENT LOOKING AT
MDLS/CONTEMPLATING...SO MUCH OF THE AFTN PCKG WL BE A REISSUE OF THE
PRVS SHIFTS WORK.

WE HV BEEN IN DSCN W/ SPC REGARDING THE WTCH IN EFFECT TIL 20Z. THE
AREA OF TSTMS RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS WTCH IS MOVG E OF THE CWA...AND
AM PLANNING TO DROP THAT WTCH ERLY. THERE IS ANOTHER AREA OF STORMS OVR
WRN PA MOVG ESE...WHICH WL BE WATCHED AND COULD LEAD TO ANOTHER WTCH
IN THE COMING HRS.

BNDRY CONTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE CWA..WITH BULK OF CNVCTN
FIRING ON THE N SIDE OF IT. WL NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE TSTMS/RASH
DVLPG DURG THE OVRNGT. IN SPITE OF A FALL IN TEMPS DURG ERLY AFTN
HRS..BLV MID ATLC IS IN STORE FOR ANOTHER WARM NGT...W/ TEMPS IN 70S
E OF THE HIGHLANDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY/...MDLS SEEM IN AGREEMENT THAT A LOW WL FORM ON
THE BNDRY ERLY FRI AND TRACK E...DRAGGING MORE STABLE AIR INTO THE
RGN. WL RMV POPS IN THE W FOR THE AFTN HRS...AND PERHAPS THAT CAN BE
REDUCED FURTHER BY LATER SHIFTS. ALTHO NOT THE WARMTH OF WED..IT WL
STILL BE QUITE WARM..W/ TEMPS U80S/L90S MOST LOCALES.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...SUB TROP RDG LOOKS TO
MIGRATE OVER THE 4 CRNR RGN NEXT WEEK...CAUSING SOME WK UPR TROFFING
IN THE ERN U.S. TEMPS STILL 85-90 FOR HIGHS. PERHAPS ANOTHER WV TO
BRING SOME PCPN TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WK? BUT NO DROUGHT BUSTER IN
SIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

TERMINALS WL NEED TO CONT TO BE MONITORED FOR TSTMS RMDR OF AFTN
THRU FRI MRNG.

&&

.MARINE...TSTMS XPCTD IN WATERS THRU EVE HRS...PSBLY OVRNGT.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

ALL PRODUCTS - WOODY

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