Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 187, NWS Baltimore/Washington

July 16, 2007Orange County, Virginia

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 16, 2007, 2:37 PM EDT for Orange County, Virginia. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2007, 2:37 PM EDT (18:37 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2007, 3:10 PM EDT
In force
33 min
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Orange County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 16, 1:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2007-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 638 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2007-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 5 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
638 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-77 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
930 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 16, 10:44 AM EDT, 3 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 10:44 AM EDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 2:27 PM EDT, 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
227 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2007

ANZ530>537-DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-501-502-
VAZ021-025>031-036>042-050>057-WVZ050>055-501>504-171000-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-HIGHLAND-
AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-FAUQUIER-LOUDOUN-
ORANGE-CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-PENDLETON-HARDY-
WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-
227 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE
EASTERN SHORE INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT
COUNTY...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
WASHINGTON DC AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR AREAS
EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DAILY TUESDAY
THROUGH THROUGH FRIDAY. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS BEEN ACTIVATED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 1:27 PM EDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 16, 2:32 PM EDT, 5 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 1:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle, City of Charlottesville, City of Waynesboro78 min
Jul 16, 2:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle, City of Charlottesville75 min
Jul 16, 3:50 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX85 min
Jul 16, 5:30 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX90 min
Jul 16, 5:58 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX107 min
Jul 16, 6:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXWarren30 min
Jul 16, 7:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXLoudoun30 min
Jul 16, 4:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCalvert27 min
Jul 16, 5:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore37 min
Jul 16, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXHarford55 min
Jul 16, 6:12 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXHarford48 min
Jul 16, 6:46 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXHarford119 min
Jul 16, 7:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick38 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.