Wind Advisory 78, NWS Los Angeles, CA

000 
WWUS76 KLOX 222151
NPWLOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
151 PM PST MON JAN 22 2007


CAZ053-054-222300-
/O.EXP.KLOX.WI.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-070122T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
151 PM PST MON JAN 22 2007

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON. 

THERE WILL BE OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH THROUGH AND BELOW
PASSES AND CANYONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...OTHERWISE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

$$

CAZ046-222300-
/O.EXP.KLOX.WI.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-070122T2200Z/
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
151 PM PST MON JAN 22 2007

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON. 

THERE WILL BE OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH THROUGH AND BELOW
PASSES AND CANYONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...OTHERWISE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

$$

WOFFORD

SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
341 AM PST MON JAN 22 2007

.SHORT TERM...GUSTY WINDS CONTD IN THE MTNS...MOSTLY BELOW WARNING
LEVELS...BUT WARNING LEVEL GUSTS WERE OCCASIONALLY OCCURRING. IN THE
VLYS...ONLY LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WERE OCCURRING BELOW PASSES AND
CANYONS. MODELS DO SHOW INCREASING SUBSIDENCE THIS MORNING ACRS L.A.
AND VTU COUNTIES...AND XPCT WINDS TO INCREASE AND BECOME MORE WDSPRD
IN THE VLYS AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK. THE HIGH WIND WARNING
MAY BE A BIT OF A STRETCH...BUT WILL LEAVE IT IN PLACE FOR THE VLYS
OF L.A. COUNTY AND THE CSTL VLYS OF VTU COUNTIES...SINCE AREAS
BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS SUSCEPTIBLE TO NE WINDS COULD EXPERIENCE
WARNING LEVEL GUSTS. SKIES WILL BE SUNNY ACRS THE AREA TODAY. AFTER
ANOTHER VERY COLD MORNING IN WIND SHELTERED AREAS...TEMPS WILL
WARM NICELY TODAY...WITH MOST AREAS W OF THE MTNS A FEW DEGREES
WARMER THAN ON SUNDAY. WARMEST LOCATIONS ON THE CSTL PLAIN AND IN
THE LOWER VLY LOCATIONS SHOULD REACH OR EXCEED 70 DEGS TODAY.

UPPER HIGH WILL BUILD IN CA TONIGHT AND TUE...AND HOLD INTO WED.
HGTS/THICKNESSES ACRS THE AREA WILL RISE TUE...THEN CHANGE LITTLE
THRU WED. LOW LVL GRADS WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE TONIGHT THRU WED
MORNING...BUT WILL WKN...SO XPCT JUST LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS THRU AND
BELOW PASSES AND CANYONS DURING THE LATE NIGHT THRU MORNING HOURS.
SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THRU WED. TEMPS WILL BE UP A FEW MORE
DEGREES IN MOST AREAS ON TUE...TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS IN MOST AREAS
W OF THE MTNS. XPCT LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS ON WED...EXCEPT THERE
MAY BE A BIT MORE WARMING IN THE MTNS AND DSRTS.

.LONG TERM...CONFIDENCE IS BELOW AVERAGE REGARDING THE DETAILS OF
THE FCST IN THE LONG RANGE. MODEL ARE IN DISAGREEMENT WITH EACH
OTHER AND HAVE FLIP-FLOPPED FROM RUN TO RUN IN THEIR HANDLING OF
ENERGY MOVING INTO THE W CST. THE LATEST RUN OF THE GFS SHOWS A
STRONG UPPER LOW APCH THE PAC NW WED NIGHT AND THU...WITH A TROUGH
EXTENDING SWD INTO NRN CA...WHILE WK RIDGING HOLD ON ACRS SRN CA
AND A RETURN TO ONSHORE GRADS. WITH THIS SCENARIO...XPCT A FEW
DEGREES OF COOLING ACRS THE FCST AREA THU...ESPECIALLY W OF THE
MTNS. NOW...THE UPPER LOW IS FCST TO MOVE INTO THE PAC NW ON FRI...
THEN SLOWLY EWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES SAT AND SUN...WHILE A HIGHLY
POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH EXTENDING WWD FROM THIS LOW SAGS SWD
ACRS CA. THIS EVENTUALLY FORMS A CLOSED LOW OVER CENTRAL CA BY LATE
SUNDAY AS A RIDGE AMPLIFIES STRONGLY JUST OFF THE W CST. THE ECMWF
IS NOT TOO DIFFERENT FROM THIS LATEST SOLUTION SHOWN BY THE GFS
BUT IS FARTHER E WITH THE DEVELOPING UPPER LOW...MORE OF AN INSIDE
SLIDER. GIVEN THE PROPENSITY FOR INSIDE SLIDERS THIS FALL AND WINTER...
THIS MAY BE THE WAY TO GO. SO...WITH THAT IN MIND...HAVE KEPT
POPS OUT OF THE FCST...AND HAVE KEPT THE PTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER FCST
FOR FRI THRU SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
CAVU THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AFFECT KBUR
AND KVNY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. KLAX WIND WILL BE LIGHT EAST IN THE
MORNING WITH A DELAYED AFTERNOON SEABREEZE.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
RED FLAG WARNING (SEE LAXRFWLOX).
WIND ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLOX).

&&

PUBLIC...BRUNO
AVIATION...RORKE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
600 AM PST MON JAN 22 2007

CAZ034>041-044>047-051>054-059-087-088-231400-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
600 AM PST MON JAN 22 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE... TODAY

AREAS OF STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE
MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES INTO THIS
AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
COASTAL PLAIN ACROSS LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES.

ALONG WITH THE OFFSHORE WINDS...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED BE
NEAR OR BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS ACROSS MUCH OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES TODAY AND TONIGHT. HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 10
AND 20 PERCENT...WITH SOME SINGLE DIGIT READINGS.

* HIGH WIND WARNING..........SEE WWUS76 KLOX - NPWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* RED FLAG WARNING...........SEE WWUS86 KLOX - RFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* WIND ADVISORY..............SEE WWUS76 KLOX - NPWLOX FOR DETAILS *

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE
INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON...CONTINUING THE HIGH FIRE DANGER.

* RED FLAG WARNING...........SEE WWUS86 KLOX - RFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

BRUNO