Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Warnings in 2007
Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Louisville, KY
NWS Louisville, KY issued this flash flood warning at May 11, 2007, 4:34 PM CDT for Breckinridge County, Grayson County, Ohio County, Kentucky. It was in force for 3 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- May 11, 2007, 4:34 PM CDT (21:34 UTC)
- Expired
- May 11, 2007, 7:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Louisville, KY
- Area
- Whole counties
Counties Breckinridge County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Ohio County, KY
The radar
The Louisville radar (KLVX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 4:35 PM CDT | FLASH FLOOD | 5 W Dundee, KY | 3-4 ROADS UNDER WATER FOR 45 MINUTE DURATION. |
| May 11, 5:30 PM CDT | FLASH FLOOD | Falls Of Rough, KY | SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 302 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -97 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1038 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 9 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -34 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -12 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS53 KLMK 112135 FFWLMK KYC027-085-183-120030- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 434 PM CDT FRI MAY 11 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY... NORTHEASTERN OHIO COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY... NORTHWESTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY... * UNTIL 730 PM CDT * AT 431 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED FLASH FLOODING FROM SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA. * LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO FORDSVILLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. LAT...LON 3756 8681 3745 8645 3756 8641 3770 8675 $$ SCHOLZ
1 follow-up statement
000 WGUS73 KLMK 120036 FFSLMK FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 836 PM EDT FRI MAY 11 2007 KYC027-085-183-120041- BRECKINRIDGE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY- 736 PM CDT FRI MAY 11 2007 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR NORTHWESTERN GRAYSON... NORTHEASTERN OHIO AND SOUTHWESTERN BRECKINRIDGE COUNTIES... FLOODING WAS REPORTED ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN GRAYSON COUNTY NEAR FALLS OF ROUGH. THE RAIN HAS NOW ENDED OR NEARLY ENDED ACROSS THE AREA. FURTHER FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. LAT...LON 3756 8681 3745 8645 3756 8641 3770 8675 $$ SCHOLZ
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 11, 2:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 11, 2:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 3 PM EDT FRI MAY 11 2007 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND SATURDAY):... BKN TO OVC MID DECK ACROSS FA THIS AFTN AND EVENING...VERY LIGHT LOW LEVEL FLOW. IN ADDITION THERE IS ONLY A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THIS DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT PCPN ACROSS OUR FA. BEST CHANCES LOOK TO BE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. LATEST HPC QPF TRENDS INDICATE SAME. LOOKS LIKE MOST IF NOT ALL THE PCPN WILL BE OVER BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SOME CONCERN FOR PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG BUT WILL HOLD OFF FOR NOW. ON SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD INTO THE REGION AND THE NORTHERLY FLOW INCREASES SOMEWHAT...WE WILL THEN SEE SOME NOTICEABLY DRIER AIR FILTER INTO THE REGION. LIKEWISE THE COOLER AIR WILL NOT MOVE INTO THE REGION UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. MAX TEMPS ON SATURDAY WILL PROBABLY BE A LITTLE WARMER THAN TODAYS BECAUSE OF THE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE EXPECTED. --21 .LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)... SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS HAVE TRENDED DRIER SATURDAY NIGHT AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. CLOUDS SHOULD BE ON THE DECREASE DURING THE EVENING HOURS WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR BY SUNDAY MORNING. DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL ACCOMPANY THIS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH LOWS SUNDAY MORNING DIPPING INTO THE LOWER 50S IN THE NORTH TO THE MID AND UPPER 50S DOWN ALONG THE KY/TN BORDER. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS SFC HIGH BUILDS ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE U.S. AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM THE PLAINS. HAVE LOWERED TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ON SUNDAY WITH THIS IN THE LOWER 70S ACROSS THE BLUEGRASS REGION WITH MID 70S IN THE I-65 CORRIDOR AND UPPER 70S IN THE BOWLING GREEN AREA AND ALONG THE KY/TN BORDER. MODERATING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS REBOUNDING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S ACROSS THE COMMONWEALTH. TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... EXTENDED MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE IDEA OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEING FLATTEN AS SERIES OF FAIRLY STRONG VORTS PLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN U.S. 12Z GFS SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO BE FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN BRINGING DECENT MID-LEVEL WAVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY WEDNESDAY. ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TUE AFTERNOON/EVENING. THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE A GOOD BET WITH THAT COULD BE ON THE STRONG SIDE. SOMETHING TO WATCH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY SHOULD WARM TO AROUND 80 BEFORE SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER ROLLS INTO THE REGION. AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE HIGHS THU AND FRI WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER WITH READINGS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S. 12Z MEX DATA SHOWING HIGHS COOLER THAN CLIMO...USUALLY A SIGN THAT TEMPS MAY NEED TO BE TRIMMED BACK EVEN MORE IN FUTURE FORECASTS. -MJ .AVIATION DISCUSSION(18Z TAFS) SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AND THEN END ROUGHLY NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION AFTER DARK. VERY LIGHT FLOW...WITH A WEAK MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. LIGHT NORTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS SRN IN AND NRN KY ALONG THE OHIO RIVER NOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SOUTHWARD AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. GENERALLY VFR CONDS THROUGH THE FCST PD. && .LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. IN...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 11, 2:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 355 PM EDT FRI MAY 11 2007 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-121945- ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN- CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY- BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY- JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY- SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY- FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY- MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY- GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY- TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY- ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY- CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY- 355 PM EDT FRI MAY 11 2007 /255 PM CDT FRI MAY 11 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...WITH ATMOSPHERIC WINDS BEING QUITE LIGHT ACROSS THE REGION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE RATHER SLOWLY AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE LATEST FORECASTS SHOW THAT ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE OUTLOOK AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. MJ
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 11, 4:04 PM CDT, 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 504 PM EDT FRI MAY 11 2007 KYZ024-026>028-112230- BRECKINRIDGE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARDINSBURG...BEAVER DAM... LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX 504 PM EDT FRI MAY 11 2007 /404 PM CDT FRI MAY 11 2007/ THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL WILL MOVE ACROSS BRECKINRIDGE AND OHIO COUNTIES AND MINTO GRAYSON COUNTY. ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM IN HARDIN COUNTY...SOUTH OF RADCLIFF...WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY AND PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN THROUGH 6 PM EDT. HAIL THE SIZE OF NICKELS HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THUNDERSTORMS JUST WEST OF OHIO COUNTY. THESE STORMS WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY AND PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE HALF TO ONE INCH COULD OCCUR IN AN HOURS TIME. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO CONTAIN DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IF STORMS APPROACH...SEEK SAFE SHELTER INDOORS. SCHOLZ
Special weather statement, May 11, 4:23 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 523 PM EDT FRI MAY 11 2007 KYZ024-026-027-112145- BRECKINRIDGE-GRAYSON-OHIO- 423 PM CDT FRI MAY 11 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST GRAYSON COUNTIES... AT 414 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN OHIO COUNTY...29 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OWENSBORO...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO DEVELOPING TO THE EAST OF THESE STORMS ACROSS NORTHERN GRAYSON COUNTY. FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE MILE...PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH... ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORM. THE STORMS ARE DUMPING VERY HEAVY RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THIS COULD CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS AND SMALL CREEKS AND DRAINAGE DITCHES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS COVERED BY WATER. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO... WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SCHOLZ
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2007Every flash flood warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.