Wind Advisory 1, NWS Elko, NV

000 
WWUS75 KLKN 051833
NPWLKN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1033 AM PST FRI JAN 5 2007


NVZ033-051945-
/O.CAN.KLKN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070106T0000Z/
EXTREME EASTERN ELKO COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEST WENDOVER
1033 AM PST FRI JAN 5 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ELKO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS ACROSS EXTREME EASTERN ELKO COUNTY HAVE DIMINISHED AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS WEAKENED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
315 PM PST THU JAN 4 2007

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD
THROUGH CENTRAL NEVADA THIS EVENING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY MORNING. A DRIER AIRMASS MOVES
FROM IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY AFTERNOON WHICH CONTINUES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS ONGOING SNOW EVENT WHICH
SHOULD WIND DOWN OVERNIGHT. SOLID BAND OF PRECIP CONTINUES TO
SLOWLY PUSH TO THE SOUTH...SUPPORTED BY STRONG 160KT H3 JET AND SFC
FRONT. ALTHOUGH WINDS HAVE NOT BEEN MUCH OF A FACTOR...SPOTTER
SNOWFALL REPORTS THROUGH LATE MORNING ACROSS THE ELKO WARNING AREA
WERE ALREADY INTO HIGH END ADVISORY LEVELS WITH MAX REPORTS OF 5-6
INCHES AND ONE SPOTTER 28 MILES EAST OF ELKO REPORTING 7.5 INCHES
WITH THIS EVENT. SNOTEL SNOWFALL ESTIMATES THROUGH 1PM GENERALLY IN 6
TO 8 INCH RANGE. AT NOON THE PRECIP HAD REACHED EUREKA WITH -RA
QUICKLY CHANGING OVER TO SNOW. SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED VIS OF 20
FEET AND ABOUT AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION. SPOTTER REPORTS FROM ELY
ALSO INDICATING 2-3 INCHES ALREADY AND +SN. WILL NEED TO KEEP AN
EYE ON WHITE PINE FOR POSSIBLE UPGRADE TO WARNING. FOR NOW THINKING
IT WILL BE SIMILAR TREND WITH RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD OF MOD-HEAVY
SNOW THERE.

MODELS HAVE BEEN VERY CONSISTENT WITH THIS SYSTEM AND CONTINUE TO
SHOW UNSTABLE CONDITIONS BEHIND FRONT WITH LI/S APPROACHING ZERO. A
COUPLE LIGHTNING STRIKES OCCURRED OVER NORTHERN CALI AND ONE STRIKE
IN WESTERN NEVADA. POST FRONTAL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW STEEPENING
LAPSE RATES WITH A RELATIVELY MOIST LAYER FROM SFC TO H5. VIS IMAGERY
SHOWS BACK LINE OF MAIN PRECIP SHIELD EXTENDING ACROSS SE HUMBOLDT
COUNTY TO NW ELKO COUNTY. VIS IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT BEHIND FRONT ACROSS HUMBOLDT COUNTY. NO MAJOR CHANGES TO
FORECAST PLANNED. FRONT AND ASSOCIATED PRECIP SHOULD CONTINUE
SOUTHWARD. WILL LEAVE ADVISORY ALONE FOR WHITE PINE...WHERE SNOW FALL
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE HIGH END ADVISORY. HAVE CANCELLED HEADLINES ACROSS
HUMBOLDT...ELKO AND AND EASTERN ELKO COUNTIES.

WILL CONTINUE NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWER WORDING FOR TONIGHT
WITH GENERAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL FOR
NORTHERN ZONES AND HIGHER AMOUNTS SOUTH.

KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN ON FRIDAY...BUT EXPECTING LITTLE IF ANY
PRECIP AND MAINLY IN THE MORNING. SAVADEL

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...GFS/ECMWF/ENSEMBLES
ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THRU THE EXTENDED PERIOD...ALL HINT AT S/WV
BRUSHING NORTHERN NV WITH CONTINUED MOIST NORTHWESTLY FLOW ALOFT
FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...FOLLOWED
CONTINUITY AND LEFT SLT CHC POPS ACROSS THE AREA WITH BEST CHANCE
BEING FAR NORTHERN ELKO AND NORTHERN HUMBOLDT COUNTIES. MOIST
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THRU TUESDAY THANKS TO
STRONG H5 RIDGE SITTING OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST VCNTY 35N 130W.
LEFT MAX TEMPS BELOW GUIDANCE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS INVERSIONS SHOULD
SET UP WITH NEW SNOW COVER EXPECTED FROM TODAYS STORM. NIGHTTIME
LOWS A LITTLE MORE CHALLENGING WITH POSSIBILITY OF CLOUDS KEEPING
TEMPS UP. NEXT COLD FRONT ARRIVES ABOUT WEDNESDAY FROM NORTHWEST.
COULD BE MAJOR SYNOPTIC SCALE PATTERN CHANGE AFTER MIDWEEK AS
DEEP TROF COULD BE SETTING UP NEAR WEST COAST. &&

.AVIATION...IFR WITH AREAS OF LIFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER
CENTRAL NV MUCH OF THE NIGHT WITH PERIODS OF IFR IN THE NORTH AND
SNOW SHOWERS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE NORTH TO SOUTH LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY FRIDAY. &&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
 SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR NVZ035-013.
 WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NVZ037.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
431 PM PST THU JAN 4 2007

NVZ013-030>037-051259-
EXTREME EASTERN ELKO COUNTY-HUMBOLDT COUNTY-NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY-
NORTHERN LANDER AND NORTHERN EUREKA COUNTIES-NORTHERN NYE COUNTY-
RUBY MOUNTAINS/EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE-
SOUTHERN LANDER AND SOUTHERN EUREKA COUNTIES-
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY-WHITE PINE COUNTY-
431 PM PST THU JAN 4 2007

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO PUSH THROUGH THE STATE
TONIGHT AND BRING ADDITIONAL SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES....ALONG WITH
GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. WITH THE
SNOWFALL AND GUSTY WINDS...LOW VISIBILITY IS EXPECTED AT TIMES. THE
SNOW ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE TO ONLY ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS BY FRIDAY
MORNING. PLEASE SEE PRODUCT WWUS45 KLKN OR RNOWSWLKN FOR MORE
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED IN THE SILVER STATE UNTIL THE NEXT
MAJOR SYSTEM APPROACHES ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AWG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
928 PM PST THU JAN 04 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     SNOW             EMIGRANT PASS           40.63N 116.30W
01/04/2007  E4.0 INCH        EUREKA             NV   TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 PM     HEAVY SNOW       SPRING CREEK            40.74N 115.60W
01/04/2007  E6.0 INCH        ELKO               NV   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

KBB