Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Elko, NV

000 
WWUS55 KLKN 170145
SVSLKN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
645 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2007

NVC011-015-170200-
/O.CON.KLKN.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070717T0200Z/
EUREKA NV-LANDER NV-
645 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM PDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL LANDER AND WEST CENTRAL EUREKA COUNTIES...

AT 643 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CRESCENT VALLEY...MOVING NORTH AT 20
MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CRESCENT VALLEY BY 655 PM PDT...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4018 11671 4016 11653 4042 11652 4043 11668

$$

JMG

000 
WWUS55 KLKN 170207
SVSLKN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
706 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2007

NVC011-015-170216-
/O.EXP.KLKN.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070717T0200Z/
EUREKA NV-LANDER NV-
706 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL LANDER AND WEST
CENTRAL EUREKA COUNTIES EXPIRED AT 700 PM PDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED NORTH OF THE 
AREA. HOWEVER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN REISSUED FOR 
NORTHEASTERN LANDER COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM PDT.

LAT...LON 4018 11671 4016 11653 4042 11652 4043 11668

$$

JMG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
218 PM PDT MON JUL 16 2007

.SYNOPSIS...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TONIGHT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED TO NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY ON
TUESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE END OF THIS WEEK. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRUSH THE STATE
ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND PRODUCE WINDY CONDITIONS. &&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SCATTERED CONVECTION
ONGOING ATTM ALONG A SURFACE CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM
NORTHERN ELKO COUNTY SOUTHWESTWARD INTO NORTHERN NYE COUNTY.
EXPECTING THE SCATTERED CONVECTION TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
BEFORE SOME OF IT FALLS APART. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A WEAK
SHORTWAVE CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CA
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE AND THE LFQ OF AN ASSOCIATED 55KT JET
STREAK WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL NV TONIGHT AND SHOULD KEEP ISOLATED
CONVECTION GOING IN SOME AREAS.

BY TUESDAY...FLOW ALOFT TURNS MORE SOUTHWESTERLY IN ADVANCE OF H5
TROUGH APPROACHING WEST COAST...CAUSING MONSOONAL MOISTURE TO
GET SHOVED EASTWARD. HOWEVER...STILL SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE
REMAINING ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY FOR MORE ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. BOTH THE NAM AND THE GFS SHOW A MID-LEVEL DRY
SLOT PUNCHING INTO NORTHERN NYE COUNTY AND WHITE PINE COUNTY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. WITH DEEP MIXING EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS...RHS FALLING
INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND H7 WINDS PROGGED BETWEEN 25-30 KTS...
WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE
NEIGHBORHOOD OF 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO PUSH EASTWARD ON WEDNESDAY WITH ITS AXIS
NEARING THE COAST LATE IN THE DAY. MODELS SHOW DRY AIR INVADING ALL
OF OUR CWFA ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF WESTERN HUMBOLDT
COUNTY IN VICINITY OF SURFACE FRONT. ALLOWED FOR SOME CLOUD
COVER HERE WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION WILL BE SUNNY. EXPECTING
A BREEZY TO WINDY DAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWFA AHEAD OF ADVANCING
SURFACE FRONT/UPPER TROUGH AS DEEP MIXING ENSUES BY AFTERNOON. NOSE
OF 105 KT JET PUSHES INTO NORTHWESTERN NV WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH H7
WINDS PROGGED TO BE IN THE 30 KT RANGE ACROSS MOST OF THE CWFA
AND H5 WINDS INCREASING TO 50-60 KTS ACROSS HUMBOLDT COUNTY.
AFTERNOON SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 20-30 MPH RANGE WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH. DUE TO THE GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RHS...HAVE
DECIDED TO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL ZONES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. MCGEE

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. UPPER LOW CENTER
OFF WEST COAST SWINGS INTO NORTHERN CA WEDNESDAY NIGHT DRIVEN BY A
60 KT JET AT 500 MB. EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING
HOURS AS UPPER LOW WEAKENS AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER TO THE
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW REMAINS OVER CWA THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. GFS PUSHES HIGH BACK INTO THE FOUR CORNER AREA OVER THE
WEEKEND FOR RETURN TO MONSOON MOISTURE. TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE
MID 90S TO LOW 100S DURING THE PERIOD. HARMER &&

.AVIATION...CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR THROUGH TUESDAY. HOWEVER...A
SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY EAST. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IN STORMS MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO IFR. IN ADDITION...
OUTFLOW WINDS FROM SOME STORMS MAYBE AS HIGH AS 40 TO 50 MPH. &&

.FIRE WEATHER...EXPECTING COVERAGE OF ONGOING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME ISOLATED BY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WITH
THE ATMOSPHERE HAVING AN UNUSUALLY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT...ANY
T-STORMS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL BE WET.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST ON TUESDAY AND BE
CONFINED TO NORTHEASTERN ELKO COUNTY. IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING
TROUGH...EXPECTING WINDS TO PICK UP ACROSS CENTRAL NV IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
WITH RHS FALLING BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THESE AREAS AS
WELL...HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
FOR FW ZONES 455 AND 457. THE EARLY MORNING SHIFT WILL LIKELY NEED TO
UPDATE THIS TO A RED FLAG WARNING WITH TOMORROW MORNINGS PACKAGE.

AN UPPER TROUGH AND A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWESTERN NEVADA
BY LATE IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THESE FEATURE...EXPECTING
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS ALL
OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH MIN RHS
FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND WINDS ON THE ORDER OF 20-30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. AS A RESULT OF THESE EXPECTED CONDITIONS...
HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ALL ZONES
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MCGEE &&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FW ZONES 455 AND 457 FROM 11AM TO
9PM TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FW ZONES 451-452-454-455 AND 457
FROM 11AM TO 9PM WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY.