Red Flag Warning 27, NWS Elko, NV

000 
WWUS85 KLKN 040245
RFWLKN

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
745 PM PDT MON SEP 3 2007

...PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.A PACIFIC TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NEVADA
FROM THE WEST TONIGHT...AND MOVE THROUGH THE STATE ON TUESDAY.
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS
EVENING...AND PICK UP AGAIN TUESDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO NEAR 15 PERCENT ON TUESDAY.

NVZ451-041300-
/O.EXP.KLKN.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-070904T0300Z/
/O.CON.KLKN.FW.W.0027.070904T1700Z-070905T0200Z/
HUMBOLDT COUNTY-
745 PM PDT MON SEP 3 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM PDT
TUESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING.  

THIS EXPIRED RED FLAG WARNING WAS FOR THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER
ZONE:

451 - HUMBOLDT COUNTY

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS MOST OF HUMBOLDT
COUNTY THIS EVENING...THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR
TODAY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. WINDS WILL GUST LOCALLY TO 
AROUND 30 MPH ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWEST HUMBOLDT COUNTY UNTIL 
MIDNIGHT. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING 
AND GUST TO AROUND 35 MPH THROUGH THE DAY...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
BETWEEN 12 AND 17 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

NVZ452-454-455-457-041300-
/O.CON.KLKN.FW.W.0027.070904T1700Z-070905T0200Z/
ELKO COUNTY PLUS LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES NORTH OF I-80-
CENTRAL LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES-WHITE PINE COUNTY-
LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 PLUS NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY-
745 PM PDT MON SEP 3 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM PDT
TUESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM PDT
TUESDAY. 

THIS RED FLAG WARNING IS FOR THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:

452 - ELKO COUNTY AND NORTH OF I80 IN LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES

454 - LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES BETWEEN I80 AND HIGHWAY 50

455 - WHITE PINE COUNTY

457 - NORTHERN NYE COUNTY AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 IN LANDER AND
EUREKA COUNTIES

WINDS WILL PICK UP TUESDAY MORNING...OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST...
GUSTING TO BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH THROUGH THE DAY...WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 14 AND 20 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

TT

000 
WWUS85 KLKN 040916
RFWLKN

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
216 AM PDT TUE SEP 4 2007

...PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

.A PACIFIC TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 
THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO NEAR 15 PERCENT TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

NVZ451-452-454-455-457-050100-
/O.CON.KLKN.FW.W.0027.070904T1700Z-070905T0200Z/
HUMBOLDT COUNTY-
ELKO COUNTY PLUS LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES NORTH OF I-80-
CENTRAL LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES-WHITE PINE COUNTY-
LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 PLUS NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY-
216 AM PDT TUE SEP 4 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7
PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

THIS RED FLAG WARNING IS FOR THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:

451 - HUMBOLDT COUNTY

452 - ELKO COUNTY AND NORTH OF I80 IN LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES

454 - LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES BETWEEN I80 AND HIGHWAY 50

455 - WHITE PINE COUNTY

457 - NORTHERN NYE COUNTY AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 IN LANDER AND
EUREKA COUNTIES

WINDS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED EARLY THIS MORNING...AND WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH NOON. WIND GUSTS ARE 
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 35 MPH...HOWEVER...AS THE FRONT
ENTERS NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON HIGHER WIND GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. ALSO...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO NEAR 15 PERCENT...CREATING HAZARDOUS FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS INTO TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE RAIN SHOWERS AND
COOLER AIR MOVE INTO THE REGION.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KLKN 042053
RFWLKN

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
153 PM PDT TUE SEP 4 2007

...PACIFIC COLD FRONT BRING GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...

.A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON.
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING AS THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO
FALL TO NEAR 15 PERCENT MAINLY SOUTH AND WEST...WITH STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES MAINLY NORTHEAST AND EAST.

NVZ451-452-454-455-457-050200-
/O.CON.KLKN.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-070905T0200Z/
HUMBOLDT COUNTY-
ELKO COUNTY PLUS LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES NORTH OF I-80-
CENTRAL LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES-WHITE PINE COUNTY-
LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 PLUS NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY-
153 PM PDT TUE SEP 4 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PDT THIS EVENING.

THIS RED FLAG WARNING IS FOR THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES:

451 - HUMBOLDT COUNTY

452 - ELKO COUNTY AND NORTH OF I80 IN LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES

454 - LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES BETWEEN I80 AND HIGHWAY 50

455 - WHITE PINE COUNTY

457 - NORTHERN NYE COUNTY AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 IN LANDER AND
EUREKA COUNTIES

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TO BETWEEN 30 AND
40 MPH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RAISE HUMIDITIES IN THE EASTERN HALF OF ZONE
452...PORTIONS OF ZONE 454...AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF ZONE 455.
HOWEVER...HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW 15 PERCENT IN ZONE
451...THE WESTERN HALF OF ZONE 452...MUCH OF ZONE 454...THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF ZONE 455...AND ALL OF ZONE 457.

IN ADDITION TO RED FLAG CONDITIONS DUE TO WINDS AND HUMIDITIES...
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE FRINGES OF AREAS OF STRONG CONVECTION
IN ZONES 452...454...AND 457.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KLKN 050157
RFWLKN

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
657 PM PDT TUE SEP 4 2007


NVZ451-452-454-455-457-050300-
/O.EXP.KLKN.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-070905T0200Z/
HUMBOLDT COUNTY-
ELKO COUNTY PLUS LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES NORTH OF I-80-
CENTRAL LANDER AND EUREKA COUNTIES-WHITE PINE COUNTY-
LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 PLUS NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY-
657 PM PDT TUE SEP 4 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM PDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM PDT THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE RISEN ABOVE 15 PERCENT AND WINDS 
WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. 

$$
JMG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
346 PM PDT MON SEP 3 2007

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH NEVADA WILL TRIGGER
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
AND BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED MAINLY WET
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING. THE MODELS AGREE ON A
SEASON CHANGING COLD FRONT MOVING THRU THE FCST AREA TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH UPPER SUPPORT FROM AN 80 KT JET. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP MIDDAY TUESDAY AND CONTINUE
THRU TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE...MAINLY
NORTH. WRAP-AROUND SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH WEDNESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP 15 TO 20 DEGREES IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REA

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. GFS AND ECMWF IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT DAY 5...THEN THE MAIN DIFFERENCE IS THE
GFS BEING QUICKER BRINGING DOWN ANOTHER TROUGH GOING INTO SUN/MON.
ECMWF HAS SHOWN SOME CONSISTENCY SO FAR WITH THIS FEATURE AND WILL
LEAN TOWARD A SLOWER SOLUTION. TO START OUT THE PERIOD
HOWEVER...UPPER LOW WILL BE EAST OF AREA WITH DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
SETTING UP OVER THE CWA. HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF THE
EXTENDED SHOULD BE FAIRLY PERSISTENT IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.
WILL START TO SEE A LITTLE INCREASE IN MID LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE
WEEKEND AS TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE NW AND COULD FIRE A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT FOR NOW NOT VERY CONFIDENT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY WITH IT TO WARRANT MENTION IN FORECAST SO LEFT POPS LESS
THAN 15 PERCENT AND NO MENTION OF THUNDER IN ZONES. JMG
&&

.AVIATION...MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY OVER CNTRL NV WILL PRODUCE
ISOLATED TSTMS WHICH COULD LAST PAST 06Z OVER FAR EASTERN
NV...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF TWB RTE 406. JMG
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SEASON-CHANGING COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
WESTERN HALF OF ZONE 451 THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THE
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THRU NEVADA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS
TUESDAY SHOULD MEET RED FLAG SPEED CRITERIA BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
MAY HAVE A HARD TIME FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT. LOOKS LIKE ZONE 451
HAS THE BEST CHANCE. WILL UPGRADE FIRE WX WATCH TO RED FLAG
WARNING FOR ALL ZONES...451...452...454...455...AND 457...ON THE
ASSUMPTION THAT ALL LOCATIONS WILL GET CLOSE. RHS WILL START
COMING UP TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN LOCATIONS WHERE CONVECTION DEVELOPS.
IF TIMING OF FRONT IS SLOWER THAN EXPECTED...OR CLOUD COVER ON
TUESDAY IS LESS THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED...THEN WE WILL HIT RED FLAG
CRITERIA.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL DROP 20 DEGREES IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
WITH VALLEY HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80 TO 85 RANGE THRU THIS WEEKEND.
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY
NIGHT...WITH LINGERING SHOWERS POSSIBLE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY. AFTER
THAT...NO CONVECTION IS EXPECTED THRU SATURDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF CONVECTION NEXT SUNDAY WITH ANOTHER FRONT. REA &&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

RED FLAG WARNING FOR FWZ 451 UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES.

RED FLAG WARNING FOR FWZ 451...452...454...455...AND 457...FROM 10
AM TO 7 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES.