Red Flag Warning 17, NWS Elko, NV

000 
WWUS85 KLKN 280011
RFWLKN

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
511 PM PDT FRI JUL 27 2007

NVZ455-457-280115-
/O.CAN.KLKN.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-070728T0500Z/
WHITE PINE COUNTY-
LANDER/EUREKA COUNTIES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 PLUS NORTHERN NYE
COUNTY-
511 PM PDT FRI JUL 27 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ELKO HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. 

THUNDERSTORMS RESPONSIBLE FOR DRY LIGHTNING EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON
HAVE SINCE DISSIPATED...THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED.

$$


JM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
205 AM PDT FRI JUL 27 2007

.SYNOPSIS...DRIER AIR MOVING INTO NORTHERN NEVADA WILL KEEP THE
THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS CONFINED TO CENTRAL NEVADA TODAY. SOME
MOISTURE WILL MOVE BACK INTO NORTHEASTERN NEVADA BEGINNING SATURDAY
WITH A BIGGER SURGE OF MONSOON MOISTURE MOVING INTO EASTERN NEVADA
AROUND TUESDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...DRIER AIR HAS ALREADY MOVED INTO NWRN NV AS EVIDENCED
BY DEW POINTS IN THE MID 20S AT WMC. THIS DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
WORK ITS WAY EWD TODAY AND WILL ELIMINATE THE THREAT OF TSTMS FROM
ALL OF NRN NV TODAY. CNTRL NV WILL STILL HAVE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY TO SEE AT LEAST ISOLATED TSTMS THIS AFTN. ON
SATURDAY MODELS SHOW SOME OF THE MOISTURE OVER CNTRL NV TO ADVECT
NWD INTO ERN ELKO COUNTY SO INTRODUCED ISOLATED TSTMS BACK IN THE
FORECAST FOR THAT AREA. CEC

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...LONG RANGE
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT OVER THE NEXT WEEK WITH PERSISTENT PATTERN
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MODELS SHOW POSITION OF UPPERLEVEL HIGH NEAR
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK...WITH SOUTH TO
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW REMAINING OVER MOST OF THE GREAT BASIN REGION.
LOW TO MIDLEVEL SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER CNTRL
NV THIS WEEKEND BEFORE INCREASING ACROSS THE WHOLE CWFA BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. DAYTIME TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 90S THIS WEEKEND WITH MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S AND
60S. TEMPS EXPECTED TO COOL BY A FEW DEGS NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER
STRONG MONSOON PUSH IS EXPECTED TO PUSH NORTH FROM THE TROPICS BY
TUESDAY WITH PW/S INCREASING TO OVER 1 INCH ACROSS ERN NV. CONTINUED
TO INCREASE POPS STARTING ON TUESDAY WITH MODELS SHOWING R/R QUAD OF
50 KT UPPERLEVEL JET MAX PUSHING ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN UPPERLEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHING
NORTH OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. WILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS FEATURE CLOSELY
DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
TT
&&

.AVIATION...TAFS AND TWEBS COVER EXPECTED VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
THIS MORNING. ISOLD TSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS CNTRL NV IN THE VICINITY OF KTPH AND KELY.
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...BRIEF MODERATE RAINFALL...AND GUSTY WINDS UP
TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN AND AROUND THESE TSTORMS THROUGH 3PM
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRIER AIR HAS ALREADY MOVED INTO NWRN NV AS EVIDENCED
BY DEW POINTS IN THE MID 20S AT WMC. THIS DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
WORK ITS WAY EWD TODAY AND WILL ELIMINATE THE THREAT OF TSTMS FROM
ALL OF NRN NV TODAY. CNTRL NV WILL STILL HAVE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY TO SEE AT LEAST ISOLATED TSTMS THIS AFTN. MOST OF
THE STORMS WILL STILL BE WET TODAY BUT WILL BE TRANSITIONING OVER
TO DRY AS PW VALUES DROP BELOW 3/4 INCH. ON SATURDAY MODELS SHOW SOME
OF THE MOISTURE OVER CNTRL NV TO ADVECT NWD INTO ERN ELKO COUNTY SO
INTRODUCED ISOLATED TSTMS BACK IN THE FORECAST FOR THAT AREA. TSTMS
ON SATURDAY WILL BE MAINLY DRY AS PW VALUES RANGE FROM 1/2 TO 2/3
INCH WITH MOISTURE MOSTLY ABOVE 550 MB. CEC
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.