Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 96, NWS Lake Charles, LA

June 19, 2007Allen Parish, Louisiana

NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 19, 2007, 6:43 PM CDT for Allen Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 19, 2007, 6:43 PM CDT (23:43 UTC)
Expired: Jun 19, 2007, 7:15 PM CDT
In force: 32 min
Issued by: NWS Lake Charles, LA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Allen Parish, LA

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3210 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 661 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KLCH 192344
SVRLCH
LAC003-200015-
/O.NEW.KLCH.SV.W.0096.070619T2343Z-070620T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
643 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL ALLEN PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
   THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...OBERLIN...MITTIE...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 638 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  MITTIE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  OBERLIN BY 715 PM CDT...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE 
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3078 9276 3081 9297 3052 9297 3051 9276

$$

SHAMBURGER

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS54 KLCH 200004
SVSLCH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
704 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2007

LAC003-200015-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.W.0096.000000T0000Z-070620T0015Z/
ALLEN LA-
704 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL ALLEN PARISH...

AT 659 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF MITTIE...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LEBLANC BY 715 PM CDT...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

LAT...LON 3072 9276 3078 9297 3050 9297 3050 9276

$$

SHAMBURGER

000 
WWUS54 KLCH 200017
SVSLCH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
715 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2007

LAC003-200026-
/O.EXP.KLCH.SV.W.0096.000000T0000Z-070620T0015Z/
ALLEN LA-
715 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL ALLEN PARISH EXPIRES
AT 715 PM CDT...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND HEAVY 
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA AS THE 
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE SOUTHWARD AT 10 MPH.

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING HAIL OR WIND DAMAGE TO 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 337-477-5285.

LAT...LON 3072 9276 3078 9297 3050 9297 3050 9276

$$

SHAMBURGER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 19, 3:44 PM CDT, 2 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 3:44 PM CDT, 2 hours 59 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
344 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2007

.UPDATE...ADDED MENTION OF SEVERE TSTMS FOR THE EXTREME EASTERN
PORTION OF THE AREA PER LATES SPC SEVERE TSTM WATCH #422 TIL 9 PM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 237 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2007/

SYNOPSIS...CONVECTIVE COMPLEX INBOUND INTO CEN LA FROM
MISSISSIPPI. OTHERWISE A COL AREA AT THE MID LEVELS IS
TRANSITIONING INTO A RIDGE TONIGHT WITH THE THERMAL PATTERN AT H85
SUGGESTING INCREASING CAPPING AS SUBSIDENCE BEGINS TO TAKE HOLD.

MID LEVEL AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH SHOULD
EFFECTIVELY SUPPRESS SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK WHILE WE SEE WARMER THAN SEASONAL NORM TEMPS DUE TO
COMPRESSIONAL HEATING.

SHORT TERM...ADDED CHANCE POPS FROM ORIGINAL ISOLATED FOR THE
EASTERN PORTION OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA IN RESPONSE TO THE CONVECTIVE
CLUSTER HEADED TOWARDS THAT AREA. OTHERWISE CAPPING AND MID LEVEL
RIDGING SHOULD INHIBIT SHOWER ACTIVITY. SHADED TEMPS TO THE WARM
SIDE TONIGHT PER RECENT TRENDS AND DUE TO THE INCREASING
SUBSIDENCE YET CONTINUED TRAPPED MOISTURE.

THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK LOOKING WARM AND DRY DUE TO RIDGING.

LONG TERM...A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
SHOULD ALLOW FOR A RESUMPTION OF SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

AVIATION...VFR WITH VCSH/CB. EXPECT UPDATE SHORTLY FOR AEX AS
SCATTERED TSTMS MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. VIS COULD GO IFR IN
TEMPO +TSRA. LFT COULD EXPECT AN UPDATE WITHIN AN HOUR OR SO AS
MORE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY MOVES INTO THAT AREA
WITH MVFR VIS.

MARINE...RELAXING GRADIENT WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KNOT WINDS AND THEN LIGHT OFFSHROE AS A SURFACE HIGH
BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER EAST TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. SEAS SHOULD SUBSIDE.
WILL EXPIRE THE SCEC FOR OUTER WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  76  94  73  93 /  10  20  10  10
KBPT  76  90  73  92 /  10  30  10  10
KAEX  74  92  73  92 /  30  10  10  10
KLFT  75  96  73  92 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 9 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: AVOYELLES...IBERIA...LOWER ST. MARTIN...ST. LANDRY...
     ST. MARY...AND UPPER ST. MARTIN.

TX...NONE.
GM...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 9 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: AND COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

JS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 4:23 AM CDT, 14 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
423 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2007

GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-
201-215-216-201030-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
423 AM CDT TUE JUN 19 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND DAYTIME
HEATING WILL PROVIDE THE LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WITH THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE...SOME STORMS MAY
PRODUCE INTENSE RAINFALL RATES...CAUSING SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL
REDUCE RAIN CHANCES. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

RUA

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 19, 4:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
440 PM CDT TUE JUN 19 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND GST     8 NE PINEVILLE          31.40N 92.30W
06/19/2007  M55 MPH          RAPIDES            LA   ASOS

            MEASURED BY ALEXANDRIA ESLER FIELD ASOS

&&

SHAMBURGER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 18, 11:30 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	LCH		60 min
Jun 19, 4:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LCH	Avoyelles, Rapides	47 min
Jun 19, 5:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LCH	Saint Landry	48 min
Jun 19, 5:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LCH	Allen	46 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.