Severe Thunderstorm Warning 343, NWS North Platte, NE

000 
WWUS53 KLBF 052239
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
539 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2007

NEC031-052300-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0343.000000T0000Z-070805T2300Z/
CHERRY NE-
539 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN CHERRY COUNTY...

AT 532 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR VALENTINE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  VALENTINE...7 MILES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 83 MILE MARKER 220 AND 9 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF HIGHWAY 12 MILE MARKER 10 BY 600 PM CDT...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 4275 10058 4269 10064 4268 10023 4299 10026
      4299 10061

$$

CDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
324 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2007

.DISCUSSION...
NO REAL CHANGES IN THE FCST THINKING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE NAM12 AND
GFS BOTH INDICATE A STEADY STREAM OF DISTURBANCES MOVING OFF THE COLO
FRONT RANGE. THE ATM WILL BE STRONGLY CAPPED SO WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
IS UNLIKELY. ANY STORMS WHICH FORM WILL CERTAINLY BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING INTENSE RAINFALL AND SPC HAS OUTLOOK THE AREA FOR SEVERE
WEATHER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BOTH THE NAM AND THE GFS SHOW DEEP
MOISTURE REMAINING ACROSS THE FCST AREA FOR MOST OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS
AS A BROAD H5 UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SLOWLY MIGRATES EASTWARD TOWARD THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THEN RETREATS BACK WEST LATER THIS WEEK.

THROUGH WEDNESDAY...NEBRASKA WILL REMAIN ON THE NRN PERIPHERY OF A
BROAD SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. STEERING WINDS ALOFT WILL TRACK DISTURBANCES
ACROSS THE AREA ALMOST DAILY. WINDS ALOFT WILL ALSO BE QUITE STRONG
SUPPORTING DEEP CONVECTION AND TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CIRCULATE
AROUND THE RIDGE PROVIDING AMPLE SUPPORT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
THE LATEST SIMULATION OF THE GFS SHOWS THE H5 RIDGE AMPLIFYING ACROSS
NEB LATER THIS WEEK. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE ECMWF. THIS TREND
WOULD KEEP THE AREA DRIER LATER THIS WEEK AS THE STORM TRACK WOULD BE
FARTHER WEST...NORTH AND EAST AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE.

FOR TONIGHT...THE SURFACE DRYLINE FROM KSNY NORTH TO KPHP APPEARS TO
BE THE BEST FOCUS FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED WITH A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. HAIL AND
WIND ARE THE MAIN THREAT WITH AN ISOLD TORNADO POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN
NEB WHERE A TRIPLE PT IS FORMING.

THE TEMP FORECAST IS THE USUAL BLEND OF NAM12 2M TEMPS...GUIDANCE
AND HPC GUIDANCE. A SLIGHT DOWNWARD ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE AS GUIDANCE
HAS BEEN TOO WARM THIS SUMMER. HIGHS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED IN THE
LOWER TO MID 90S IN THE VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT.

&&

.AVIATION...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE PLENTIFULLY ACROSS MOST OF THE
REGION...EXCEPT ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF THE ROCKIES. ALL THIS
MOISTURE HAS CREATED AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHERE EVER THERE ARE
SURFACE BOUNDARIES. THE HIGH MOISTURE WILL ALSO AID IN THE DEVELOP
OF MVFR CIGS AND/OR VSBYS...ALONG AND EAST A KIML TO KVTN LINE.
LOCALLY CIGS OR VSBYS MAY BRIEFLY DROP TO IFR FOR AREAS EAST OF A
KLBF TO KANW LINE NEAR SUNRISE. A RETURN TO VFR BY MID TO LATE
MORNING IS EXPECTED.
&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

CDC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
339 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2007

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-062045-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
339 PM CDT SUN AUG 5 2007 /239 PM MDT SUN AUG 5 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA TONIGHT. MOST THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...HOWEVER A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS AS
NUMEROUS DISTURBANCES TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EVERY DAY FROM MONDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY. ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. AT THIS TIME...THE GREATEST THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE EAST OF HIGHWAY 83 FROM VALENTINE TO NORTH
PLATTE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
AREA.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE

MASEK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
504 PM CDT SUN AUG 05 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     HAIL             5 SE KILGORE            42.89N 100.89W
08/05/2007  E1.00 INCH       CHERRY             NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFF DEPUTY OBSERVED QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND THEN
            TURNED AROUND AS CONDITIONS WERE DETERIORATING RAPIDLY.

&&

BTAYLOR