Marine Weather Statement 4, NWS JSJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
412 PM AST MON MAR 26 2007

.SYNOPSIS...ROAD SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE WEST CENTRAL
ATLANTIC INTO THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD INTO THE WEST ATLANTIC...WHERE IT WILL PREVAIL THROUGH AT
LEAST THURSDAY. UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH TUESDAY...AND HELP FOR ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS STARTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE INTERIOR SECTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO AND THEN SPREADING OUT TO THE WEST AND NORTH SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO. THESE SHOWERS PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
AROUND 1 TO 3 INCHES. MOST OF THESE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTH OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TONIGHT...SHOWERS
WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND MOVE NORTH AFFECTING
THE SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. A
SIMILAR WEATHER SCENARIO WILL PREVAIL OVER THE LOCAL REGION ON
TUESDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP AND AFFECTING THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST.

.LONG TERM...THE LOCAL ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
STABLE AFTER WEDNESDAY BUT ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE
AVAILABLE TO INCREASE THE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
LOCAL AREA.

MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY TRANQUIL UNTIL WEDNESDAY...WHEN
A NORTH LONG PERIOD SWELL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGIONAL WATERS.
INTENSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE REGIONAL
WATERS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AND MARINERS ARE URGED TO KEEP
ALERT FOR THESE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  73  85  74  84 /  50  40  40  40
STT  75  83  75  83 /  50  40  40  50

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

99/10

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
600 AM AST MON MAR 26 2007

PRZ001>013-AMZ710>750-271000-
600 AM AST MON MAR 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PUERTO RICO.

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE
LOCAL WATERS TODAY...WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR RAIN ACROSS
THE INTERIOR...NORTHERN SLOPES...AND NORTHWEST. HEAVY RAINFALL
SHOULD BE EXPECTED OVER THE INTERIOR AND NORTHWESTERN SECTIONS AND
COULD PRODUCE LARGE AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN...WITH ISOLATED AREAS
POTENTIALLY SEEING ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES. ALTHOUGH NO
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...URBAN AND SMALL
STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY. THIS ACTIVITY OVER WATER WILL PRODUCE
REDUCED VISIBILITIES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
WATER LIGHTNING...AND MARINERS ARE URGED TO REMAIN ALERT TO THESE
HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...A VERY ENERGETIC UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
RESPONSIBLE FOR CREATING VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS AND
WILL MAINTAIN THE CHANCE FOR INTENSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
REGION WIDE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE MOVING OUT OF THE
REGION...WITH THE ATMOSPHERE THEN BEGINNING TO STABILIZE.
HOWEVER...INCREASING MOISTURE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MAY MAINTAIN
A GOOD CHANCE FOR FREQUENT SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL
AREA.

MODERATE TO LARGE LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO INVADE
THE REGIONAL WATERS WEDNESDAY...AND WILL GENERATE HIGH SURF ALONG
THE LOCAL ATLANTIC COASTS...AND SEAS 7 FEET OR GREATER ACROSS THE
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED TODAY.

VIZ001-002-AMZ710>730-271000-
600 AM AST MON MAR 26 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE LEEWARD COASTS OF
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS TODAY. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY...ALTHOUGH THE HIGHEST RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR OVER WATER. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
OR GUT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. OVER THE LOCAL WATERS...THIS ACTIVITY
WILL PRODUCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES...STRONG GUSTY WINDS...AND
FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING...AND MARINERS ARE URGED TO REMAIN
ALERT TO THESE HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...A VERY ENERGETIC UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
RESPONSIBLE FOR CREATING VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS AND
WILL MAINTAIN THE CHANCE FOR INTENSE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
REGION WIDE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE MOVING OUT OF THE
REGION...WITH THE ATMOSPHERE THEN BEGINNING TO STABILIZE.
HOWEVER...INCREASING MOISTURE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MAY MAINTAIN
A GOOD CHANCE FOR FREQUENT SHOWERS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL
AREA.

MODERATE TO LARGE LONG PERIOD NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO INVADE
THE REGIONAL WATERS WEDNESDAY...AND WILL GENERATE HIGH SURF ALONG
THE LOCAL ATLANTIC COASTS...AND SEAS 7 FEET OR GREATER ACROSS THE
LOCAL COASTAL WATERS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB
SITE FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AT (ALL LOWERCASE
LETTERS): HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU

FROM YOUR PDA/PHONE: HTTP://MOBILE.SRH.NOAA.GOV OR
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/WML

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