Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 148, NWS Jacksonville, FL

July 16, 2007Bradford County, Clay County, Florida

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 16, 2007, 7:02 PM EDT for Bradford County, Clay County, Florida. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2007, 7:02 PM EDT (23:02 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2007, 7:30 PM EDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Jacksonville, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Bradford County, FL, Clay County, FL

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 16, 2:30 PM EDT, 4 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 2:30 PM EDT, 4 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
230 PM EDT MON JUL 16 2007

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
VERY CLIMO-LIKE PATTERN EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY AS 500MB HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE WRN ATLC WILL BUILD WESTWARD ACRS THE FL
PENINSULA JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. POPS WILL GENERALLY
REMAIN NEAR CLIMO IN THE 30-50% RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY
THEN FALL INTO THE 20-40% RANGE FOR WED AND THU AS MODELS DO DEPICT
SOME DRIER MID/UPPER LEVEL AIR PUSHING INTO SOME OF THE NERN FL
COUNTIES AS PWATS FALL TO AROUND 1.5. THIS DRY AIR WILL BE THE
MAJOR FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK FORECAST.
OTHERWISE...MAX TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEAR CLIMO IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S
INLAND AND NEAR 90 AT THE COAST. ATLC COAST SBRZ WILL MOVE INLAND TO
AROUND THE 301 CORRIDOR EACH DAY AND COLLIDE WITH WEST COAST SBRZ
OVER INTERIOR COUNTIES WITH ISOLD SVR WET MICROBURST ACTIVITY
POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
500MB TROF OVER THE ERN U.S. WILL AMPLIFY ONCE AGAIN AND SEND
ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGHER PWAT AIRMASS AROUND 2 INCHES INTO THE
FORECAST AREA THAT WILL LIKELY SEND POPS BACK UP INTO THE 50-70%
RANGE ONCE AGAIN. FOR NOW HAVE CAPPED THEM AROUND 50% UNTIL THIS
SCENARIO UNFOLDS...IT APPEARS AS THOUGH ANOTHER WEEKEND WITH
NUMEROUS SHOWERS/TSTMS IS ON TAP. NEXT MONDAY THE GFS ENSEMBLE RUN
IS STILL ADVERTISING THE 500 MB RIDGE TO START RE-BUILDING OVER OR
JUST NORTH OF THE REGION WITH PSBL DEEPER ELY FLOW TO FOLLOW NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL BECOME TEMPO MVFR/IFR IN SCATTERED
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ENDING BY 00Z.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT S-SE WINDS WITH SEAS 3 FEET OR LESS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  71  93  72  93 /  20  50  20  50
SSI  78  88  78  88 /  10  50  20  40
JAX  74  92  74  93 /  10  50  20  40
SGJ  75  90  75  90 /  10  40  10  30
GNV  73  93  73  94 /  30  50  20  40
OCF  73  93  72  94 /  30  50  10  40

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

HESS/ZIBURA/KERNS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 4:00 AM EDT, 15 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
400 AM EDT MON JUL 16 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-171000-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
400 AM EDT MON JUL 16 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN INITIATE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH ACTIVITY FOCUSING
ACROSS THE INTERIOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE STRONGER STORMS. IN
ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
GENERALLY INITIATE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ALTHOUGH MOST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF ACTIVATE IN THE EVENT WARNINGS ARE
ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

ECZ

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 6:14 PM EDT, 48 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 16, 6:24 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 16, 6:31 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 16, 6:36 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 16, 6:48 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 16, 6:48 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
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      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXNassau51 min
Jul 16, 6:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXBradford36 min
Jul 16, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua47 min
Jul 16, 7:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXClay42 min
Jul 16, 7:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXMarion45 min
Jul 16, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXCamden49 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.