Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 128, NWS Jacksonville, FL

July 12, 2007Flagler County, Florida

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 12, 2007, 1:40 PM EDT for Flagler County, Florida. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2007, 1:40 PM EDT (17:40 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2007, 2:10 PM EDT
In force
30 min
Issued by
NWS Jacksonville, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Flagler County, FL

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 224 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2007-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2718 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2007-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2718 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
683 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 12, 8:57 AM EDT, 4 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 8:57 AM EDT, 4 hours 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
857 AM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

.UPDATE...
SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR HAS SLIPPED SOUTHWARD INTO SERN GA AND HAS
DECREASED PWATS INTO THE 1.5 TO 1.75 INCH RANGE AND SHOULD LIMIT
TSTM COVERAGE TO 20-30% THERE WHILE ACRS NERN FL PWATS STILL ARND
2 INCHES AND WITH WEAK SHORTWAVE IMPULSES RIDING WEST OUT OF THE
NERN GOMEX ACRS NERN FL TODAY SHOULD STILL SEE AT LEAST 30-50%
COVERAGE OF TSTMS BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS. LATEST RADAR TRENDS
SHOWING SOME TRAINING OF ECHOES POSSIBLE AND SOME POOR DRAINAGE
FLOODING MAY BE POSSIBLE ACRS INLD AREAS OF NERN FL ALONG THE I-75
CORRIDOR. MAX TEMPS IN THE MID 90S NORTH OF I-10 AND LOWER 90S
SOUTH OF I-10 WHERE MORE CLOUD COVER AND PCPN IS EXPECTED. MAIN
TSTM THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISOLD STRONG WINDS WITH PULSE
STORMS ACRS NERN FL.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDS WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF IFR/MVFR CIGS/VSBYS FROM TSTM
ACTIVITY AT KGNV BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...
NO HEADLINES AS W/SWLY WINDS 10-15KNOTS AND 2-4FT SEAS WILL
BECOME S/SWLY THIS AFTERNOON AT THE SAME SPEEDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  95  71  96  73 /  20  10  40  30
SSI  90  77  90  78 /  40  10  30  30
JAX  94  74  93  74 /  40  10  40  30
SGJ  91  75  90  76 /  50  20  40  30
GNV  92  72  93  73 /  50  20  50  20
OCF  93  72  92  73 /  50  20  50  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

HESS/KEEGAN/BARRON
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 5:44 AM EDT, 7 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
544 AM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-131000-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
COASTAL CAMDEN-
544 AM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

..ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS MOVING OVER THE AREA TODAY AND WILL
PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...BEGINNING EARLY IN THE MORNING
ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE TO THE EAST THIS MORNING THEN BEGIN TO MOVE TO THE
SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL...STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND
FREQUENT CLOUD-TO- GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS MAINLY SOUTH IF I-10 THIS
AFTERNOON DUE TO THE WEST AND EAST COAST SEA BREEZE COLLISION.

THE COMBINATION OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON
HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100 TO 106.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING HAIL...STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR
THEIR AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

MKT

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 12:52 PM EDT, 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1252 PM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

FLZ022-023-030-031-121745-
BAKER-BRADFORD-COLUMBIA-UNION-
1252 PM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BRADFORD...
UNION...BAKER AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE
LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 145 PM EDT...

AT 1252 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 19 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF TAYLOR TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SANDERSON TO
RAIFORD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND RAIFORD...ELLERBEE...
SANDERSON...GLEN SAINT MARY...TAYLOR AND MACCLENNY THROUGH 145 PM
EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF
LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ZAPPE
Special weather statement, Jul 12, 12:54 PM EDT, 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1254 PM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

FLZ037-038-121800-
FLAGLER-PUTNAM-
1254 PM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN PUTNAM
AND FLAGLER COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID
UNTIL 200 PM EDT...

AT 1254 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES
NORTHWEST OF POMONA PARK TO 4 MILES SOUTH OF CRESCENT CITY...MOVING
EAST AT 10 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS
AROUND WELAKA...POMONA PARK...LAKE COMO...CRESCENT CITY...
ANDALUSIA...ESPANOLA AND BUNNELL THROUGH 200 PM EDT. EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ZAPPE
Special weather statement, Jul 12, 1:08 PM EDT, 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
108 PM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

FLZ025-032-033-121800-
CLAY-DUVAL-ST. JOHNS-
108 PM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR CLAY...ST. JOHNS
AND DUVAL COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID
UNTIL 200 PM EDT...

AT 108 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 2 MILES WEST OF BELLAIR...OR 4 MILES NORTH OF
LAKESIDE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND LAKESIDE...JACKSONVILLE HEIGHTS...DOCTORS
INLET...BELLAIR...ORTEGA...ORANGE PARK...SWITZERLAND...MANDARIN...
FRUIT COVE AND UNF THROUGH 200 PM EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

HESS
Special weather statement, Jul 12, 1:10 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
110 PM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

FLZ024-121730-
NASSAU-
110 PM EDT THU JUL 12 2007

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN NASSAU COUNTY
FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 130 PM EDT...

AT 110 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF AMELIA CITY TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF AMELIA CITY...MOVING EAST AT
10 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
AMELIA CITY THROUGH 130 PM EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

ZAPPE
Local storm report, Jul 12, 1:20 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 12, 1:27 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
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    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 8:44 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX61 min
Jul 11, 9:45 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX35 min
Jul 12, 12:08 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX2 hr
Jul 12, 12:58 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX2 hr
Jul 12, 1:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXFlagler54 min
Jul 12, 1:52 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX113 min
Jul 12, 3:18 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningJAX57 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.