Red Flag Warning 63, NWS Jacksonville, FL

000 
WWUS82 KJAX 302202
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
602 PM EDT MON APR 30 2007

GAZ132>136-149>152-162>164-302315-
/O.EXP.KJAX.FW.W.0062.000000T0000Z-070430T2200Z/
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-
602 PM EDT MON APR 30 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. 



$$

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-011015-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0062.000000T0000Z-070501T0000Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0063.070501T1600Z-070502T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
602 PM EDT MON APR 30 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING DUE TO LOW RH VALUES...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY DUE TO LOW RH VALUES...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY. 

RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE BELOW 35 PERCENT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND
25 PERCENT. THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 8 PM
EDT.

ON TUESDAY...LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE
FORECAST FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES
NEAR 30 PERCENT. THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KJAX 010004
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
804 PM EDT MON APR 30 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-011215-
/O.EXP.KJAX.FW.W.0062.000000T0000Z-070501T0000Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0063.070501T1600Z-070502T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
804 PM EDT MON APR 30 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
TUESDAY DUE TO LOW RH VALUES...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

ON TUESDAY...LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE
FORECAST FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES
NEAR 30 PERCENT. THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KJAX 010715
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
315 AM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

GAZ132>136-149>152-162>164-012300-
/O.EXB.KJAX.FW.W.0063.070501T1700Z-070501T2300Z/
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-
315 AM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EDT THIS EVENING FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA DUE TO LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE FORECAST FOR AREAS
AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES NEAR 20 PERCENT.
THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ020>025-030>032-035>037-040-020000-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0067.070502T1700Z-070502T2300Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0063.070501T1600Z-070502T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-MARION-
315 AM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR INLAND AREAS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON.

TODAY...LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE FORECAST
FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES NEAR 25
PERCENT.

ON WEDNESDAY...MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO 30
PERCENT FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST FOR 4 TO 5 HOURS. MINIMUM RH
VALUES AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN THE TRAIL RIDGE
AND INTERSTATE 75 CORRIDOR.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ033-038-020000-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0063.070501T1600Z-070502T0000Z/
ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
315 AM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. 

TODAY...LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE FORECAST
FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES NEAR 25
PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

MKT

000 
WWUS82 KJAX 011852 AAA
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
252 PM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

FLZ020>025-030>032-035>037-040-021000-
/O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0067.070502T1700Z-070502T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.W.0064.070502T1600Z-070503T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0069.070503T1600Z-070504T0000Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-070502T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-MARION-
252 PM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING DUE TO LOW RHS...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY
DUE TO LOW RHS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING DUE TO LOW RHS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING.

THIS AFTERNOON...LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE
FORECAST FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES NEAR
25 PERCENT.

ON WEDNESDAY...MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO 30 PERCENT
FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST FOR 6 TO 8 HOURS. MINIMUM RH VALUES
AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN THE TRAIL RIDGE AND
INTERSTATE 75 CORRIDOR.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON...MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO
THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE WITH RH DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT OF 4
TO 6 HOURS EXPECTED WITH THE LOWEST VALUES ALONG THE I-75 CORRIDOR.

FOR ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX/FIREWX.SHTML.

$$

FLZ033-038-021000-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.W.0064.070502T1600Z-070503T0000Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-070502T0000Z/
ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
252 PM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING DUE TO LOW RHS...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY
DUE TO LOW RHS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. 

THIS AFTERNOON...LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE
FORECAST FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES NEAR
30 PERCENT.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BOTTOM OUT
NEAR 30 PERCENT WITH 2 TO 4 HOUR DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE THE SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND.

FOR ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX/FIREWX.SHTML.

$$

GAZ132>136-149>152-162>164-021000-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0068.070502T1800Z-070502T2300Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-070501T2300Z/
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-
252 PM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING DUE TO LOW RHS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING DUE TO LOW RHS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

THIS AFTERNOON...LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE
FORECAST FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES NEAR
20 PERCENT. THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT
NEAR 25 PERCENT AND LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES
WILL BE POSSIBLE. THEREFORE...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN
POSTED.

FOR ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX/FIREWX.SHTML.

$$

HESS

000 
WWUS82 KJAX 020003
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
803 PM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

FLZ020>025-030>032-035>037-040-021215-
/O.EXP.KJAX.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-070502T0000Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0064.070502T1600Z-070503T0000Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0069.070503T1600Z-070504T0000Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-MARION-
803 PM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY DUE TO LOW RH VALUES...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING DUE TO LOW RH VALUES...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING.

ON WEDNESDAY...MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP TO 30
PERCENT FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST FOR 6 TO 8 HOURS. MINIMUM RH
VALUES AS LOW AS 25 PERCENT ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN THE TRAIL RIDGE
AND INTERSTATE 75 CORRIDOR.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON...MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO
THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE WITH RH DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT OF
4 TO 6 HOURS EXPECTED WITH THE LOWEST VALUES ALONG THE I-
75 CORRIDOR.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE
GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ033-038-021215-
/O.EXP.KJAX.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-070502T0000Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0064.070502T1600Z-070503T0000Z/
ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
803 PM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY DUE TO LOW RH VALUES...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY.

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BOTTOM OUT
NEAR 30 PERCENT WITH 2 TO 4 HOUR DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE THE SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ132>136-149>152-162>164-021215-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0068.070502T1800Z-070502T2300Z/
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-
803 PM EDT TUE MAY 1 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING DUE TO LOW RH VALUES...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT
NEAR 25 PERCENT AND LONG DURATIONS OF CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES
WILL BE POSSIBLE. THEREFORE...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN
POSTED.

FOR ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX/FIREWX.SHTML.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
230 PM EDT MON APR 30 2007

...MINIMAL RAIN CHANCES THROUGH WEEKS END...
...WILDFIRES TO CONTINUE REDUCED VISIBILITY IN SMOKE...

.SHORT TERM...MSAS ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED IN
OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH RIDGING EASTWARD THROUGH
THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA AND INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THIS HAS
RESULTED IN A VERY LIGHT WIND FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA WITH
BOTH SEABREEZE CIRCULATIONS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP. AT THE UPPER
LEVELS...EAST COAST TROUGH HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE AREA WITH RIDGE
BUILDING JUST TO THE WEST IN RESPONSE TO TO CUTOFF UPPER LOW
DRIFTING INTO TEXAS. WITH INCREASING HEIGHTS...TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE TO BE WARM WITH MOST OB SITES IN THE MID 80S AT THIS HOUR
WITH SOME SITES FLIRTING WITH THE 90 DEGREE MARK.

WITH THE ABSENCE OF ANY LARGE SCALE WEATHER FEATURES AND THE
CONTINUED DRY AIRMASS...THE WILDFIRE SITUATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND ASSOCIATED SMOKE FOR REMAINING AREAS WILL REMAIN THE
DOMINANT FEATURE. TWO MAIN FIRES CONTINUE...ONE ACROSS NORTHERN
CHARLTON COUNTY AND THE SECOND OVER ATKINSON COUNTY. SATELLITE
TRENDS SHOW MODEST NORTHERLY FLOW THAT WE HAD BEEN EXPERIENCING IS
BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE AND SMOKE IS BEGINNING TO DISPERSE IN MORE OF
A CONCENTRIC MANNER. DESPITE THIS...WE ARE STILL SEEING RESIDUAL
SMOKE OVER MOST OF OUR FLORIDA COUNTIES AND DENSE SMOKE IS
BEGINNING TO PUSH INLAND WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SEABREEZE.
FOR TONIGHT...WINDS LOOK TO DECOUPLE NICELY WITH INCREASING
SUBSIDENCE ALLOWING FOR AREAS OF SMOKE WITH VSBYS BELOW 1/2 MILE
IN AND NEAR THE FIRE ENVIRONMENTS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND
BECOME THE DOMINANT FEATURE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
DEVELOPING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THE
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE THROUGH THE PERIOD (1000-850MB). NAM
ACTUALLY SHOWS SEABREEZE COLLISIONS IN THE GRIDDED FIELDS WITH A
BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE I-95
CORRIDOR WED AND THU AFTERNOONS. GIVEN DRY PATTERN WE ARE IN AND
NIL GUIDANCE POPS...WILL KEEP CURRENT GRIDS WITH LESS THAN 20
PERCENT AT THIS TIME.

.LONG TERM...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER
THE NORTHEAST STATES LATE FRIDAY WITH RIDGING DOWN THE ATLANTIC
SEABOARD BRINGING A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT TO OUR DOORSTEP ON SAT.
WITH POSSIBLE LOW LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE COAST...THIS
WOULD CERTAINLY LEAD TO SOME SHOWERY ACTIVITY AND POSSIBLE MUCH
NEEDED RAIN. LAST SIMILAR EVENT BROUGHT LESS THAN ADVERTISED AND
AM NOT INCLINED AT THIS TIME TO RAISE GRIDDED POPS ANY ABOVE THEIR
CURRENTLY ADVERTISED 20%. SHOULD LATER MODEL RUNS CONTINUE THIS
SOLUTION THEN POPS WILL NEED TO BE RAISED WITH SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.

&&

.AVIATION...FORECAST REMAINS TRICKY DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT
WINDS AND AREAS OF PERSISTENT SMOKE BOTH OVER THE INLAND AREAS AND
THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS. VSBYS WILL GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 2 TO 5
MILES...WITH SOME SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT THIS EVENING. VSBYS WILL LIKELY
COME DOWN AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT DUE TO FOG/SMOKE COMBO.

&&

.MARINE...NO HEADLINES AS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE
THE LOCAL AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL ADVANCE EAST BY MID-WEEK...WITH
SOUTHERLY FLOW ESTABLISHING. POSSIBLE HEADLINES LATE THIS WEEK/TOWARDS
WEEKEND AS BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SLIDE DOWN THE EASTERN
SEABOARD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR MOST OF JAX CWA THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH RH VALUES GENERALLY BOTTOMING OUT BETWEEN
20 AND 25 PERCENT AWAY FROM THE COAST.  RH VALUES WILL SLOWLY CREEP
UP THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...BUT WILL UPGRADE WATCH TO WARNING FOR
NORTHEAST FLORIDA FOR TUESDAY. WILL HOLD OFF ANY PRODUCTS FOR
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  55  90  59  90 /   0   0  10  10
SSI  64  81  65  83 /   0   0   0  10
JAX  58  88  61  89 /   0   0   0  10
SGJ  61  84  63  86 /   0   0   0  10
GNV  55  90  58  90 /  10   0   0  10
OCF  55  90  58  90 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-
     BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-
     MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ALACHUA-
     BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-
     HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR APPLING-
     ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COFFEE-ECHOLS-JEFF
     DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE.

AM...NONE.
&&

DEESE/ZAPPE/KERNS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1130 AM EDT MON APR 30 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-010953-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
1130 AM EDT MON APR 30 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...LARGE WILDFIRES CONTINUE IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT (SPSJAX) HAS BEEN ISSUED CONCERNING THE
WILDFIRES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. PLEASE REFER TO ITS CONTENTS VIA OUR
WEB PAGE OR BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

A HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO CRITICALLY LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR LONG DURATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

A WARM AND DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN A CONTINUED HIGH FIRE DANGER. WILDFIRES MAY
PERSIST FOR SEVERAL DAYS PRODUCING SMOKEY SKIES AND RESTRICTED
VISIBILITIES.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
SPOTTERS IMPACTED BY THE SMOKE ARE URGED TO REPORT VISIBILITY
RESTRICTIONS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

ENYEDI/DEESE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1109 AM EDT MON APR 30 2007

AMZ450-452-454-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ149>154-162>166-
010100-
ALACHUA-ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-
ATKINSON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-
CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT TO 20 NM-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-
GLYNN (COASTAL)-GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-
UNION-WARE-
1109 AM EDT MON APR 30 2007

...AREAS SMOKE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

SEVERAL WILDFIRES CONTINUE IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SMOKE WILL
DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST TODAY. THE LARGEST WILDFIRE IN
WARE AND CHARLTON COUNTIES WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF DENSE SMOKE WITH
VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE MILE...IMPACTING AREAS BETWEEN U.S. HIGHWAY
441 AND U.S. HIGHWAY 1 AND SOUTH OF WAYCROSS AND HOMERVILLE. THIS
INCLUDES THE OKEFENOKEE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE AND STEVEN FOSTER
STATE PARK...AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO THE FARGO AND COUNCIL AREAS
LATER TODAY.

THE ATKINSON COUNTY WILDFIRE WILL CREATE DENSE SMOKE ACROSS MAINLY
THE SOUTHWEST SECTION OF ATKINSON COUNTY AS WELL AS ACROSS EXTREME
WESTERN CLINCH COUNTY. THE DENSE SMOKE WILL IMPACT U.S. HIGHWAY 221
SOUTH OF PEARSON AND POSSIBLY AS FAR EAST AS U.S. HIGHWAY 441.

OTHER SMALLER WILDFIRES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED
DENSE SMOKE AS WELL.

STABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ALLOWED THE SMOKE TO IMPACT A LARGE
PORTION OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. THE SMOKE WILL
SLOWLY DISPERSE TODAY...WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW 2 MILES POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...THE SEA BREEZES WILL
ADVANCE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND THESE FEATURES WILL USHER IN
FRESHER AIR.

COUNTY OFFICIALS ARE REQUESTING THAT YOU PLEASE DO NOT CALL 9 1 1 TO
REPORT A FIRE UNLESS YOU CAN ACTUALLY SEE FLAMES.

PERSONS WHO HAVE RESPIRATORY AILMENTS THAT CAN BE TRIGGERED BY SMOKE
SHOULD CONSIDER STAYING INDOORS TODAY. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO BE ALERT
FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY.

ZAPPE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1122 AM EDT MON APR 30 2007

AMZ450-452-454-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ149>154-162>166-
010100-
ALACHUA-ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-
ATKINSON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-
CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT TO 20 NM-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-
GLYNN (COASTAL)-GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-
UNION-WARE-
1122 AM EDT MON APR 30 2007

...AREAS OF SMOKE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

SEVERAL WILDFIRES CONTINUE IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SMOKE WILL
DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST TODAY. THE LARGEST WILDFIRE IN
WARE AND CHARLTON COUNTIES WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF DENSE SMOKE WITH
VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE MILE...IMPACTING AREAS BETWEEN U.S. HIGHWAY
441 AND U.S. HIGHWAY 1 AND SOUTH OF WAYCROSS AND HOMERVILLE. THIS
INCLUDES THE OKEFENOKEE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE AND STEVEN FOSTER
STATE PARK...AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO THE FARGO AND COUNCIL AREAS
LATER TODAY.

THE ATKINSON COUNTY WILDFIRE WILL CREATE DENSE SMOKE ACROSS MAINLY
THE SOUTHWEST SECTION OF ATKINSON COUNTY AS WELL AS ACROSS EXTREME
WESTERN CLINCH COUNTY. THE DENSE SMOKE WILL IMPACT U.S. HIGHWAY 221
SOUTH OF PEARSON AND POSSIBLY AS FAR EAST AS U.S. HIGHWAY 441.

OTHER SMALLER WILDFIRES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED
DENSE SMOKE AS WELL.

STABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ALLOWED THE SMOKE TO IMPACT A LARGE
PORTION OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. THE SMOKE WILL
SLOWLY DISPERSE TODAY...WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW 2 MILES POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...THE SEA BREEZES WILL
ADVANCE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND THESE FEATURES WILL USHER IN
FRESHER AIR.

COUNTY OFFICIALS ARE REQUESTING THAT YOU PLEASE DO NOT CALL 9 1 1 TO
REPORT A FIRE UNLESS YOU CAN ACTUALLY SEE FLAMES.

PERSONS WHO HAVE RESPIRATORY AILMENTS THAT CAN BE TRIGGERED BY SMOKE
SHOULD CONSIDER STAYING INDOORS TODAY. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO BE ALERT
FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY.

ZAPPE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
123 PM EDT MON APR 30 2007

AMZ450-452-454-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ149>154-162>166-
010100-
ALACHUA-ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-
ATKINSON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-
CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT TO 20 NM-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-
GLYNN (COASTAL)-GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT TO 20 NM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-
UNION-WARE-
123 PM EDT MON APR 30 2007

...AREAS OF SMOKE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

SEVERAL WILDFIRES CONTINUE IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SMOKE WILL
DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST TODAY. THE LARGEST WILDFIRE IN
WARE AND CHARLTON COUNTIES WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF DENSE SMOKE WITH
VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE MILE...IMPACTING AREAS BETWEEN U.S. HIGHWAY
441 AND U.S. HIGHWAY 1 AND SOUTH OF WAYCROSS AND HOMERVILLE. THIS
INCLUDES THE OKEFENOKEE NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE AND STEVEN FOSTER
STATE PARK...AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING INTO THE FARGO AND COUNCIL AREAS
LATER TODAY.

THE ATKINSON COUNTY WILDFIRE WILL CREATE DENSE SMOKE ACROSS MAINLY
THE SOUTHWEST SECTION OF ATKINSON COUNTY AS WELL AS ACROSS EXTREME
WESTERN CLINCH COUNTY. THE DENSE SMOKE WILL IMPACT U.S. HIGHWAY 221
SOUTH OF PEARSON AND POSSIBLY AS FAR EAST AS U.S. HIGHWAY 441.

OTHER SMALLER WILDFIRES IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED
DENSE SMOKE AS WELL.

STABLE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ALLOWED THE SMOKE TO IMPACT A LARGE
PORTION OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. THE SMOKE WILL
SLOWLY DISPERSE TODAY...WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW 2 MILES POSSIBLE
THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON.

COUNTY OFFICIALS ARE REQUESTING THAT YOU PLEASE DO NOT CALL 9 1 1 TO
REPORT A FIRE UNLESS YOU CAN ACTUALLY SEE FLAMES.

PERSONS WHO HAVE RESPIRATORY AILMENTS THAT CAN BE TRIGGERED BY SMOKE
SHOULD CONSIDER STAYING INDOORS TODAY. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO BE ALERT
FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY.

ZAPPE