Alert archive / Florida / Red Flag Warnings in 2007

Red Flag Warning 26, NWS Jacksonville, FL

March 3, 2007Baker County, Suwannee County, Florida

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this red flag warning at Mar 3, 2007, 3:36 AM EST for Baker County, Suwannee County, Florida. It took effect at Mar 3, 2007, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Mar 3, 2007, 3:36 AM EST (08:36 UTC)
In effect from: Mar 3, 2007, 12:00 PM EST
Expired: Mar 3, 2007, 5:00 PM EST
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: NWS Jacksonville, FL

Counties Baker County, FL, Suwannee County, FL

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 94 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1202 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 81 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 7 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 2, 8:55 PM EST, 6 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 2, 8:55 PM EST, 6 hours 41 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
855 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007

.UPDATE...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRES OVER
FROM NE U.S. TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH WSW FLOW IN THE MID TO UPPER
LEVELS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. A 140-160KT JET WAS LOCATED FROM TX
TO NC AND VA HELPING TO SPREAD HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE REGION. AT
SFC...COLD FRONT HAS SHIFTED INTO CENTRAL FL WITH A CONTINUATION OF
OVERRUNNING CLOUDS AND PRECIP OVER PORTIONS OF OUR NE FL ZONES.
RADAR LOOP SHOWS BAND OF SHOWERS FROM THE NE GULF OF MEXICO TO
OCALA/GAINESVILLE AREA INTO ST AUGUSTINE. TEMP GRADIENT GOES FROM
UPPER 40S OVER INTERIOR SE GA TO NEAR 60 OVER NE FL NEAR JAX.
MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT THE ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF SHOWERS ORIENTED ALONG A SW-NE LINE FOR NE FL
WHILE SLOWLY SLIDING SEWD. NAM SEEMS TO BE DOING A REASONABLE GOOD
JOB WITH CURRENT TRENDS SO WILL LEAN TOWARD ITS 18Z/00Z GUIDANCE.
WILL PROBABLY TAKE PRECIP OUT OF SE GA AND ADJUST POPS OVER NE FL
BUT LEAVE IN LIKELY POPS FROM ALACHUA COUNTY TO ST JOHNS COUNTY AND
POINTS SWD. WILL ALSO REMOVE THUNDER FROM ZONES. HAVE TWEAKED TEMPS
DOWN SLIGHTLY BASED ON 00Z OBS AND 18Z MAV MOS.

&&

.AVIATION...SHORT PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CIGS/VIS DUE TO SHOWERS AND
MIST ESPECIALLY AT GAINESVILLE AND BUT ONLY MVFR VIS AROUND JAX FOR
SHOWERS AND MIST WHERE SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY BE A LITTLE WEAKER.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDS N OF JAX TO SSI TONIGHT. VFR EXPECTED FOR SAT AS DRIER
AIR ADVECTS SWD THROUGH THE REGION.

&&

.MARINE...WEAK HIGH PRES BEHIND THE FRONT PRODUCING WINDS OF LESS
THAN 15 KT OFFSHORE. SEAS AROUND 4 FT AT BUOY 41012 WITH POSSIBLE
4-5 FT OUT AROUND 50-60 NM. CURRENT FORECAST ON TRACK WITH MINOR
TWEAKS PLANNED.

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-
     CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-
     SUWANNEE-UNION.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR BAKER-COLUMBIA-
     GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

SHASHY/ZAPPE

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 2, 5:05 PM EST, 10 hours 31 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
505 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-031054-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
505 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

MUCH LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
WHICH WILL INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

ARS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 3, 12:57 AM EST, 2 hours 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1257 AM EST SAT MAR 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 AM     TSTM WND DMG     11 S ARGYLE             30.91N 82.63W
03/02/2007                   CLINCH             GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ABOUT 10 TREES BLOWN DOWN DUE TO STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
            EVENT TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

CARROLL

Local storm report, Mar 3, 12:58 AM EST, 2 hours 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1258 AM EST SAT MAR 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 AM     HAIL             PEARSON                 31.30N 82.85W
03/02/2007  E0.75 INCH       ATKINSON           GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY SIZE HAIL FALLING IN DOWNTOWN PEARSON.

0235 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S PEARSON             31.22N 82.85W
03/02/2007                   ATKINSON           GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WIDESPREAD TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAYS 441 AND 221. POWER
            OUTAGES IN WILLACOOCHEE. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

0315 AM     HAIL             DU PONT                 30.99N 82.87W
03/02/2007  M0.88 INCH       CLINCH             GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO REPORTED ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

0320 AM     TSTM WND DMG     10 S JENNINGS           30.46N 83.11W
03/02/2007                   HAMILTON           FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE TREES DOWN ACROSS HAMILTON COUNTY NEAR JENNINGS
            INCLUDING ONE ACROSS THE RAILROAD TRACKS. POWER OUTAGES.

0329 AM     TSTM WND GST     7 NW WHITE SPRINGS      30.41N 82.84W
03/02/2007  M57.00 MPH       HAMILTON           FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

0330 AM     TSTM WND DMG     STATENVILLE             30.70N 83.03W
03/02/2007                   ECHOLS             GA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ARM SIZED LIMBS DOWN ACROSS ECHOLS COUNTY NEAR
            STATENVILLE.

0330 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LIVE OAK                30.29N 82.99W
03/02/2007                   SUWANNEE           FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TWO LARGE TREES DOWN. ONE TREE ON HOUSE, SHED DAMAGED ON
            WHITE AVENUE.

0340 AM     TSTM WND DMG     11 S ARGYLE             30.91N 82.63W
03/02/2007                   CLINCH             GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ABOUT 10 TREES BLOWN DOWN DUE TO STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
            EVENT TIME ESTIMATED.

0400 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LURAVILLE               30.12N 83.17W
03/02/2007                   SUWANNEE           FL   UTILITY COMPANY

            SUWANNEE VALLEY ELECTRIC COMPANY REPORTED SEVERAL TREES
            DOWN ON POWER LINES.

0400 AM     TSTM WND DMG     10 N LAKE CITY          30.34N 82.64W
03/02/2007                   COLUMBIA           FL   UTILITY COMPANY

            SUWANNEE VALLEY ELECTRIC COMPANY REPORTED SEVERAL TREES
            ON POWER LINES IN NORTHERN COLUMBIA COUNTY ALONG STATE
            ROUTE 441.

0400 AM     TORNADO          10 E LIVE OAK           30.29N 82.82W
03/02/2007                   SUWANNEE           FL   UTILITY COMPANY

            SUWANNEE VALLEY ELECTRIC COMPANY REPORTED TORNADO
            TOUCHDOWN. A GARAGE WAS HEAVILY DAMAGED, TREES WERE BLOWN
            DOWN ON POWERLINES, AND A LOT OF DEBRIS IN THE AREA.

0400 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 E LIVE OAK            30.29N 82.92W
03/02/2007                   SUWANNEE           FL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            6 TO 8 LARGE TREES BLOWN DOWN OFF OF INTERSTATE 10 NEAR
            MILE MARKER 288.

0430 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NW LAKE CITY          30.24N 82.70W
03/02/2007                   COLUMBIA           FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            1 LARGE TREE DOWN ON LAKE JEFFREY ROAD.

0500 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HOMELAND                30.85N 82.02W
03/02/2007                   CHARLTON           GA   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN ON RIVER ROCK ROAD. ONE TREE FELL THROUGH A
            HOUSE.

0520 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE CALLAHAN          30.53N 81.81W
03/02/2007                   NASSAU             FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE AT 44219 CROSS CREEK BLVD. REPORTED
            BY CBS TV 47 METEOROLOGIST. ADDITIONAL INFO FROM
            EM...THREE ROOFS DAMAGED, TREES DOWN, DEBRIS AND DAMAGED
            VEHICLES

0520 AM     TORNADO          3 SSE CALLAHAN          30.53N 81.81W
03/02/2007                   NASSAU             FL   NWS STORM SURVEY

            TORNADO RATED AT EF-0 WITH 100 YARD WIDE AND 1/4 MILE
            LONG TRACK. ESTIMATED WINDS OF 80 MPH. 3 MOBILE HOMES
            DAMAGED. SHEDS DAMAGED. LARGE AMOUNT OF DEBRIS.

0535 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SE CALLAHAN           30.53N 81.80W
03/02/2007                   NASSAU             FL   UTILITY COMPANY

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ALONG CHURCH RD EAST
            OF U.S. 1

&&

CARROLL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 3, 3:36 AM EST	Red Flag Warning	JAX	Baker, Bradford, Flagler, Gilchrist, Nassau, Suwannee and 1 more	38 hr
Mar 3, 2:08 PM EST	Fire Weather Watch	JAX	Baker, Bradford, Flagler, Gilchrist, Nassau, Suwannee and 1 more	14 hr
Mar 3, 2:08 PM EST	Fire Weather Watch	JAX	Appling, Atkinson, Bacon, Brantley, Camden, Clinch and 6 more	14 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007 Every red flag warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.