Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2007

Red Flag Warning 20, NWS Jacksonville, FL

February 21, 200712 counties in Georgia; 7 counties in Florida

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this red flag warning at Feb 21, 2007, 2:30 PM EST for 12 counties in Georgia; 7 counties in Florida. It took effect at Feb 23, 2007, 11:00 AM EST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 21, 2007, 2:30 PM EST (19:30 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 23, 2007, 11:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 23, 2007, 6:00 PM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Jacksonville, FL

Counties Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Union County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Camden County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Echols County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Wayne County, GA

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2007-02-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2007-02-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1192 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
75 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS82 KJAX 211930
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
230 PM EST WED FEB 21 2007

FLZ020>025-030>032-035-036-221230-
/O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0024.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-
230 PM EST WED FEB 21 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY DUE TO LOW RH...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

$$

FLZ033-038-221230-
/O.EXA.KJAX.FW.A.0024.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
230 PM EST WED FEB 21 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL
INTO THE UPPER 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ037-040-GAZ132>136-149>153-162>165-221230-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0024.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
PUTNAM-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-
PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
230 PM EST WED FEB 21 2007

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL
INTO THE LOWER 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

DEESE
8 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS82 KJAX 220900
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
400 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007

FLZ037-040-222200-
/O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0024.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.W.0021.070222T1800Z-070222T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
PUTNAM-MARION-
400 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5
PM EST FRIDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
THIS AFTERNOON. VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR 2 TO 4 HOURS. ALSO
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO
THE MID 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ020>025-030>032-035-036-222200-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.W.0021.070222T1800Z-070222T2200Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-
400 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO
5 PM EST FRIDAY. 

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
THIS AFTERNOON. VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR 2 TO 4 HOURS. ALSO
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO
THE LOW TO MID 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ033-038-222200-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.W.0021.070222T1800Z-070222T2200Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0024.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
400 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY
MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
THIS AFTERNOON. VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR 2 TO 4
HOURS. ALSO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 MPH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL
INTO THE LOWER 30S FOR NEARLY 4 HOURS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ132>136-149>153-162>165-222200-
/O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0024.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
400 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO
THE LOWER 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

MZ
000 
WWUS82 KJAX 220909 CCA
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
405 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007

FLZ037-040-222200-
/O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0024.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
/O.COR.KJAX.FW.W.0021.070222T1800Z-070222T2200Z/
/O.COR.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
PUTNAM-MARION-
405 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LOW RH AND STRONG WINDS...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5
PM EST FRIDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
THIS AFTERNOON. VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR 2 TO 4 HOURS. ALSO
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO
THE MID 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ020>025-030>032-035-036-222200-
/O.COR.KJAX.FW.W.0021.070222T1800Z-070222T2200Z/
/O.COR.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-
405 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LOW RH AND STRONG WINDS...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO
5 PM EST FRIDAY. 

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
THIS AFTERNOON. VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR 2 TO 4 HOURS. ALSO
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO
THE LOW TO MID 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ033-038-222200-
/O.COR.KJAX.FW.W.0021.070222T1800Z-070222T2200Z/
/O.COR.KJAX.FW.A.0024.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
405 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LOW RH AND STRONG WINDS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LONG 
DURATIONS OF LOW RH...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY
MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
THIS AFTERNOON. VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR 2 TO 4
HOURS. ALSO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 MPH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL
INTO THE LOWER 30S FOR NEARLY 4 HOURS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ132>136-149>153-162>165-222215-
/O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0024.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
/O.COR.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
405 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY FOR 
INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO
THE LOWER 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

MZ
000 
WWUS82 KJAX 221906
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
206 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

FLZ033-038-222200-
/O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0024.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
/O.EXA.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0021.000000T0000Z-070222T2200Z/
ST JOHNS-FLAGLER-
206 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
THIS AFTERNOON. VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR 2 TO 4
HOURS. ALSO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 MPH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO
THE LOWER 30S FOR NEARLY 4 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT IN COMBINATION WITH
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE OR FALL BELOW 35
PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS.

$$

FLZ020>025-030>032-035>037-040-222200-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0021.000000T0000Z-070222T2200Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-MARION-
206 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY...

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
THIS AFTERNOON. VALUES WILL DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT FOR 2 TO 4
HOURS. ALSO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 MPH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL
INTO THE MID 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT IN COMBINATION WITH
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE OR FALL BELOW 35
PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS.

$$

GAZ132>136-149>153-162>165-231200-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
206 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL
INTO THE LOWER 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN GEORGIA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

$$

DEESE
000 
WWUS82 KJAX 222201
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
501 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-222315-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FW.W.0021.000000T0000Z-070222T2300Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
501 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO
5 PM EST FRIDAY. 

WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. VALUES AROUND 25 TO 30 PERCENT WILL BE COMMON.
ALSO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO
THE LOWER 30S FOR NEARLY 4 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT IN COMBINATION WITH
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE OR FALL BELOW
35 PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS.

$$

GAZ132>136-149>153-162>165-231015-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
501 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL
INTO THE LOWER 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN GEORGIA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE
CONSECUTIVE HOURS.

$$

ARS
000 
WWUS82 KJAX 222315
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
615 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-231115-
/O.EXP.KJAX.FW.W.0021.000000T0000Z-070222T2300Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-
615 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY DUE TO LOW RH VALUES FOR LONG DURATIONS...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL BE RISING TO BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT THROUGH 7 PM.

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO
THE LOWER 30S FOR NEARLY 4 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT IN COMBINATION WITH
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE OR FALL BELOW
35 PERCENT FOR 4 OR MORE HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ132>136-149>153-162>165-231115-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2200Z/
COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-
BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
615 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL
INTO THE LOWER 20S FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN GEORGIA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE
CONSECUTIVE HOURS.

$$

ARS
000 
WWUS82 KJAX 230903
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
403 AM EST FRI FEB 23 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>153-162>165-232300-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2300Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
403 AM EST FRI FEB 23 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH TODAY BRINGING
MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW CRITICAL
VALUES FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS TODAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS TO THE MIDDLE 20S.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WHEN MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE
CONSECUTIVE HOURS...AND IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

$$

MZ
000 
WWUS82 KJAX 230936 CCA
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
434 AM EST FRI FEB 23 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>153-162>165-232300-
/O.COR.KJAX.FW.W.0020.070223T1600Z-070223T2300Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
434 AM EST FRI FEB 23 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA DUE TO 
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH TODAY BRINGING
MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW CRITICAL
VALUES FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS TODAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS TO THE MIDDLE 20S.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WHEN MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE
CONSECUTIVE HOURS...AND IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

$$

MZ
000 
WWUS82 KJAX 231903
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
203 PM EST FRI FEB 23 2007

FLZ020>022-232300-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0025.070224T1800Z-070224T2200Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-070223T2300Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-
203 PM EST FRI FEB 23 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR LOW RH...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR LOW RH...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

HIGH PRESSURE HAS BUILT INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH TODAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE FALLEN BELOW
CRITICAL VALUES FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS TODAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS TO THE MIDDLE 20S.

THE AIRMASS WILL MODIFY ON SATURDAY BUT ENOUGH DRY AIR WILL REMAIN
TO ALLOW FOR MARGINAL DURATIONS OF SUB 35% RH VALUES OVER THE
SUWANNEE VALLEY OF FLORIDA.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES MAY FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

$$

FLZ023>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>153-162>165-232300-
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-070223T2300Z/
BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-
PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-
ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-
INLAND CAMDEN-
203 PM EST FRI FEB 23 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR LOW RH...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

HIGH PRESSURE HAS BUILT INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH TODAY
BRINGING MUCH DRIER AIR. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE FALLEN BELOW
CRITICAL VALUES FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS TODAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS TO THE MIDDLE 20S.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WHEN MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE
CONSECUTIVE HOURS...AND IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE
CONSECUTIVE HOURS.

$$

DEESE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 21, 2:15 PM EST, 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 2:15 PM EST, 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
215 PM EST WED FEB 21 2007

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...SHOWER DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT HAS
BEEN SLOWER TO MATERIALIZE THAN FORECAST AND MAX TEMPS HAVE PUSHED
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S ABOUT ONE CATEGORY HIGHER THAN EXPECTED
WITH MORE SUNSHINE THAN EXPECTED. A BIT MORE MIXING HAS KICKED
SWLY WINDS INTO THE BRZY CATEGORY WITH 15 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS TO
25 MPH AT TIMES.

TONIGHT...SHOWER ACTIVITY STILL EXPECTED TO PUSH ACRS THE FORECAST
AREA THIS EVENING. VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH WITH
DEWPOINTS WELL MIXED OUT INTO THE 50S...BUT WITH 500MB TEMPS AT
-12 TO -14C WILL KEEP JUST A MENTION OF AN ISOLD TSTM IN THE
ZFP/GRIDS WITH THIS PACKAGE. SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY WILL PUSH
OFFSHORE AND SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA BY MIDNIGHT WITH CLEARING
SKIES AND FOG DEVELOPMENT. STILL EXPECTING MAINLY 1-3SM VSBYS INLD
BUT SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON AMOUNT OF
RAINFALL WHICH SHOULD STILL END UP IN THE TENTH TO QUARTER OF AN
INCH RANGE ACRS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH ISOLD HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY BREEZY AND WARM DAY EXPECTED WITH MAX
TEMPS IN THE MID/UPPER 70S AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION. WEST WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH PLENTIFUL
MIXING ONCE AGAIN.

THURSDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION
WITH CLEAR SKIES AND COOL OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 40S.

FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING TOWARD THE CAROLINAS WILL VEER THE
FLOW AROUND TO THE NE AND WHILE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE STILL
EXPECTED...THE MAX TEMPS WILL BE ABOUT 5-10 DEGS COOLER WITH
ONSHORE FLOW FROM THE ATLANTIC AND NELY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH ALONG
THE I-95 CORRIDOR.

FRIDAY NIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE DOWN THE SERN U.S. COAST
AND WEAKEN THE ONSHORE FLOW ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES
AND COOL MIN TEMPS IN THE 30S/40S INLAND AND CLOSER TO 50 ALONG
THE COAST.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PUSH INTO THE WRN ATLC AND
FLOW WILL BECOME SELY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND
MAX TEMPS WARMING BACK INTO THE 70S.

SUNDAY...SHEARED OUT COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE FORECAST AREA
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSTMS AND WARM MAX TEMPS PUSHING
80 DEGREES ONCE AGAIN. WINDY CONDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOUTH
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...FRONT STALLS OVER THE FORECAST AREA WITH
CONTINUED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSTMS AS DEEPER SWLY FLOW
PUSHES SHORTWAVE ENERGY INTO THE REGION.

WEDNESDAY...FRONT FINALLY GETS KICKED OUT SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND HIGH PRESSURE RE-BUILDS INTO THE REGION WITH DRIER AND
SEASONABLE TEMPS EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...FRONTAL TIMING IS DELAYED FROM THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE AND
WILL BACK SHORT TERM TEMPOS TO AFT 00Z. CIGS FOR THE MOST PART
ASSOCIATED WITH THE RAIN BAND HAVE BEEN IN THE MVFR RANGE. NO
LIGHTNING TO SPEAK OF YET BUT WITH FLORIDA PORTION EXPERIENCING
TEMPS AROUND 80...WILL CONTINUE THE MENTION OF VCTS WITH THIS TAF
SET. CONDITIONS QUICKLY CLEAR AFT 18Z AND ANY MVFR FOG DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE DUE TO RECEIVED RAINFALL. EVENING SHIFT WILL HAVE A MUCH
BETTER HANDLE ON THIS ASPECT AND WILL DOWNPLAY POTENTIAL FOR NOW.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS STILL CLOSE TO SCEC OVER THE OFFSHORE PORTION AND
WILL INITIALIZE THIS PACKAGE WITH THAT HEADLINE FOR THE SHORT TERM.
WINDS WILL BECOME WEST AND GRADIENT SHOULD RELAX SLIGHTLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. NO SCA HEADLINES NEEDED UNTIL MAYBE THU NIGHT AS SECONDARY
MOVES THROUGH AND WILL BE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERNMOST OFFSHORE
GROUP. HIGH SHIFTS OFFSHORE QUICKLY FOR THE WEEKEND WITH SOUTHERLY
FLOW INCREASING IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT SYSTEM SUNDAY. CURRENT GRIDS
CARRY SCA WINDS FOR SUN MORNING DECREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON TO
SCEC.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO SOME 3 TO 5 DEGREES
ABOVE FORECAST...DEWPOINTS ARE VERY CLOSE TO RED FLAG GIVEN THE
GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. WITH CLOUDS ENCROACHING QUICKLY...WILL
HOLD OFF ON ANY SHORT TERM WARNINGS. FOR THU...DRIER AIR MOVES IN
BUT TEMPS REMAIN ON THE WARM SIDE PRODUCING 2 HOURS OF RH VALUES
NEAR 35%. IN ADDITION WINDS WILL BE VERY CLOSE TO REQUIRING A RED
FLAG BUT WILL HOLD OFF FOR NOW AND LET MID SHIFT TAKE ONE MORE LOOK.
REALLY DRY AIR ARRIVES FOR FRI WITH RED FLAG LIKELY FOR JUST ABOUT
ALL LOCATIONS. DUE TO THE EXTREME RH VALUES EXPECTED...HAVE ALREADY
UPGRADED A PORTION OF THE WATCH TO A WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  48  76  41  69 /  30   0   0   0
SSI  52  73  47  64 /  40   0   0   0
JAX  51  78  45  68 /  40   0   0   0
SGJ  55  74  50  65 /  40   0   0   0
GNV  51  79  44  72 /  30   0   0   0
OCF  51  79  45  73 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR FLAGLER-MARION-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
ALACHUA-BAKER-
BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-NASSAU-
SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COFFEE-
     ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-
     WAYNE.

AM...NONE.
&&

HESS/DEESE/HURLBUT
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 21, 9:21 AM EST, 5 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
921 AM EST WED FEB 21 2007

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-221100-
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-
ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-
JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-
INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-
COASTAL CAMDEN-
921 AM EST WED FEB 21 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE EMBEDDED IN NUMEROUS SHOWER
ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY
BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE AND SMALL
HAIL.

.DENSE FOG IMPACT...
AREAS OF FOG ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH
VISIBILITIES FALLING TO 1 TO 3 MILES BY MORNING. LOCAL DENSE FOG
WITH VISIBILITIES OF ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS INLAND AREAS AS WELL.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH INTO THE COASTAL WATERS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

DRY WEATHER WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE DANGER ON FRIDAY.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY WITH SOUTH WINDS OF 20
MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES.

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY WITH
ISOLATED STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

HESS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 21, 3:51 AM ESTFire Weather WatchJAXAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Brantley, Camden, Clinch and 6 more34 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2007Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.