Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 16, NWS Jacksonville, FL
NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this red flag warning at Feb 16, 2007, 4:47 AM EST for 12 counties in Georgia; 7 counties in Florida. It took effect at Feb 17, 2007, 2:29 AM EST. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 16, 2007, 4:47 AM EST (09:47 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 17, 2007, 2:29 AM EST
- Expired
- Feb 17, 2007, 6:00 PM EST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Jacksonville, FL
Counties Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Union County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Camden County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Echols County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Wayne County, GA
The nearest sounding before it
Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1683 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 99 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -142 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 88 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KJAX 160947 RFWJAX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 447 AM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-162300- /O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0018.070217T1600Z-070217T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KJAX.FW.W.0016.070217T1500Z-070217T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0020.070218T1700Z-070218T2300Z/ /O.EXT.KJAX.FW.W.0015.070216T1600Z-070216T2300Z/ HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- 447 AM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH FOR LONG DURATIONS AND WINDS... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY DUE TO LOW RH FOR LONG DURATIONS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH FOR LONG DURATIONS AND WINDS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FOR TODAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WELL WEST OF THE AREA WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ON SATURDAY...DRY AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES MAY AGAIN FALL TO AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. FOR SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA WITH A COOLER BUT DRY AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GAZ133>136-150>154-164>166-162300- /O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0019.070217T1700Z-070217T2200Z/ /O.EXT.KJAX.FW.W.0015.070216T1800Z-070216T2300Z/ JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN- COASTAL GLYNN-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 447 AM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH FOR LONG DURATIONS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH FOR LONG DURATIONS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. FOR TODAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WELL WEST OF THE AREA WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASING TO NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ON SATURDAY...DRY AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES MAY AGAIN FALL TO AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GAZ132-149-162-163-162300- /O.EXT.KJAX.FW.W.0015.070216T1800Z-070216T2300Z/ COFFEE-ATKINSON-ECHOLS-CLINCH- 447 AM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH FOR LONG DURATIONS... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. FOR TODAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WELL WEST OF THE AREA WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASING TO NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 MPH POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ SHASHY
6 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KJAX 161851 RFWJAX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 151 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-162300- /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-070216T2300Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0016.070217T1500Z-070217T2300Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0020.070218T1700Z-070218T2300Z/ HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- 151 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RH AND WINDS... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WELL WEST OF THE AREA WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ON SATURDAY...DRY AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES MAY AGAIN FALL TO AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. FOR SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA WITH A COOLER BUT DRY AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GAZ133>136-150>154-164>166-162300- /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-070216T2300Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0019.070217T1700Z-070217T2200Z/ JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN- COASTAL GLYNN-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 151 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WELL WEST OF THE AREA WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ON SATURDAY...DRY AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES MAY AGAIN FALL TO AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GAZ132-149-162-163-162300- /O.EXA.KJAX.FW.A.0019.070217T1700Z-070217T2200Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-070216T2300Z/ COFFEE-ATKINSON-ECHOLS-CLINCH- 151 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WELL WEST OF THE AREA WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS NEAR 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ON SATURDAY...DRY AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES MAY AGAIN FALL TO AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ MKT
000 WWUS82 KJAX 170100 RFWJAX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 800 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-171200- /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0016.070217T1500Z-070217T2300Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0020.070218T1700Z-070218T2300Z/ HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- 800 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WINDS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WINDS... ON SATURDAY...DRY AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES MAY AGAIN FALL TO AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FOR SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA WITH A COOLER BUT DRY AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-171200- /O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0019.070217T1700Z-070217T2200Z/ COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE- BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON- INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 800 PM EST FRI FEB 16 2007 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WINDS... ON SATURDAY...DRY AIR AND WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES MAY AGAIN FALL TO AROUND 20 TO 25 PERCENT. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ CARROLL
000 WWUS82 KJAX 170729 RFWJAX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 229 AM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-172200- /O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0020.070218T1700Z-070218T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KJAX.FW.W.0017.070218T1600Z-070219T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0022.070219T1600Z-070220T0000Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0016.070217T1500Z-070217T2300Z/ HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- 229 AM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOW HUMIDITIES... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LOW HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR LOW HUMIDITIES... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT MONDAY. TODAY...A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BEGIN TO FALL BELOW 35% BY MID-MORNING...WITH DURATIONS BELOW CRITICAL VALUES FOR 6-8 HOURS TODAY WITH MINIMUM VALUES AROUND 20%. WEST WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON TO AROUND 15 MPH AT TIMES AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOLLOWING A FAST FRONTAL PASSAGE. A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS WILL FUNNEL OVER THE AREA ONCE AGAIN. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. MONDAY...A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FORECAST AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35% BY MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA FOR 6-8 HOURS. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE HOURS...OR WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT IN COMBINATION WITH SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH. $$ GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-172200- /O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0019.070217T1700Z-070217T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KJAX.FW.A.0021.070218T1700Z-070218T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KJAX.FW.W.0016.070217T1600Z-070217T2200Z/ COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE- BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON- INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 229 AM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOW HUMIDITIES... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR LOW HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY WINDS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY. TODAY...A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BEGIN TO FALL BELOW 25% BY MID-MORNING...WITH DURATIONS BELOW CRITICAL VALUES FOR 6-8 HOURS TODAY WITH MINIMUM VALUES AROUND 15-20%. WEST WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON TO AROUND 15 MPH AT TIMES AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOLLOWING A FAST FRONTAL PASSAGE. A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS WILL FUNNEL OVER THE AREA ONCE AGAIN. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS ISSUED IN GEORGIA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY FALL BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE HOURS...OR WHEN SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS MAY REACH OR EXCEED 20 MPH OR CONSISTENTLY GUST TO 25 MPH OR HIGHER. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH. $$ ENYEDI
000 WWUS82 KJAX 171935 RFWJAX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 235 PM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-172200- /O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0021.070218T1700Z-070218T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KJAX.FW.W.0017.070218T1700Z-070218T2300Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-070217T2200Z/ COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE- BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON- INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 235 PM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA DUE TO LOW RH VALUES... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA DUE TO LOW RH VALUES AND STRONG WINDS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY HOLD BETWEEN 20 AND 25 PERCENT THROUGH 5 PM EST. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN NEAR 15 MPH AT TIMES AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOLLOWING A FAST FRONTAL PASSAGE. A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS WILL FUNNEL OVER THE AREA ONCE AGAIN. CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. THUS...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-172300- /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-070217T2300Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0017.070218T1600Z-070219T0000Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0022.070219T1600Z-070220T0000Z/ HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- 235 PM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LOW RH VALUES... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO LOW RH VALUES AND STRONG WINDS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR SAME AREA DUE TO LOW RH VALUES... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES CONTINUING BELOW 35 PERCENT THROUGH 6 PM...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMDIITIES AROUND 20 PERCENT. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN NEAR 15 MPH AT TIMES AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOLLOWING A FAST FRONTAL PASSAGE. A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS WILL FUNNEL OVER THE AREA ONCE AGAIN. CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. MONDAY...A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FORECAST AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT BY MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA FOR 6-8 HOURS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH. $$ ECZ
000 WWUS82 KJAX 172222 RFWJAX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 522 PM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-181030- /O.EXP.KJAX.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-070217T2200Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0017.070218T1700Z-070218T2300Z/ COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE- BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON- INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 522 PM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY FOR WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... FOR SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOLLOWING A FAST FRONTAL PASSAGE. A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA ONCE AGAIN. CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH. THUS...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING. $$ FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-172330- /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-070217T2300Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0017.070218T1600Z-070219T0000Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0022.070219T1600Z-070220T0000Z/ HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- 522 PM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES CONTINUING BELOW 35 PERCENT THROUGH 6 PM...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 20 PERCENT. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE NEAR 15 MPH AT TIMES AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. FOR SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOLLOWING A FAST FRONTAL PASSAGE. A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA ONCE AGAIN. CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. MONDAY...A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FORECAST AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT BY MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA FOR 6 TO 8 HOURS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH. $$ CARROLL
000 WWUS82 KJAX 172308 RFWJAX RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 608 PM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-181115- /O.EXP.KJAX.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-070217T2300Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0017.070218T1600Z-070219T0000Z/ /O.CON.KJAX.FW.A.0022.070219T1600Z-070220T0000Z/ HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- 608 PM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR TODAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... FOR SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOLLOWING A FAST FRONTAL PASSAGE. A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA ONCE AGAIN. CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. MONDAY...A DRY AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FORECAST AREA. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT BY MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA FOR 6 TO 8 HOURS. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THESE RED FLAG WARNINGS AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH. $$ GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-181115- /O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0017.070218T1700Z-070218T2300Z/ COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE- BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON- INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 608 PM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... FOR SUNDAY...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA FOLLOWING A FAST FRONTAL PASSAGE. A COOL AND DRY AIRMASS WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA ONCE AGAIN. CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN FOR EXTENDED DURATIONS WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH. THUS...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE RAPID FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THE RED FLAG WARNING. $$ CARROLL
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 16, 4:00 AM EST, 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 4:00 AM EST, 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
400 AM EST FRI FEB 16 2007
.SYNOPSIS/THIS MORNING...STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET ACROSS THE
THE DEEP SOUTH WITH MID/UPPER IMPULSES TRAVERSING JUST SOUTH OF
IT...ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF TO CENTRAL AND NORTH FL. ONE IMPULSE
WAS PUSHING THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA PRODUCING CONSIDERABLE
AMOUNT OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS. BACK EDGE OF CLOUDS ACROSS EXTREME
SE GA MOVING SE AND WILL CLEAR THE REGION THIS MORNING.
WSR 88D INDICATING A FEW SPRINKLES ACROSS THE SE FORECAST AREA...
BUT ALL OBSERVING SITES NOT REPORTING ANYTHING. ACROSS THE
FAR NW WHERE SKIES HAD CLEARED...TEMPS WERE FALLING STEADILY
AND WERE IN THE MID 30S. ACROSS N AND NE FL...TEMPS WERE BETWEEN
40 AND 45 AND NOT FALLING AS RAPIDLY DUE TO THE CLOUD COVER. HAVE
ADJUSTED THE CURRENT FREEZE WARNING FOR THIS MORNING AND HAVE TAKEN
THE JAX AND GNV AREA OUT OF IT...HAVE LEFT AREAS ALONG THE I-10
CORRIDOR FROM WEST OF JAX TO LIVE OAK IN IT BECAUSE THESE AREAS
WILL CLEAR OUT FIRST EARLY THIS MORNING AND MAY SEE A COUPLE OF
HOURS DURATION AT OR JUST BELOW 32 DEGREES. THE MAIN FEATURE
OF INTEREST IS THE DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH FROM THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES TO THE LOWER PLAINS AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO
THE AREA FROM OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS.
.SHORT TERM (TODAY-SUN)...THE UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES TODAY AS
SHORT WAVE ENERGY ROUNDS BASE OF IT AND COLD CANADIAN AIR COMES INTO
THE AREA. SFC HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD IN FROM TEXAS AND THE
GULF COAST. AFTER THE CLOUDS CLEAR THE AREA THIS MORNING...SKIES
WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY BUT IT WILL BE BREEZY AND CHILLY DUE TO THE
COLD AIR ADVECTION. HIGH TEMPS STRUGGLING TO GET TO 50 DEGREES
IN SE GA AND LOWER TO MID 50S NE FL. THE HIGH WILL BUILD INTO
THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT IT WILL BE WEAKENING. NONETHELESS CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING AND A PROBABLE
HARD FREEZE ACROSS MUCH OF THE INLAND AREAS. APPEARS THE COLDEST
TEMPS WILL BE ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY REGION (LOW 20S) WITH
THE WARMEST READINGS ALONG THE COAST (AROUND 30) DUE TO A LIGHT
NW BREEZE AND THE WARMER WATER BUT EVEN A LIGHT FREEZE EXPECTED
THERE. AFTER A COLD START SATURDAY MORNING...TEMPS WARM UP TO
AROUND 60 IN THE AFTERNOON UNDER SUNNY SKIES AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS
SOUTH AND WEAKENS AND SW WINDS INCREASE OUT AHEAD OF NEXT COLD
FRONT. THE FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY EVENING
FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER ONE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WHICH WILL BRINGS
IN THE NEXT CANADIAN AIRMASS TO THE AREA. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED
WITH BOTH FRONTS AND HAVE ONLY PUT IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN FOR
THE SE FORECAST AREA WITH A SILENT 10 PCT ELSEWHERE. SUNDAY WILL BE
A SUNNY...WINDY AND CHILLY DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AGAIN FROM
THE GULF COAST. HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S WITH MIN TEMPS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
.LONG TERM (MON-THURS)...ANOTHER FREEZE IS POSSIBLE MONDAY MORNING...
OTHERWISE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND MON-TUES AS THE COLD HIGH MOVES
OFFSHORE. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE BY MID WEEK AS A FRONT DROPS AND
STALLS OVER THE AREA.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH NEXT 24 HRS EXCEPT FOR
POSSIBLE SMOKE RESTRICTIONS DURING THE DAY (DUE TO PRESCRIBED BURNS)
AROUND 5SM AT JAX OR CRG BUT NOT CONFIDENT WHEN TO INSERT THIS IN.
NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO NEAR 15 KT WITH GUSTS 20-25 KT AT
TIMES THIS AFTERNOON.
&&
.MARINE...HAVE HEADLINED SCEC FOR NEARSHORE TODAY AND SCA FOR
OFFSHORE. LATEST BUOY REPORTS SHOW WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 15 KT
SUSTAINED OFFSHORE...UP FROM 8-10 KT RECORDED AROUND MIDNIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD SHIFT INTO HEADLINE CRITERIA PROBABLY WITHIN THE NEXT 2-4
HOURS. HIGH PRES BRIEFLY BUILDS IN EARLY SAT THEN NEXT COLD FRONT
SWEEPS THROUGH SAT NIGHT WITH SCA HEADLINES LIKELY. AN OUTSIDE
CHANCE OF GALE WARNING AS GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS LOOK POSSIBLE FOR
THE OFFSHORE WATERS SAT NIGHT AS WINDS AROUND 1500-2000 FT MAY
INCREASE TO NEAR 35-40 KT. NAM NOTABLY STRONGER THAN GFS WITH THE
LOW LEVEL WIND SPEEDS.
&&
.FIRE WX...RED FLAG WARNINGS IN EFFECT TODAY AND HAVE REFINED HAZARD
TIMES JUST A BIT. RED FLAG CONDS LOOK A LITTLE BUT LESS FAVORABLE
FOR SE GA BUT CERTAINLY TOO CLOSE TO CALL TO REMOVE RED FLAG THERE.
ALTHOUGH LITTLE OVER 24 HRS OUT HAVE DECIDED TO GO AHEAD WITH RED
FLAG WARNING FOR NE FL ZONES ON SAT WITH MIN RHS POSSIBLE A TAD BIT
LOWER DUE TO TEMPS ABOUT 8 DEGS WARMER AND STILL A RELATIVELY DRY
AIRMASS IN PLACE. EASTERN PORTIONS OF OUR SE GA ZONES ON SAT MAY MEET
CRITERIA FOR RED FLAG SO RAISED A FIRE WX WATCH. ON SUNDAY...GUSTY
WINDS AND DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN MORE FIRE WX CONCERNS FOR NE FL
ZONES SO RAISED FIRE WX WATCH WITH THIS PACKAGE.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 49 24 58 34 / 0 0 0 10
SSI 51 30 56 37 / 0 0 10 10
JAX 52 25 60 37 / 0 0 10 10
SGJ 53 28 59 40 / 10 0 10 20
GNV 52 22 61 37 / 10 0 0 20
OCF 53 24 60 38 / 10 0 0 20
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FREEZE WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-
GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-
UNION.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-
FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-
SUWANNEE-UNION.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ALACHUA-
BAKER-BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-
HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-
CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-
NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION.
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR BAKER-COLUMBIA-
GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-UNION.
GA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COASTAL
CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND
GLYNN-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE.
FREEZE WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR
APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BRANTLEY-CHARLTON-CLINCH-COASTAL
CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-COFFEE-ECHOLS-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND
GLYNN-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR APPLING-BACON-BRANTLEY-
CHARLTON-COASTAL CAMDEN-COASTAL GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND
GLYNN-JEFF DAVIS-PIERCE-WARE-WAYNE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ALTAMAHA
SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.
&&
PP/ARSHazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 3:00 PM EST, 13 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 300 PM EST THU FEB 15 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-161100- ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY- CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE- COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)- GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM- ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE- 300 PM EST THU FEB 15 2007 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF INLAND NORTHEAST FLORIDA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY... A CANADIAN AIRMASS WILL USHER IN MUCH COLDER AND DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA. A FREEZE IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE INLAND AREAS. AS THE INITIAL COLD AIR ARRIVES THIS EVENING...MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHWEST OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. ALTHOUGH THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE VERY DRY...EVENTUALLY ISOLATED POCKETS OF LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10. AS THE COLD AIR CONTINUES TO INFILTRATE THE AREA...THE LIGHT RAIN MAY BRIEFLY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO LIGHT ICE PELLETS OR SNOW FLURRIES BEFORE QUICKLY ENDING. FURTHER NORTH...MOISTURE WILL BE EVEN MORE LIMITED WITH ONLY SPRINKLES EXPECTED...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH LIGHT SNOW FLURRIES. NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. MORE DETAILS ON THE FREEZE IS CONTAINED IN THE URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE THAT HAS BEEN ISSUED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... ...A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY WITH HARD FREEZE CONDITIONS LIKELY... AS COLD HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN OVER FLORIDA...CONDITIONS WILL BE IDEAL FOR RADIATIONAL COOLING AND HARD FREEZE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE INLAND AREAS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX. PP/JTD
The office that day
Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 4:47 AM EST | Fire Weather Watch | JAX | Appling, Atkinson, Bacon, Brantley, Camden, Clinch and 6 more | 22 hr |
| Feb 16, 4:47 AM EST | Fire Weather Watch | JAX | Baker, Bradford, Flagler, Gilchrist, Nassau, Suwannee and 1 more | 22 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2007Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.