Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS Jackson, MS

000 
WWUS54 KJAN 012212
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
412 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007

MSC061-012222-
/O.CAN.KJAN.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-070301T2230Z/
JASPER MS-
412 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR JASPER COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS MOVED OUT
OF THE COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3221 8932 3198 8933 3191 8891 3223 8891

$$

GARRETT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
240 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007

.DISCUSSION...SHORTER TERM(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT) LATEST
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A NEGATIVELY TILTED POTENT STORM SYSTEM
MOVING THROUGH THE MIDDLE TO UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE COLD
FRONT WAS MOVING THROUGH PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST AND WEST
MISSISSIPPI...THUS ENDING  THE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS FROM THE
WEST. EXPECT THE CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER TO END FROM THE WEST BY
THIS EVENING. LATEST RADAR INDICATES THE BEST SEVER POTENTIAL
GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 CORRIDOR. ALSO BREEZY CONDITIONS
CONTINUE IN THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY REGION. SO WILL ALLOW THE
ADVISORY TO EXPIRE AT 6 PM.

FOR TONIGHT WILL KEEP LOW POPS ACROSS THE EAST FOR EARLY THIS
EVENING. THE RAINS SHOULD EXIT THE REGION BY 03Z(9 PM). OTHERWISE
EXPECT A RATHER QUIET PATTERN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM.
WE WILL QUICKLY TRANSITION INTO A ZONAL PATTERN AS THE UPPER CLOSED SYSTEM
LIFTS OFF INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON FRIDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. WENT CLOSE MAV GUIDANCE ON
TEMPS AND POPS. NIGHTLY LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S AND 40S WITH FRIDAY
HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 60S./17/

LONGER TERM(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...LITTLE CHANGE TO LONGER
TERM AS PATTERN QUIETS DOWN AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE TODAY/S STORM
SYSTEM. UPPER LEVEL PATTERN BECOMING MORE ZONAL OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT TO BRING A REINFORCEMENT OF COOL DRY TREND AND SURFACE
PACIFIC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO TEXAS AND SPREADS ACROSS THE GULF
STATES. EXPECTING ONLY SOME CLOUD COVER AS MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED
WITH PWATS OF A HALF INCH OR LESS ACROSS THE AREA LATE SATURDAY OR
SATURDAY NIGHT. ONCE THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH... PWATS DRY TO LESS
THAN ONE QUARTER INCH ON SUNDAY. THE DRIER REGIME SUNDAY INTO
TUESDAY WILL MEAN AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BOTTOM ONCE
AGAIN ABOUT 25-30 PERCENT. FINALLY...AN EVEN WEAKER SHORTWAVE  WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE NEARLY ZONAL FLOW DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
AND DO NOT SEE MUCH RAINFALL CHANCE WITH THIS SYSTEM EITHER.

GENERALLY STAYED CLOSE TO PREVIOUS PACKAGE ON POPS AND TEMPS WITH
NEAR FREEZING LOW TEMPERATURES BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS BEING
THE PRIMARY HIGHLIGHTS. NOW THAT WE ARE INTO MARCH...THE CURRENT
ZONAL LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED AS ALWAYS FOR QUICK
BUCKLES IN THE FLOW AS MODELS CAN BE A BIT NOTORIOUS IN THESE
SITUATIONS.

AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REGIME DOES SEEM TO BE SETTING UP
AGAIN TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK BUT THIS WILL BE BEYOND THE
CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE.
/40/

&&

.AVIATION...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE THIS AFTERNOON AS
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE...WILL AFFECT OUR EAST TAF
SITES. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD RESUME AFTER 00Z FRI AT MOST SITES. /17/

&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       73  39  68  36 /  73  15   8   7
MERIDIAN      75  40  67  35 /  89  35   8   7
VICKSBURG     71  41  68  36 /  45   5   7   6
HATTIESBURG   76  40  71  39 /  88  39  11   9
NATCHEZ       72  40  68  36 /  53   6   7   6
GREENVILLE    71  42  65  36 /  21   5   6   6
GREENWOOD     71  39  65  34 /  54   6   7   7

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR MSZ018-019-
     025>028-034>036-040>042-047.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ007>009-
     015-016-023-025.

AR...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION: 17
LONG TERM: 40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
0604 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
021204-
ADAMS-ASHLEY-ATTALA-BOLIVAR-CARROLL-CATAHOULA-CHICOT-CHOCTAW-
CLAIBORNE-CLARKE-CLAY-CONCORDIA-COPIAH-COVINGTON-EAST CARROLL-
FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS-
ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR-
LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA-
MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE-
OKTIBBEHA-RANKIN-RICHLAND-SCOTT-SHARKEY-SIMPSON-SMITH-SUNFLOWER-
TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO-
0604 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WHOLE OUTLOOK
AREA TODAY AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS STATES MOVES
ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. THE GREATEST RISK FOR
SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD BE IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING FROM THE WEST
AS A VERY STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND THE COLD FRONT
APPROACHES. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME VERY SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS...STRONG TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS
BALLS. THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY IS EXPECTED
ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A GRENADA TO MERIDIAN LINE...BUT THE
ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE VIOLENT
WEATHER.

AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH...SEVERE WEATHER WILL BECOME
FOCUSED OVER EASTERN MISSISSIPPI DURING THE AFTERNOON AND SHOULD
COME TO AN END BEFORE SUNSET.

PERSONS ARE URGED TO BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION SHOULD
TORNADO WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

...NON PRECIPITATION...
STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL GUST TO ABOVE 25 MPH AT TIMES TODAY IN
THE DELTA AND ABOVE 20 MPH ELSEWHERE. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT TODAY OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A VICKSBURG TO GRENADA
LINE...WHERE WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED ABOVE 20 MPH AT TIMES. IN
ADDITION...THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS REQUESTED TODAY. AFTER TODAY...ACTIVATION IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1058 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 AM     TSTM WND GST     ARCHIE                  31.58N 91.97W
03/01/2007  E0.00 MPH        CATAHOULA          LA   PUBLIC

            60MPH WIND IN ARCHIE

&&

JCULIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1130 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1124 AM     HAIL             2 E GREENVILLE          33.39N 91.02W
03/01/2007  E0.88 INCH       WASHINGTON         MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL HAIL REPORTED 2 MILES EAST OF GREENVILLE.

&&

JCULIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1238 PM CST THU MAR 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1226 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     MORTON                  32.36N 89.66W
03/01/2007                   SCOTT              MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED IN ROOSEVELT STATE PARK

&&

JCULIN