Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 173, NWS Jackson, MS

May 3, 2007Ashley County, Arkansas

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 3, 2007, 4:39 PM CDT for Ashley County, Arkansas. It was in force for 66 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 3, 2007, 4:39 PM CDT (21:39 UTC)
Expired: May 3, 2007, 5:45 PM CDT
In force: 66 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Ashley County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 181 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 3, 5:06 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Crossett, AR	A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES BLOWN DONW.
May 3, 5:15 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Hamburg, AR	NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS ASHLEY COUNTY.
May 3, 5:18 PM CDT	TORNADO 1	5 Se Fountain Hill, AR	THIS TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN JUST SE OF FOUNTAIN HILL AND WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 5 MILES. NUMEROUS TREES, SOME VERY LARGE, WERE UPROOTED AND SNAPPED ALONG THE PATH. A CHURCH HAD A PART OF ITS ROOF BLOWN OFF. A COUPLE OF OUTBUILDINGS WERE DESTROYED. WIDTH, 400 YDS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 27 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 389 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 600 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KJAN 032139
SVRJAN
ARC003-032245-
/O.NEW.KJAN.SV.W.0173.070503T2139Z-070503T2245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
439 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WILMOT...WEST CROSSETT...NORTH
  CROSSETT...HAMBURG...CROSSETT...

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 439 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9
  MILES SOUTH OF CROSSETT...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CROSSETT BY 450 PM CDT...
  SNYDER BY 500 PM CDT...
  HAMBURG BY 510 PM CDT...
  6 MILES NORTHWEST OF PORTLAND BY 535 PM CDT...
  MONTROSE BY 540 PM CDT...

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

LAT...LON 3339 9147 3304 9146 3303 9206 3305 9208
      3322 9210 3324 9205 3332 9195 3337 9193
      3340 9195

$$

GARRETT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 3, 2:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 3, 2:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
225 PM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

.SHORT TERM...THE INITIAL LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL MS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EXIT
INTO ALABAMA BY THIS EVENING. A FEW REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEEN RECEIVED WITH THIS LINE.

A SECOND AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING RAPIDLY ACROSS NORTHERN LA
AND WILL SPREAD INTO THE FORECAST WITHIN A FEW HOURS. WIND
DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT AND INTO THE
FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY. THEN A DRYING TREND IS EXPECTED AS THE
WEAKENING MID LEVEL LOW MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

.LONG TERM...STRONG RIDGING WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY
INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL LEAD TO A WARM AND MAINLY DRY PERIOD. ANY
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL BE ISOLATED
AND LIMITED TO THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. NO CHANGES MADE
TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION...MAIN ISSUE FOR THE TAF SITES WILL BE TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND OVERNIGHT. INITIAL LINE MAY AFFECT KJAN..KMEI AND KHBG. A
SECOND AREA OF TSTMS WILL AFFECT KGLH...KGWO AND KJAN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       65  82  64  84 /  60  49  22  15
MERIDIAN      61  81  61  83 /  33  28  36  15
VICKSBURG     67  83  67  87 /  63  57  14  11
HATTIESBURG   63  83  66  85 /  27  42  30  24
NATCHEZ       66  81  67  85 /  62  56  12  15
GREENVILLE    64  79  66  86 /  66  54  14   7
GREENWOOD     65  79  66  85 /  62  48  21   6

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SCW

Hazardous weather outlook, May 3, 1:30 PM CDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
130 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
041830-
ADAMS-ASHLEY-ATTALA-BOLIVAR-CARROLL-CATAHOULA-CHICOT-CHOCTAW-
CLAIBORNE-CLARKE-CLAY-CONCORDIA-COPIAH-COVINGTON-EAST CARROLL-
FORREST-FRANKLIN LA-FRANKLIN MS-GRENADA-HINDS-HOLMES-HUMPHREYS-
ISSAQUENA-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-JONES-KEMPER-LAMAR-
LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEAKE-LEFLORE-LINCOLN-LOWNDES-MADISON LA-
MADISON MS-MARION-MONTGOMERY-MOREHOUSE-NESHOBA-NEWTON-NOXUBEE-
OKTIBBEHA-RANKIN-RICHLAND-SCOTT-SHARKEY-SIMPSON-SMITH-SUNFLOWER-
TENSAS-WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WEST CARROLL-WINSTON-YAZOO-
130 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE AREA.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME IN TWO
ROUNDS.

THE FIRST ROUND WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PARTS OF
MISSISSIPPI DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...AFFECTING
HATTIESBURG...LAUREL AND MERIDIAN. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THE SECOND ROUND OF STORMS WILL PUSH INTO NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AND THEN INTO WESTERN
MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SOME LOCATIONS TO BE AFFECTED BY
THESE STORMS INCLUDE WINNSBORO...VICKSBURG...AND JACKSON.  LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

...FLOODING...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN
THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.
THIS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF ROADS AND FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...OTHERWISE
ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY MORNING...MAY
10TH.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 3, 1:34 PM CDT, 3 hours 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
134 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0132 PM     TSTM WND GST     BROOKHAVEN              31.58N 90.45W
05/03/2007  E70 MPH          LINCOLN            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

WILSON

Local storm report, May 3, 1:35 PM CDT, 3 hours 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
135 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0132 PM     HAIL             BROOKHAVEN              31.58N 90.45W
05/03/2007  E0.88 INCH       LINCOLN            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

WILSON

Local storm report, May 3, 1:59 PM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
159 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S BROOKHAVEN          31.55N 90.45W
05/03/2007                   LINCOLN            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN NEAR THE I-55 AND HIGHWAY 84 INTERSECTION.

0135 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BROOKHAVEN              31.58N 90.45W
05/03/2007                   LINCOLN            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN.

&&

WILSON

Local storm report, May 3, 2:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
255 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0251 PM     HAIL             2 SE PINOLA             31.86N 89.94W
05/03/2007  E0.88 INCH       SIMPSON            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NICKEL HAIL NEAR PINOLA. REPORT RELAYED BY WLBT TV.

&&

JCULIN

Local storm report, May 3, 3:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
323 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     HAIL             1 NW MIZE               31.88N 89.57W
05/03/2007  M0.25 INCH       SMITH              MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

HAMRICK

Local storm report, May 3, 4:37 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
437 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             EUDORA                  33.12N 91.26W
05/03/2007  E0.88 INCH       CHICOT             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NICKEL HAIL IN EUDORA

&&

JCULIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 3, 4:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Chicot	44 min
May 3, 4:51 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	JAN	Ashley	54 min
May 3, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Chicot	50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.