River Flood Warning 41, NWS Jackson, MS

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 072142
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
442 PM CDT SAT JUL 07 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST  
  
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC007-051-080542-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070709T0200Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070708T0600Z.070708T2000Z.NO/
442 PM CDT SAT JUL 07 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...  
                             
* THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
  UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO
  FLOOD.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    SUN   MON   TUE   WED   THU   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  15.0 SAT 03 PM   15.3  14.2  13.8  12.7  10.7  15.5 SUN 01 AM

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 080124
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
824 PM CDT SAT JUL 07 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST  
  
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC007-051-080924-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070708T2230Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070708T0600Z.070708T1630Z.NO/
824 PM CDT SAT JUL 07 2007

* THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST UNTIL SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO
  FLOOD.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    SUN   MON   TUE   WED   THU   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  15.1 SAT 07 PM  15.3  14.1  13.8  12.7  10.8  15.5 SUN 01 AM

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 081514
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1014 AM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST MISSISSIPPI...

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED...COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM.

MSC007-051-082314-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070711T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T0000Z.070710T1800Z.NO/
1014 AM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

  THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
  
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM ON SUNDAY...THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS EXACTLY 15 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY THIS EVENING. 
  THE RIVER SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AS FAR AS IMPACTS GO...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED AT A STAGE OF 17 FEET.

&&
 
              FLOOD   OBSERVED           FORECAST AT 7 AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    MON   TUE   WED   THU   FRI   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  15.8 SUN 7 AM   16.2  15.2  14.0  11.9  10.7  16.5 SUN 7 PM

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 090122
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
822 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES. 
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC007-051-090922-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070712T0900Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1200Z.070712T0300Z.NO/
822 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST.
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.5 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING AND THEN FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    MON   TUE   WED   THU   FRI   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  17.0 SUN 07 PM  17.5  17.0  16.1  14.4  12.5  17.5 MON 07 AM

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 091351
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
851 AM CDT MON JUL 09 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST 
   
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM.

MSC007-051-092151-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070712T1912Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1800Z.070712T1312Z.NO/
851 AM CDT MON JUL 09 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST... 

* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    TUE   WED   THU   FRI   SAT   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  17.6 MON 07 AM  17.4  16.6  15.1  12.6  10.3   CRESTING        

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 100243
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
943 PM CDT MON JUL 09 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST MISSISSIPPI...

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC007-051-101043-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070712T1630Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070712T1030Z.NO/
943 PM CDT MON JUL 09 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST...

* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM MONDAY...THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.  THE RIVER HAS ALREADY CRESTED.
* AT A STAGE OF 17 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED BY WATER.

&&


              FLOOD   OBSERVED             FORECAST 7 AM             CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    TUE   WED   THU   FRI   SAT   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  17.3 MON 7 PM    17.0  16.2  14.9  12.9  10.6    CRESTED        

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 101330
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
830 AM CDT TUE JUL 10 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST 
   
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM.

MSC007-051-102130-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070712T1800Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070712T1200Z.NO/
830 AM CDT TUE JUL 10 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
  UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    WED   THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  16.6 TUE 07 AM  15.7  15.0  14.3  13.5  12.7   FALLING          

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 110131
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
831 PM CDT TUE JUL 10 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST MISSISSIPPI...

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC007-051-110931-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070711T2136Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070711T1536Z.NO/
831 PM CDT TUE JUL 10 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR HE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM TUESDAY...THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* AT 15.0 FEET...LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO
  FLOOD.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FALLING TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON
  WEDNESDAY.

&&


              FLOOD   OBSERVED             FORECAST 7 AM             CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    WED   THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  15.6 TUE 7 PM   15.3  12.7   9.4   7.6   6.2     CRESTED       

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 111403
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
903 AM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST 
   
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM.

MSC007-051-112203-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070715T1500Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070715T0900Z.NO/
903 AM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

* THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
  UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  14.8 WED 07 AM  16.3  16.9  16.1  14.9  13.7  17.0 FRI 01 AM

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 120207
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
907 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI..
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES. 
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC007-051-121007-
/X.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070715T1500Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070715T0900Z.NO/
907 PM CDT WED JUL 11 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    THU   FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  15.1 WED 07 PM  15.5  16.9  16.1  14.9  13.7  17.0 FRI 01 AM

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 121421
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
921 AM CDT THU JUL 12 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST 
   
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM.

MSC007-051-122221-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070715T0234Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070714T2034Z.NO/
921 AM CDT THU JUL 12 2007

* THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
  UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  15.8 THU 07 AM  17.0  15.9  13.9  12.4  11.3  17.0 FRI 07 AM

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 130124
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
824 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI..
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST  
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC007-051-130924-
/X.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070715T0234Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070714T2034Z.NO/
824 PM CDT THU JUL 12 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST.
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY TOMORROW 
  MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    FRI   SAT   SUN   MON   TUE   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  16.7 THU 07 PM  15.9  13.9  12.4  11.3     M  17.0 FRI 07 AM

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 131416
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
916 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST 
   
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM.

MSC007-051-132216-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070715T0600Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070715T0000Z.NO/
916 AM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

* THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST
  UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.1 FEET BY THIS 
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    SAT   SUN   MON   TUE   WED   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  17.0 FRI 07 AM  16.1  13.9  12.4  11.3  10.7  17.1 FRI 01 PM

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 140218
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
918 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES. 
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC007-051-141018-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070716T1800Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070716T1200Z.NO/
918 PM CDT FRI JUL 13 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...SEVERAL THOUSAND ACRES OF AGRICULTURAL AND LOWLAND 
  BECOME INUNDATED.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    SAT   SUN   MON   TUE   WED   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  16.9 FRI 07 PM  16.7  16.0  15.0  13.8  12.4     M M        

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 141353
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
853 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST 
   
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM.

MSC007-051-142153-
/X.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070715T0600Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070715T0000Z.NO/
853 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO
  FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    SUN   MON   TUE   WED   THU   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  16.0 SAT 07 AM  14.3  12.7  11.1  10.2   9.3     M M        

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 141413 CCA
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
853 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST 
   
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM.

MSC007-051-142153-
/X.COR.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070715T0600Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070715T0400Z.NO/
853 AM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST.
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO
  FLOOD.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    SUN   MON   TUE   WED   THU   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  16.0 SAT 07 AM  14.3  13.3  12.4  11.8   11.5     M M        

$$

000 
WGUS84 KJAN 150146
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
846 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST AFFECTING ATTALA AND HOLMES COUNTIES.
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, COMBINED WITH 
RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAYS  THE WATER MAY 
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR
RIVERBANKS.  MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN 
YOUR SAFETY.  REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC007-051-150216-
/X.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-070715T0600Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.070707T2022Z.070709T1600Z.070714T2254Z.NO/
846 PM CDT SAT JUL 14 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BIG BLACK RIVER AT WEST.
* AT  7:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5:54 PM SATURDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 13.6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER BEGIN TO
  FLOOD.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED             FORECAST 7AM            CREST
LOCATION       STG  STG DAY TIME    SUN   MON   TUE   WED   THU   STG DAY TIME

UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
 WEST          15  14.8 SAT 07 PM  14.1  13.6  12.6  11.9  11.4     M M        

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
400 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2007

.SHORT TERM...
AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG NON-TROPICAL SURFACE LOW SPINNING OVER THE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON HAS BROUGHT MULTIPLE BOUTS OF SHOWERS TO
MANY LOCATIONS IN THE ARKLAMISS. MOST OF THE RAIN HAS NOT BEEN TOO
HEAVY...BUT ENOUGH TO CONTINUE THE STEADY MOISTENING PROCESS OF
PREVIOUSLY PARCHED SOILS. WE DID HAVE TO DEAL WITH SOME RATHER
INTENSE CONVECTION EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHEAST ZONES OF
MISSISSIPPI WHERE THE COMBINATION OF CONVERGENCE...INSTABILITY AND
LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WERE MAXIMIZED ALONG A WEAK BOUNDARY. THIS
POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE CONVECTION HAS ALMOST ENTIRELY SHIFTED EAST OF
THE BORDERS OF THE FORECAST AREA AT THIS POINT...BUT SOME HEAVIER
DOWNPOURS ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE MEI TO COLUMBIA LINE. IT IS IN THESE
AREAS THAT A BIT OF MINOR FLOODING POTENTIAL REMAINS INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS...BUT RAIN RATES ELSEWHERE SHOULD REMAIN TAME ENOUGH
TO KEEP FLOODING FROM BEING ANY ISSUE WHATSOEVER.

AS FOR TONIGHT...THE SURFACE LOW WAS INITIALIZED WELL BY THE 12Z GFS
AND THIS MODEL RUN EXPECTS THE FEATURE TO CONTINUE TO MOVE STEADILY
EAST AND INTO AL BY LATE THIS EVENING AS IT BEGINS TO WEAKEN. NOW IT
LOOKS LIKE A DECENT COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A STRAY RUMBLE
OF THUNDER WILL CONTINUE AROUND THIS LOW INTO AT LEAST THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS...PUTTING AT LEAST EASTERN ZONES IN LINE FOR SOME MORE
RAIN AFTER 7 PM. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE GONE BY THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS...BUT LOW CLOUDS IN THE VICINITY OF THE CIRCULATION
SHOULD DOGGEDLY HANG ON OVER EASTERN MS THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT.
FURTHER WEST...AT LEAST PARTIAL CLEARING IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT IN
THE WAKE OF PRECIP AND CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE LOW. THAT
SHOULD ALLOW SOME FOG TO FORM GIVEN THE VERY WET STATE OF THE GROUND
IN AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING LOW LEVEL WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT. SINCE ULTIMATE AREAS OF CLEARING ARE A QUESTION MARK
RIGHT NOW...ISSUING A DENSE FOG ADVISORY SEEMS PRESUMPTUOUS.
THUS...I WILL LET THE NEXT SHIFT MONITOR AND MAKE THE CALL IF NEED
BE. EXPECT LOWS BY MORNING IN THE RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S AND I REMAINED WITH 12Z MAV FOR THESE NUMBERS (AND POPS AS
WELL).

TOMORROW...THE REGION WILL BE IN AN AREA OF SHORT-WAVE RIDGING
ALOFT...BETWEEN DEPARTING UPPER ENERGY TO THE EAST AND A LINGERING
WEAK UPPER TROUGH AXIS TO THE WEST OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY. LOOKS
LIKE NORTHERLY FLOW WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW TO OUR EAST WILL NOT BE
ENOUGH TO SCOUR OUT OUR MOIST ENVIRONMENT MUCH...AND THE MODELS
GRASP OF THIS HAS RESULTED IN MAV POPS COMING BACK UP SOME FOR THIS
PERIOD. BUT ASIDE FROM THE INCREASED MOISTURE EXPECTATION...THE
MAJOR PROS FOR PRECIP DEVELOPMENT WILL BE TO OUR EAST AND JUST TO
THE SOUTHWEST (IN THE FORM OF RETURN CONVERGENT SOUTHERLY FLOW). THE
LATTER INSTIGATOR SHOULD GENERATE SOME QUASI-ORGANIZED CONVECTION TO
OUR SOUTHWEST TOMORROW AFTERNOON...THAT WILL TEND TO HEAD IN OUR
DIRECTION LATE IN THE DAY AS A DISTURBANCE ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER
TROUGH TO OUR WEST HEADS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THUS...POPS ARE
HIGHEST IN THE AFTERNOON (40%) IN SOUTHWEST ZONES...BUT GENERALLY
KEPT IN THE SLIGHT CHANCE RANGE (OR LESS) ELSEWHERE. THIS IS RIGHT
WITH NEW MAV NUMBERS...BUT I ALSO HAVE TO SAY THAT IF THE SURFACE
LOW REMAINS CLOSER TO MY EASTERN ZONES TOMORROW THE ASSOCIATED
CONVERGENCE ON ITS BACKSIDE COULD ENHANCE POTENTIAL A LITTLE MORE
IN FAR EASTERN ZONES THROUGH THE DAY. AS FOR TEMPS...MAV GUIDANCE
HAS COME DOWN WITH HIGHS...AND THIS IS IN LINE WITH WHAT PREVIOUS
FORECASTERS HAVE BEEN THINKING. STILL THINK A 88 TO 92 RANGE LOOKS
WARM CONSIDERING THE PAST FEW DAYS...BUT I WILL STICK WITH THE GUI
AT THIS POINT.

TOMORROW NIGHT...GUIDANCE HAS COME UP WITH POPS...GIVING RESPECT TO
A POTENTIAL WAVE COMING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST LATE TOMORROW. FROM MY
SEAT IT LOOKS LIKE A NORTHEAST PROPAGATING LINE OF CONVECTION WILL
PROBABLY MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ZONES IN THE AFTERNOON...AND THEN
CONTINUE ON NORTHEAST INTO THE HEART OF THE CWA IN THE EVENING
BEFORE FIZZLING OUT. MODELS HAVE BEEN A LITTLE CHAOTIC WITH FORECAST
EVENTS IN THE SHORT TERM LATELY...SO THIS IS DEFINITELY SUBJECT TO
CHANGE AND THOSE WITH OUTDOOR INTERESTS TOMORROW EVENING SHOULD
CHECK BACK. /BB/

.LONG TERM...
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW DEVELOPING IN THE LOWER LEVELS BY MONDAY AS FLAT
RIDGING DEVELOPS FROM THE SOUTHEAST. UPPER FLOW DEVELOPING MORE
ANTICYCLONIC CURVATURE BY TUESDAY AS HEIGHTS INCREASE. RIDGING IS
FLATTENED BY MID WEEK AS A STRONGER SHORTWAVE SHIFTS EWD ACROSS THE
MID MS RIVER VALLEY. FLAT UPPER TROUGHING BUILDS INTO THE REGION
THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. MODEL RUNS HAVE REMAINED GENERALLY
CONSISTENT...THE PRIMARY EXCEPTION BEING THAT PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS
HAVE BEEN MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE BOUNDARY. THE
MOST RECENT RUN KEEPS THE REMNANTS OF THE BOUNDARY NORTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH FRIDAY...SHIFTING IT INTO NRN ZONES SATURDAY.
WILL FOLLOW THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND KEEP BEST CHANCE SCATTERED
POPS NRN ZONES FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK AS WEAK IMPULSES TRACK
THROUGH BROAD UPPER TROUGHING. THE EVENTUAL POSITION OF THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY WILL DETERMINE BETTER RAIN CHANCES BUT WILL NOT TRY TO
PINPOINT THAT THIS FAR OUT. THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS:

OVERALL...THE MED RANGE/LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL OFFER
LESS CHANCES OF RAIN FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK BEFORE CHANCES
INCREASE IN TIME FOR NEXT WEEKEND. FOR MON-WED...THE AREA WILL SEE
INCREASING MID LEVEL HEIGHTS AS A DECENT MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS OFF THE SE COAST AND STRETCHES WESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF. OF
THE 3 DAYS...MON LOOKS TO OFFER THE BEST RAIN CHANCES WITH SCT
STORMS ACROSS THE CWA. THE MAIN REASON FOR THESE BETTER PRECIP
CHANCES WILL BE THAT THERE WILL BE SOME H85 THETA E ADV AS BETTER
S/SW LOW LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
STRENGTHENING RIDGE. BY TUE-WED...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS QUITE
HIGH...BUT THE AIRMASS IS MORE STAGNANT WITH NO REAL MOISTURE ADV
REGIME SETTING UP. ALSO DURING TUE-WED...MID LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL BE
INCREASING FROM 591 DM TO 594 DM WITH A SMALL MID LEVEL CAP EVIDENT
ON FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS. EXPECT ONLY ISO/SCT (20-30%) TYPE
DIURNAL PRECIP CHANCES.

BY THU...MID/UPPER RIDGE LOOKS TO RELAX AS A MORE PRONOUNCED TROUGH
DROPS OUT OF THE S PLAINS WHICH WILL BE THE BEGINNING OF A FAIRLY
SUBSTANTIAL E TROUGH. THIS WILL PLACE THE CWA IN A GENERAL NW FLOW
PATTERN WITH THE SEMBLANCE OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE AREA BETWEEN
FRI-SUN. DETAILS OF COURSE WILL DRIVE THE DAY-TO-DAY WX...BUT SAID
PATTERN/SET UP SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW CONVECTIVE EVENTS
SOME OF WHICH WILL LIKELY CONTAIN SVR STORMS. WITH NEARLY ALL
EXTENDED GUID SUGGESTING SUCH A SCENARIO...HAVE OPTED TO START
TWEAKING POPS UPWARD FOR FRI-SAT...MAINLY N HALF. WILL NOT MENTION
ANY SVR POTENTIAL IN HWO AT THIS POINT...WILL WAIT FOR CONFIDENCE TO
INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND MORE MODEL RUNS.

AS FOR TEMPS...WITH INCREASING S FLOW AND GOOD SFC MOISTURE
LINGERING...WILL KEEP MORNING LOWS GENERALLY IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE
70S. FOR THE MOST PART...GUID OFFERS THOSE VALUES WITH THE EXCEPTION
BEING FOR MON-TUE. DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK...SOME SITES
ARE IN THE UPPER 60S AND HAVE TWEAKED UPWARD. AS FOR HIGHS...GUID
INCREASES THE AREA TO THE LOWER 90S FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK.
HAVE ACCEPTED THOSE VALUES AS THE AREA WILL HAVE TO EVAP WET SOILS
BEFORE CRANKING UP THE HEAT. FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK INTO
SAT...GUID STARTS TO COME DOWN ON TEMPS. NOT SURE THAT WILL BE THE
CASE AS THE CWA WILL BE AHEAD OF A SFC FRONT WHICH TYPICALLY OFFERS
THE WARMEST DAYS BEFORE THE FRONT WOULD PASS. LOW LEVEL FLOW ALSO
VEERS AND BECOME MORE WESTERLY WHICH ALWAYS MEANS AT LEAST MID 90S
THIS TIME OF YEAR. DUE TO THIS...HAVE INCREASED HIGHS CLOSER TO
CLIMO AND ENSEMBLE MEANS...STILL A BIT CONSERVATIVE...BUT SHOULD BE
IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION. /CME/

&&

.AVIATION...CLOUDS AND NUMEROUS SHOWERS ROTATING AROUND A SURFACE
LOW OVER THE REGION ARE BRINGING PATCHY MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR
CONDITIONS TO AREA STATIONS...DUE TO CEILING AND VIS RESTRICTIONS.
EXPECT CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM
WEST TO EAST AS THE SURFACE LOW TRIES TO HEAD EAST. HOWEVER...ANY
CLEARING IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW LATE TONIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR PATCHY
FOG FORMATION...PARTICULARLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-55 CORRIDOR.
SOME OF THIS FOG HAS POTENTIAL TO BE RATHER THICK (IFR/LIFR) TOWARDS
DAWN. EXPECT MOST OF THE LOW CLOUDS AND FOG TO BE GONE BY 9 OR 10 AM
TOMORROW WITH RAIN POTENTIAL TOMORROW SOMEWHAT LESS THAN TODAY. /BB/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       70  90  71  92 /  19  19  26  43
MERIDIAN      71  90  69  91 /  43  24  19  37
VICKSBURG     69  91  73  92 /  11  27  28  45
HATTIESBURG   71  92  72  93 /  24  26  22  37
NATCHEZ       70  89  72  91 /  14  42  21  38
GREENVILLE    67  92  71  92 /   8  10  27  53
GREENWOOD     68  92  72  92 /  15   6  24  48

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM:50
LONG TERM: 03

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
327 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2007

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
082030-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-
LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-
CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
327 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

WET GROUND FROM RECENT RAINS WILL COMBINE WITH LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT TO
PRODUCE PATCHY FOG ACROSS THE REGION. LINGERING CLOUD COVER SHOULD
KEEP ANY DENSE FOG FORMATION RATHER LIMITED OVER EASTERN
MISSISSIPPI...BUT BETTER POTENTIAL FOR CLEARING LATER TONIGHT SHOULD
ALLOW PATCHES OF DENSE FOG TO FORM AT LEAST OVER LOCATIONS ALONG AND
WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 55 CORRIDOR. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED DOWN
TO A QUARTER MILE WITHIN AREAS OF DENSE FOG THAT DO DEVELOP LATER
TONIGHT AND AREA TRAVELLERS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POTENTIAL HAZARD
AND USE THE LOW BEAM SETTING OF HEADLIGHTS IF NECESSARY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

50

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1043 AM CDT SAT JUL 7 2007

MSZ046-052-071645-
LAUDERDALE MS-KEMPER MS-
1043 AM CDT SAT JUL 7 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN MOVING ACROSS LAUDERDALE AND
KEMPER COUNTIES...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
WAS LOCATED FROM DAMASCUS TO SAVOY AT 1043 AM CDT. THE STORMS WERE
MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A MILE OR LESS. WATER MAY
COLLECT ON ROADWAYS AND MAY CAUSE DITCHES AND CULVERTS TO OVERFLOW.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WAS OCCURRING WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY WIND TO 40 MPH IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN KEMPER AND LAUDERDALE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
LAUDERDALE...MERIDIAN STATION...MERIDIAN AND PRESTON...SHOULD MONITOR
THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

OLB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1118 AM CDT SAT JUL 7 2007

MSZ057-066-071650-
JONES MS-JASPER MS-
1118 AM CDT SAT JUL 7 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER JONES AND JASPER COUNTIES...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED 3 MILES NORTH OF LAUREL AT 1118 AM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST
AROUND 30 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. WATER MAY COLLECT ON ROADWAYS AND MAY
CAUSE DITCHES AND CULVERTS TO OVERFLOW.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN JASPER AND JONES COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LAUREL
AND STRINGER...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

OLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1120 AM CDT SAT JUL 07 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE DECATUR            32.43N 89.10W
07/07/2007                   NEWTON             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            A BARN WAS DAMAGED NEAR HIGHWAY 503. TREES WERE BLOWN
            DOWN AND A BASEBALL FIELD ALSO HAD DAMAGE.

&&

JFAIRLY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1213 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2007

MSZ073-074-071815-
FORREST MS-LAMAR MS-
1213 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2007

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 MPH WINDS
WAS LOCATED FROM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PURVIS TO 10 MILES NORTHEAST
OF HATTIESBURG AT 1213 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. WATER MAY COLLECT ON ROADWAYS AND
MAY CAUSE DITCHES AND CULVERTS TO OVERFLOW.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN FORREST AND LAMAR COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
HATTIESBURG...PETAL AND WEST HATTIESBURG...SHOULD MONITOR THESE
STORMS CLOSELY.

OLB