Freeze Warning 4, NWS Jackson, MS

Attala County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

000 
WWUS74 KJAN 071426
NPWJAN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
826 AM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FIRST BOUT OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR THE ARKLAMISS THIS
MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT...

.COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTH INTO THE REGION
TODAY...REINFORCING THE CHILLY TEMPERATURES IN PLACE.
TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING ARE BOTTOMING OUT AROUND FREEZING (OR
LOWER) FOR MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE
TWENTY CORRIDOR. TEMPERATURES DOWN TO 32 DEGREES OR BELOW SHOULD
AFFECT A MORE WIDESPREAD AREA TONIGHT AS THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT
WINDS...DRY AIR AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PROVIDE NEAR PERFECT
RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS.

MSZ044>046-072230-
/O.EXP.KJAN.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071107T1400Z/
/O.CON.KJAN.FZ.W.0004.071108T0600Z-071108T1400Z/
LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...
DE KALB...SCOOBA
826 AM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CST THURSDAY...
...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE FREEZE WARNING FOR LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT BUT ANOTHER FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 8 AM CST THURSDAY.

TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING BOTTOMED OUT AROUND 32 DEGREES...WITH SOME
VARIATION BASED ON LANDSCAPE FACTORS. THIS AREA OF MARGINAL FREEZING
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE A HARDER FREEZE EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING AS READINGS REACH FREEZING FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS MAY DAMAGE SENSITIVE VEGETATION AND
BRING HARM TO PETS AND FARM ANIMALS.


$$

MSZ042-043-072230-
/O.EXP.KJAN.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071107T1400Z/
/O.CON.KJAN.FZ.A.0004.071108T0600Z-071108T1400Z/
YAZOO-MADISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...
CANTON
826 AM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE FREEZE WARNING FOR THIS MORNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FREEZE
WATCH DOES REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.

TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING BOTTOMED OUT AROUND 32 DEGREES...WITH SOME
VARIATION BASED ON LANDSCAPE FACTORS. THIS AREA OF MARGINAL FREEZING
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE ANOTHER NIGHT OF AT LEAST MARGINAL
FREEZING CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON
THIS POTENTIAL FREEZE LATER TODAY.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

$$

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>041-071530-
/O.EXP.KJAN.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071107T1400Z/
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROSSETT...NORTH CROSSETT...HAMBURG...
WEST CROSSETT...DERMOTT...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...CLEVELAND...
INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...GRENADA...VAIDEN...
NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...EUPORA...MABEN...
MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...WEIR...
STARKVILLE...GREENVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...MAYERSVILLE...ROLLING FORK...ANGUILLA
826 AM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE FREEZE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LOCATIONS IN THE AREA WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE ANOTHER FREEZE TONGIHT
BUT WITH WIDEPSREAD SUB FREEZING TEMPERATURES HAVING ALREADY OCCURED
ANOTHER FREEZE WARNING IS NOT NEEDED.

$$

MSZ050>052-056>058-066-072230-
/O.CON.KJAN.FZ.W.0004.071108T0600Z-071108T1400Z/
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JONES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...
DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...
BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...LAUREL
826 AM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CST THURSDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CST THURSDAY. 

TEMPERATURES ARE BOTTOMED OUT IN THE MID TO LOWER 30S ACROSS
THESE AREAS OF MISSISIPPI THIS MORNING...WITH SOME SHELTERS
LOCATIONS BRIEFLY GETTING DOWN TO 32 DEGREES. EXPECT WIDESPREAD
FREEZING CONDITIONS TO OCCUR HERE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WITH AT
LEAST A FEW HOURS OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES ANTICIPATED.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT.
FREEZING CONDITIONS MAY DAMAGE SENSITIVE VEGETATION AND BRING
HARM TO PETS AND FARM ANIMALS.

$$

MSZ047>049-053>055-059>065-072>074-072230-
/O.CON.KJAN.FZ.A.0004.071108T0600Z-071108T1400Z/
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-MARION-LAMAR-
FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VICKSBURG...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...
RICHLAND...PORT GIBSON...CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...
MAGEE...MENDENHALL...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...BUDE...ROXIE...
MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...
LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
826 AM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. 

TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING BOTTOMED OUT IN THE 30S...ALTHOUGH ALMOST
ALL AREAS HAVE REMAINED ABOVE FREEZING. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
COLDER TONIGHT WITH AT LEAST MARGINAL FREEZING CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
POTENTIAL FREEZE LATER TODAY.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

$$

CAB

000 
WWUS74 KJAN 072126
NPWJAN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
326 PM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WARNING FOR MOST OF MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT...

.HIGH PRESSURE HAS PRODUCED CLEAR SKIES...LOW HUMIDITY AND LIGHT WIND
ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS. THIS WILL OPTIMIZE COOLING OVERNIGHT AND RESULT
IN FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI. 

MSZ047-053-054-059>062-072230-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FZ.A.0004.071108T0600Z-071108T1400Z/
WARREN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN-LINCOLN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VICKSBURG...PORT GIBSON...
CRYSTAL SPRINGS...HAZLEHURST...WESSON...FAYETTE...NATCHEZ...
BUDE...ROXIE...MEADVILLE...BROOKHAVEN
326 PM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZE
WATCH. LIGHT SOUTH WIND WILL DEVELOP LATE. THIS WILL HAMPER OVERNIGHT
COOLING ENOUGH TO HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S.

$$

MSZ042-043-048-049-055-063>065-072>074-080530-
/O.UPG.KJAN.FZ.A.0004.071108T0600Z-071108T1400Z/
/O.EXA.KJAN.FZ.W.0004.071108T0600Z-071108T1400Z/
YAZOO-MADISON-HINDS-RANKIN-SIMPSON-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
COVINGTON-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...
CANTON...JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...MAGEE...
MENDENHALL...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...BASSFIELD...
COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...COLUMBIA...WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...
PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
326 PM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST
THURSDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE
FROM INDIANOLA TO JACKSON TO MONTICELLO. THURSDAY MORNING LOWS WILL
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S IN THESE AREAS. 

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS TEMPERATURES 32 DEGREES OR LOWER ARE LIKELY.
OUTDOOR PETS AND TENDER VEGETATION MAY NEED EXTRA PROTECTION TONIGHT.

$$

MSZ019-025>033-035>039-080530-
/O.EXA.KJAN.FZ.W.0004.071108T0600Z-071108T1400Z/
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...
GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...
EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...
WEIR...STARKVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE
326 PM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST
THURSDAY. 

THE FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE
FROM INDIANOLA TO JACKSON TO MONTICELLO. THURSDAY MORNING LOWS WILL
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S IN THESE AREAS. 

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS TEMPERATURES 32 DEGREES OR LOWER ARE LIKELY.
OUTDOOR PETS AND TENDER VEGETATION MAY NEED EXTRA PROTECTION TONIGHT.


$$

MSZ044>046-050>052-056>058-066-080530-
/O.CON.KJAN.FZ.W.0004.071108T0600Z-071108T1400Z/
LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-
JONES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...
DE KALB...SCOOBA...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...UNION...DECATUR...
CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...
HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...LAUREL
326 PM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CST THURSDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CST THURSDAY. 

THE FREEZE WARNING IS FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
INDIANOLA TO JACKSON TO MONTICELLO. THURSDAY MORNING LOWS WILL RANGE
FROM THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S IN THESE AREAS.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS TEMPERATURES 32 DEGREES OR LOWER ARE LIKELY.
OUTDOOR PETS AND TENDER VEGETATION MAY NEED EXTRA PROTECTION TONIGHT.

$$

03

000 
WWUS74 KJAN 080302
NPWJAN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
902 PM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WARNING FOR MOST OF MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT...

.HIGH PRESSURE HAS PRODUCED CLEAR SKIES...LOW HUMIDITY AND LIGHT
WIND ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS. THIS WILL OPTIMIZE COOLING OVERNIGHT
AND RESULT IN FREEZING TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI.

MSZ019-025>033-035>039-042>046-048>052-055>058-063>066-072>074-
081115-
/O.CON.KJAN.FZ.W.0004.071108T0600Z-071108T1400Z/
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-
MADISON-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INDIANOLA...RULEVILLE...GREENWOOD...
GRENADA...VAIDEN...NORTH CARROLLTON...CARROLLTON...WINONA...
EUPORA...MABEN...MATHISTON...WEST POINT...COLUMBUS...ACKERMAN...
WEIR...STARKVILLE...BELZONI...ISOLA...DURANT...TCHULA...
LEXINGTON...PICKENS...GOODMAN...KOSCIUSKO...LOUISVILLE...MACON...
BROOKSVILLE...YAZOO CITY...RIDGELAND...MADISON...CANTON...
CARTHAGE...PHILADELPHIA...PEARL RIVER...DE KALB...SCOOBA...
JACKSON...PEARL...BRANDON...RICHLAND...FOREST...MORTON...NEWTON...
UNION...DECATUR...CONEHATTA...MERIDIAN...MAGEE...MENDENHALL...
TAYLORSVILLE...RALEIGH...BAY SPRINGS...HEIDELBERG...QUITMAN...
STONEWALL...SHUBUTA...MONTICELLO...NEW HEBRON...PRENTISS...
BASSFIELD...COLLINS...MOUNT OLIVE...LAUREL...COLUMBIA...
WEST HATTIESBURG...LUMBERTON...PURVIS...HATTIESBURG
902 PM CST WED NOV 7 2007

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CST THURSDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM
CST THURSDAY. 

THE FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A
LINE FROM INDIANOLA TO JACKSON TO MONTICELLO. THURSDAY MORNING
LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S IN THESE AREAS.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS TEMPERATURES 32 DEGREES OR LOWER ARE
LIKELY. OUTDOOR PETS AND TENDER VEGETATION MAY NEED EXTRA
PROTECTION TONIGHT.

$$

14

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
935 PM CST TUE NOV 6 2007

.UPDATE...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY THIS EVENING CONTINUES TO DRIFT SE RESULTING IN A LIGHTER
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER OUR DELTA REGION. OUR COOL DRY AIRMASS
COMBINED WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS HAS ALLOWED MORE OF OUR
DELTA COUNTIES TO COOL OFF RAPIDLY THIS EVENING. SURFACE DEW POINTS
ARE RUNNING IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S OVER THE DELTA AND TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO COOL DOWN TO FREEZING OVER A GREATER AREA THAN
COVERED BY OUR FREEZE WARNING. THIS WOULD BE THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE
SEASON AND HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST AND FREEZE WARNING TO INCLUDE
THE AREA FARTHER WEST. THIS PICKS UP GREENVILLE AND OUR SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS COUNTIES. REMAINDER OF FORECAST IS ON TRACK. UPDATES HAVE
BEEN POSTED.

&&

.PREVIOUS FORECAST...SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. MAINLY A
TEMPERATURE FORECAST IN THE SHORT TERM. HIGH PRESSURE HAS MOVED INTO
THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT...SO HOW COLD WILL THE CWA GET IS THE MAIN
CONCERN AT THIS TIME. INITIALLY THOUGHT WINDS WOULD SUBSIDE LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON AND BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...MSAS
SHOWS CENTER OF HIGH JUST WEST OF THE AREA AND THE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE CWA MAY HOLD ON THROUGH THE EVENING...BUT STILL LOOKING FOR LIGHT
WINDS BY MIDNIGHT. TRIED TO USE A BLEND OF GUIDANCE FOR THE TEMPS
TONIGHT...BOTH MODELS CONTINUE TO PINPOINT THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES
OVER THE NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. THE DRY AIR WAS HERE AND
SKIES WERE CLEAR ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US...HOWEVER THE WINDS ARE
HAVING AN IMPACT ON THE CONFIDENCE LEVELS FOR TONIGHT. WENT WITH THE
FREEZE WARNING FOR MOST OF THE NORTHERN TWO TIERS OF COUNTIES FOR
TONIGHT. OPTED NOT TO MAKE THE PRODUCT TOO COMPLICATED AT THIS
POINT...BUT FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE CWA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO
COOLER THAN EXPECTED TONIGHT...SO MORE AREAS SHOULD GET BELOW
FREEZING. CONTINUED TO MENTION IN THE HWO...BUT DECIDED AGAINST A
WATCH FOR THE THIRD PERIOD. THE CENTER OF THE HIGH SHOULD BE EAST OF
THE CWA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GOOD COLD ADVECTION CONTINUING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE MODELS SHOW AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING INTO
THE WEST...SO THE COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO THE AREA.
HOWEVER...RETURN FLOW MAY DEVELOP AS EARLY AS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...HELPING TO MODIFY THE AIRMASS. SHOULD SEE A GRADUAL
WARMING BY FRIDAY...BRINGING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL.
ANYWAY...DID NOT MAKE ANY BIG CHANGES TO THE FORECAST...TWEAKED TEMPS
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND ADJUSTED SKY CONDITIONS. OVERALL THE
FORECAST WAS OK. /07/

LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...LONG TERM FOCUS WILL BE
AROUND THE NEXT SYSTEM WHICH IS SLATED FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. PREV
FORECAST HIT ON THIS FEATURE AS BEING OUR FIRST SHOT OF REAL
RAINFALL IN QUITE SOME TIME. IT DEFINITELY LOOKS TO BE THAT WITH
SOME UNCERTAINTY ON TIMING/INTENSITY AND SVR WX POTENTIAL. LATEST
GUID SEEMS TO BE OFFERING A TREND OF SOME SORT AS THEY ARE
INDICATING THAT THEIR WILL BE QUITE A BIT OF ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH
THE TROUGH AND THAT IT WILL TRANSLATE INTO A CLOSED LOW FEATURE AS
IT REMAINS PROGRESSIVE. THE BIG TIMING ISSUE IS IF IT WILL SLOW AS
IT CLOSES OFF OR WILL IT REMAIN PROGRESSIVE. THAT WILL SOLELY DEPEND
ON THE KICKER FEATURE WHICH WILL MOVE INTO THE PAC NW. THE PROBLEM
IS THAT FEATURE IS SO FAR OUT OF THE OB NETWORK VARYING SOLUTIONS
WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 2-3 DAYS. WITH THAT SAID...ENOUGH
SUPPORT IS NOW SHOWN TO FOCUS ON A MON/TUE TIME FRAME. THE LATEST
GFS REALLY MAKES SENSE SINCE IT IS A TAD SLOWER...BUT STILL
PROGRESSIVE WITH A FOCUS FOR MON NIGHT/TUE. THE LATEST EURO IS
FASTER AND SUGGESTS MON/MON NIGHT. I LIKE THE LATEST GFS AS IT
CARRIES CONTINUITY WITH PREV EURO RUNS AND FITS THE TIMING BETTER
WITH A CLOSED LOW TYPE SYSTEM.

AS FOR ANY SEVERE WX...THE POSSIBILITIES EXIST...BUT WILL NOT GET
TOO EXCITED UNTIL MORE CONSISTENCY CAN BE SHOWN. THE MAIN THING IS
THE REGION WILL SEE A GOOD SHOT OF RAIN AS SOMETHING OF SIGNIFICANCE
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.

AS FOR THE MODIFICATIONS TO THE GOING FORECAST. CLOUDS AND
DEVELOPING RETURN FLOW LOOK TO SUPPORT WARMER LOWS BEGINNING SUN
MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR REALLY WARM MORNINGS MON-TUE. I DID
TWEAK LOWS SUN MORNING AND MADE LARGER CHANCES MON MORNING. TUE
MORNING IS TOUGH AS TIMING THE CONVECTION IS REAL TOUGH.
HOWEVER...THE EASTERN CWA SEEMED WAY TOO COOL AND HAVE WARMED THOSE
AREAS TO THE MID 50S. LASTLY...HAVE DECIDED TO INCREASE POPS FOR MON
NIGHT AND TUE. AT THIS TIME...THESE PERIODS FIT THE BLEND OF THE
MODELS BEST AND SOMETHING HIGHER THAN 20% IS NEEDED. POPS WERE
INCREASED TO CHANCE CATEGORY WITH THUNDER ADDED. CME

&&

.AVIATION...WINDS HAVE LOST GUSTY CHARACTER AND WILL BECOME LIGHTER
REMAINDER OF NIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       34  60  32  66 /   0   0   0   0
MERIDIAN      33  60  30  65 /   0   0   0   0
VICKSBURG     35  62  34  68 /   0   0   0   0
HATTIESBURG   34  63  33  66 /   0   0   0   0
NATCHEZ       37  61  35  68 /   0   0   0   0
GREENVILLE    32  60  34  68 /   0   0   0   0
GREENWOOD     32  57  31  65 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR MSZ018-019-
     025>039.

LA...NONE.
AR...FREEZE WARNING FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

22

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
223 PM CST TUE NOV 6 2007

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
072030-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-
LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-
CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
223 PM CST TUE NOV 6 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI LATE TONIGHT. AREAS AFFECTED ARE ALONG A LINE FROM
CLEVELAND TO LEXINGTON TO MACON MISSISSIPPI. CLEAR SKIES...CALM WINDS
AND A COLD AIRMASS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO NEAR FREEZING
OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION
AND PETS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
FREEZING CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR MUCH
OF CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI. AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE
55 WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE FREEZING CONDITIONS. COLD AND
DRY CANADIAN AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO THE REGION...CAUSING
TEMPERATURES TO FALL TO AROUND 32 DEGREES FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A FREEZE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.