Snow Advisory 4, NWS Northern Indiana

000 
WWUS43 KIWX 150210
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
910 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...

.A WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF TEXAS TONIGHT...AND
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO BY EARLY SUNDAY. THIS STRONG SYSTEM WILL
RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND
WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS.

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING AND
INCREASE IN INTENSITY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
ON SATURDAY. THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

AS THIS WINTER STORM INTENSIFIES...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
FROM THE NORTHEAST...THEN NORTH AND WILL BECOME VERY GUSTY
THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL PROBLEMS
WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

IF TRAVEL IS PLANNED THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY
REGION THIS WEEKEND...YOU ARE URGED TO STAY ABREAST ON THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CONCERNING THIS MAJOR WINTER STORM.

OHZ016-024-025-151100-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071217T0000Z/
PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...
LIMA
910 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
7 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...AND INTENSIFY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO A PERIOD OF SLEET SATURDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. NORTHEAST WINDS OF
15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND WILL
CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THAT WILL SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL
IN THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION...OR FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-151100-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071217T0000Z/
HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...
WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP
910 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
7 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...AND INTENSIFY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE ALSO
EXPECTED AND WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THAT WILL
SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL IN THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION...OR FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

INZ026-027-032>034-151100-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071216T2100Z/
WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...
MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND
910 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...AND INTENSIFY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO A PERIOD OF SLEET SATURDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCAL
ACCUMULATIONS NEAR ONE FOOT POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE
69. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE ALSO
EXPECTED AND WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THAT WILL
SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL IN THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION...OR FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

INZ007>009-015>018-020-022>025-151100-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071216T2100Z/
STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-
CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGOLA...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...
AUBURN...GARRETT...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...
BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...
HUNTINGTON
910 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...AND INTENSIFY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING WITH HEAVY SNOW LIKELY. TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
30 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW THAT WILL SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL IN THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION...OR FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

INZ004>006-012>014-MIZ078>080-151100-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071216T1800Z/
ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-CASS MI-
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...
GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...
FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER
910 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 /810 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST /6 AM
CST/ SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/
SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/ SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...AND INTENSIFY
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO
25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND WILL CREATE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THAT WILL SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL IN THE
AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

INZ003-MIZ077-151100-
/O.CON.KIWX.SN.Y.0004.071215T1200Z-071216T1500Z/
LA PORTE-BERRIEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN
910 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 /810 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2007/

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/
SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ SUNDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/
SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...AND CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO
25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND WILL CREATE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THAT WILL SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL IN THE
AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

SCHOTT/NWS

000 
WWUS43 KIWX 151008
WSWIWX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
508 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.A WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF EAST TEXAS TODAY...AND INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO BY EARLY SUNDAY. THIS STRONG SYSTEM WILL
RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND
WILL PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS.

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND INCREASE
IN INTENSITY THIS EVENING. AS THIS WINTER STORM INTENSIFIES...
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL CAUSE
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. THE SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM
WEST TO EAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

IF TRAVEL IS PLANNED THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY
REGION THIS WEEKEND...YOU ARE URGED TO STAY ABREAST ON THE LATEST
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS CONCERNING THIS MAJOR WINTER STORM.

INZ003-MIZ077-151815-
/O.UPG.KIWX.SN.Y.0004.071215T1200Z-071216T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071216T1800Z/
LA PORTE-BERRIEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN
508 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 /408 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM CST/
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM
CST/ SUNDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY MORNING
BEFORE DIMINISHING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
THAT WILL SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL IN THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

OHZ016-024-025-151815-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071217T0000Z/
PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...
LIMA
508 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO A PERIOD OF SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
THAT WILL SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL IN THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION...OR FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

MIZ081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-151815-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071217T0000Z/
HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...
WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP
508 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND WILL CREATE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW THAT WILL SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL IN THE AREA THROUGH
SUNDAY.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION...OR FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

INZ026-027-032>034-151815-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071216T2100Z/
WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...
MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND
508 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO A PERIOD OF SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
THAT WILL SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL IN THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION...OR FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

INZ007>009-015>018-020-022>025-151815-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071216T2100Z/
STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-
CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANGOLA...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...
AUBURN...GARRETT...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...
BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...
HUNTINGTON
508 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING WITH HEAVY SNOW LIKELY. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO
15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. NORTHEAST
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND
WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THAT WILL SEVERELY IMPACT
TRAVEL IN THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION...OR FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

INZ004>006-012>014-MIZ078>080-151815-
/O.CON.KIWX.WS.W.0005.071215T1200Z-071216T1800Z/
ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-CASS MI-
ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...
GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...
FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER
508 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 /408 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM
CST/ SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /12 PM
CST/ SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND INTENSIFY TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 11 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE
ALSO EXPECTED AND WILL CREATE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THAT WILL
SEVERELY IMPACT TRAVEL IN THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1256 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2007

.AVIATION...
CURRENTLY A MVFR DECK IS OVER THE AREA. THIS IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN THIS EVENING CEILINGS
SHOULD LIFT TO VFR. THEY WILL BE VFR THROUGH THE NIGHT UNTIL
DEEPER MOISTURE MOVES IN TOMORROW MORNING...DUE TO A LOW
TRAVELING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS KENTUCKY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
USHERING IN MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES...ALONG WITH SNOW. THE
AMOUNT OF SNOW EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON THE
AIRPORTS AND WILL START TOMORROW MORNING. ALSO THROUGH THE NIGHT
THE WIND WILL BE TURNING NORTHEASTWARD AND BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST
TO EAST TOMORROW MORNING...AND REMAIN AT SPEED IF NOT INCREASING
SOME TOWARDS THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 452 AM EST FRI DEC 14 2007/
SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
AN ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ATTEMPT TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
TODAY...ALONG WITH SOME SOME CLEARING INTO NORTHERN INDIANA AND
INTO THE FAR SOUTHWEST CORNER OF LOWER MICHIGAN. THE CLEARING IS
NOT EXPECTED TO LAST LONG AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST. THE NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LAKE EFFECT CLOUDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
CHANCES LOOK MARGINAL GIVEN RELATIVELY LOW INVERSION HEIGHTS AND
BORDERLINE DELTA T VALUES...SO LEFT SOME SMALL CHANCES FOR LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TODAY. LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
BY LATER IN THE DAY...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VEER TO NORTHEAST
THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A LARGE SYNOPTIC SYSTEM...ENDING THE CHANCE
FOR ANY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. REMOVED LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS
THIS EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST. THE ONGOING TIMING FOR
A CHANCE OF SNOW LATE TONIGHT OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA
FROM THE DEVELOPING WINTER STORM LOOK PLAUSIBLE GIVEN THE LATEST
GFS AND NAM/WRF RUN AND BIASES.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
MAIN FOCUS WITH THIS LONG TERM PACKAGE IS ON THE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WINDOW WITH SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM DEVELOPMENT. FEW
CHANGES WERE MADE BEYOND MONDAY AS GRIDS GENERALLY REPRESENTATIVE
OF LATEST MODEL OUTPUT.

WATER VAPOR THIS MORNING SHOWS DEEP TROUGH OVER SOUTHWEST CONUS
ALREADY SHIFTING EAST IN RESPONSE TO DEVELOPING 120KT 300MB SPEED
MAX. CLASSIC PINEAPPLE EXPRESS SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME EVIDENT
ACROSS CENTRAL PACIFIC INTO SOUTHWEST TEXAS AHEAD OF DEVELOPING
SYSTEM. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR ANOTHER HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER
MOISTURE FEED INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. CONCERN THOUGH IS THAT GIVEN
STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM...CONVECTION IN WARM SECTOR WILL HAMPER
NORTHWARD TRANSPORT INTO OUR AREA. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE COLD AIR
ADVECTION AND DEEPENING SYNOPTIC SYSTEM...DYNAMICS AND KINEMATICS
SHOULD BE ABLE TO COMBINE WITH MODEST MOISTURE IN THE COLD AIR TO
PRODUCE HEAVY SNOWFALL IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANT OF THIS SYSTEM.

LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS DEPICTING A SLIGHTLY SLOWER ARRIVAL AS
DEEPENING SYSTEM BEGINS SLOWING DOWN. HAVE ADJUSTED GRIDS A FEW
HOURS SLOWER BUT OVERALL IMPACT MINIMAL ON EXPECTED OUTCOME. LATEST
MODEL SOLUTIONS ALSO A BIT FURTHER NORTH...ESPECIALLY THE NAM. HAVE
USED A BLEND OF NAM AND GFS FOR BOTH TIMING AND TRACK WITH HIGHER
PREFERENCE TOWARD THE GFS. MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO CURRENT
PACKAGE WAS TO DELAY START OF WATCH UNTIL 12Z SATURDAY AND EXTEND
THE ENDING TIME TO 17Z SUNDAY GIVEN THE SLOWER SOLUTIONS. ALSO ADDED
A FEW COUNTIES ON WESTERN PERIPHERY GIVEN THE NORTHWARD ADJUSTMENT
IN MODEL TRACKS. THIS SEEMS PLAUSIBLE GIVEN THE DEEPENING SYSTEM AND
NEGATIVE TILT EXPECTED AS SYSTEM WRAPS UP AND TAKES A MORE
NORTHWESTERLY TRACK AS IT MOVES THROUGH OHIO VALLEY. OF MOST CONCERN
IN THESE WESTERN COUNTIES IS MORE OF ADVISORY CRITERIA SNOWFALL IN
THE 2 TO 5 INCH RANGE BUT COUPLED WITH INCREASING NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WINDS WHICH WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING. THUS WITH
COLLABORATION ADJUSTED WATCH FURTHER WEST TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

ADJUSTED QPF AND SNOW AMOUNTS JUST A BIT GIVEN LATEST HPC QPF
GRIDS. STILL A BIT HIGHER THAN HPC IN SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST GIVEN THE
ABOVE MENTIONED TROPICAL CONNECTION AND DYNAMICS. FAR SOUTHEAST
AREAS COULD POTENTIALLY END UP WITH OVER 8 INCHES OF SNOW IF
MOISTURE IS REALIZED AS ALL SNOW. LAST FEW RUNS OF NAM ARE A BIT
CONCERNING THOUGH AS IT INITIALLY BRINGS A WARM LAYER OVER TOP OF
ARCTIC DOME WHICH COULD SPELL A BRIEF PERIOD OF MIXED PRECIPITATION
IN THE FORM OF SLEET AND SNOW. WHILE THIS RUN OF NAM IS MORE INLINE
WITH GFS...GFS NOT AS AGGRESSIVE WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION. PREFER TO
STAY WITH GFS GIVEN DYNAMICALLY COOLING AND BETTER RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY THAN NAM...WHICH HAS BEEN TRENDING TOWARD GFS.
SOMETHING TO CERTAINLY WATCH IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR INZ007>009-015>018-020-022>027-032>034.

MI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR MIZ081.

OH...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LMZ043.

&&

SHORT TERM...SKIPPER
LONG TERM...LASHLEY
AVIATION...LOTHAMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
540 AM EST FRI DEC 14 2007

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-151045-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
540 AM EST FRI DEC 14 2007 /440 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

...POTENTIAL FOR A MAJOR MIDWEST WINTER STORM THIS WEEKEND...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON MANY RIVERS IN NORTHERN INDIANA
AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SNOW WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY.  THE
HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM HILLSDALE TO LOGANSPORT.
STRONG WINDS ACCOMPANIED BY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ARE LIKELY
TO CAUSE TRAVEL HAZARDS.

MINOR FLOODING OF SOME RIVERS IN NORTHERN INDIANA WILL CONTINUE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...
OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-151045-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
540 AM EST FRI DEC 14 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY INCLUDING WAVES UP TO 6 FEET.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP