Alert archive / Indiana / Ice Storm Warnings in 2007
Ice Storm Warning 3, NWS Northern Indiana
NWS Northern Indiana issued this ice storm warning at Dec 8, 2007, 10:53 PM EST for 4 counties in Michigan; 8 counties in Ohio; 21 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 16 hr. 11 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 8, 2007, 10:53 PM EST (03:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 9, 2007, 3:14 PM EST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Northern Indiana
All 33 counties
Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Branch County, MI, Cass County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH
The radar
The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 8:17 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.05 | 6 W Angola, IN | |
| Dec 9, 8:20 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.05 | Bluffton, IN | ICE ACCUMULATION TRACE |
| Dec 9, 10:28 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Columbus Grove, OH | ICE ON SOME TREES |
| Dec 9, 10:40 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.1 | Rochester, IN | 0.10 STORM TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION |
| Dec 9, 11:30 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | Peru, IN | 0.20 STORM TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION |
| Dec 9, 11:37 AM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | 9 Sw Columbia City, IN | 0.20 STORM TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION IN SOUTH WHITLEY |
| Dec 9, 12:04 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | North Manchester, IN | 0.20 INCH STORM TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION |
| Dec 9, 12:11 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.13 | Huntington, IN | 0.13 INCH STORM TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION |
| Dec 9, 12:42 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.2 | 6 W Angola, IN | STORM TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION |
| Dec 9, 2:29 PM EST | ICE STORM 0 | Rochester, IN | TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION...0.25 |
| Dec 9, 2:29 PM EST | FREEZING RAIN 0.25 | Rochester, IN | TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 233 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1404 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 85 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 62 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 154 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KIWX 090353 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1053 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR WINTER WEATHER OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PUSH NORTHEAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES TOMORROW AND RIDE NORTH ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN PLACE. IN RESPONSE TO THIS DISTURBANCE...WARM MOIST AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL PUSH NORTH OVER COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES AND ALLOW FOR PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING RAIN STARTING SUNDAY MORNING. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA. LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA WILL SEE PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN INTO MIDDAY SUNDAY...TRANSITIONING TO ALL RAIN AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA OF 1 TO 2 TENTHS ARE POSSIBLE. WITH AIR TEMPERATURES BEING JUST BELOW FREEZING AND GROUND TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE UPPER 30S...ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAINLY OCCUR ON ELEVATED OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES...POWER LINES AND OVERPASSES. HOWEVER...ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS MAY STILL BECOME SLIPPERY ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS WHEN AIR TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE COLDEST. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...AFTER WHICH THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER UPDATES ON THIS DANGEROUS SITUATION. INZ013-015-091200- /O.UPG.KIWX.ZR.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-071209T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.IS.W.0003.071209T0353Z-071210T0300Z/ PULASKI-FULTON IN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...ROCHESTER 1053 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SUNDAY. THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL TRANSITION TO PERIODS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT. LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID MORNING AND LAST INTO THE EVENING. EXPECT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. UNTREATED ROADS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...AS WELL AS SIDEWALKS MAY BE ESPECIALLY SLIPPERY. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. $$ INZ003>009-012-014-016>018-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-091200- /O.UPG.KIWX.WS.A.0005.071209T0600Z-071210T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.IS.W.0003.071209T0353Z-071210T0300Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB- STARKE-MARSHALL-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-BERRIEN-CASS MI- ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE... COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN... MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE 1053 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 /953 PM CST SAT DEC 8 2007/ ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL TRANSITION TO PERIODS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT. LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MID MORNING AND LAST INTO THE EVENING. EXPECT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. UNTREATED ROADS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...AS WELL AS SIDEWALKS MAY BE ESPECIALLY SLIPPERY. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. $$ OHZ005-015-016-091200- /O.UPG.KIWX.WS.A.0005.071209T0600Z-071210T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KIWX.ZR.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-071209T1900Z/ HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP... OTTAWA...PANDORA 1053 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. PERIODS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AT WHICH POINT TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING AND END ALL FREEZING RAIN CHANCES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 TENTHS ARE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. UNTREATED ROADS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...AS WELL AS SIDEWALKS MAY BE ESPECIALLY SLIPPERY. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ INZ020-022>027-032>034-OHZ024-025-091200- /O.EXT.KIWX.ZR.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-071209T1900Z/ WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD- JAY-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT... PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON... OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER... PORTLAND...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 1053 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST SUNDAY... THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST SUNDAY. PERIODS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AT WHICH POINT TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING AND END ALL FREEZING RAIN CHANCES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 TENTHS ARE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. UNTREATED ROADS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...AS WELL AS SIDEWALKS MAY BE ESPECIALLY SLIPPERY. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ JC/PBM
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KIWX 090932 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 432 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED TODAY... .A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR WINTER WEATHER TODAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES NORTHEAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN PLACE. IN RESPONSE TO THIS DISTURBANCE...WARM MOIST AIR FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL PUSH NORTH OVER COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES AND ALLOW FOR PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING RAIN. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF AN INCH EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA. WITH AIR TEMPERATURES BEING JUST BELOW FREEZING AND GROUND TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE UPPER 30S...ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAINLY OCCUR ON ELEVATED OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES...POWER LINES AND OVERPASSES. HOWEVER...ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS MAY STILL BECOME SLIPPERY ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS WHEN AIR TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE COLDEST. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM MID MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...AFTER WHICH THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER UPDATES ON THIS DANGEROUS SITUATION. INZ020-022>027-032>034-OHZ005-015-016-024-025-091745- /O.UPG.KIWX.ZR.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-071209T1900Z/ /O.EXA.KIWX.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD- JAY-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT... PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON... OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER... PORTLAND...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA... VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 432 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND LAST INTO THE EVENING. EXPECT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH BY MID AFTERNOON. UNTREATED ROADS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...AS WELL AS SIDEWALKS MAY BE ESPECIALLY SLIPPERY. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. $$ INZ003>009-012>018-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-091745- /O.CON.KIWX.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB- STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN- BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH- DEFIANCE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN... ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS... COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD... DEFIANCE 432 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 /332 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2007/ ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND LAST INTO THE EVENING. EXPECT ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH BY MID AFTERNOON. UNTREATED ROADS...BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...AS WELL AS SIDEWALKS MAY BE ESPECIALLY SLIPPERY. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. $$ JC
000 WWUS43 KIWX 091650 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1150 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING CONTINUES MOST AREAS... .A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR WINTER WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHES NORTHEAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. AS THIS DISTURBANCES MOVES EAST THIS AFTERNOON...MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST. HOWEVER...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THAT REMAINS BEHIND. SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAINLY OCCUR ON ELEVATED OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES...POWER LINES AND OVERPASSES. HOWEVER...ROAD AND SIDEWALKS WILL STILL BE ICE COVERED AND SLIPPERY. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER UPDATES ON THIS DANGEROUS SITUATION. INZ003-004-MIZ077>079-100100- /O.CAN.KIWX.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.ZR.Y.0008.071209T1650Z-071210T0300Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN... DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS 1150 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 /1050 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2007/ ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. THE ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVIER BANDS OF FREEZING RAIN HAVE MOVED EAST BUT LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE STILL EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THEREFORE THE ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR THIS LIGHTER PRECIPITATION. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ INZ005>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ080-081-OHZ001-002-004- 005-015-016-024-025-100100- /O.CON.KIWX.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL- FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH- HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BRANCH-HILLSDALE- WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT- ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA... ANGOLA...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN... ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON... LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON... BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY... MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON... ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA... PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 1150 AM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 /1050 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2007/ ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING RAIN CONTINUES OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE QUARTER TO POSSIBLY ONE HALF INCH ARE EXPECTED. UNTREATED ROADS... BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...AS WELL AS SIDEWALKS WILL BE ICE COVERED AND ESPECIALLY SLIPPERY. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. $$
000 WWUS43 KIWX 091832 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 132 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...ICE STORM DIMINISHING... .A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY HAS BEEN THE FOCUS FOR WINTER WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THIS FRONT HAS HELPED GENERATE THE FREEZING RAIN BUT IT IS NOW BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA. THEREFORE THE MODERATE FREEZING RAIN AND SIGNIFICANT ICING ARE BEGINNING TO DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST. HOWEVER...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THAT REMAINS BEHIND INTO TONIGHT. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER UPDATES ON THIS DANGEROUS SITUATION. INZ005>008-012>016-020-022-MIZ080-081-100245- /O.CAN.KIWX.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ /O.EXA.KIWX.ZR.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN- KOSCIUSKO-WHITE-CASS IN-BRANCH-HILLSDALE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA... ANGOLA...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON... WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...COLDWATER... HILLSDALE 132 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 /1232 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2007/ ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. THE ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR PARTS OF NORTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. THE HEAVIER BANDS OF FREEZING RAIN HAVE MOVED EAST BUT LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE STILL EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THEREFORE THE ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR THIS LIGHTER PRECIPITATION. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ INZ009-017-018-023>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025- 100245- /O.CON.KIWX.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ DE KALB-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS- GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING- PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AUBURN...GARRETT...COLUMBIA CITY... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER... HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...BRYAN...WAUSEON... ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA... PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 132 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... AN ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING RAIN CONTINUES OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE ICE STORM WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS HEAVIER FREEZING RAIN MOVES OUT OF THE AREA. ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY APPROACH ONE TENTH OF AN INCH IN THE WARNING AREA...BRINGING TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO BETWEEN ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF INCH. UNTREATED ROADS... BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...AS WELL AS SIDEWALKS WILL BE ICE COVERED AND ESPECIALLY SLIPPERY. AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS MAY LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. $$ INZ003-004-MIZ077>079-100245- /O.CON.KIWX.ZR.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN... DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS 132 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 /1232 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2007/ ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE STILL OCCURRING ACROSS THE AREA. THEREFORE THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR THIS LIGHTER PRECIPITATION REMAINS IN EFFECT. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
000 WWUS43 KIWX 092014 WSWIWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 314 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY... .THE MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING RAIN HAS MOVED EAST OF THE AREA AND ONLY AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE REMAIN. THEREFORE THE ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR THIS EVENING. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICING IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WITH THIS LIGHTER PRECIPITATION. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER UPDATES ON THIS DANGEROUS SITUATION. INZ009-017-018-023>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025- 100300- /O.CAN.KIWX.IS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ /O.EXA.KIWX.ZR.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ DE KALB-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS- GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING- PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AUBURN...GARRETT...COLUMBIA CITY... SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER... HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...BRYAN...WAUSEON... ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA... PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 314 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...ICE STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVIER BANDS OF FREEZING RAIN HAVE MOVED EAST BUT LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE STILL EXPECTED THIS EVENING. THEREFORE THE ICE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR THE LIGHTER PRECIPITATION. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICING IS POSSIBLE. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ INZ003>008-012>016-020-022-MIZ077>081-100300- /O.CON.KIWX.ZR.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-071210T0300Z/ LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-STARKE- PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITE-CASS IN-BERRIEN- CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC... FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE 314 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007 /214 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2007/ ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE STILL EXPECTED THIS EVENING. THEREFORE THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE FOR THIS LIGHTER PRECIPITATION. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICING IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this ice storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this ice storm warning went out at Dec 8, 7:00 PM EST, 3 hours 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 8, 7:00 PM EST, 3 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
700 PM EST SAT DEC 8 2007
.AVIATION...
CURRENT RADARS ARE SHOWING THAT OFF AND ON PRECIP WILL OCCUR AT FWA
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. VFR UNTIL THAT DEEPER MOISTURE MOVES IN
LATER THIS EVENING. THEN CONDITIONS WILL DROP TO MVFR. THE PRECIP
TONIGHT COULD START OUT AS SNOW AT SBN BUT NOT EXPECTING IT TO
AMOUNT TO MUCH. WITH THE DEEP MOISTURE TOMORROW AND THE
PRECIP...VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP EVEN
MORE...TO IFR...AND POSSIBLY LOWER AT TIMES. FROM LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. THERE STILL EXISTS A LITTLE
BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN WHERE THE HEAVIEST PRECIP IS GOING TO SET UP
AT ACROSS THE AREA. THE ONLY OTHER THING IS THAT THE WIND WILL BE
TURNING TO THE EAST BY MIDNIGHT.
&&
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT.
A FRONT WILL BE IN THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT. UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL
BE BRINGING WARM MOIST AIR UP NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO.
THIS WARM AIR WILL RIDE UP OVER THE FRONT AND MOVE INTO THE AREA
ABOVE THE COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE...AND AS THE MOISTURE DEEPENS THIS
EVENING INTO TONIGHT...SLEET/FREEZING RAIN/SNOW WILL BEGIN ACROSS
THE CWA. RADARS IN ILLINOIS ARE SHOWING PRECIP MOVING EASTWARD...BUT
LIKE MODEL SOUNDINGS HAVE BEEN SHOWING...THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN
NEEDS TO BECOME SATURATED FIRST FOR THE PRECIP TO BEGIN REACHING THE
GROUND. OBSERVATIONS IN NORTHERN ILLINOIS HAVE NOT BEEN INDICATING
ANY PRECIP...JUST OBSERVATIONS IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THE DEWPOINT
DEPRESSION IS ALSO A LOT SMALLER IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS THAN IT IS IN
OUR CWA AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS. SOUNDINGS AND THICKNESSES HAVE BEEN
INDICATING THAT THE PRECIP WILL START OUT MAINLY AS FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE CWA...AND MAINLY SLEET IN THE
NORTHERN PART WITH ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME SNOW. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT VARY THAT MUCH TONIGHT...AND IF ANYTHING WARM
UP SLIGHTLY. AS THOSE SURFACE TEMPERATURES DO THAT...THE SNOW
CHANCES...SLEET CHANCES...AND FREEZING RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE NORTHWARD SOME THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. THE BEST MOISTURE DEPTH
AND PERIOD OF PRECIP WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH
TOMORROW. THEREFORE PRECIP CHANCES WILL ALSO BE INCREASING THROUGH
THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. WITH THE SLOWLY INCREASING SURFACE
TEMPERATURES TOMORROW...THE FREEZING RAIN/SLEET CHANCES WILL MOVE
TO OUR MICHIGAN COUNTIES WITH MOST OF THE CWA SEEING JUST FREEZING
RAIN. SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY WARM UP ENOUGH IN OUR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES FOR THOSE AREAS TO SEE JUST RAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON. BUT
HIGHS FOR MOST OF THE CWA ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 32. WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AMOUNTS FAIRLY HIGH LATE TONIGHT INTO
TOMORROW...A HALF INCH TO AN INCH...THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
ICE ACCUMULATION IS THERE. BUT WHERE THE HIGHEST PRECIP AMOUNTS WILL
OCCUR IS STILL SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION. THE MODELS ARE HAVING A TOUGH
TIME RESOLVING THE TIGHT 850MB TEMP GRADIENT OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. THIS AREA WILL MOVE INTO THE CWA TOMORROW. MODELS ARE ALSO
NOT AGREEING AMONG EACH OTHER YET ON WHERE THE BEST PRECIP IS GOING
TO HAPPEN. THEREFORE WILL NOT CHANCE THE WATCH AND ADVISORY AREAS
FOR NOW. THE FRONT AND LOW WILL BE MOVING ON TO THE EAST SUNDAY
NIGHT. THEREFORE PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE DECREASING. ALSO AS THE
TEMPERATURE DECREASES TOMORROW NIGHT...FREEZING RAIN CHANCE WILL
MOVE BACK INTO THE SOUTH...AS WELL AS SNOW CHANCES IN THE NORTH.
&&
.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
...TWO MORE POSSIBLE WINTER STORMS SYSTEMS THIS WEEK...
COMPLICATED AND HIGHLY ENERGETIC PATTERN WILL CONTINUE UNTIL AT
LEAST THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WHEN UPPER LOW IN SOUTHWEST CONUS
FINALLY EJECTS NORTHEAST.
WATER VAPOR TODAY SHOWS IMPRESSIVE TROUGH DEVELOPING IN THE
SOUTHWEST CONUS WITH DEEP SUBTROPICAL PLUME LIFTING NORTHEAST
THROUGH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. ANOMALOUS SUBTROPICAL HIGH LOCATED OFF
THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD IS ACTING TO BLOCK THE PATTERN WHILE ALLOWING
SEVERAL SHORT WAVES EJECTING OUT OF SOUTHWEST TROUGH TO MOVE
NORTHEAST TOWARD OUR AREA. EACH SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE
LOW PRESSURE ALONG A QUASI STATIONARY BOUNDARY THAT WILL MEANDER
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS THIS WEEK.
FIRST SHORT WAVE ALREADY BEGINNING TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND WILL BE THE
WEATHER MAKER IN THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. MEANWHILE...SECOND POTENT
SHORT WAVE EXPECTED TO LIFT OUT MONDAY NIGHT AND CROSS OUR AREA
TUESDAY. STRONG GOMEX MOISTURE AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET WILL
ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP SIMILAR TO WHAT WE ARE EXPECTING LATE TONIGHT
INTO SUNDAY. MODELS INDICATING MOST LEVELS ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER
TO WARM SUFFICIENTLY ONCE AGAIN FOR LIQUID PRECIPITATION.
HOWEVER...YET AGAIN A 1030 MB SURFACE HIGH WILL BE MOVING ACROSS
OUR AREA MONDAY NIGHT HELPING TO DRY OUT LOWER LEVELS AND ALLOW
SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO RADIATE BELOW MOS GUIDANCE. AS HAS BEEN THE
CASE LAST SEVERAL DAYS...GFS ENSEMBLE MOS GUIDANCE SHOWS OPERATIONAL
RUN TO BE ONE OF THE WARMER AND ANOMALOUS MEMBERS...WITH
TEMPERATURES VERIFYING CLOSER TO ENSEMBLE AVERAGE OR LOWER END
NUMBERS. WILL THEREFORE CONTINUE TO CUT TEMPERATURES MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY GIVEN THIS SETUP YET AGAIN. THIS WILL RESULT IN YET ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR FREEZING PRECIPITATION AS MOISTURE INCREASES FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE MAIN
DIFFERENCE WITH THIS SYSTEM COMPARED TO EXPECTED WEATHER ON SUNDAY
IS IT APPEARS WE COULD DEVELOP MORE OF A SOUTHERLY WIND ON TUESDAY
WHICH MAY ALLOW TEMPS TO WARM ABOVE FREEZING BY AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...THIS MAY AGAIN BE A FUNCTION OF MODELS NORTHWARD BIAS AND
A FURTHER SOUTHWARD ADJUSTMENT IS POSSIBLE. HAVE BEEN A BIT
OPTIMISTIC FOR NOW WITH FREEZING RAIN ALL AREAS LATE MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY MORNING...BUT THEN RAIN SOUTH AND FREEZING RAIN OR RAIN
NORTH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS 33 TO 36. GFS GENERATING QPF
AMOUNTS AROUND AN INCH ONCE AGAIN ON TUESDAY.
AS MENTIONED...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HANDLE THIRD WAVE DIFFERENTLY
AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW BY
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS FINAL WAVE COULD TO BE STRONGEST OF
THE BUNCH AND BARES CLOSE WATCHING AS IT MAY BEGIN TO PHASE WITH
NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY DROPPING SOUTH OUT OF CANADA INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS IN ADDITION TO ONCE AGAIN HAVING COPIOUS MOISTURE
FROM GOMEX. ECMWF WAS A LITTLE SLOWER WITH NORTHERN WAVE WHILE
FASTER WITH MAIN SOUTHERN ENERGY KEEPING THE SYSTEMS SEPARATE AND
NOT AS DEEP. GFS WAS PHASING THE ENERGY AND ALLOWING FOR A DEEPER
AND STRONGER SYSTEM FURTHER NORTHWEST. GFS 12Z ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
SHOW A LARGE SPREAD OF SOLUTIONS WITH SURFACE LOW ANYWHERE FROM
ILLINOIS TO SOUTH CAROLINA. LEANING TOWARD A COMPROMISE BETWEEN GFS
AND ECMWF BUT TIMING AND PHASING WILL BE CRITICAL TO HOW THIS SYSTEM
EVOLVES. GFS ALSO HAS A TENDENCY TO PHASE THE SEPARATE STREAMS AND
BECOME TOO STRONG. CURRENT OPERATIONAL MODEL TRACK WOULD PUT OUR
AREA WELL INTO WARM SECTOR BUT IF WE LOOK BACK OVER THE LAST
WEEK...MODELS HAVE BEEN SHOWING THIS AT ONE TIME OR ANOTHER FOR EACH
WAVE AND THEN GRADUALLY TREND SOUTH. HAVE BASICALLY KEPT A CHANCE
FOR RAIN OR SNOW WITH THIS SYSTEM GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS
TIME.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 1 AM EST /MIDNIGHT CST/ SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR INZ003>009-012-014-016>018.
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY FOR INZ013-015-020-022>027-032>034.
MI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 1 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR MIZ077>081.
OH...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 1 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016.
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM EST
SUNDAY FOR OHZ024-025.
LM...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...LOTHAMER
LONG TERM...LASHLEY
AVIATION...LOTHAMERHazardous weather outlook, Dec 8, 5:11 AM EST, 17 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 511 AM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-091015- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE- PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN- MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN- CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE- HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON... WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE... MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH... NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR... BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON... ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA... PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 511 AM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 /411 AM CST SAT DEC 8 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO... SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT AS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. OVER A QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION ON ALL OUTDOOR SURFACES IS POSSIBLE. A COUPLE MORE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE OHIO VALLEY STATIONARY FRONT MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS MAY RESULT IN ANOTHER PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MONDAY NIGHT... WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO A POSSIBILITY DURING THIS PERIOD. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX LMZ043-046-091015- NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 511 AM EST SAT DEC 8 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP
The office that day
Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 11:50 AM EST | Freezing Rain Advisory | IWX | Branch, Cass, Hillsdale, Saint Joseph | 10 hr |
Nearby
Ice Storm Warnings in Indiana, 2007Ice Storm Warnings in Ohio, 2007Ice Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2007Every ice storm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.