Severe Thunderstorm Warning 19, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 112323
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
723 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

INC097-145-112333-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-070411T2345Z/
MARION-SHELBY-
723 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SHELBY AND MARION COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...

THE STRONGEST STORMS HAVE EXITED THE WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3988 8578 3963 8559 3930 8557 3944 8533
      3968 8530 3979 8529 3979 8519 4007 8522
      4009 8547

$$

INC031-059-065-095-139-112345-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-070411T2345Z/
DECATUR-HANCOCK-HENRY-MADISON-RUSH-
723 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL DECATUR...RUSH...EASTERN HANCOCK...HENRY AND
SOUTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTIES...

AT 718 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS 
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTH OF ANDERSON 
TO 15 MILES WEST OF CAMBRIDGE CITY TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF 
BATESVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  STRAUGHN BY 730 PM EDT...
  NEW CASTLE BY 735 PM EDT...
  SPRINGPORT BY 740 PM EDT...
  BLOUNTSVILLE BY 745 PM EDT...

LAT...LON 3988 8578 3963 8559 3930 8557 3944 8533
      3968 8530 3979 8529 3979 8519 4007 8522
      4009 8547

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
350 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

.DISCUSSION...SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT OVR ERN IL EXTENDING
SOUTH INTO SW IND.  SFC LOW PRES OVR SE IA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO
THE NE WITH A N-S ORIENTED COLD FRONT FCST TO MOVE EAST ACRS THE
AREA TONIGHT.  VIS SAT IMAGERY SHOWS EXPANDED AREA OF BROKEN
CLEARING MOVING INTO WRN IND AT 19Z.  SCTD THUNDERSTORMS ARE
DEVELOPING IN MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR BOTH ALONG THE WARM
FRONT AND IN THE WARM SECTOR IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT.
SOMEWHAT STRONG SFC HEATING COMMENCING ACRS ERN IL ALONG WITH
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PER 50+ DEG DWPTS.

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE TDY WL BE PCPN.

MODELS REMAIN IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW SO
THEREFORE WILL USE A BLEND.  UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS CENTRAL IND
LOCATED IN LEFT EXIT REGION OF CYCLONICALLY CURVED 250MB JET STREAK.
 EXPECTING SCTD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACRS AREA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.  COOL MID LEVEL TEMPS
BELOW -20 DEG CELSIUS MOVING IN OVERTOP LOW LEVEL MOISTENING AND
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES.  AS 500MB SPEED MAX OF 100KTS CONTINUES TO
MOVE TOWARD THE REGION...STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS IN COMBO WITH
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ATMS SHOULD YIELD THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME
ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS.  THE STRONGEST AND MOST PERSISTENT STORMS
ARE CAPABLE OF SEVERE WEATHER MAINLY IN THE FORM OF LARGE HAIL.  THE
STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY MOVE TO THE EAST AND NORTH DURING THE
EVENING HOURS.  TEMPS TONIGHT SHOULD FALL INTO THE 30S.  MODELS
CONSISTENT IN SHOWING A LINGERING CHANCE OF PRECIP THURSDAY.  MODEL
SOUNDINGS INDICATING A POSSIBILITY OF SNOW SHOWERS MIXED WITH
RAIN...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY.  WHILE THE NEAR
SURFACE LAYER SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING...COLD AIR ALOFT WITH
850MB TEMPS AROUND -5 TO -6 DEG C WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUCH A
SCENARIO.  NOT EXPCTING MUCH RECOVERY IN TEMPS ON THURSDAY AS LOW
CLOUDS REMAIN IN AREA AS INDIANA RECEIVES WRAP AROUND CLOUDS FROM
DEPARTING SYSTEM.
&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

THURSDAY NIGHT...MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A MOIST LOW LEVEL ALONG WITH A
WEAL INVERSION THROUGH MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT SO WILL GO A LITTLE
MORE PESSIMISTIC WITH CLOUD COVER THURS NIGHT.  THAT SAID WILL GO A
DEGREE OR TWO WARMER WITH LOWS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE CLOUD COVER.  NO
PRECIP IS EXPECTED AS THE UPPER SYSTEM PULLS OFF TO THE NE BY LATE
THURS NIGHT.

FRIDAY...MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING SLOWER AND FARTHER SOUTH WITH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND SYSTEM.  THIS WILL TRANSLATE INTO SLOWER TIMING FOR
PRECIP AS WELL.  HAVE CONFINED POPS TO THE VERY FAR SW CORNER OF THE
CWA ON FRI MORNING.  KEPT THE INDY METRO AREA AND NORTH DRY UNTIL
AFTER 00Z.  KEPT THE TERRE HAUTE AREA DRY UNTIL 21Z.  AFTER 00Z
LIKELY FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE CWA.

AS THE SFC LOW MOVES NE FROM ARKANSAS TO TN/KY IT WEAKENS SOMEWHAT.
850-500MB FRONTOGENESIS ALSO WEAKENS.  WOULD EXPECT THE HEAVIEST
PRECIP TO FALL IN THE SOUTHERN CWA IN THE 00Z-12Z TIMEFRAME WITH
LESSER AMOUNTS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

FOR TEMPS FRI NIGHT HAVE GONE WARMER WITH LOWS AS CLOUD COVER WILL
PREVENT A SIGNIFICANT DROP IN TEMPS.

SATURDAY...WITH THE FARTHER SOUTH SOLUTION OF THE ECMWF/GFS/NAM AND
ENSEMBLES TEMPS MAY BE A LITTLE WARMER.  THE NW 1/3 OF THE CWA MAY
SEE SOME SNOW MIXED IN AS BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW A POSSIBILITY.  AT
THIS TIME WILL LEAVE IT AS ALL RAIN AS ITS STILL FAR ENOUGH OUT IN
TIME FOR EVEN A SLIGHT CHANGE TO KEEP PTYPE ALL RAIN THAT DAY.  BY
SATURDAY NIGHT THE SFC LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PULL OFF TO THE EAST AND
HAVE TAPERED POPS OFF FROM WEST TO EAST.

SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...STRONG RIDGING SETS UP ACROSS THE MIDDLE
OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH THIS TIME PD.  TEMPS WILL FINALLY MODERATE
CLOSER TO NORMAL TEMPS BY MON/TUES NEXT WEEK.

&&
.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 18Z TAFS.

LOW PRESSURE WL MV THRU NW OF THE SITES DURING THE PD AND DRAG A CD
FNT THRU INDIANA BY AROUND 0Z. MID LEVEL DRY SLOT WILL WORK ITS WAY
INTO REGION THIS AFTERNOON ALONG WITH INCREASING LIFT ASSOC WITH
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT.  WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS
AREA WILL GIVE WAY TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE 1930Z TO 0100Z
PERIOD.  HAVE GONE WITH VCTS TO CONVEY COVERAGE UNCERTAINTY AT THIS
POINT AND MAY NEED TO MAKE AMENDMENTS FOR SPECIFIC TIMING. IFR CIGS
AND VISBYS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPCT TO
DVLP.  EXPECTING A BRIEF WINDOW THIS EVENING OUTSIDE OF PRECIP TO
HAVE MVFR CONDS AS LOW LEVEL CIGS MIX OUT AND VISBYS IMPROVE. IFR
CONDS EXPTD TO RETURN AROUND 05Z FROM WRAP AROUND LOW LEVEL CLOUDS
ASSOC WITH HIGHER RH AIR.

&&
.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SMITH/SH
LONG TERM...SALLY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
415 AM EDT WED APR 11 2007

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-068>072-120815-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
415 AM EDT WED APR 11 2007 /315 AM CDT WED APR 11 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON.
THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

LIGHTNING IS A THREAT FROM ANY THUNDERSTORM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF
CENTRAL INDIANA...MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. NO ACCUMULATION
IS EXPECTED. SNOW SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ067-120815-
KNOX-
315 AM CDT WED APR 11 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON.
THE MAIN THREATS FROM THE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

LIGHTNING IS A THREAT FROM ANY THUNDERSTORM.

LOWLAND FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE WHITE RIVER. FLOODING IS
EXPECTED TO END TODAY. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENT FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

PUMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
550 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0543 PM     HAIL             WILLIAMSPORT            40.29N 87.29W
04/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       WARREN             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
610 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0529 PM     TORNADO          7 S NORTH SALEM         39.76N 86.64W
04/11/2007                   HENDRICKS          IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            1/2 MI NORTH OF US 36 AND SR75

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
630 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     HAIL             JAMESTOWN               39.93N 86.63W
04/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       HENDRICKS          IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0621 PM     HAIL             2 N NASHVILLE           39.23N 86.24W
04/11/2007  E1.00 INCH       BROWN              IN   AMATEUR RADIO

0551 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 S SPENCER             39.19N 86.77W
04/11/2007  E50 MPH          OWEN               IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0602 PM     HAIL             OOLITIC                 38.89N 86.53W
04/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       LAWRENCE           IN   AMATEUR RADIO

0625 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 E LAFAYETTE           40.41N 86.83W
04/11/2007  M0 MPH           TIPPECANOE         IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            55 MPH AT I-65 AND SR26

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
640 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0624 PM     HAIL             1 NW CLOVERDALE         39.53N 86.81W
04/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       PUTNAM             IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0557 PM     HAIL             BLOOMINGTON             39.17N 86.52W
04/11/2007  E0.50 INCH       MONROE             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            EST 45-50MPH GUST

0637 PM     TORNADO          4 E NORTH SALEM         39.86N 86.57W
04/11/2007                   HENDRICKS          IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            625N AND 200W

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
646 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0556 PM     HAIL             LEBANON                 40.05N 86.47W
04/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       BOONE              IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0608 PM     HAIL             GREENCASTLE             39.64N 86.84W
04/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       PUTNAM             IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0627 PM     HAIL             NEW ROSS                39.96N 86.71W
04/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       MONTGOMERY         IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0645 PM     HAIL             MOUNT AUBURN            39.81N 85.19W
04/11/2007  E0.75 INCH       WAYNE              IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SMITH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
654 PM EDT WED APR 11 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ESE LIZTON            39.88N 86.53W
04/11/2007                   HENDRICKS          IN   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN 3/4 MI EAST ON US136

&&

SMITH