Alert archive / Illinois / Snow Advisories in 2007

Snow Advisory 1, NWS Lincoln, IL

January 20, 200735 counties in Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this snow advisory at Jan 20, 2007, 3:36 AM CST for 35 counties in Illinois. It took effect at Jan 21, 2007, 12:00 AM CST. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 20, 2007, 3:36 AM CST (09:36 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 21, 2007, 12:00 AM CST
Expired
Jan 21, 2007, 11:05 AM CST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Lincoln, IL
All 35 counties

Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Richland County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Woodford County, IL

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 46 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2007-01-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2007-01-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
893 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS43 KILX 200936
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
336 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...QUICK MOVING SNOW STORM HEADED FOR CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

.LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHEAST
TOWARD ILLINOIS TODAY. IT WILL DRAW WARM AND MOIST AIR
NORTHWARD...AND FORCE IT OVER THE COLD AIR IN PLACE. THIS WILL PRODUCE
A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS FROM
MIDNIGHT SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 3 PM ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. DRY AIR
FROM EASTERLY WINDS WILL TEND TO DELAY THE ONSET OF SNOW...BUT
WE SHOULD STILL SEE ADVISORY AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES IN ALL OF
CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

ILZ027-036-040-041-047>052-061-062-066>068-071>073-201345-
/O.NEW.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0600Z-070121T1800Z/
KNOX-FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-
CHRISTIAN-SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-
RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...HAVANA...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...
LAWRENCEVILLE
336 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM CST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM CST
SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY NOON ON SUNDAY. THE SNOW
WILL BEGIN BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL
FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TOWARD NOON...WITH
FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH MAY CAUSE DRIFTING...
ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ILZ028>031-037-038-042>046-053>057-063-201345-
/O.NEW.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0900Z-070121T2100Z/
STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-LOGAN-DE WITT-
PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...
LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...
MATTOON
336 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY 3 PM ON SUNDAY. THE SNOW
WILL BEGIN BETWEEN 3 AND 6 AM...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL
FROM 7 AM TO NOON. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AROUND 3 PM...WITH
FLURRIES THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 10 AND
15 MPH MAY CAUSE DRIFTING...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

SHIMON
8 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS43 KILX 201343
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
743 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...QUICK MOVING SNOW STORM HEADED FOR CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

.LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHEAST
TOWARD ILLINOIS TODAY. IT WILL DRAW WARM AND MOIST AIR
NORTHWARD...AND FORCE IT OVER THE COLD AIR IN PLACE. THIS WILL
PRODUCE A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS
FROM MIDNIGHT SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 3 PM ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
DRY AIR FROM EASTERLY WINDS WILL TEND TO DELAY THE ONSET OF
SNOW...BUT WE SHOULD STILL SEE ADVISORY AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES
IN ALL OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

ILZ027-036-040-041-047>052-061-062-066>068-071>073-201800-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0600Z-070121T1800Z/
KNOX-FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-
CHRISTIAN-SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-
RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...HAVANA...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...
LAWRENCEVILLE
743 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
CST SUNDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
CST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY NOON ON SUNDAY. THE SNOW
WILL BEGIN BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL
FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TOWARD NOON...WITH
FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH MAY CAUSE DRIFTING...
ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ILZ028>031-037-038-042>046-053>057-063-201800-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0900Z-070121T2100Z/
STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-LOGAN-DE WITT-
PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...
LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...
MATTOON
743 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY. 

SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY 3 PM ON SUNDAY. THE SNOW
WILL BEGIN BETWEEN 3 AND 6 AM...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL FROM
7 AM TO NOON. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AROUND 3 PM...WITH FLURRIES
THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. EASTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH
MAY CAUSE DRIFTING...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

AUTEN
000 
WWUS43 KILX 201801
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1201 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...QUICK MOVING SNOW STORM HEADED FOR CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

.LOW PRESSURE IN NEW MEXICO WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD ILLINOIS
LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. IT WILL DRAW WARM AND MOIST AIR
NORTHWARD...AND FORCE IT OVER THE COLD AIR IN PLACE. THIS WILL
PRODUCE A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS FROM
MIDNIGHT THROUGH 3 PM SUNDAY. DRY AIR FROM EASTERLY WINDS WILL
TEND TO DELAY THE ONSET OF THE SNOW OVERNIGHT...BUT WE SHOULD STILL 
SEE ADVISORY AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL 
AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

ILZ027-036-040-041-047>052-061-062-066>068-071>073-202200-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0600Z-070121T1800Z/
KNOX-FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-
CHRISTIAN-SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-
RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...HAVANA...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...
LAWRENCEVILLE
1201 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
CST SUNDAY...

SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY NOON ON SUNDAY. THE SNOW
WILL BEGIN SOUTHWEST OF SPRINGFIELD BETWEEN 11 PM AND MIDNIGHT...
THEN SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH 3 AM...WITH THE
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL FROM 3 TO 9 AM. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TOWARD
NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 AND 15 MPH MAY CAUSE SOME
DRIFTING... ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ILZ028>031-037-038-042>046-053>057-063-202200-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0900Z-070121T2100Z/
STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-LOGAN-DE WITT-
PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...
LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...
MATTOON
1201 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY...

SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY 3 PM ON SUNDAY. THE SNOW
WILL BEGIN BETWEEN 2 AND 5 AM...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL FROM 5
TO 11 AM. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AROUND 3 PM...WITH FLURRIES THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 AND 15 MPH
MAY CAUSE SOME DRIFTING...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

KH/AUTEN/SHIMON
000 
WWUS43 KILX 202122
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
322 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...QUICK MOVING SNOW STORM HEADED FOR CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

.LOW PRESSURE IN NEW MEXICO WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD ILLINOIS
LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. IT WILL DRAW WARM AND MOIST AIR
NORTHWARD...AND FORCE IT OVER THE COLD AIR IN PLACE. THIS WILL
PRODUCE A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS
FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH 3 PM SUNDAY. DRY AIR FROM EASTERLY WINDS
WILL TEND TO DELAY THE ONSET OF THE SNOW OVERNIGHT...BUT WE
SHOULD STILL SEE ADVISORY AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS ALL OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

ILZ027-036-040-041-047>052-061-062-066>068-071>073-210130-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0600Z-070121T1800Z/
KNOX-FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-
CHRISTIAN-SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-
RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...HAVANA...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...
LAWRENCEVILLE
322 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
CST SUNDAY...

SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY NOON ON SUNDAY. THE SNOW
WILL BEGIN SOUTHWEST OF SPRINGFIELD BETWEEN 11 PM AND MIDNIGHT...
THEN SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH 3 AM...WITH THE
HEAVIEST SNOWFALL FROM 3 TO 9 AM. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TOWARD
NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 AND 15 MPH MAY CAUSE SOME
DRIFTING... ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS. 

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ILZ028>031-037-038-042>046-053>057-063-210130-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0900Z-070121T2100Z/
STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-LOGAN-DE WITT-
PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...
LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...
MATTOON
322 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY...

SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED BY 3 PM ON SUNDAY. THE SNOW
WILL BEGIN BETWEEN 2 AND 5 AM...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL FROM 5
TO 11 AM. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AROUND 3 PM...WITH FLURRIES THE
REST OF THE AFTERNOON. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 AND 15 MPH
MAY CAUSE SOME DRIFTING...ESPECIALLY ON NORTH SOUTH ROADS.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

HJS
000 
WWUS43 KILX 210130
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
730 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...LEADING EDGE OF SNOW APPROACHING ILLINOIS...

.A FAST MOVING SNOW STORM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH MISSOURI 
AND WILL SWEEP ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS OVERNIGHT. EXPECT SNOW TO 
BEGIN AROUND MIDNIGHT OVER SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS...THEN SPREAD 
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA BEFORE 3 AM. MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD 
SEE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION BEFORE THE SNOW DECREASES IN
INTENSITY AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY. TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT AND
HAZARDOUS IN MANY AREAS. LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE EVENING HOURS...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY MIX WITH THE
LIGHT SNOW...PRODUCING A THIN CRUST OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW. NO
SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...HOWEVER THE FREEZING
DRIZZLE MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES.

ILZ027-036-040-041-047>052-061-062-066>068-071>073-210600-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0600Z-070121T1800Z/
KNOX-FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-
CHRISTIAN-SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-
RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...HAVANA...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...
LAWRENCEVILLE
730 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
CST SUNDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
CST SUNDAY. 

EXPECT SNOW TO BEGIN AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND BECOME HEAVY DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN
3AM AND 8 AM...PRODUCING 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER MOST AREAS. THE SNOW
WILL TAPER OFF AROUND NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING
DRIZZLE DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ILZ028>031-037-038-042>046-053>057-063-210600-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0900Z-070121T2100Z/
STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-LOGAN-DE WITT-
PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...
LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...
MATTOON
730 PM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY.

EXPECT SNOW TO BEGIN TONIGHT BEFORE DAWN...AND BECOME HEAVY THROUGH 
THE MORNING HOURS. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 5AM 
AND 10 AM...PRODUCING 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER MOST AREAS. THE SNOW WILL 
TAPER OFF IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING 
DRIZZLE INTO SUNDAY EVENING. 

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

CHURCHILL
000 
WWUS43 KILX 210603
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1203 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW NOW BEGINNING IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW 
EXPECTED...

.A FAST MOVING SNOW STORM HAS MOVED INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND WILL 
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SNOW OVERNIGHT. ALL AREAS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS 
SHOULD SEE SNOW BY 3 AM...WITH PRECIPITATION POSSIBLY BEGINNING AS A 
BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF 
INTERSTATE 70. SNOWFALL REPORTS OVER MISSOURI LAST EVENING WERE UP 
TO 5 INCHES...AND THESE AMOUNTS WILL ALSO BE COMMON OVER CENTRAL 
ILLINOIS. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. UNTIL 
THEN...TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT AND HAZARDOUS IN MANY AREAS. 
LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS
SUNDAY...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW...PRODUCING A 
THIN CRUST OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW. NO SIGNIFICANT ICE 
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...HOWEVER THE FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY 
CONTRIBUTE TO SLICK ROADS...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

ILZ027-036-040-041-047>052-061-062-066>068-071>073-211000-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
KNOX-FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-
CHRISTIAN-SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-
RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...HAVANA...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...
LAWRENCEVILLE
1203 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BETWEEN 3 AM
AND 8 AM. EXPECT 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOWFALL OVER MOST AREAS. A
BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SLEET MAY ACCOMPANY THE SNOW AS IT
BEGINS...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 70. THE SNOW WILL
TAPER OFF AROUND NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE
DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ILZ028>031-037-038-042>046-053>057-063-211000-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0900Z-070121T2100Z/
STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-LOGAN-DE WITT-
PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...
LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...
MATTOON
1203 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AM AND 9 AM. EXPECT 3 TO 5 INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION OVER MOST AREAS. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AROUND
NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS43 KILX 210911
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
311 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW TO WIND DOWN SOONER IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS. SLEET FOR
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED...

.THE FAST MOVING SNOW STORM HAS PUSHED INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS. A
WARM LAYER ALOFT HAS CAUSED SLEET TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF I-70. WE
CHANGED THE SNOW ADVISORY TO A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THERE.
SNOWFALL RATES OF A HALF INCH TO ONE INCH AN HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY MORNING. LIGHTER SNOW WILL LINGER THROUGH NOON. SNOWFALL
REPORTS OVER MISSOURI WERE 3 TO 5 INCHES. CENTRAL ILLINOIS WILL
SEE SLIGHTLY LESS WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES MORE COMMON. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY NOON TODAY. UNTIL THEN...TRAVEL WILL
REMAIN DIFFICULT AND HAZARDOUS IN MANY AREAS. LIGHT SNOW AND
FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT...AND
FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW...PRODUCING A THIN CRUST OF
ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW. NO SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED...HOWEVER THE FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SLICK
ROADS...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

ILZ066>068-071>073-211400-
/O.CAN.KILX.SN.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KILX.WW.Y.0002.070121T0911Z-070121T1800Z/
EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...LAWRENCEVILLE
311 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. THE
SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW AND SLEET WILL ACCUMULATE BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES BY NOON
TODAY...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF I-70. THE SNOW AND SLEET WILL TAPER OFF
AROUND NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

ILZ028>031-037-038-042>046-053>057-063-211400-
/O.EXT.KILX.SN.Y.0001.070121T0911Z-070121T1800Z/
STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-LOGAN-DE WITT-
PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...
LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...
MATTOON
311 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

STEADY SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 7 OR 8 AM THIS MORNING...WITH
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS LASTING THROUGH THE NOON HOUR. 2 TO 4
INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED BY MID DAY. THE SNOW WILL TAPER
OFF AROUND NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING
THE AFTERNOON.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ILZ027-036-040-041-047>052-061-062-211400-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
KNOX-FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-
CHRISTIAN-SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...HAVANA...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...SHELBYVILLE
311 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING... WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW BETWEEN
3 AM AND 6 AM. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE REST
OF THE MORNING. EXPECT 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL OVER MOST AREAS.
THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF AROUND NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY
FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

SHIMON
000 
WWUS43 KILX 211357
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
757 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW CONTINUES TO WIND DOWN IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND MIX WITH
SLEET AND FREEZING DRIZZLE....

.THE FAST MOVING SNOW STORM CONTINUES TO PUSH THROUGH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS THIS MORNING. THE SNOW HAS DIMINISHED AND BECOME MIXED
WITH FREEZING RAIN AND A LITTLE SLEET. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
WILL ONLY BE MINOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING...BUT TRAVEL WILL
REMAIN DIFFICULT AND HAZARDOUS IN MANY AREAS. LIGHT SNOW AND
FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT...AND
FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY MIX WITH THE SNOW...PRODUCING A THIN CRUST OF
ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW. NO SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED...HOWEVER THE FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SLICK
ROADS...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

ILZ027-036-040-041-047>052-061-062-211800-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
KNOX-FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-
CHRISTIAN-SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...HAVANA...JACKSONVILLE...
SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...SHELBYVILLE
757 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

A MIXTURE OF LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THIS
MORNING...WITH MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. THE SNOW
WILL TAPER OFF AROUND NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING
DRIZZLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ILZ028>031-037-038-042>046-053>057-063-211800-
/O.CON.KILX.SN.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-LOGAN-DE WITT-
PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-
CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...NORMAL...
LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...
MATTOON
757 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

A MIXTURE OF LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THIS
MORNING...WITH MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. THE SNOW
WILL TAPER OFF AROUND NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING
DRIZZLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

ILZ066>068-071>073-211800-
/O.CON.KILX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...LAWRENCEVILLE
757 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY.

A MIXTURE OF LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THIS
MORNING...WITH MINOR ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. THE SNOW
WILL TAPER OFF AROUND NOON...WITH FLURRIES OR PATCHY FREEZING
DRIZZLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

AUTEN
000 
WWUS43 KILX 211705
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1105 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES CANCELED OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...

.AREA OF ACCUMULATING SNOWS HAVE LIFTED NORTHEAST INTO WISCONSIN
AND LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO ILLINOIS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON KEEPING A CHANCE OF A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS 
AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE MAINLY NORTH OF I-72.

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-211815-
/O.CAN.KILX.SN.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-FULTON-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-CASS-
MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-
COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...
NORMAL...HAVANA...LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...
JACKSONVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...
MATTOON...SHELBYVILLE
1105 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS CANCELED THE SNOW
ADVISORY. 

ACCUMULATING SNOWS HAVE ENDED OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS BY MID MORNING.
ONLY A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES AND PATCHY FREEZING
DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY NORTH OF I-72. FOR ILLINOIS
ROAD CONDITIONS CALL TOLL FREE AT 1-800-452-4368.

$$

ILZ066>068-071>073-211815-
/O.CAN.KILX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-070121T1800Z/
EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...LAWRENCEVILLE
1105 AM CST SUN JAN 21 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS CANCELED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

MIXED PRECIPITATION ENDED OVER SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS BY MID MORNING.
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY ABOVE FREEZING TODAY IN THE MID 30S HELPING
MELT ANY SNOW AND ICE REMAINING ON UNTREATED ROADS. FOR ILLINOIS
ROAD CONDITIONS...CALL TOLL FREE AT 1-800-452-4368.

$$

HUETTL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this snow advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this snow advisory went out at Jan 20, 3:08 AM CST, 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 20, 3:08 AM CST, 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
308 AM CST SAT JAN 20 2007

...CORRECTED THE HEADLINE STATEMENT AT THE BOTTOM...

DISCUSSION...
MAIN CONCERN IS THE SNOW STORM FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. MODELS ARE
COMING MORE INTO LINE WITH TIMING OF THE SNOW EVENT. GFS IS
SLOWING DOWN CLOSER TO THE NAM-WRF. SREF IS VERY CLOSE TO MY
THINKING...WITH THE BULK OF THE SNOW DURING A 6 TO 8 HOUR
PERIOD...PROGRESSING FROM SW TO NE ACROSS THE CWA. WILL GO CLOSE
TO NAM TIMING...BUT GFS PCPN COVERAGE.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS ILLINOIS TODAY...AS THE
CUT OFF LOW IN THE SW U.S. BEGINS TO EJECT. THE SHORT WAVE THAT IS ACTING
AS THE KICKER IS FINALLY ENTERING THE RAOB NETWORK IN THE NW U.S.
THE MORNING MODEL RUNS SHOULD HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON TIMING FOR
THE SNOW EVENT. THE DEEP LOW IN THE SW U.S. HAS A GOOD TAP ON
TROPICAL MOISTURE...AS IS SEEN ON THE WATER VAPOR LOOP. THIS WILL
HELP TO BEGIN SATURATION OF THE MID LEVELS EARLY ON TONIGHT. THE
LOWER LEVELS WILL BE THE BIG PROBLEM. A DRY EAST FLOW BEHIND THE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE TROUBLESOME FOR THE ONSET OF SNOW. THE
MODELS ARE ALL GUNG HO ON SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATING SNOW BY
12Z IN MOST OF OUR CWA...HOWEVER...FEEL MAINLY AREAS SOUTHWEST OF
A LINE FROM PEORIA TO LAWRENCEVILLE WILL SEE THE HIGHER SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS BY 6 AM SUNDAY. WILL KEEP THE SNOW TOTALS A LITTLE
LOWER IN THE NE HALF OF THE CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR THAT.

ANALYZING THE 290K SURFACE...ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL BE MAXIMIZED
CENTERED ON 12Z IN THE SW CWA...AND BETWEEN 15-18Z IN THE NE CWA. 3
G/KG MIXING RATIO IS AVAILABLE TO BE LIFTED...PUTTING THE GARCIA
METHOD INTO THE 3 TO 6 INCH RANGE. THE INITIAL SATURATION OF THE
AIRMASS MAY BE TIED TO LIFT FROM WAA FLOWS...DUE TO SOUTHERLY H85
WINDS OF 35 TO 40 KTS...FLOWING FROM THE GULF. THE SNOWS WILL BE
MORE TIED TO ISEN LIFT AND DPVA AS THE H5 SHORTWAVE LIFTS ACROSS
ILLINOIS. THAT WILL FOCUS THE HEAVIEST SNOWS AS THAT WILL BE WHEN
THE JET COUPLING WILL MAXIMIZE THE UVVS.

LOOKING AT THE UW MILW SNOW RATIO WEB ENGINE...WE SHOULD SEE SNOW
RATIOS OF 12:1. COMBINED WITH QPFS BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.35...WE WILL
LIKELY REACH ADVISORY LEVELS IN MOST AREAS /AT LEAST 3 INCHES/
BY THE TIME THE MAIN ACCUMULATION IS DONE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

FOR THE ADVISORY HEADLINES...WILL SPLIT THE CWA INTO 2
GROUPS...BASED ON TIMING AND AMOUNTS. SOUTHWEST HALF WILL BE
MIDNIGHT TO NOON ON SUNDAY...AND THE NE HALF WILL BE 3 AM TO 3 PM
SUNDAY.

THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS DRY OUT RAPIDLY BEHIND THE H5
SHORTWAVE...AND LOW LEVELS REMAIN MOIST. WITHOUT THE ICE CRYSTALS
TO FALL INTO THIS LAYER...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE BEHIND
THE SNOW. I ADDED FREEZING DRIZZLE OR FLURRIES SUNDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE SW AND EVERYWHERE SUNDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
FLURRIES MAY LINGER ON MONDAY BEHIND THE SYSTEM...AS WE REMAIN
UNDER A LONG WAVE TROUGH. THE NEXT WAVE OF SIGNIFICANCE WILL BE
WEDNESDAY...AS A CLIPPER DROPS OUT OF CANADA. WE MAY GET
MEASURABLE SNOW FROM THIS WAVE...BUT IT WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH
MOST LIKELY. I BUMPED UP POPS ON WED TO 30S FOR NOW.

A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR WILL FOLLOW THE WEDNESDAY
SYSTEM...AS LONGITUDINAL FLOW DRAGS ARCTIC AIR TOWARDS THE UPPER
MIDWEST.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SNOW ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM CST SUNDAY FOR
ILZ027-036-040-041-047>052-061-062-066>068-071>073.

SNOW ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY FOR ILZ028>031-037-
038-042>046-053>057-063.

&&

SHIMON
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 19, 2:31 PM CST, 13 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
231 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-201200-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-
DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-FULTON-JASPER-KNOX-LAWRENCE-LOGAN-
MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-PIATT-
RICHLAND-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-SHELBY-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-
WOODFORD-
231 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM IN THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW TO CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...
WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

HUETTL/AUTEN

Nearby

Snow Advisories in Illinois, 2007Every snow advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.