Flash Flood Watch 1, NWS Lincoln, IL

000 
WGUS63 KILX 252045
FFAILX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
245 PM CST SUN FEB 25 2007

...FLOODING NO LONGER A MAJOR CONCERN IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS... 

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>050-052>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-252145-
/O.CAN.KILX.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-070225T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-FULTON-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-CASS-
MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-
SHELBY-CUMBERLAND-CLARK-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-CRAWFORD-CLAY-RICHLAND-
LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...
NORMAL...HAVANA...LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...DANVILLE...
JACKSONVILLE...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...CHARLESTON...MATTOON...
SHELBYVILLE...EFFINGHAM...FLORA...LAWRENCEVILLE
245 PM CST SUN FEB 25 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

FLOODING HAS NOT CAUSED A MAJOR IMPACT ACROSS THE AREA. REPORTS
WERE RECEIVED OF DITCHES FULL OF WATER...AND A FEW SECONDARY ROADS
WITH WATER NEAR THEM. HOWEVER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE
FROM HERE ON OUT. THEREFORE... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR CENTRAL... EAST
CENTRAL... AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

ILZ051-260000-
/O.CON.KILX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-070226T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SANGAMON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SPRINGFIELD
245 PM CST SUN FEB 25 2007

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...
  SANGAMON.

* UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON

* SANGAMON COUNTY HAS RECEIVED UP TO AN INCH OR MORE OF RAINFALL
  SINCE YESTERDAY. THE PAST RAINFALL...WHEN COMBINED WITH MOISTURE
  FROM THE RECENT SNOW MELT...HAS LED TO THE NEED TO RELEASE
  ADDITIONAL WATER FROM SUGAR CREEK OVER THE SPAULDING DAM. NO
  FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME. IF THE SITUATION
  WORSENS... ADDITIONAL GATES MAY NEED TO BE OPENED ON THE DAM. IF
  THAT OCCURS...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

* THE NEAREST DOWNSTREAM TOWN BELOW SPAULDING DAM IS
  SPRINGFIELD... LOCATED ONE TENTH OF A MILE FROM THE DAM. IF YOU
  LIVE IN THE LOW LYING AREAS BELOW SPAULDING DAM ON SUGAR
  CREEK... KEEP ABREAST OF THE SITUATION AND STAY ALERT TO
  CHANGING CONDITIONS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

$$

SHIMON

000 
WGUS63 KILX 252351
FFAILX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
551 PM CST SUN FEB 25 2007

ILZ051-260100-
/O.CAN.KILX.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-070226T0000Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SANGAMON-
551 PM CST SUN FEB 25 2007

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SUGAR CREEK BELOW THE SPAULDING DAM
IN SANGAMON COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SUGAR CREEK BELOW THE SPAULDING DAM
IN SANGAMON COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. CITY WATER LIGHT AND POWER
OFFICIALS IN SPRINGFIELD HAVE DECREASED THE AMOUNT OF WATER
FLOWING OUT OF SPAULDING DAM INTO SUGAR CREEK. THE THREAT FOR
FLASH FLOODING HAS THEREFORE DECREASED AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS CANCELLED.

$$

CHURCHILL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
330 AM CST SUN FEB 25 2007

.DISCUSSION...
FORECAST NEXT FEW DAYS REVOLVES AROUND STRONG LOW PRESSURE NEAR DES
MOINES IOWA THAT LIFTS INTO SOUTHERN LAKE MI/LOWER MI AND GRADUALLY
WEAKENS MON/TUE. GFS HAS TRENDED SLOWER WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM
COMPARED TO ITS MORE PROGRESSIVE MODEL RUN YESTERDAY. SECOND STRONG
LOW PRESSURE STILL SLATED TO MOVE INTO THE MIDWEST WED NIGHT/THU
BRINGING NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION. FORECAST CONCERN IS IF FLOOD
WATCH NEEDED TO BE EXTENDED TODAY AND WHEN RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW
TODAY AND HOW MUCH ACCUMULATION IF ANY.

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
09Z/3 AM SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS DEEP 990 MB LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTH
OF DES MOINES IN SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA WITH ITS COLD FRONT EXTENDING
ACROSS CENTRAL MO TO EASTERN AR. DRY SLOT WORKED INTO CENTRAL IL BY
LATE SAT EVENING WITH SOME CLEARING OF LOW CLOUDS OVER SE IL SE OF
I-70. BUT ANOTHER AREA OF SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THAT HAS BEEN
DEVELOPING A BIT LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS AREAS WEST OF I-57 EARLY
THIS MORNING. EAST WINDS TURNED SE DURING THE NIGHT AND TEMPERATURES
HAVE BEEN SLOWLY CLIMBING ALL NIGHT LONG. READINGS RANGE FROM 37 TO
45F BUT AS COOL AS 34F IN LACON. ALOFT A 529 DM 500 MB CUTOFF LOW
WAS OVER NE MO.

MODELS GRADUALLY WEAKEN STRONG LOW PRESSURE AS IT LIFTS NE INTO
NORTHERN IL BY 00Z/SUNSET AND TO SOUTHERN LAKE MI BY 12Z/DAWN MON.
COLD FRONT LIFTS NE ACROSS CENTRAL IL DURING MID/LATE MORNING AS SE
WINDS TURN SW AND BEGIN TO FILTER IN COOLER AIR. HAVE LIKELY TO
CATEGORICAL POPS TODAY NORTH OF I-70 AND GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER
SE IL. AREAS NORTH OF I-70 AND WEST OF I-57 WILL SEE RAIN MIX WITH
OR CHANGE TO SNOW LATER THIS MORNING AND EALRY AFTERNOON AND OVER
EAST CENTRAL IL DURING THIS AFTERNOON. CHANGEOVER HAPPENS SOONEST
WEST OF I-55. DESPITE LIGHTER QPF TODAY OF A QUARTER INCH OR
LESS...DECIDED TO CONTINUE FLOOD WATCH OVER CENTRAL/SE IL UNTIL 4 PM
TODAY DUE TO HIGH WATER LEVELS FROM RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS AND SNOW
MELT PAST 24 HOURS.

LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS TURN TO LIGHT SNOW SE IL THIS EVENING WHILE NE
AREAS WILL HAVE PRETTY GOOD CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT ESPECIALLY
THIS EVENING. COULD BE UP TO 1 INCH OF SNOW THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING
NORTH OF I-72 WITH LOCAL 2 INCH AMOUNTS FROM I-74 NORTH. CURRENT
TEMPS ARE NEAR HIGHS TODAY...MAY CLIMB ANOTHER DEGREE OR TWO IN
PLACES...BEFORE SLIPPING BY AFTERNOON AFTER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
SLIP BACK BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
AROUND 30F IN SE IL. LOW PRESSURE PRETTY STAYS OVER SOUTHERN
WI/LOWER MI MON AND TUE AS IT GRADUALLY WEAKENS. MODELS KEEPING LOW
CLOUDS OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL IL INTO TUE WITH CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS OR FLURRIES ESPECIALLY FROM I-74 NORTH. CONTINUED TREND OF
COOLER HIGHS MON/TUE WITH MID TO UPPER 30S CENTRAL IL AND LOWER 40S
SE IL. MODELS TAKE LOW PRESSURE OUT OF SE CO EAST ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS MON AND TN VALLEY MON NIGHT KEEPING ITS LIGHT QPF
SOUTH CENTRAL IL.

WEAK HIGH PRESURE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES INTO IL BY TUE EVENING
HELPING DECREASE CLOUDS TUE NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF IL WED WITH RETURN SOUTH FLOW
HELPING WARM TEMPS BACK UP INTO THE 40S WED/THU WITH LOWER 50S SE IL.
ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST MOVES INTO EASTERN
PLAINS WED NIGHT AND MS VALLEY/IL THU. THIS TO RETURN GOOD CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS TO CENTRAL/SE IL WED NIGHT/THU WITH BETTER CHANCE OF
SNOW OVER NORTHERN IL. CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW MIXED WITH LIGHT RAIN
THU NIGHT OVER CENTRAL IL AFTER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH EXTENDED UNTIL 4 PM TODAY FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST IL
ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073

&&

HUETTL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
623 AM CST SUN FEB 25 2007

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-261200-
CASS-CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-
DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-FULTON-JASPER-KNOX-LAWRENCE-LOGAN-
MACON-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-MOULTRIE-PEORIA-PIATT-
RICHLAND-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-SHELBY-STARK-TAZEWELL-VERMILION-
WOODFORD-
623 AM CST SUN FEB 25 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY...CHANGING THE
PRECIPITATION TO ALL SNOW. ANY ACCUMULATION OF SNOW THAT OCCURS
WILL BE MINIMAL...GENERALLY 1 INCH OR LESS. ALSO...THE PRECIPITATION
FROM YESTERDAY HAS COMBINED WITH RECENT SNOWMELT AND A PARTIALLY
FROZEN GROUND TO CAUSE PONDING OF WATER...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING
AREAS...VIADUCTS AND UNDERPASSES. MANY STREAMS AND SMALL CREEKS
HAVE ALSO RISEN AND ARE CLOSE TO OVERFLOWING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

AUTEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
635 AM CST SUN FEB 25 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    2 SW ATHENS             39.94N 89.75W
02/24/2007  E0.10 INCH       MENARD             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            OBSERVER REPROTED A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ON
            TREES...NON ON SIDEWALKS AND ROADS.

&&

KELLY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
809 AM CST SUN FEB 25 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     FREEZING RAIN    2 SSW TOULON            41.07N 89.88W
02/24/2007  E0.20 INCH       STARK              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            FREEZING RAIN BEGAN AT 930 AM

1000 AM     FREEZING RAIN    1 N LACON               41.04N 89.41W
02/24/2007  E0.40 INCH       MARSHALL           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

1100 AM     FREEZING RAIN    5 NE AVON               40.71N 90.37W
02/24/2007  E0.20 INCH       KNOX               IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

1145 AM     FREEZING RAIN    SULLIVAN                39.60N 88.61W
02/24/2007  E0.10 INCH       MOULTRIE           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

0430 PM     FREEZING RAIN    MINONK                  40.90N 89.04W
02/24/2007  E0.40 INCH       WOODFORD           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            ENDED AT 430 PM

0500 PM     FREEZING RAIN    WASHINGTON              40.70N 89.44W
02/24/2007  E0.13 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            OBSERVER ESTIMATED 1/8 OF AN INCH OF ICE.

0630 PM     FREEZING RAIN    HOOPESTON               40.47N 87.67W
02/24/2007  E0.50 INCH       VERMILION          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            OBSERVER ESTIMATED A HALF INCH OF ICE ON THE
            GROUND...FREEZING RAIN FELL FROM AROUND 3 PM TO 630 PM.

&&

KELLY