Wind Advisory 1, NWS Wilmington, OH

Dearborn County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH

000 
WWUS71 KILN 021700
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1200 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-030100-
/O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070303T0400Z/
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...
BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG...RISING SUN...VEVAY...
CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON...INDEPENDENCE...ALEXANDRIA...
OWENTON...WILLIAMSTOWN...FALMOUTH...BROOKSVILLE...MOUNT OLIVET...
MAYSVILLE...VANCEBURG...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...
GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...
PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...
EATON...DAYTON...XENIA...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...
LANCASTER...HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CHILLICOTHE...
LOGAN...CINCINNATI...MILFORD...GEORGETOWN...HILLSBORO...
WEST UNION...PIKETON...PORTSMOUTH
1200 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL OCCUR
DURING THIS TIME. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH
DURING THE EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KILN 022058
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
358 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-030400-
/O.CON.KILN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070303T0400Z/
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...
BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG...RISING SUN...VEVAY...
CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON...INDEPENDENCE...ALEXANDRIA...
OWENTON...WILLIAMSTOWN...FALMOUTH...BROOKSVILLE...MOUNT OLIVET...
MAYSVILLE...VANCEBURG...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...
GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...
PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...
EATON...DAYTON...XENIA...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...
LANCASTER...HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CHILLICOTHE...
LOGAN...CINCINNATI...MILFORD...GEORGETOWN...HILLSBORO...
WEST UNION...PIKETON...PORTSMOUTH
358 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. OCCASIONAL GUSTS JUST ABOVE 45 MPH WILL
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING.

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

$$

000 
WWUS71 KILN 030008
NPWILN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
708 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007


INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-030115-
/O.CAN.KILN.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-070303T0400Z/
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...
BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG...RISING SUN...VEVAY...
CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON...INDEPENDENCE...ALEXANDRIA...
OWENTON...WILLIAMSTOWN...FALMOUTH...BROOKSVILLE...MOUNT OLIVET...
MAYSVILLE...VANCEBURG...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...
GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...
PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...
EATON...DAYTON...XENIA...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...
LANCASTER...HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CHILLICOTHE...
LOGAN...CINCINNATI...MILFORD...GEORGETOWN...HILLSBORO...
WEST UNION...PIKETON...PORTSMOUTH
708 PM EST FRI MAR 2 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY AT TIMES THROUGH THE EVENING...BUT WILL
BE BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
419 AM EST FRI MAR 2 2007

.AVIATION /06Z-06Z/...
COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH AND ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS REMAIN. IT
APPEARS CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR FOR THE MOST PART...THOUGH MVFR
CEILINGS MAY CROP UP FROM TIME TO TIME. MAIN PROBLEM WILL BE
STRONG WINDS THAT WILL GUST OVER 30 KTS THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...
THE LINE OF CONTIGUOUS RAIN WAS JUST EAST OF KILN THIS EVENING.
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS THE RAIN WILL BE EAST OF KCMH. HAVE
UPDATED FCST FOR TIMING. WINDS WILL PICK UP MARKEDLY OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
SHOWERS FILLING IN ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF FA THIS AFTERNOON
ALONG WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT TO SEE PCPN CONTINUE
TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AS FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST THIS
EVENING. MODELS ONLY INDICTING MARGINAL INSTABILITY THOUGH...AND
THIS IS PRETTY MUCH ALL ELEVATED AND ENDING IN THE 00Z TO 03Z
TIMEFRAME. AS A RESULT...DESPITE EXCELLENT WIND FIELDS...THINK LACK
OF  INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT ANY SEVERE THREAT THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
WILL STILL HANG ON TO A CHANCE OF THUNDER OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT
THOUGH AND CONTINUE WITH FLOOD WATCH ACROSS OUR NORTH FOR THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

STRONG CAA DEVELOPS BEHIND FRONT LATE TONIGHT AND THIS COULD LEAD TO
A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER...EXPECT EVEN WINDIER
CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY AS MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE ROTATES ACROSS
AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY 50 TO 70 KNOT WINDS IN THE 5K TO 10K LAYER.
BIG QUESTION IS HOW MUCH OF THIS WILL BE ABLE TO TRANSFER DOWN TO
THE SURFACE. MOMENTUM TRANSFER TECHNIQUE OFF OF BOTH THE GFS AND
NAM-WRF SOUNDINGS IS INDICATING SURFACE GUSTS IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOT
RANGE FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS ASSUMES MIXING UP TO ABOUT 10K FEET
THOUGH AND WITH FAIR AMOUNT OF SKIES AND MORE OF A NEUTRAL TO EVEN
WEAK WAA PATTERN...THINK THIS MAY BE OVERESTIMATING THE WIND GUSTS A
BIT. AS A RESULT...WILL HOLD OFF ON A WIND ADVISORY ATTM AND GO WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

OTHER POSSIBLE CONCERN FOR FRIDAY WILL BE THE OUTSIDE CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AS THERE IS SOME WEAK INSTABILITY PROGGED INTO OUR
FA...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE SOUTH. WILL ALLOW FOR A LOW CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ON FRIDAY BUT LEAVE MENTION OF THUNDER OUT OF FORECAST DUE
TO LOW PROBABILITY. HOWEVER...IF WE DO END UP WITH
THUNDER...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE GIVEN LOW WET
BULB ZERO AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT.

UPPER LEVEL LOW IS THEN FORECAST TO ROTATE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. WILL
HANG ON TO A LOW CHANCE OF POPS ACROSS THE NORTH WITH A BIT OF A
DIURNAL COMPONENT FOR SATURDAY. STILL SOME PRETTY GOOD WINDS ALOFT
ON SATURDAY AND WITH BETTER CAA PROGGED...WILL LIKELY SEE GUSTY
WINDS ONCE AGAIN...PARTICULARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH MONDAY...MODELS APPEAR TO BE IN DECENT AGREEMENT. UPPER
LEVEL TROF PUSHES THROUGH OHVLY SUN AFTERNOON AND NW FLOW BEHIND IT
WILL USHER IN COOLER AND DRIER AIR FOR MOST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
A WEAK SFC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH FROM THE N ON MON AS HIGH
PRESSURE IN CANADA AND THE NW UPPER LEVEL FLOW PUSHES IN COLDER AIR.
CONSIDERING THAT THE OHVLY IS NOT PROGGED TO HAVE MUCH MOISTURE
AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME...HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY BUT WOULD NOT
RULE OUT SOME VERY LIGHT SPRINKLES/FLURRIES MON/TUE. FRONT STALLS IN
KY TUE AND MOVES N ON WED AS A WARM FRONT. GUIDANCE IS COOLER THAN I
WOULD HAVE LIKED FOR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HAVE CUT BACK
TEMPS PER SURROUNDING OFFICES INPUT FOR DAY 6/7. OTHER TEMPS REMAIN
BASICALLY UNCHANGED OTHER THAN A DEGREE OR TWO HERE AND THERE.

FRANKS

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY FOR OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
     051>056-060>062.

KY...NONE.
IN...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY FOR INZ050-058-059.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
356 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007

INZ066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ063>065-070>074-077>082-088-
022100-
FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-
BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-
MASON-LEWIS-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-
ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
356 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...
SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
BEFORE TAPERING OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

INZ050-058-059-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>062-022100-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-
LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-
LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-
356 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL
OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
BEFORE TAPERING OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT.
IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING AND THIS COULD LEAD TO SOME FLOODING PROBLEMS. A FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.