Wind Advisory 6, NWS Wilmington, NC

000 
WWUS72 KILM 030715
NPWILM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
315 AM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

NCZ097-100-101-SCZ034-046-031800-
/O.EXT.KILM.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070603T1800Z/
PENDER-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER-HORRY-GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...LELAND...
SHALLOTTE...WILMINGTON...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...CONWAY...
MYRTLE BEACH...GEORGETOWN
315 AM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON.

AN EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BARRY...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE SOUTHEAST UNITED
STATES COAST THIS MORNING. AS A RESULT...STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS...ESPECIALLY AT THE BEACHES
WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED. THE STRONG
WINDS CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES. RESIDENTS ALONG THE BARRIER ISLANDS AND INTRA-COASTAL
WATERWAY SHOULD SECURE ANY LAWN FURNITURE OR GARBAGE CANS.

$$


15

000 
WWUS72 KILM 031234
NPWILM

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
834 AM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007


NCZ097-100-101-SCZ034-046-031345-
/O.CAN.KILM.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-070603T1800Z/
PENDER-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER-HORRY-GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...LELAND...
SHALLOTTE...WILMINGTON...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...CONWAY...
MYRTLE BEACH...GEORGETOWN
834 AM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

ALTHOUGH BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS AN EXTRA-TROPICAL
LOW MOVES THROUGH WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY
LEVELS. AS A RESULT THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

SRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
615 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BARRY WILL WEAKEN AND BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL AS IT MOVES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE
CAROLINAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY ARE EXITING NORTHEAST FLORIDA
AND MOVING INTO COASTAL GEORGIA WHERE THE STRONGEST 3 HOURLY
PRESSURE FALLS HAVE BEEN. STRONG SURFACE TO LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE LOW HAS ALLOWED DEEPER CONVECTION TO FORM
OFF THE GEORGIA COAST OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS AT THE NOSE OF THE DRY
SLOT. THESE STORMS ARE MOVING NORTHWARD AND AS DEWPOINTS INCREASE
OVERNIGHT ALONG THE COAST AND COASTAL WATERS THINK ENOUGH
DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR (ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST) TO WARRANT
INCLUSION OF SCT TSTMS IN THE FORECAST. 0-3 KM HELICITY WILL BE ON
THE INCREASE AS THE CONVERGENCE (WARM FRONT-LIKE) BOUNDARY
APPROACHES AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR ROTATING STORMS AND POSSIBLY
A TORNADO NEAR THE COASTAL AREAS OVERNIGHT.

MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE CURRENT SET OF GRIDS FOR THE 6 PM
ISSUANCE. ALSO...PLAN TO GO WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALL
BEACHES TOMORROW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
STARTING TO HAVE SERIOUS CONCERNS ABOUT AMOUNTS/DURATION OF PRECIP
FROM BARRY REMNANTS. LATEST RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY IS NOT
ENCOURAGING...SHOWING LARGE DRY SLOT DEVELOPING. IN FACT BOTH
GFS/NAM SHOW THIS FEATURE AND HAVE SCALED BACK BOTH PRECIP AMOUNTS
AND DURATION OF CATEGORICAL POPS IN LATEST MOS GUIDANCE FOR SUNDAY.

DECREASED POPS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING BUT POPS MAY NEED TO BE
SCALED BACK EVEN MORE IF GUIDANCE CONTINUES ITS DRYING TREND AND
CURRENT TREND OF DECREASING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW
CONTINUES. CLOUD CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST REGARDLESS OF PRECIP
AMOUNTS TOMORROW...SO NOT MUCH CHANGE TO TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE PERIOD. LOOKS LIKE MORE SUN ON MONDAY THAN
EARLIER EXPECTED...SO BUMPED UP AFTERNOON HIGHS.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
WEAKENING BROAD TROUGHINESS OVER ERN THIRD OF THE U.S. ON TUESDAY
WILL CAUSE LOCAL WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW. SFC BOUNDARY...A WASHED
OUT COLD FRONT FROM THE NW...AND A DECENT SHORTWAVE SHOULD STILL BE
ENOUGH FOR SLIGHT CHANCE POPS. TEMPS CLOSE TO CLIMO. MID LEVEL
TROUGH WILL BE LIFTING OUT ON WEDNESDAY AND SFC PATTERN BECOMES ILL
DEFINED. FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW CONSIDERABLE DRYING AND NO PRECIP
EXPECTED DESPITE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT.

LARGE STORM IN THE NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY PAIRED WITH BERMUDA
HIGH THURSDAY WILL PUMP UP A STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE IN THE EAST.
TEMPS WILL BE PUSHED ABOUT A CATEGORY HIGHER BY DAY AND ALMOST AS
MUCH AT NIGHT. RIDGE FLATTENS AND RETROGRADES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
FCST SOUNDINGS WOULD IMPLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. ONLY REAL
MECHANISM FOR PRECIP WOULD BE SEABREEZE...WHICH MAY NOT MAKE IT VERY
FAR INLAND DESPITE THE WARM TEMPS. WILL KEEP RAIN OUT OF THE FCST.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
REMNANTS OF TD BARRY TO MOVE TOWARDS THE TERMINALS THROUGH SUNDAY
18Z WITH DETERIORATING CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES. VFR CONDITIONS
WILL GIVE WAY TO MVFR THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN IFR BY THIS EVENING AS
THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD MOVES NORTH AND RAIN INTENSIFIES. EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEAST BY SUNDAY MORNING GUSTING TO
25 KNOTS AT TIMES...HIGHEST ALONG THE COAST. WIND DIRECTIONS COULD
BE MORE SOUTHEASTERLY ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT DEPENDING ON THE EXACT
TRACK OF BARRY. MVFR CEILINGS AND NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 25-30
KNOTS EXPECTED BY MID MORNING SUNDAY WITH SHOWERS VICINITY.

CHANCE IFR/THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. CHANCE OF IFR EARLY
MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
NO CHANGES TO THE GALE WARNING FOR ALL MARINE ZONES THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. THE WINDS AT SPRINGMAID PIER HAVE INCREASED TO AROUND 20 KT
AND THE WINDS AT THE EDISTO BUOY ARE IN THE 27-35 KNOT RANGE WITH 10
FOOTERS.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
MARGINAL GALE CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT AT THE START OF THE SHORT
TERM PERIOD AS REMNANTS OF TD BARRY MOVE INTO THE AREA. CONDITIONS
WILL QUICKLY TRANSITION TO SCA CONDITIONS BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. SCA WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED INTO MONDAY MORNING BEFORE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW
STARTS TO SUBSIDE AS GRADIENT WEAKENS. OFFSHORE COMPONENT WILL ALSO
LEAD TO A DECREASE IN SEAS AS WELL.

WEAK TROUGHING DEVELOPS INLAND ON MONDAY WITH SURFACE FLOW BECOMING
MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TROUGH AND HIGH PRESSURE
WELL OFF THE COAST WILL BECOME PINCHED...RESULTING IN 15 TO 20 KT
WINDS. EXTENDED PERIOD OF SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL LEAD TO SEAS NEARING
SCA OUT NEAR 20 NM.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A MODERATELY STRONG SW FLOW EXPECTED TO BEGIN THE PD TUESDAY BETWEEN
LARGE SYSTEM IN THE NORTHEAST AND OFFSHORE HIGH. SCEC EXPECTED. FLOW
WILL WEAKEN ON WEDNESDAY AS NE STORM LIFTS FURTHER AWAY AND THE SFC
PATTERN GETS SLOPPY. QUIETER CONDITIONS SHOULD SET IN BY WEDNESDAY
AND LAST INTO THURSDAY WITH LIGHT/OFFSHORE FLOW.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR SCZ032>034-039-046.

NC...FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
     FOR NCZ096-097-099>101.

MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 9AM EDT SUNDAY FOR AMZ250-252-254-256.

&&

NEAR TERM...PFAFF
SHORT TERM...III
LONG TERM...005
AVIATION...ROSS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
445 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007

NCZ087-SCZ017-023-024-032045-
ROBESON-MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-
445 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ096-097-099>101-SCZ032>034-039-046-032045-
BLADEN-PENDER-COLUMBUS-BRUNSWICK-NEW HANOVER-FLORENCE-MARION-HORRY-
WILLIAMSBURG-GEORGETOWN-
445 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

AMZ250-252-254-256-032045-
SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM-
CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT 20 NM-
MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT 20 NM-
445 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

III